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…and the strong job market causes more summer Fed sweats
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<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:13px;font-style:italic;font-weight:400;line-height:153%;text-align:center;color:#000000;">
<p>
Pressed pause (Gary Coronado/Getty Images)
</p>
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<td style="font-size:0px;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="height:20px;line-height:20px;">
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<div style="background:rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);margin:0px auto;max-width:600px;">
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<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:13px;line-height:1;text-align:center;color:#000000;">
Last Week’s Market Moves
</div>
</td>
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<td style="font-size:0px;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="height:20px;line-height:20px;">
</div>
</td>
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<td align="left" class="desktop marketIndices" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
<tr>
<td>
<span class="text" style="font-family: 'General Grotesque', Arial; font-size: 13px; line-height: 22px; padding: 0;">
Dow Jones
<br/>
<span style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; font-weight: 700;">
33,735
<span style="color: rgb(255, 80, 0);">
(-1.96%)
</span>
</span>
</span>
</td>
<td>
<span class="text" style="font-family: 'General Grotesque', Arial; font-size: 13px; line-height: 22px; padding: 0;">
S&P 500
<br/>
<span style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; font-weight: 700;">
4,399
<span style="color: rgb(255, 80, 0);">
(-1.16%)
</span>
</span>
</span>
</td>
<td>
<span class="text" style="font-family: 'General Grotesque', Arial; font-size: 13px; line-height: 22px; padding: 0;">
Nasdaq
<br/>
<span style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; font-weight: 700;">
13,661
<span style="color: rgb(255, 80, 0);">
(-0.92%)
</span>
</span>
</span>
</td>
<td>
<span class="text" style="font-family: 'General Grotesque', Arial; font-size: 13px; line-height: 22px; padding: 0;">
Bitcoin
<br/>
<span style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; font-weight: 700;">
$30,314
<span style="color: rgb(255, 80, 0);">
(-0.52%)
</span>
</span>
</span>
</td>
</tr>
</table>
</td>
</tr>
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<td align="left" class="mobile marketIndices" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
<tr>
<td>
<span class="text" style="font-family: 'General Grotesque', Arial; font-size: 13px; line-height: 22px; padding: 0;">
Dow Jones
<br/>
<span style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; font-weight: 700;">
33,735
<span style="color: rgb(255, 80, 0);">
(-1.96%)
</span>
</span>
</span>
</td>
<td>
<span class="text" style="font-family: 'General Grotesque', Arial; font-size: 13px; line-height: 22px; padding: 0;">
S&P 500
<br/>
<span style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; font-weight: 700;">
4,399
<span style="color: rgb(255, 80, 0);">
(-1.16%)
</span>
</span>
</span>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<span class="text" style="font-family: 'General Grotesque', Arial; font-size: 13px; line-height: 22px; padding: 0;">
Nasdaq
<br/>
<span style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; font-weight: 700;">
13,661
<span style="color: rgb(255, 80, 0);">
(-0.92%)
</span>
</span>
</span>
</td>
<td>
<span class="text" style="font-family: 'General Grotesque', Arial; font-size: 13px; line-height: 22px; padding: 0;">
Bitcoin
<br/>
<span style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; font-weight: 700;">
$30,314
<span style="color: rgb(255, 80, 0);">
(-0.52%)
</span>
</span>
</span>
</td>
</tr>
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
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<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:16px;font-weight:400;line-height:24px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p>
<strong>
Hey Snackers,
</strong>
</p>
<p>
The early bird gets the worm, but the flirty bird gets the divorce? Scientists found that monogamous birds
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
split up
</a>
for similar reasons humans do. TBD who gets to keep the nest couch.
</p>
<p>
Stocks fell for the week after some strong US labor-market data gave investors a case of the Fed sweats. Traders were still betting on a hike in July, despite Friday’s slower-than-expected June jobs growth. This week all eyes are on the latest inflation report.
</p>
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</td>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:16px;font-weight:400;line-height:24px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<strong>
Btw...
</strong>
Do you want to start getting Snacks daily? Or prefer to unsubscribe? Manage your subscription preferences
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
here
</a>
.
