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   On the calendar this week: quarterly updates from Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Apple.
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               👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
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               Orders Of Mag-nitude
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               Four of the elite “Mag Seven” companies will drop their quarterly updates this week, and you can bet that folks will dive right into the details. These giants don’t just make headlines, they move markets by the billions. So expect some serious aftershocks: their results could set the tone for where the investing mood might move next.
              </p>
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                        🔍 What to watch this week: The big ones
                       </p>
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                        💪
                        <b>
                         The Magnificent Seven have done the heavy lifting for the S&amp;P 500 for the past couple of years.
                        </b>
                        So investors will be examining each bead of sweat as Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Apple open their books this week. Analysts predict that these four companies – along with Alphabet, Nvidia, and Tesla – saw their earnings grow by nearly 15% last quarter, compared to the same time last year. It's a sturdy showing, no question, but it’s feeble compared to the gains made in the past two years.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="dfu4u" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         📚 Mind you, that’s not the whole story – and it’s not the whole market either.
                        </b>
                        If you magically disappear those Magnificent stocks, the rest of the S&amp;P 500’s profits would likely have expanded by 5% last quarter – sure, that’s a lot smaller, but it’s actually an improvement compared to recent quarters. And with earnings growth now spreading to the broader market, there’s some fresh hope that US stocks might see a more balanced, more sustainable recovery after a nearly 10% drop so far this year.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="67ldf" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         🏋️ And, yeah, much of this will depend on how the US economy holds up.
                        </b>
                        The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         GDPNow
                        </a>
                        – a handy model that provides real-time growth estimates based on the latest data – projects that US economic output dipped slightly in the first quarter from the one before. (Mind you, that forecast comes from the Atlanta Fed’s new model, which adjusts for gold imports and exports.) Economists, on the other hand, are more optimistic, projecting a modest
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         0.3%
                        </a>
                        annualized growth. That’s obviously better than a slight contraction, but that would still represent a big slowdown from the fourth quarter’s 2.4% pace. It could also be way off base: all the tariff turmoil has been muddying the waters. A rush to import goods ahead of the new levies likely distorted last quarter’s data, making things seem weaker (or stronger) than they actually are. The real impact – on business investment and consumer spending – won’t likely be clear for another three months.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="e42ns" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        <b>
                         👁️ So for now,
                        </b>
                        all eyes are on whether America’s tech giants can deliver strong earnings and whether the economy might cool enough to keep the Federal Reserve (Fed) at least
                        <i>
                         thinking
                        </i>
                        about future interest rate cuts. Because those things together just might strike a nice enough balance to put investors in a better mood.
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                  <div style="font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;;font-size:13px;line-height:1;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <h4 data-block-key="xlm8r" style="font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; font-weight: 700; line-height: 1.25; margin-bottom: 16px; color: #171E27; font-size: 20px; font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0;">
                    <b>
                     Private markets are locked up tight – and only the world’s wealthiest have the key.
                    </b>
                   </h4>
                   <p data-block-key="39mlm" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                    That’s what they want you to think.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="eo1tm" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                    But if you know where to look, you have plenty of routes into the world of coveted private companies. Think
                    <a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                     Bytedance, Stripe, and SpaceX
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ebkr6" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                    Our analyst can show you the way:
                    <a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                     read Theodora’s piece for free
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
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                    Your capital is at risk. Unlisted investments such as private companies can increase risk.
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                        📅 On the calendar
                       </p>
                       <ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
                        <li data-block-key="gn5an" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Monday:
                         </b>
                         US Treasury refunding announcement.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="f2olj" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Tuesday:
                         </b>
                         Eurozone economic sentiment (April), US trade balance (March), US consumer confidence (April), US job openings and labor turnover survey (March).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Coca-Cola, PayPal, Pfizer, Visa, General Motors, Spotify, Snap, Booking Holdings.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="686q5" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Wednesday:
                         </b>
                         Japan industrial production and retail sales (March), China PMIs (April), eurozone economic growth (Q1), US economic growth (Q1), US personal income and outlays (March).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Meta, Microsoft, Qualcomm, Caterpillar.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="7sgn1" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Thursday:
                         </b>
                         Bank of Japan interest rate announcement, US manufacturing PMI (April).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Amazon, Apple, Coinbase, Mastercard, Amgen, Block, Eli Lilly, McDonald’s, Airbnb.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="db0od" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         <b>
                          Friday:
                         </b>
                         Japan unemployment (March), eurozone inflation (April), eurozone unemployment (March), US labor market report (April).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         ExxonMobil, Chevron.
                        </li>
                       </ul>
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                        👀 What you might’ve missed last week
                       </p>
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                        <b>
                         🌎 Global
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="be25c" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
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                        The International Monetary Fund (IMF) downgraded its global growth estimates (again), and you can thank the ongoing tariff turmoil for part of that. The group now expects the world economy to grow by just 2.8% this year – the weakest pace since the 2020 pandemic and the second-slowest since 2009. As for the US, the IMF said it expects trade tensions to weigh on growth and push prices higher, shaving its 2025 growth forecast to just 1.8% while raising its inflation outlook to 3%.
                        <br/>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="eq52m" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Gold roared past $3,500 an ounce for the first time ever on Tuesday after President Donald Trump threatened to boot the Fed chief from office, sparking fears about the central bank’s independence and its role in the world’s biggest economy. The price didn’t stay there long though – traders sold to lock in profits, especially later in the week as stocks and the dollar began to bounce back. Still, gold’s surge showed that in uncertain times, people will still turn to the precious metal as a safe haven. No surprise, then, that Goldman Sachs recently raised its price forecast for an ounce of the stuff, expecting it to hit $3,700 by the end of the year.
                        <br/>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="dnvrt" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         🇺🇸 The US
                        </b>
                        <br/>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="404p4" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        Elon Musk said he’s shifting his focus back to Tesla after a rough quarter for the EV maker, promising to spend “far more” time on the company, beginning next month when he wraps up his government role. Tesla’s sales have driven off a cliff, and criticisms of the brand have been thrown into overdrive alongside Musk’s political involvement. Case in point: the EV maker’s auto revenue last quarter fell by a more-than-expected 20% from a year ago, and profit slumped 71%. Despite that, Tesla’s stock still got a boost after the update on hopes that Musk’s renewed attention – and plans for new models, autonomous taxis, and AI – might help turn things around.
                       </p>
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