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   Monday Briefing: Iran’s nuclear prospects
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             June 30, 2025
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              By
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               Natasha Frost
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         <span>
          Good morning. We’re covering the future of Iran’s nuclear program and European migration policy.
         </span>
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        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
         <span style="font-weight:700">
          Plus:
         </span>
         <span>
          Controversy at Glastonbury.
         </span>
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              A guard outside the entrance to Evin Prison in Tehran in 2022.
             </span>
             <span style="margin:0;font:11px/11px georgia,serif;color:#888;letter-spacing:.01em;padding-left:5px">
              Majid Asgaripour/WANA News Agency, via Reuters
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        <h2 style="color:#000;font:700 24px/31px nyt-cheltenham,georgia,serif;margin:0 0 10px">
         <span>
          Iran could be enriching fuel again ‘within months’
         </span>
        </h2>
        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
         <span>
          An attack by the U.S. on Iran’s two uranium enrichment centers
         </span>
         <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
          caused damage that was “severe” but not “total,”
         </a>
         <span>
          the chief U.N. nuclear inspector said. The state could be enriching uranium in a “matter of months,” Rafael Mariano Grossi, the director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, told CBS News.
         </span>
        </p>
        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
         <span>
          His comments widened the divide with the Trump administration over how severely the U.S. set back Iran’s nuclear program. President Trump insisted yesterday that Iran had given up its nuclear ambitions because the American attack had “obliterated” its facilities.
         </span>
        </p>
        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
         <span>
          Grossi’s analysis is consistent with a preliminary assessment by the Defense Intelligence Agency that estimated that the strike set back the Iranian nuclear program by only a few months. The C.I.A. director said later in the week that the Iranian program had been severely damaged, and that U.S. intelligence agencies were continuing to assess the strike.
         </span>
        </p>
        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
         <span style="font-weight:700">
          Related:
         </span>
         <span>
          Iranian state news media reported yesterday that 71 people were killed when Israel attacked Evin Prison in Tehran on June 23.
         </span>
         <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
          Dissidents and political prisoners
         </a>
         <span>
          — including opposition politicians, activists, lawyers, journalists and students — are held there.
         </span>
        </p>
        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
         <span style="font-weight:700">
          Analysis:
         </span>
         <span>
          After the 12-day conflict with Israel and the U.S., Iran stands on a knife’s edge. What will a shaken country in dire economic straits do with what its president has called
         </span>
         <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
          “a golden opportunity for change”
         </a>
         <span>
          ?
         </span>
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            <img alt="People walking down a road holding red and white flags and a banner that reads, “Stop Immigration.”" class="css-xsf469" height="500" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fstatic01.nyt.com%252Fimages%252F2025%252F06%252F19%252Fmultimedia%252F30ambriefing-europe-nl-immigration%252F30ambriefing-europe-nl-immigration-jumbo-v2.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZzdGF0aWMwMS5ueSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NTEyNTk2NjEuOTU2MTA4fQ:1uW6dZ:WdkP9tqEXS7v-d7DXIpiLf_aTlMZjEv3wVR5iB4681M" style="display:inline-block;width:83%;max-width:500px;height:auto;padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:0;line-height:0" width="500"/>
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             <span class="css-1hnedf7" style="color:#666;font:normal 12px georgia,serif">
              An anti-immigration protest in May in Warsaw.
             </span>
             <span style="margin:0;font:11px/11px georgia,serif;color:#888;letter-spacing:.01em;padding-left:5px">
              Wojtek Radwanski/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
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        <h2 style="color:#000;font:700 24px/31px nyt-cheltenham,georgia,serif;margin:0 0 10px">
         <span>
          Europe’s tough turn on migration
         </span>
        </h2>
        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
         <span>
          European leaders across the political spectrum are
         </span>
         <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
          pushing a tougher line on undocumented migrants
         </a>
         <span>
          , with some leaders looking to replicate Denmark’s “zero” refugee policy. E.U. officials are working on new rules that would help to send asylum seekers to third countries.
         </span>
        </p>
        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
         <span>
          The number of migrants arriving in the E.U. declined by about 20 percent in the first five months of 2025, after a sharp decline last year, according to preliminary data collected by Frontex, the E.U.’s border agency. At the same time, expulsions have slowly increased. Still, migration along some routes, including from Libya into Greece, remains significant.