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<img alt="" border="0" height="1" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fsg.robinhood.com%252Fwf%252Fopen%253Fupn%253Dq-2FZ-2F8R4uR3lRXK3PO4ZkVk-2BZt1SqpCIyBv-2FIozTjk2VNN3eQssMFJBT95MovldJRkIra5iFdgzWoAtz-2Bo0webktf84vJ7WeA4vZqUUw3NuijsqArK-2FYlwaIYYr94XK3h2oAyv4tYsUNwv182-2BAXOnRY5-2Ffpi7v2vCtAcfy5QaEBY9VST9zXsCpjprRs6F5is3HZcDndn2FdcStL39ye9UFAu9524ssUfzOgqcIduxk1x7t7EEikaxt0mx7LRiniuLk66NJ9ySXRZFDggHkA4Ao6NuDw8qJ0Rfg1UWLnNxb7NXemRdbNhEDNWsHZVPoEv015tFNQRV48D0QysAGLaHr5Wv5Yj23xG5T8dE1KMeh0POGHRWbIu6rOM-2BwesTkDCI6x2n-2F0QDtGHUep8LVMVM3WmOmcB98YkB0Ib37E0NajSdQXRxrK30U9gxatNqOQhHrKtDZStvikbKqxR7Xx-2BFpcclYpfx00VQTcAJ4pbBFvHlgK9h2sR8R5fPvRwMfpNiEhS6n8SCX-2BD7vmXy56qptuugcxV1B4LQo1HY6EG9GIACF8tV92h0t-2Fg8pnawk9wRHRwHplyK0wBDHIUp9qcfy82ocS84GgaishwWG9Eodk-3D/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZzZy5yb2JpbmhvbyJ9:1qIpo6:Guohjrl3nUt_OCDKzK0N9K05crEv0SVd9sdb8juouaA" style="height:1px !important;width:1px !important;border-width:0 !important;margin-top:0 !important;margin-bottom:0 !important;margin-right:0 !important;margin-left:0 !important;padding-top:0 !important;padding-bottom:0 !important;padding-right:0 !important;padding-left:0 !important;" width="1"/>
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<div style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 0.03em; text-transform: uppercase; color: #000000; padding: 6px 19px; border-radius: 30px; border: 0; background-color:#62E5DA; display: inline-block;">
Showbiz
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<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque Bold', Arial;font-size:24px;font-weight:700;line-height:32px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p>
Hollywood strikes intensify as the streaming model turns studios into content farms
</p>
</div>
</td>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:16px;font-weight:400;line-height:24px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p>
<strong>
Rolling up the red carpet…
</strong>
Hollywood’s picket lines could grow longer as more showbiz workers fight for better contracts. In May, the Writers’ Guild of America (repping 11K+ scribes) went on strike to
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
demand
</a>
higher pay and stronger job protections. Then last week, the unrest intensified with actors in the spotlight: the SAG-AFTRA union, covering 160K entertainers, also failed to get better terms from studios, and extended its contract deadline.
</p>
<ul style="padding-left: 18px;">
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
Oscar status:
</strong>
1K+ actors (including A-listers like Meryl Streep and Jennifer Lawrence) said they’re prepared to strike if a SAG deal isn’t reached by Thursday. It would be Hollywood’s first two-union strike in more than six decades.
</p>
</li>
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
Losing gold:
</strong>
The writers’ strike is said to be costing California $30M/day. If it runs over 100 days, about $81B in direct wages from 800K film and TV jobs could be at risk.
</p>
</li>
</ul>
<p>
<strong>
Tiny rooms, big problems…
</strong>
Much of the Hollywood unrest is a result of streaming’s rise, as studios like
<strong>
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
Netflix
</a>
</strong>
and
<strong>
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
Disney
</a>
</strong>
hustle to crank out new content to keep subscribers happy. While OG writers’ rooms (think: “Friends,” “30 Rock”) typically employed 7 to 10 staff writers for several months, “mini rooms” are becoming the norm. The problem: mini rooms hire fewer writers and offer lower pay — and contracts often last only a few weeks. Piling on to streaming woes, AI’s causing unrest as writers and actors worry over how chatbots and deep fakes might replace them (see: “Black Mirror”).
