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   DealBook: Breaking up
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   Calls for companies to cut ties with Russia are taking on a new urgency.
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             April 5, 2022
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                  “Russia is half of our business,” said Moira Amaranti of the Italian shoe company she manages. “And now we have a problem.”
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             Collateral damage
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             Calls for companies to cut ties with Russia have taken on a new urgency, as world leaders push for
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              even tougher sanctions
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             in response to the horror of images of
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              scores of dead civilians
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             in parts of Ukraine recently occupied by Russian forces. The next steps could include a ban on
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Russian coal exports
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             and further restrictions on Russia’s ability to
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              access foreign currency
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             .
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             At the same time, there is a growing realization in the corporate world, especially in Europe, of how difficult and costly it will be for businesses large and small to shift away from Russia quickly,
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              The Times’s Liz Alderman reports from Paris
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             .
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Sanctions intended to punish Russia are blowing back to companies in unexpected ways
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             , disrupting supply chains, pushing up prices and undermining plans. Many small firms are scrambling to make up for the loss of a key export market.
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Large multinationals
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             pulling their investments from Russia face the risk of asset seizures or nationalization.
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               Moira Amaranti, who runs the Italian shoe company
               <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                Sergio Amaranti
               </a>
               , said that Russia accounts for half the company’s business. She recently had to decide whether to stop making some shoes that Russian retailers had ordered but would probably be unable to receive anytime soon. The company went ahead with production, because they had already bought the leather and soles.
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               Johann Reiter, the chief of
               <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                Vetropack
               </a>
               , a Swiss maker of glass storage containers, had to stop production at its plant near Kyiv after the invasion. He is now keeping an eye on Moldova, where another of the company’s factories operates. He has already put evacuation and shutdown plans in place.
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               Uwe Aichele, who handles international sales at the
               <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                Eichbaum
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               brewery in Germany, said that in addition to losing its Russian export market, the company has been hit by a jump in the price of hops and other grains, one of Ukraine’s largest exports; a lack of aluminum cans and glass bottles, also sourced from Ukraine; and the high price of energy in Germany, which relies on Russian gas.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Countries have promised huge subsidies to offset the effects of sanctions and the war.
             </span>
             The E.U. has
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              loosened its state aid rules
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             to provide grants, tax credits and other guarantees for companies affected by sanctions against Russia and struggling with high energy bills. But if the war continues, and sanctions get tougher, many economists fear those subsidies will only delay the pain.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              More on the Russia-Ukraine war:
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               Satellite images
               <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                refute Russian claims
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               about the killing of civilians in Bucha, a suburb of Kyiv.
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               <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                Here’s how
               </a>
               Russia has avoided defaulting on its debt, and why the
               <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                recovery in the ruble
               </a>
               isn’t what it seems.
              </span>
             </li>
             <li class="css-11scvta e1y8brq21" style="line-height:27.5px;margin:0 0 10px 0">
              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               More than
               <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                $2 billion worth of yachts
               </a>
               owned by sanctioned Russian oligarchs have been seized in European ports.
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               For the latest developments, see The Times’s
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                live blog
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               and
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                updated maps
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               .
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             HERE’S WHAT’S HAPPENING
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              Speculation is rife about why Elon Musk bought a big stake in Twitter.
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             The purchase, which makes him
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              the largest shareholder of the company
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             , was disclosed as a passive investment, but legal experts said that doesn’t preclude him ultimately pushing for changes at the company. In one of Musk’s first tweets after his stake was revealed, he asked his followers if they wanted to be able to
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              edit their tweets
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             .
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              Senators announce a $10 billion coronavirus aid deal
             </span>
             . They agreed on
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              the package
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             after dropping a proposal to direct billions for the global vaccination effort. In other news, the C.D.C. announced a
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              comprehensive review
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             of its operations amid a barrage of criticism about its handling of the pandemic.
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              The trial of a former Goldman banker nears its end
             </span>
             . Lawyers made their closing arguments in the
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              case of Roger Ng
             </a>
             , who is accused of receiving $35 million in illegal kickbacks from Malaysia’s 1MDB sovereign wealth fund. The case could go to the jury as soon as this afternoon.
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              Efforts to halt global warming are running out of time.
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             A
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              major new report
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             from a U.N. panel warned that countries need to accelerate their shift away from fossil fuels, or the goal of avoiding an overheated planet will be out of reach by the end of this decade.
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                  Brian Moynihan has quietly turned Bank of America around.
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                 <span style="margin:0;font:normal 11px georgia,serif;padding-left:5px;color:#888;letter-spacing:.01em">
                  Ian MacLellan for The New York Times
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             A victory lap for Wall Street’s ‘boring’ CEO
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             In the 12 years since Brian Moynihan took the helm at Bank of America, he has steered the company from the brink of collapse to generating record earnings last year. “I just try to get stuff done,” he told The Times’s Lananh Nguyen, who is out this morning with
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              a profile of the low-key Bank of America chief
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             .
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              More than a few prominent Wall Streeters had doubts about Moynihan.
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             He’s not the longest tenured C.E.O. of a major bank — Jamie Dimon has a few years on him at JPMorgan Chase — but what makes Moynihan’s run notable is how he has proved doubters wrong over that time. Here are a few who questioned whether he was the best person for the job:
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               <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
                Bank of America’s board of directors
               </span>
               initially pursued Robert Kelly, then the C.E.O. of Bank of New York Mellon, for the top job. The board later picked Moynihan, a former in-house lawyer, after negotiations with Kelly fell apart.