         </span>
        </p>
        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
         <span style="font-weight:700">
          Background:
         </span>
         <span>
          The shift has steadily built with voter backlash that helped fuel nationalist, far-right and populist parties, after Europe took in more than a million Syrians, Iraqis, Afghans and others seeking asylum a decade ago.
         </span>
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            <img alt="People crowd an underground subway platform as they take shelter from a Russian air assault. " class="css-xsf469" height="500" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fstatic01.nyt.com%252Fimages%252F2025%252F06%252F29%252Fmultimedia%252F30ambriefing-europe-nl-ukraine%252F30ambriefing-asia-nl-ukraine-jumbo.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZzdGF0aWMwMS5ueSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NTEyNTk2NjEuOTU2MjU3fQ:1uW6dZ:eHithzGLFPy2uIfNdAR7t3_IN3wrxBAHsGDRgZjmaOk" style="display:inline-block;width:83%;max-width:500px;height:auto;padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:0;line-height:0" width="500"/>
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             <span class="css-1hnedf7" style="color:#666;font:normal 12px georgia,serif">
              Civilians sheltering in a subway station during strikes on Kyiv, Ukraine, yesterday.
             </span>
             <span style="margin:0;font:11px/11px georgia,serif;color:#888;letter-spacing:.01em;padding-left:5px">
              Yan Dobronosov/Reuters
             </span>
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        <h2 style="color:#000;font:700 24px/31px nyt-cheltenham,georgia,serif;margin:0 0 10px">
         <span>
          Russia hit Ukraine with its largest air assault yet
         </span>
        </h2>
        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
         <span>
          Russia pounded Ukraine with hundreds of drones and missiles, the Ukrainian authorities said yesterday. Strikes on infrastructure were reported across the country, including in western Ukraine, which Russia hits less frequently. It was unclear if any civilians had been killed, but the Ukrainian air force reported that one pilot fatally crashed while trying to stop the assault.
         </span>
        </p>
        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
         <span>
          The air force said Russia launched 537 drones and missiles overnight —
         </span>
         <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
          the highest number recorded
         </a>
         <span>
          in a single night since the war began.
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                Europe:
               </span>
               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
               </span>
               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                A dangerous heat wave is gripping large swaths
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                of the continent, prompting widespread health and fire alerts.
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              <li style="margin:0 0 10px 0;line-height:27.5px">
               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle;font-weight:700">
                U.S.:
               </span>
               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                The domestic policy bill that Senate Republicans want to pass
               </span>
               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                would add at least $3.3 trillion
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                to the national debt over a decade, the Congressional Budget Office estimated.
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              </li>
              <li style="margin:0 0 10px 0;line-height:27.5px">
               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle;font-weight:700">
                Immigration:
               </span>
               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                A federal appeals court in New Orleans will consider today whether President Trump can use the Alien Enemies Act for the
               </span>
               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                mass deportation of immigrants
               </a>
               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                .
               </span>
              </li>
              <li style="margin:0 0 10px 0;line-height:27.5px">
               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle;font-weight:700">
                Gaza:
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                The Israeli military issued broad evacuation orders for neighborhoods
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                in Gaza City
               </a>
               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                , as President Trump called for a cease-fire deal.
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              <li style="margin:0 0 10px 0;line-height:27.5px">
               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle;font-weight:700">
                Emirates:
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed al-Nahyar, the Emirati vice president and owner of the soccer team Manchester City, has been described
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                as the “handler” guiding his country’s secret foreign wars
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                .
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              <li style="margin:0 0 10px 0;line-height:27.5px">
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                Costa Rica:
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                Nicaraguan human rights activists who fled to Costa Rica are worried
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                that their former country’s government is sending assassins
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                after them.
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              <li style="margin:0 0 10px 0;line-height:27.5px">
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                Greenland:
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                United Airlines has started
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                a seasonal, nonstop flight
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                from New Jersey to the capital of the Arctic island that President Trump wants to acquire.
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              <li style="margin:0 0 10px 0;line-height:27.5px">
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                Crime:
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                Here are four takeaways from the defense’s
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                closing arguments in the Sean Combs’s trial
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                .
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        <p class="css-sj7u5m" style="padding-bottom:10px;font:700 17px/15px arial,sans-serif;color:#000;padding-top:15px;margin:0">
         Pride
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                New York City:
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                As millions gather for America’s largest Pride parade, L.G.B.T.Q. communities are increasingly concerned about the
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                national pushback against transgender people
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                .