</p>
</div>
</td>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;padding-top:18px;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:16px;font-weight:700;line-height:0;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="padding: 0 8px 0 0; height: 17px;">
<img height="17px" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fcdn.robinhood.com%252Fmarketsnacks_assets%252Fv2%252Ftakeaway-black.png/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZjZG4ucm9iaW5obyJ9:1qIpo6:tv36JIQiTF9sBo5lGb_yJps_N4GBLjVIa_FT-NfVlnw" width="17px"/>
</td>
<td style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; width: 100%; padding: 0; height: 17px; line-height: 0; padding-top: 1px;">
THE TAKEAWAY
</td>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:16px;font-weight:400;line-height:24px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p>
<strong>
Hollywood’s lights reach beyond the stars…
</strong>
The film and TV biz creates 2M+ jobs in the US, contributing $186B in annual wages. A single film shot on location can add $250K/day to a local economy (picture: hotels and catered veggie trays). Now, Tinseltown could lose its sparkle as studios look outside the US to feed their content machines. Netflix, for instance, said it would spend $2.5B on Korean content in the next few years.
</p>
</div>
</td>
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<p style="border-top:solid 1px #e3e9ed;font-size:1px;margin:0px auto;width:100%;">
</p>
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</div>
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<td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:0 10px;text-align:center;">
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<td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:13px;line-height:15px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<div style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 0.03em; text-transform: uppercase; color: #000000; padding: 6px 19px; border-radius: 30px; border: 0; background-color:#62E5DA; display: inline-block;">
Events
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<div style="background:rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);margin:0px auto;max-width:600px;">
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<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque Bold', Arial;font-size:24px;font-weight:700;line-height:32px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p>
Coming up this week
</p>
</div>
</td>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:16px;font-weight:400;line-height:24px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p>
<strong>
Hip surgery back on the iCal…
</strong>
Health insurers padded their profits during the pandemic as folks hunkered down at home and avoided germy waiting rooms. As Americans postponed non-urgent surgeries, insurance giants got to keep their monthly premiums
<em>
without
</em>
having to cover as many doc bills. But last month,
<strong>
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
UnitedHealth
</a>
</strong>
said its costs are rising as older adults finally return for pricey procedures. The US’s biggest healthcare provider posted a strong $5.6B profit in May, but its streak could be losing steam as older people rack up higher insurance bills.
</p>
<p>
<strong>
Zero-conversation Ubers…
</strong>
This week, California regulators are expected to approve permits for
<strong>
Waymo
</strong>
and
<strong>
Cruise
</strong>
to run their driverless ride-hail services 24/7 anywhere in San Francisco. Currently, the city has restrictions for when and where driverless rides can happen. Waymo and Cruise both have standalone apps, and
<strong>
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
Uber
</a>
</strong>
plans to start offering Waymo rides later this year. Hilly SF has been a “hey look, it works” city for autonomous-vehicle makers, but officials say the cars create traffic, block fire trucks, and even whiz through crime scenes.
</p>
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</p>
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<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:13px;line-height:15px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<div style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 0.03em; text-transform: uppercase; color: #000000; padding: 6px 19px; border-radius: 30px; border: 0; background-color:#62E5DA; display: inline-block;">
Zoom Out
</div>
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<div style="background:rgb(255, 255, 255);background-color:rgb(255, 255, 255);margin:0px auto;max-width:600px;">
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<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque Bold', Arial;font-size:24px;font-weight:700;line-height:32px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p>
Stories we’re watching
</p>
</div>
</td>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:16px;font-weight:400;line-height:24px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p>
<strong>
“Good news” = “bad news”?…
</strong>
After ADP’s piping-hot jobs report came in at
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
double
</a>
expectations (nearly 500K private-sector jobs added), the Dow and the S&P 500 had their worst day since May. A sizzlin’ labor market means the Fed may keep rates higher for longer to cool inflation, and traders upped their bets of a July hike. But then Friday’s official jobs report showed
<em>
strong but cooling
</em>
hiring (209K jobs added vs. 240K expected), and the market briefly ticked up. Now investors are waiting on Wednesday’s June consumer inflation data, crossing their fingers for some #goodnews.
</p>
<p>
<strong>
Priming the court suit…
</strong>
The FTC could crash
<strong>
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
Amazon
</a>
</strong>
's birthday (Prime Day’s tomorrow) as it gears up to file a sweeping antitrust suit within weeks. It’d be the fourth and largest suit FTC Chair Lina Khan has led against the e-tailer. The core allegation: Amazon boosts sellers who use its “optional” services, like shipping and advertising, over those who don’t. So its algo may put preferred sellers in the one-click “Buy Box” section. Khan could seek a total restructure of the platform. Amazon would almost certainly appeal.
