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Hi Sarah, here's what you need to know for
<strong>
May 31st
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in
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3:12 minutes
</strong>
.
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A single section of the US president’s tax bill could threaten $31 trillion of foreign investment in American assets
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Here’s how to use your very human traits to outperform in an AI investing world –
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Read Now
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US inflation cooled in April, with the country’s raft of new tariffs having little impact so far
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☕ Finimized over a kyoto latte at
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Arabica
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in London, UK (🌤20°C/68°F)
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<span class="text-heading1 text-black font-black" style="font-weight: 900; color: #283444; font-size: 24px;">
Sweat The Small Stuff
</span>
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</p>
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<b>
What’s going on here?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="7l5ve" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
Wall Street looked mighty beady on the forehead and hot under the collar, after spotting fine print in the US president’s “big, beautiful” tax bill that could scare away foreign investors.
</p>
<p data-block-key="cc7ss" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
<b>
What does this mean?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="7hi2n" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
Section 899 would let the government impose additional taxes on foreign investors, if their country’s tax policy is deemed “unfair” to the US. Right now, that includes Canada, the UK, France, and Australia. The measure could add an American tax obligation of up to 20 percentage points to those investors’ passive earnings in the US (things like dividends and interest from stateside investments). Unsurprisingly, that could push foreign investors – who currently hold $31 trillion in stateside assets – away from American stocks and bonds.
</p>
<p data-block-key="dt0pg" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
<b>
Why should I care?
</b>
</p>
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<b>
<i>
For markets:
</i>
</b>
<i>
So much for that whole “safe haven” thing.
</i>
</p>
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Foreign institutional investors have long propped up American stock and bond markets, in turn bolstering the US dollar and keeping borrowing costs low. So let’s say Section 899 turns some of them off: the dollar could weaken and long-term interest rates could rise from that alone. And, of course, this is all coming at a time when the “safe haven” status of US assets is already in question.
</p>
<p data-block-key="66j4m" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
<b>
<i>
Zooming out:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Asian investors were already on their way out.
</i>
</p>
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Anxious about tariffs, politics, and currency fluctuations, institutions in Japan, Taiwan, and China have already started retreating from the US. Until recently, Japan invested more money overseas than other country in the world – and while it does hold more international investments than ever before, Germany now has more. Australia’s been straying, too: the country’s biggest pension funds have been looking for safer opportunities outside of the States. So far, all those wandering eyes have found what they’re looking for in Europe and Canada – and at home, too.
</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
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<b>
You might also like:
</b>
<a style="color: #204CE9; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 500;">
Political risk is now part of a stock’s value – and no, you can’t afford to tune it out
</a>
.
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Copy to share story:
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FROM OUR RESEARCH DESK
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How To Succeed In Investing When AI Does All The Thinking
</h2>
<p style="line-height: 1.5; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; color: #FFFFFF; margin: 0;">
Theodora Lee Joseph, CFA
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The AI revolution isn’t coming for investing – it’s
<a style="color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: inherit;">
already here
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="ajn6t" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; color: #fff;">
Every day, AI systems summarize earnings calls, scan company filings, digest macro reports, and sweep through millions of data points,
<a style="color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: inherit;">
faster
</a>
than any human team could.
</p>
<p data-block-key="fqub0" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; color: #fff;">
Hedge funds now use AI to gauge social media sentiment in real time, detect the most subtle tone shifts on corporate calls, and flag early signs of political change. It’s not science fiction – it’s
<a style="color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: inherit;">
table stakes
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="504nc" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; color: #fff;">
And, I know, it’d be easy to think the machines now
<a style="color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: inherit;">
run the show
</a>
. But they don’t.
</p>
<p data-block-key="c76j" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; color: #fff;">
Human investors are still very much at the helm – it’s just that their influence has moved into new,
<a style="color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: inherit;">
less obvious places
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="4m6ba" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; color: #fff;">
That’s today’s Insight:
<a style="color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: inherit;">
how to use your very human traits to outperform in an AI investing world
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Higher Callings
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<b>
What’s going on here?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="49a7b" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
US inflation cooled a bit in April, but likely not enough to warrant an intervention – divine or otherwise – from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
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<b>
What does this mean?
