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   The US economy needs help, but it might not get it |
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               👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
              </p>
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               The Federal Reservations
              </h3>
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               The US economy let out a distress signal – but with a constant stream of uncertainty flowing out of the White House, the central bank may be reluctant to rush to the rescue.
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               <img alt="The Federal Reservations" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FWeekly-140325-3.original.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D14486e714a2543039f009473c51b356a/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NDIxNjQ0MTQuOTU5MDY3OH0:1ttwY2:BEbHEQ5I9UxZG40QWOV1XmA3-g6n8SXe3-0DCaQNM2s" width="100%"/>
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                        🔍 The focus this week: The scissors may stay hidden
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="5qt6r" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        The Federal Reserve (Fed) meets next week, and if you’re holding your breath waiting for a rate cut, you might want to stop before you pass out. Sure, the economy’s looking a little unsure: shoppers are reining in spending, manufacturing is slowing down, and business confidence is slipping. Plus, inflation eased in February, suggesting that the central bank could have room to tinker with rates. But remember the other side. Inflation is expected to stay stubborn, with wage growth – which feeds into higher prices – refusing to budge. After all, both consumers and investors are bracing for inflation to overstay its welcome, which (ironically) makes it even more likely to do so.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="ap3pi" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Then there’s the tariff wildcard. The US president’s latest trade levies haven’t shown up in the data yet, but when they do, everything from food to clothing could get pricier. That means the recent inflation cooldown could just be a pit stop before prices speed away once again. Unless, of course, the economy falls hard enough to drag inflation down with it.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="a3dq6" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        The Fed’s in a tough spot. Cut too soon, and inflation could come straight back. Wait too long, and the economy might be squeezed too tight. Investors’ expectations of three rate cuts this year seem reasonable – but with so much uncertainty around right now, the jury’s out on when they’ll land. So expect more of the usual “wait and see” messaging from the central bank, which will keep investors glued to every data release.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="42dql" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        That could bring around a volatile period for investors. Stocks and bonds are likely to bounce around as fresh data – or political curveballs – roll in. That’s great news for on-the-pulse traders, but for long-term investors, the smart move is probably to stay diversified. And not just across regions, either, but also across asset classes, sectors, and styles. And as always, avoid knee-jerk reactions to short-term fluctuations.
                       </p>
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                        📅 On the calendar
                       </p>
                       <ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
                        <li data-block-key="gn5an" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Monday:
                         </b>
                         US retail sales (February), China industrial production and retail sales (January to February).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="5tcvp" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Tuesday:
                         </b>
                         Germany economic sentiment (March).
                         <b>
                          Earnings
                         </b>
                         : XPeng.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="b4tjb" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Wednesday:
                         </b>
                         US interest rate decision, Japan interest rate decision.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="bl5r" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Thursday:
                         </b>
                         UK unemployment rate (January), UK interest rate decision.
                         <b>
                          Earnings
                         </b>
                         : Nike, FedEx, Lululemon, Micron, Accenture.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="2u1ag" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         <b>
                          Friday:
                         </b>
                         Japan inflation (February),
                         <b>
                          Earnings
                         </b>
                         : NIO.
                        </li>
                       </ul>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
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                    <b>
                     UK investors aren’t letting “ISA season” slide
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                    Britain’s tax deadline is coming up, so it’s no wonder investors seem a tad busier than usual.
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                    They’ve got just a few weeks left to get their ducks in a row and organize their tax-free ISA investments.
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                    It’s not the kind of deadline you’d want to miss either: these clever little accounts allow folks to keep more of their returns and see their money compound faster.
                   </p>
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                    And we’ve got just the thing to help investors through the final stretch:
                    <a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                     a free webinar with Saxo Markets' Dan Squires
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
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                    He’ll break down how to maximize ISA returns, what actually matters when picking a provider, and
                    <a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                     the big investment trends that matter now
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
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                    So, hey UK investors:
                    <a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                     join us at 5pm UK time on April 8th
                    </a>
                    and hear what he has to say. The event is free, but spaces are limited – so don’t miss out.
                   </p>
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                       Get Your Free Ticket
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                     Capital at risk. Tax treatment depends on individual circumstance and may be subject to change.
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                        👀 What you might’ve missed last week
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="acv65" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         Global
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="dtgts" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
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                        <li data-block-key="aegnj" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         Global trade tensions became even more heated, with Canada and Europe hitting back at US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports.
                        </li>
                       </ul>
                       <p data-block-key="b8ikr" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
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                        <b>
                         US
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="as4g2" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
                       <ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
                        <li data-block-key="d5nhs" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         US stocks fell by around 10%, finally looking vulnerable after more than a decade of unwavering dominance.
                        </li>
                       </ul>
                       <p data-block-key="4m36j" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="e1d5s" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         Europe
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="a1cep" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
                       <ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
                        <li data-block-key="blk4r" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         Europe plans to test its fiscal limits, pushing billions into defense initiatives.
                        </li>
                       </ul>
                       <p data-block-key="2n0gf" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
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                        <b>
                         Asia
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="1ofps" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
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                        <li data-block-key="cciqr" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         China’s inflation dipped below zero, highlighting the deflationary pressures weighing on the world’s second-biggest economy.
                        </li>
                       </ul>
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                       <p class="content-box-header mb-4" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; font-weight: 900; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        ✍️ What does all this mean?
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="xls42" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        The US president implemented a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports, aiming to bolster domestic industries. But the backlash was immediate. Canada hit back with its own matching tariffs on nearly $30 billion worth of US imports, with an imminent start date. Europe won’t be far behind. The region plans to roll out $28 billion worth of retaliatory tariffs come April, targeting iconic American produce like bourbon, motorcycles, and peanut butter. And with companies likely to push a lot of those extra costs onto everyday consumers, the economy could feel the pinch – all while trade tensions ramp up. No wonder investors are sweating.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="7c929" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        After dominating for over a decade, US exceptionalism may be fading. Wall Street’s infatuation with Big Tech looks less full-on than usual, with investors rethinking the market’s long-held narrative. Case in point: Citigroup just downgraded US stocks to "neutral" while upgrading Chinese ones to “overweight”, reflecting newfound optimism for China’s offerings. It’s early days, but if global markets can hold the momentum, they could finally narrow the gap between them and their US rivals.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="3k4ua" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Europe’s defense splurge is on. Germany’s eyeing a €500 billion ($545 billion) defense and infrastructure fund, while the European Investment Bank plans to double or even triple its related funding. That aligns with the “ReArm Europe” plan, which could mobilize up to €800 billion ($872 billion). The question underneath it all, though, is how much Europe will bend its financial limits to fund this spree.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6ev10" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        China’s consumer prices quickly headed south – which in fairness, could’ve been distorted by seasonal quirks. But still, it lays bare just how weak domestic demand is. The government has tried to encourage more spending, but if consumers refuse to play ball, it may take a much bigger dose of fiscal and monetary stimulus to get the job done.
                       </p>
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                        Stay classy ✌️
                       </p>
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                        Your Finimize Analyst team
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