</p>
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</p>
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<td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:0 10px;text-align:center;">
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<div style="font-family: 'General Grotesque Bold', Arial; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 0.03em; text-transform: uppercase; color: #000000; padding: 6px 19px; border-radius: 30px; border: 0; background-color:#62E5DA; display: inline-block;">
ICYMI
</div>
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<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque Bold', Arial;font-size:24px;font-weight:700;line-height:32px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p>
Last week's highlights
</p>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:16px;font-weight:400;line-height:24px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<ul style="padding-left: 18px;">
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
Threats
</a>
:
</strong>
<strong>
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
Meta
</a>
</strong>
launched Threads, a text-focused social network, in 100+ countries — and within two days it was downloaded 70M times. Some are already calling Threads a “Twitter killer” given Meta’s massive reach.
</p>
</li>
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
BAYC
</a>
:
</strong>
Some Bored Ape NFTs (including Justin Bieber’s) have plunged in value as blue-chip NFT prices slide. Apes biz
<strong>
Yuga Labs
</strong>
has struggled to stay buzzy as its hyped virtual word remains under construction.
</p>
</li>
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
Uturn
</a>
:
</strong>
New US car sales surged by as much as 14% in the first half of this year.
<strong>
Cox Automotive
</strong>
predicts that car buying will cool in the second half, but still upped its sales estimate to 15M.
</p>
</li>
</ul>
</div>
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</p>
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</td>
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</div>
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<td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:0 10px 18px 10px;text-align:center;">
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<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque Bold', Arial;font-size:24px;font-weight:700;line-height:32px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
What else we're Snackin'
</div>
</td>
</tr>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;padding-top:12px;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:'General Grotesque', Arial;font-size:16px;font-weight:400;line-height:24px;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<ul style="padding-left: 18px;">
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
Tampa
</a>
:
</strong>
Retirees are investing more like young adults: instead of shifting more to bonds, nearly half of
<strong>
Vanguard
</strong>
's active 401(k) investors over age 55 held more than 70% stocks — up from just 38% in 2011.
</p>
</li>
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
TokShop
</a>
:
</strong>
<strong>
TikTok
</strong>
is coming for
<strong>
Amazon
</strong>
's ecomm crown: its shopping feature is gaining popularity in Southeast Asia and is projected to hit $20B in gross merchandise value this year (up 4X from last).
</p>
</li>
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
IOU
</a>
:
</strong>
After SCOTUS struck down President Biden’s student loan forgiveness plan, retailers are bracing for a hit to discretionary spend. After three years of a pause on payments, loan collections are set to restart.
</p>
</li>
</ul>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
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</table>
</td>
</tr>
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</table>
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</div>
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<td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:24px 24px 24px 24px;text-align:center;">
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Want your Snacks daily?
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The Daily Newsletter
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Get fresh takes on financial news every week day. Try a sample:
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<p>
🔥
<a rel="noopener" style="color: #26A19B; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-thickness: 2px; text-underline-offset: 1px;" target="_blank">
Hot summer jobs
</a>
• Jul 7, 2023
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Meta’s “Twitter killer”
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• Jul 6, 2023
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Google’s video-ad drama
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• Jun 30, 2023
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The most distant active supermassive black hole, discovered this month, is 9M times the mass of the Sun
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This Week
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<ul style="padding-left: 18px;">
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
Monday:
</strong>
Earnings expected from
<strong>
WD-40
</strong>
</p>
</li>
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
Tuesday:
</strong>
Earnings expected from
<strong>
América Móvil
</strong>
</p>
</li>
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
Wednesday:
</strong>
June inflation report release. Earnings expected from
<strong>
MillerKnoll
</strong>
</p>
</li>
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
Thursday:
</strong>
Earnings expected from
<strong>
Cintas
</strong>
,
<strong>
Conagra
</strong>
,
<strong>
Delta
</strong>
,
<strong>
Pepsi
</strong>
, and
<strong>
Progressive
</strong>
</p>
</li>
<li style="margin-bottom: 12px;">
<p>
<strong>
Friday:
</strong>
Earnings expected from
<strong>
BlackRock
</strong>
,
<strong>
Citigroup
</strong>
,
<strong>
JPMorgan Chase
</strong>
,
<strong>
UnitedHealth
</strong>
, and
<strong>
Wells Fargo
</strong>
</p>
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<p>
Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Amazon, Delta, Disney, and Uber
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2 years ago - noreply@robinhood.com
…and the strong job market causes more summer Fed sweats Pressed pause (Gary Coronado/Getty Image...