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   Your Monday Briefing: Troubles in the N.H.S.
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             July 17, 2023
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             By
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              Natasha Frost
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             Writer, Briefings
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             Good morning. We’re covering Britain’s troubled health service and demographic shifts that could change the world.
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                  A knee operation at the King George Hospital in Ilford, England. More than 7.4 million people in England are waiting for medical procedures.
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                  Andrew Testa for The New York Times
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             Can Britain fix its health service?
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             Britain’s National Health Service turns 75 this month. It is in
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              the deepest crisis of its history
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             : flooded by aging patients; starved of investment; and understaffed by doctors and nurses, many of whom are so burned out that they are either joining strikes or leaving for jobs abroad.
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             Doctors, nurses, patients, hospital administrators and medical analysts described a system so profoundly troubled that some experts warned that the N.H.S. was at risk of collapse. In 2022, the number of excess deaths rose to one of the highest levels in the past 50 years, and those numbers have kept rising, even as Covid has ebbed.
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             More than 7.4 million people in England are waiting for medical procedures, everything from hip replacements to cancer surgery. That is up from 4.1 million before the pandemic began in 2020.
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              Context:
             </span>
             The pandemic exposed a legion of problems that had been incubating within the service since Conservative-led governments began curbing budget increases in 2010, the start of a decade of austerity. Health care spending rose by an average of less than 2 percent a year from 2010 to 2019, compared to 5.1 percent from 1998 to 2008.
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              By the numbers:
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             During those years of belt-tightening,
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             </span>
             Britain spent less each year per person on health care than the wealthiest E.U. countries did. Its capital investment lagged the bloc’s average by $41 billion.
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            <h2 style="color:#000;font:700 24px/31px nyt-cheltenham,georgia,serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             Shifts that could reshape the world
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             The world’s
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              demographics are changing
             </a>
             — but what we’ve seen so far is just the beginning. By 2050, people 65 and older will make up nearly 40 percent of the population in some parts of East Asia and Europe. Extraordinary numbers of retirees will be dependent on a shrinking number of working-age people to support them.
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             As a result, experts predict, things many wealthier countries such as the U.S. and those in the E.U. take for granted — pensions, retirement ages, strict immigration policies and more — will need overhauls to be sustainable. And today’s affluent countries will almost inevitably make up a smaller share of global G.D.P., economists say.
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             Soon, the best-balanced work forces will mostly be in South and Southeast Asia, Africa and the Middle East, according to U.N. projections, potentially reshaping economic growth and geopolitical power balances.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit">
              Opportunities for poorer nations:
             </span>
             When birthrates fall, low-income countries can reap a “demographic dividend,” as a growing share of workers compared to dependents fuels economic growth. Adults with smaller families have more free time for education and investing in their children. More women tend to enter the work force, compounding the economic boost.
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                  Ukrainian soldiers from a mine-clearing unit carrying inert antitank mines during training exercises in the Zaporizhzhia region last month.
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                  David Guttenfelder for The New York Times
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             Land mines slow Ukraine’s counteroffensive
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             Five weeks into Ukraine’s counteroffensive, its forces
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              are making slow progress
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             as they try to cross fields littered with dozens of types of land mines — made of plastic and metal, shaped like tins of chewing tobacco or soda cans, and with colorful names like “the witch” and “the leaf.”
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             The Ukrainian military is also hindered by a lack of air support and by the deep network of defensive structures the Russians have built. But it is the vast array of mines, trip wires, booby traps and improvised explosive devices that has Ukrainian forces bogged down only a few miles from where they started.
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             Mines have long been a staple of Russian warfare, used extensively in Afghanistan and Chechnya. But the minefields in southern Ukraine are vast and complex, beyond what had been previously known, soldiers who have entered them say. Ukraine also plants expansive fields of antitank mines, to stop Russian advances.
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              Details:
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             The demining teams work by clearing a path about two feet wide, allowing the infantry to walk forward. Then, the deminers work back along the path to expand it by another foot or more, to allow two soldiers to walk shoulder to shoulder while carrying a stretcher for those wounded in the fight.
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               South Korea’s monsoon season has so far
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                killed at least 37 people
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               .
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               Janet Yellen, the U.S. treasury secretary, called for rich nations to
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                help poorer countries with debt relief
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               ahead of a meeting with G20 finance ministers in India.
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               Satellite images showed
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                increased activity at a military field camp
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               Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s prime minister, spent Saturday night in the hospital after feeling dizzy. He was
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               As extreme weather events grow more common, some architects are shifting their attention to
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                “disaster-proof homes”
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               able to withstand fire, low temperatures, wind and snow.
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                Eleanor Cummins
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                Andrew Zaleski
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               consider how to
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               by
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                Michelle Goldberg
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               on
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                British elections
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               and
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                Maureen Dowd
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               on
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                the actors’ strike
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               .
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                David Brooks
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               asks: If A.I. cogently solves intellectual problems, then
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                who are you to say it’s not thinking
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                  Photo illustration by Alicia Tatone
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            <p style="color:#333;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             On an unusually warm June day in London, three soldiers in full regalia fainted while practicing for a military parade. Why is it that, even as climate change upends our lives, we seem so
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              set on doing things
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             the way we’ve always done them?
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           </td>
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            <p style="color:#333;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
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              Related:
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             Europe faces a
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              blisteringly hot week
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             .
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             .
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              Also at Wimbledon:
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              The life of a ball kid
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             . (Plus, see the best of the
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        <table cellpadding="0" width="100%">
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            <p style="color:#333;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit">
              From The Times:
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             Why every Australian and New Zealand host city for the Women’s World Cup
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              has two names
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             .
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             Post-pandemic, prestige films need all the help they can get at the box office. If they can’t be sustained by awards chatter and media-happy movie stars, studios could opt to move some more vulnerable year-end titles to 2024.
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             That could provide an awards-season advantage to streaming services like Netflix, which don’t have to factor the box office into decisions on what to debut or delay. And movies that have already had a big cultural moment — like “Past Lives,” from June, or “Killers of the Flower Moon,” which premiered at Cannes in May — will be better positioned to thrive.
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              Related:
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             Why should you care about the strikes in Hollywood? Because background actors have
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              more in common with us than with the megastars
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             Your sitting desk can also be
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              a standing one
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              Where to eat in Naples.
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              That’s it for today’s briefing. Thanks for joining me. — Natasha
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