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             </li>
             <li class="css-11scvta e1y8brq21" style="line-height:27.5px;margin:0 0 10px 0">
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                Hank Paulson
               </span>
               , the former Treasury secretary and chief of Goldman Sachs, told The Times that he had been skeptical that Moynihan could make the switch from general counsel to chief executive.
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               <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
                Mike Mayo
               </span>
               , a prominent bank industry analyst at Wells Fargo, repeatedly called for Moynihan to be fired in the first few years of his tenure. Mayo is now a Moynihan fan. The analyst said Moynihan’s “disarming, unassuming and at times boring demeanor is an advantage, because his actions speak louder than his words.”
              </span>
             </li>
            </ul>
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Moynihan’s strategy has been to make Bank of America less risky and more dependable.
             </span>
             The bank’s shares have more than doubled during his time as C.E.O., outpacing some (but not all) of its rivals. Perhaps more important, Moynihan has steered Bank of America through the fallout of its 2008 mortgage woes — it was one of the worst offenders when it came to foreclosures during the financial crisis — and has largely avoided major blowups and scandals since. But some of its investment bankers have been frustrated after losing out on deals because of the bank’s strict terms for loans and transactions.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              The 62-year-old remains solidly in control of the bank.
             </span>
             Moynihan oversaw a management reshuffle last year, and the bank veterans Thomas Montag and Anne Finucane
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              retired
             </a>
             . Some industry observers saw the moves as Moynihan getting rid of his competition. When asked about this, Moynihan said: “There’s no power to consolidate — I was the C.E.O. before, and I’m C.E.O. now.”
            </p>
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            <h2 class="css-12n1aic el2acgh0" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             “I don’t think we’re going to go into a recession in the next 12 months. I think it’s possible in the 12 months after that.”
            </h2>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             —
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              Megan Greene, the global chief economist for the Kroll Institute, on the economic outlook. Rapid inflation and global instability have led forecasters to
             </span>
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
               raise the odds of a recession
              </a>
             </span>
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              .
             </span>
            </p>
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                <img class="css-17i7zb3 e1aggfhi0" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fstatic01.nyt.com%252Fimages%252F2022%252F04%252F05%252Fmultimedia%252F05db-delrahim%252F05db-delrahim-articleLarge.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZzdGF0aWMwMS5ueSJ9:1nbhZg:lSkYqV260K66xFUbo_4QlUr5M5GEoWHfINg5vqiSNX0" style="width:83%;max-width:500px;display:inline-block;height:auto;padding-top:15px;padding-bottom:0;line-height:0"/>
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                 <span class="css-2zlgwg e1aggfhi3" style="margin:0;font:normal 12px georgia,serif;color:#666">
                  Makan Delrahim, the Justice Department’s former antitrust chief, is joining private practice.
                 </span>
                 <span style="margin:0;font:normal 11px georgia,serif;padding-left:5px;color:#888;letter-spacing:.01em">
                  Gabriella Demczuk for The New York Times
                 </span>
                </span>
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            <h2 class="css-12n1aic el2acgh0" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             Makan Delrahim’s new gig
            </h2>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             Makan Delrahim is joining Latham &amp; Watkins as a partner in its antitrust and competition practice. Delrahim led the Justice Department’s antitrust division as assistant attorney general under President Donald Trump. He sued to block AT&amp;T’s takeover of Time Warner (
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              and lost
             </a>
             ) and argued against excluding streaming services from the Oscars (
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              and won
             </a>
             ), among other actions.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             His hire comes as dealmakers are preparing for tough antitrust scrutiny from the Biden administration, which has already
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              taken its toll
             </a>
             on M.&amp;A. In his new role, Delrahim expects to specialize in media and entertainment — Latham &amp; Watkins recently advised MGM in its
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              sale to Amazon
             </a>
             .
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             DealBook spoke with Delrahim about the state of competition policy and what lies ahead for antitrust enforcement. The conversation was edited and condensed.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              What will be your advice to clients on how to navigate the current antitrust regime?
             </span>
            </p>
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             There’s nothing more important than the planning that goes into a transaction ahead of time. Does the transaction allow for a potential review in an extended period of time by the agency? Do the parties need to respond? How do you cooperate with agencies in extended reviews? What do you do when you have potential litigation?
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             There are going to be deals that pose antitrust problems that, no matter who is running these agencies, would have a problem. And I think that there are deals that shouldn’t have a problem that, right now, may get extra screening.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Will the E.U.’s
             </span>
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
               Digital Markets Act
              </a>
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              , which targets Big Tech, have an impact in the U.S.?
             </span>
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             I think we will see how it’s implemented and what challenges it poses. I think the political process we have in the U.S. for approving legislation is going to pose a different set of challenges for the current pending bills in Congress. I still think there’s an ample opportunity for Congress to pass legislation.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              What sorts of bills might make it through?
             </span>
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             I think some aspects of the
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Klobuchar-Grassley bill
             </a>
             as well as some from
             <a class="css-5nb5nb et1n85g0" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Senator Mike Lee’s legislation
             </a>
             . For example, changing some of the burdens of proof and presumptions in certain kinds of mergers.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              What do you think of using geopolitics as an antitrust defense? For instance, tech companies saying that their power is necessary to repel cyberattacks by Russia.
             </span>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             ​​You always hear, whether it’s merging parties or companies that are subject to antitrust scrutiny because of some conduct, “We’re doing this for you to have a national champion. We’re doing this because of the international competition. We’re doing this to save the environment. We are doing this because we need a solution for Covid.” I think there are limits.
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