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   DealBook: Biden woos Modi; Masa Son in “offense mode”
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   Also, the D.O.J.’s new playbook for bank mergers.
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             June 21, 2023
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              Good morning. In today’s newsletter: India’s prime minister is feted by business and President Biden; SoftBank’s Masa Son is ready to invest again; the Justice Department’s new approach to bank mergers; and lawmakers challenge carmakers’ ties to China. (Was this newsletter forwarded to you?
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              )
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                  Narenda Modi, India’s prime minister, heads back to Washington for his second state visit.
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                  Evan Vucci/Associated Press
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            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             Biden rolls out the red carpet for Modi and business is watching
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             The White House is rolling out the red carpet for Narendra Modi, India’s prime minister, with a state dinner tomorrow. High on the agenda: Talks to strengthen economic and security ties as the Biden administration cultivates partners to
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              counter China
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             . Business is watching closely, too, as it pours money into one of the world’s fastest-growing big economies despite the challenges of operating there.
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              Elon Musk is on board.
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             The Tesla and SpaceX C.E.O. met Modi in New York yesterday and said India had more promise than any other big country. Enticed by the country’s sustainable energy potential,
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              Musk said
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             he hoped his electric carmaker could start doing business there “as soon as humanly possible.”
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              India is booming.
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             Modi has cannily managed to stay in the good graces of the West
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              and
             </span>
             Russia since the Kremlin declared war on Ukraine. It has been a huge beneficiary of cheap Russian oil, which, in turn, has made it a high-growth, (relatively) low-inflation standout on the world stage.
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             Investors have
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              flocked
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             to the country, as have
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              commercial giants
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             . And, its I.P.O. market is strong, thanks to a vibrant entrepreneurial scene and tech sector.
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              But Musk made no mention of India’s pressure on one of his other companies.
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             Twitter’s co-founder
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              Jack Dorsey
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             accused India of trying to shut down the platform in the country in 2020-21 — before Musk bought it — for refusing to remove content critical of the government. The government has denied that accusation but India has plummeted in
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              democracy rankings
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             .
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              Big questions abound about India, Inc.
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             Apple has expanded production in the country but the transition is reportedly off to a rocky start.
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              According to The Financial Times
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             , the iPhone maker was seeing factory defect rates soar this year compared with its manufacturing output in China. And
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              a short-seller attack
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             by Hindenburg Research on Adani Group, a sprawling Indian conglomerate founded by a close ally of Modi, has raised concerns about crony capitalism and less-than-transparent accounting standards. Adani denies the accusations.
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              None of this is hitting Modi’s
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              <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
               popularity
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              at home.
             </span>
             A secret to that is his iron grip on the flow of information. As The Times’s Mujib Mashal reports, “This is particularly true of broadcast media — large parts of the nightly news consist of anchors declaring Mr. Modi’s greatness and defending him against any criticism.”
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             HERE’S WHAT’S HAPPENING
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              A surveillance plane picks up underwater noises in the search for the missing submersible.
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             Rescuers are searching for the
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              source of the sounds
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             , while worrying about dwindling oxygen levels in the submersible, Titan. The company that runs the vessel, OceanGate, was warned years ago about
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              potentially “catastrophic” safety issues
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             .
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              Britain grapples with stubbornly high inflation.
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             Consumer prices there
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              rose 8.7 percent in May
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             , holding steady as a cost-of-living crisis persists. Tomorrow, the Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates for a 13th consecutive time, to 4.75 percent.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Samuel Alito is under scrutiny for a trip with the hedge fund mogul Paul Singer.
             </span>
             The Supreme Court justice
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              did not disclose a 2008 flight
             </a>
             to an Alaskan fishing trip on a private jet provided by Singer, whose Elliott Management has been involved in cases before the court, ProPublica reports. Alito took the unusual step of defending his behavior in a
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Wall Street Journal opinion article
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             before ProPublica’s article was published.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              The TV super-producer Ryan Murphy is poised to jump to Disney from Netflix.
             </span>
             Murphy, whose hits include “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story,” is in advanced talks to
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              rejoin a team
             </a>
             that helped produce earlier successes of his like “American Horror Story,” five years after signing a $300 million production deal with Netflix five years ago. Separately, Netflix is reportedly in talks to license some
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              content from Warner Bros. Discovery
             </a>
             .