</b>
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The American central bank’s favorite inflation gauge (we all have one, right?) rose just 2.5% for the year in April. That’s down from 2.7% in March, and a bit closer to the Fed’s long-term 2% target. Meanwhile, consumer activity jumped slightly more than expected. Americans splashed out on services – things like eating out, entertainment, and healthcare – while paring back a little on buying physical goods. Investors generally cheered the data, despite the big elephant in the room. See, the full impact of the US president’s tariff spree hasn’t really hit yet – and once it does, the inflation picture could get a lot messier.
</p>
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Why should I care?
</b>
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<b>
<i>
Zooming in:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Politics is no match for policy.
</i>
</p>
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The president sat down with the Fed’s head honcho this week to tell him that interest rates need to come down, pronto. That didn’t seem to achieve anything, and it shouldn’t: the central bank isn’t supposed to participate in politics at all. So the Fed will be sticking to its regular mandate of keeping prices stable and the job market strong. If inflation does continue to cool, though, the interest rate situation will naturally be headed in that direction anyway.
</p>
<p data-block-key="21h5q" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
<b>
<i>
The bigger picture:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Japan threw a curveball.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="ud5j" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
Japanese consumers are confronting an unfamiliar problem in their neck of the woods: surging inflation. (The country has famously dealt with
<i>
de
</i>
flation on and off for decades.) Prices in Tokyo jumped to a two-year high this month, with food costs being the main driver. Rice – obviously an important staple – was up a whopping 90% from a year ago. Those kinds of jumps can take a huge bite out of folks’ paychecks and drag the economy down. So the Bank of Japan might be cooking up another interest rate hike, possibly as soon as July.
</p>
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You might also like:
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"Trying to crash the market on purpose": how to invest in a Trump era
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QUOTE OF THE DAY
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"Instant gratification takes too long."
</p>
<span class="text-caption font-normal text-blackLight leading-normal" style="font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.5; color: #3C4857; font-size: 12px;">
– Carrie Fisher (an American actress and writer)
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<b>
Why stocks rise even when your feed screams “recession”
</b>
</h4>
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It’s not your imagination – the stock market really
<i>
can
</i>
rise even when the economy looks like it’s on the rocks.
</p>
<p data-block-key="fibva" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
It feels contradictory, even risky. But that disconnect isn’t chaos: it’s actually a clue.
</p>
<p data-block-key="8r79h" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
In our latest guide, Theodora teamed up with State Street to
<a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
unpack why the market and the economy often move in different directions
</a>
– and how you can use that split to your advantage.
</p>
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They break down how interest rates, investor psychology, and sector trends shape market moves – and call out the
<a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
ETF strategies that thrive even when the economy doesn’t
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="c072t" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
So
<a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
read the guide (it’s free)
</a>
, and find out how to make smart decisions, no matter what kind of market noise and economic surprises you meet.
</p>
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Read The Guide
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🎯 On Our Radar
</p>
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1.
<b>
Put your headphones on.
</b>
You’ll have these musicians
<a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
on repeat all summer
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="cp52c" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
2.
<b>
Monkey see, monkey… sleep.
</b>
Here’s how to
<a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
nap like one of nature’s soundest sleepers
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="6aqr6" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
3.
<b>
The ghost tour is paused for now.
</b>
In this town, you’ll want to
<a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
focus on the Sasquatch
</a>
.
</p>
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Thanks for reading Sarah. If you liked today’s brief, we’d love for you to share it with a friend – here’s a link:
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<span class="text-caption mt-4" style="margin-top: 16px; font-size: 12px;">
You stay classy, Sarah 😉
</span>
<p class="text-caption font-bold mt-4" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin-top: 16px; font-size: 12px;">
Any thoughts on today’s email?
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Give feedback
</a>
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Want to advertise with us?
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Get in touch
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Image credits: Midjourney | Midjourney
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