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   Plus, the US economic data you should watch |
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               👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
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               Investaphobia
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               Spooked by the state of the global economy, investors fled from Nvidia and bitcoin – both known as their sector’s all-stars. Only the data will show whether their fears are irrational… or right-on.
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                        🔍 The focus this week: The devil’s in the US data details
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="5qt6r" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Edgy about the future of the US economy, not least due to the president’s tariff extravaganza, investors will look for clues in every bit of data they get their hands on. The main one to scrutinize: the monthly payroll figure. That’ll show the state of the jobs market, indicating the health of the economy at large. Economists expect next Friday’s report to show the economy created 180,000 jobs in February, higher than January’s 143,000. The unemployment rate is predicted to stay steady at 4%, while average hourly wages are slated to increase by 0.3% compared to last month.
                       </p>
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                        The US manufacturing PMI for February will be released on Monday. If you remember, the measure rose to 50.9 in January. That’s the first time the factory sector tipped past the 50 mark – which indicates expansion – after
                        <i>
                         26
                        </i>
                        months of shrinking. Economists think it’ll stay in the positive range in February, but some say that could just be a short-lived bounce before new tariffs come into effect.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="r329" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        You’ll also want to check out the prices manufacturers paid to get a read on inflation, as well as the count of their new orders. The measure of their prices paid made a sharp jump to 54.9 last month, a worrying sign for stateside inflation. No wonder the Federal Reserve seems cautious about making more cuts to the interest rate.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="agr0a" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        European February inflation reading is expected to come in at 2.3% on Monday, which would be a fall from January’s 2.5% and a welcome change from the upticks seen over recent months. That would further justify the European Central Bank’s (ECB) decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its January meeting, the fifth trim since June. The last cut pushed the key deposit rate down to 2.75%, its lowest level since early 2023. And, expecting inflation to keep headed toward the 2% target, the central bank is expected to reduce that rate
                        <i>
                         again
                        </i>
                        on Thursday from 2.75% to 2.5%.
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                        đź“… On the calendar
                       </p>
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                         <b>
                          Monday:
                         </b>
                         Europe inflation rate (February), US ISM manufacturing index (February), US construction spending (January), Japan unemployment (January).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="lgv2" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Tuesday:
                         </b>
                         The China Two Sessions summit opens, Europe unemployment data (January). Earnings: CrowdStrike.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="3t8o2" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Wednesday:
                         </b>
                         US factory order (January), US ISM services index (February).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="5m93m" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Thursday:
                         </b>
                         Europe retail sales (February), European Central Bank interest rate announcement. Earnings: JD.com, Broadcom, Costco.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="jhak" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         <b>
                          Friday:
                         </b>
                         UK Halifax house price index (February), US payrolls (February).
                        </li>
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                        👀 What you might’ve missed last week
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="acv65" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         Global
                         <br/>
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
                        <li data-block-key="4lmc2" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         Cryptocurrencies saw their values fall off a cliff, after investors made their biggest one-day exodus from bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="2aeih" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         Buffett said Berkshire Hathaway plans to increase its holdings in Japanese trading companies.
                        </li>
                       </ul>
                       <p data-block-key="fqi2g" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         <br/>
                         US
                         <br/>
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
                        <li data-block-key="6jcle" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         Nvidia’s revenue from last quarter and outlook for
                         <i>
                          this
                         </i>
                         quarter both beat analysts’ expectations.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="j607" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         Anthropic verged closer to bringing in some $3.5 billion, which would value the AI startup at $62 billion.
                        </li>
                       </ul>
                       <p data-block-key="apk0u" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         <br/>
                         Europe
                         <br/>
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
                        <li data-block-key="ehfqa" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         Trump proposed 25% tariffs on imports from Europe.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="d1v7u" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         Tesla’s sales fell 45% across Europe in January, handing market share over to European and Chinese rivals.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="fp9l7" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         Investment group Prosus bought food delivery company Just Eat for $4.3 billion.
                        </li>
                       </ul>
                      </div>
                     </td>
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                      <div style="font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;;font-size:13px;line-height:1;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                       <p class="content-box-header mb-4" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; font-weight: 900; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        ✍️ What does all this mean?
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="fl6fm" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Nvidia revealed that it made more revenue than predicted last quarter, and kept the bar high by forecasting a better run for
                        <i>
                         this
                        </i>
                        quarter than analysts expected. The AI darling’s gross margins were squeezed a little over the last three months, due to the higher cost of making its new Blackwell chips. But that was balanced by a nice, full order book. So all in all, Nvidia’s showing
                        <i>
                         should
                        </i>
                        have reassured any investors who had started to doubt the AI sector’s fundamentals. But that wasn’t the case: laser-focused on those shrinking margins, investors sent the stock south.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="21jal" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Mind you, Nvidia wasn’t the only AI company attracting eyeballs this week. Anthropic – the four-year-old creator of the Claude chatbot – seems headed for a $62 billion valuation, more than triple the $18 billion it won only last year. That’s thanks to the hype around its most advanced AI model. This one’s a hybrid system that combines real-time responses with deeper reasoning, meaning it can “stop and think” before answering complex questions.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="3grod" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Bitcoin was also impacted by investors’ decision to shift to safer assets. The OG crypto fell to its lowest price since November’s rally started, after investors pulled $1 billion from bitcoin ETFs in a single day – the asset’s biggest 24-hour pullback ever. See, investors were enthused by the US president’s fondness for crypto, so they pumped up the coins after the election result. But any digital currency-friendly policies have been overshadowed by plans to increase tariffs and a wounded economy.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="btu9t" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        The US president dialed up the pressure on Europe with plans to stamp 25% tariffs on imports from the region. That’s a bid to even out the trade gap: Europe sells more stuff to the US than it buys, prompting the president to say the bloc was “formed to screw the United States”.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="djvim" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Stay classy ✌️
                       </p>
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                        Your Finimize Analyst team
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