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            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             Masa Son is back
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             For months, Masa Son, SoftBank’s voluble founder, kept quiet, as his tech conglomerate has struggled with huge investment losses.
            </p>
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             Continue reading the main story
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             But as the world races to embrace artificial intelligence — something that has long fascinated him — Son used his company’s
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              annual shareholder meeting
             </a>
             today to publicly, and memorably,
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              restate his commitment
             </a>
             to becoming a leader in the cutting-edge technology.
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              “We are ready to shift to offense mode,”
             </span>
             Son told investors and analysts, adding: “I want SoftBank to lead the A.I. revolution.” Reviving the kind of grand presentations that he long favored — who can forget the
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              “valley of coronavirus” slide
             </a>
             in 2020, featuring flying unicorns? — the SoftBank chief began by asking, “
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              What is Mankind?
             </a>
             ”
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             The answer, apparently, is something that can benefit from the technology behind chatbots, which has already spurred an
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              investment boom
             </a>
             . (To be fair, the potential of A.I. was
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              one of several central theses
             </a>
             behind SoftBank’s $100 billion first Vision Fund.) “When your grandkids are our age, I believe they will be living in a reality where the computer is 10,000 times smarter than the sum of all human wisdom,” he said today. Where SoftBank would fit in, he added, was to try and “become an architect to build the future of humankind.”
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Son argues that SoftBank has better days ahead.
             </span>
             While the company’s Vision Funds have suffered big paper losses amid the decimation of start-up valuations, he said that SoftBank has since amassed over $35 billion in cash in “defense mode,” and was ready to invest it. (The company also stands to benefit from the forthcoming I.P.O. of Arm, the chip designer it owns.)
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             And Son said he’s excited again, after lying low last year. “There were times when I felt so empty,” he told investors. ‘Is this enough? Is this it?’ I cried and cried and couldn’t stop crying for days.” Now, he added, “I’m having too much fun.”
            </p>
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            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             The Justice Department’s new playbook for bank deals
            </h2>
           </td>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             After the regional banking turmoil of the spring, Washington officials including Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen have suggested that the United States
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              may need consolidation
             </a>
             to produce stronger banks that can withstand future crises.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             But in a speech at the Brookings Institution yesterday, the Justice Department’s antitrust chief, Jonathan Kanter, suggested that his division may cast a more critical eye on banking M.&amp;A.
            </p>
           </td>
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              The Justice Department plans to change how it reviews bank mergers
             </span>
             , including by resuming “competitive factor reports” to the main regulators who oversee such transactions, including the Fed and the F.D.I.C. (It had stopped sending those reports several decades ago.)
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             More important, the department will consider a broader range of potential effects from a deal beyond concentrations in deposits and overlap of branches, including on fees, interest rates and customer service.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             And if banks proceed with a transaction that Kanter’s team opposes, the department could sue, as it did to block
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Philadelphia National Bank’s effort
             </a>
             to merge with Girard Trust Corn Exchange Bank in 1963.
            </p>
           </td>
          </tr>
         </tbody>
        </table>
       </div>
       <div style="margin:0 auto;max-width:600px;width:100%">
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              That could chill efforts to consolidate U.S. banking.
             </span>
             While the country has fewer regional lenders than it once did — about 4,100, down from about 10,000 in 1990 — some in the industry believe that’s still too many. Canada has about 30 banks.
            </p>
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       </div>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             Bank executives and deal makers have stressed that smaller banks will face more challenges in complying with capital requirements meant to head off the kind of runs that felled Silicon Valley Bank. (Goldman Sachs analysts have estimated that regulatory pressures could subtract 3 percent to 6 percent from smaller banks’ return on equity.)
            </p>
           </td>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             “
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Do you even want us to exist?
             </a>
             ” Ken Vecchione, the C.E.O. of Western Alliance, which was battered during the recent crisis, said he has recently been asking regulators.
            </p>
           </td>
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       </div>
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       </div>
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           <td align="left">
            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             “We’re running water through pipes that haven’t had water run through them in a long time. So where are there going to be leaks?”
            </h2>
           </td>
          </tr>
         </tbody>
        </table>
       </div>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              —
             </span>
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
               Jennifer Christie
              </a>
             </span>
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              , the chief people officer of the software maker DocuSign. The company is planning to test tweaks to its hybrid-working system this summer, as corporate America pushes employees to return to the office full-time.