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                Aid:
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                Trump’s sweeping cuts are
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                threatening centers for L.G.B.T.Q. seniors
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                , who face higher levels of poverty and isolation than their heterosexual peers.
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              <li style="margin:0 0 10px 0;line-height:27.5px">
               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle;font-weight:700">
                History:
               </span>
               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                In the 1970s, most American courts saw gay parents as unfit, and denied them custody. So one woman stole her child from her estranged husband
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                and took her underground
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                .
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                Formula 1:
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                Lando Norris held off Oscar Piastri to
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                win the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix
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                .
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                Soccer:
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                Chelsea’s coach, Enzo Maresca, sees recent Club World Cup weather delays as
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                “a joke,”
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                and as an ominous warning for 2026.
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                Boxing:
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                Jake Paul beat Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. to take home
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                his sixth consecutive victory
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                .
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            <img alt="Susan Namangale, with a white head covering, and four boys sit on a blanket spread outside, playing chess on two chessboards. " class="css-xsf469" height="500" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fstatic01.nyt.com%252Fimages%252F2025%252F06%252F24%252Fmultimedia%252F30ambriefing-europe-nl-chess%252F30ambriefing-asia-nl-chess-jumbo.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZzdGF0aWMwMS5ueSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NTEyNTk2NjEuOTU3MDgxfQ:1uW6dZ:Ft6brc6nWudfRq-fpoWxgrraamqLaLI2EmJFYJTcvpE" style="display:inline-block;width:83%;max-width:500px;height:auto;padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:0;line-height:0" width="500"/>
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              Amos Gumulira for The New York Times
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         <span>
          As a teenager in Malawi, Susan Namangale pooled her pocket money with that of a few friends to buy two chessboards for their school. More than three decades on, her passion for the game endures, and she
         </span>
         <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
          has introduced it to schools, prisons and city shelters
         </a>
         <span>
          . “Chess is for everyone,” she said.
         </span>
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                Faith and rhythm:
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                The Catholic Church’s effort to win young followers in Brazil relies in part on influencers, D.J.s and
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                .
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                Behind the binge:
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                For South Koreans, “Squid Game” is a
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                whole lot more than entertainment
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                .
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle;font-weight:700">
                Back in action:
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               <span style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                The British band Oasis is ending its 16-year pause with a goal:
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                to conquer America.
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                False pretenses:
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                An artist thought she had sold a painting
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               <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;vertical-align:middle">
                to Lady Gaga
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                . Then things got strange.
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          Controversy at Glastonbury
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          The Irish-language rap group Kneecap has faced enormous pushback, including a terrorism charge for one member, for its anti-Israel statements, leading to calls for the band to be axed from the Glastonbury music festival. Its performance on Saturday went ahead, and
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          audiences seemed not to agree
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          with the criticism, cheering as one rapper said, “Israel are war criminals.”
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          But the festival did apologize for a separate chant of “Death, death, to the I.D.F.” — a reference to Israel’s military — by another band, which had led to accusations that it was promoting hate.
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          Given the festival’s history of anti-establishment politics, the public statement was surprising, my colleague Alex Marshall, who covers European culture, told me. “But Glastonbury is now Britain’s major music event — it is the establishment,” he said. “That means it’s under vast pressure to not upset anyone.”
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          Cook:
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          This
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          perfect vinaigrette
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          Breathe:
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          Mindfulness can be
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          important for young minds
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          , too.
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        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
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          Flex:
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          This is how to do
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          a perfect lunge
         </a>
         <span>
          .
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          Save:
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          Are you considering doing “no buy” July?
         </span>
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          Here are some pros and cons
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          .
         </span>
        </p>
        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
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          Watch:
         </span>
         <span>
          Captain Nemo of
         </span>
         <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
          Jules Verne’s “20,000 Leagues Under the Sea”
         </a>
         <span>
          gets a makeover in “Nautilus,” a new AMC series.
         </span>
        </p>
        <p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
         <span style="font-weight:700">
          Play
         </span>
         <span>
          the
         </span>
         <a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
          Spelling Bee
         </a>
         <span>
          . And here are
         </span>
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          today’s Mini Crossword
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          and
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          Wordle
         </a>
         <span>
          .
         </span>
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          You can find all our puzzles here
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          .
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          That’s it for today’s briefing. See you tomorrow. — Natasha
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