             </span>
            </p>
           </td>
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       </div>
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           </td>
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        </table>
       </div>
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           <td align="left">
            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             D.C. heads to Detroit as car wars heat up
            </h2>
           </td>
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         </tbody>
        </table>
       </div>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             Lawmakers descended on Detroit yesterday for a “fact-finding mission” that quickly turned political over the car companies’ ties to China.
            </p>
           </td>
          </tr>
         </tbody>
        </table>
       </div>
       <div style="margin:0 auto;max-width:600px;width:100%">
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           <td align="left">
            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             At a gathering with the C.E.O.s of Ford and General Motors, Jim Farley and Mary Barra, Congress members from the right and left
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              sent the message
             </a>
             that decoupling from China was becoming an economic and security imperative.
            </p>
           </td>
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        </table>
       </div>
       <div style="margin:0 auto;max-width:600px;width:100%">
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Ford faced a grilling.
             </span>
             Lawmakers
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
             </span>
             asked about its plans, announced in February, to build a $3.5 billion factory in Michigan producing electric vehicle batteries with technology licensed from the Chinese manufacturer CATL, a deal that shows
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              the difficulty of decoupling
             </a>
             supply chains.
            </p>
           </td>
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        </table>
       </div>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Ford could qualify for special tax credits.
             </span>
             The Inflation Reduction Act aimed to incentivize domestic battery making, and Ford may stand to benefit even though its partner has close ties to the Chinese government.
            </p>
           </td>
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         </tbody>
        </table>
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             Ford has insisted benefits won’t accrue to CATL, adding that domestic manufacturing is good for the economy. But critics say the deal undermines the I.R.A. “The goal of the Inflation Reduction Act was to reduce dependency on China — we want to make sure we’re advancing towards that goal,” said, Representative Mike Gallagher of Wisconsin, the top Republican on the recently created House committee on competition with China.
            </p>
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             Raja Krishnamoorthi of Illinois, the top Democrat on that committee, left the meetings with similar concerns. He said the U.S. should be doing more to favor American businesses in this emerging sector, and investing heavily in innovation to shake dependence on Chinese supply.
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             The politicians said they didn’t go to Detroit to pressure Ford, but the carmaker’s CATL alliance
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              has become a hot political topic
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             . Marco Rubio of Florida, the top Republican on the Senate Intelligence Committee and a longtime China hawk, introduced legislation in March
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              to block tax credits
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             for batteries produced using Chinese tech. He called for an immediate review of the Ford deal by the Treasury Department’s Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States.
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             Neither Ford nor the Treasury Department responded to a request for comment.
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            <h3 style="color:#000;font:700 17px/25px arial,sans-serif;margin:8px 0 25px 0;letter-spacing:.2px">
             THE SPEED READ
            </h3>
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              Deals
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               KKR will buy up to $44 billion worth of
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                buy-now-pay-later loans from PayPal
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               , as the investment firm works to expand its growing private-credit business. (Bloomberg)
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               Middle Eastern state-backed companies, flush with cash, are looking to spend billions on
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                plastics and metals producers
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               . (Bloomberg)
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               “Inside the
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                Escalating Feud
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               at One of Wall Street’s Biggest Hedge Funds” (WSJ)
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              Policy
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               Gannett, the newspaper publisher,
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                sued Google
               </a>
               over what it said were abuses of the tech giant’s dominance in advertising technology. (NYT)
              </span>
             </li>
             <li class="css-11scvta" style="line-height:27.5px;margin:0 0 10px 0">
              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               Chris Christie has drawn
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                big-name corporate donors
               </a>
               for his 2024 presidential campaign — but his highest-profile ally, the financier Steve Cohen, is staying quiet for now. (CNBC)
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             </li>
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               A federal judge plans to
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                unseal the names
               </a>
               of the three people who helped Representative George Santos, Republican of New York, make bond in the criminal case against him. (CBS News)
              </span>
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               Could Robert DeNiro’s
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                $6 million lawsuit against an assistant
               </a>
               become as influential as his biggest films? (Puck)
              </span>
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               Amazon’s second headquarters in Virginia isn’t
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                living up to its economic hype
               </a>
               . (CNBC)
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               The Times Opinion columnist Paul Krugman asks: “
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                Is Taylor Swift underpaid?
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               ” (NYT Opinion)
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