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   And what to know for the investing week ahead. |
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               👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
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               Smoke Signals
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               The US is set to release its latest look at consumer inflation. But the recent political drama might have at least some investors pondering whether the figures are concrete facts – or just blowing smoke.
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                        🔍 The focus this week: The US economy
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6az05" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Just over a week ago, the US president fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), claiming that the monthly jobs report for July was “rigged” to make him look bad. That’s had investors on pins and needles: the bureau has been a central hub for trusted US figures that influence decision-making for trillions of dollars in investments – for individuals, businesses, and governments. With federal data collectors at risk of abruptly losing their jobs if they deliver unflattering economic news, the question may soon become whether US economic indicators might lose that trust.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="fktsc" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         The first big test comes Tuesday:
                        </b>
                        the US is set to release the consumer price index for July.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="47q5l" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Experts expect the report to show that inflation eased to 2.6% in that month, compared to the year before, weighed down by a slowing economy and the drag of still-elevated interest rates. A higher-than-expected inflation number could cast doubt over the potential for an interest rate cut next month from the Federal Reserve (Fed). On the flipside, however, a lower-than-expected figure could raise questions about the integrity of the report. And, hard as it is to believe, that might actually be a first for the market.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="89o16" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        Complicating issues is the fact that the BLS disclosed recently it had suspended data collection for 15% of the inflation sample – so it’s estimating prices in those areas. And that’s already raising some eyebrows about how accurate they might be.
                       </p>
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                        📅 On the calendar
                       </p>
                       <ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
                        <li data-block-key="gn5an" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Monday:
                         </b>
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Barrick Mining, AMC Entertainment.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="7oiku" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Tuesday:
                         </b>
                         UK employment (July), US inflation (July), Japan PPI (July).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="9s5bq" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Wednesday: Earnings
                         </b>
                         : Cisco.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="43ibl" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Thursday:
                         </b>
                         UK economic growth (second quarter), UK industrial production (June), eurozone economic growth (second quarter), Japan economic growth (second quarter), China industrial production (July), China retail sales (July).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Deere, JD.com.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="6grkr" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         <b>
                          Friday:
                         </b>
                         US retail sales (July), US industrial production (July), US consumer sentiment (August).
                        </li>
                       </ul>
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                        👀 What you might’ve missed last week
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6z208" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        🇺🇲
                        <b>
                         The US
                        </b>
                       </p>
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                        Apple shares shot higher last week after it announced a plan to spend $100 billion to expand its American manufacturing footprint, a decision that could help it avoid a new 100% tariff on semiconductors. The announcement gave Corning’s share price a boost, too, with the iPhone maker saying it would relocate its glass production to the US.
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                        OpenAI has entered early talks for a
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         secondary share sale
                        </a>
                        that could value the company at around $500 billion – a sharp jump from $300 billion just a few months ago. The move would include the offer of shares by current and former employees, allowing the company’s tech talent to profit from their stakes as the ChatGPT creator amasses more weekly active users (nearly 700 million, to be precise).
                       </p>
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                        <b>
                         🇬🇧 The UK
                        </b>
                       </p>
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                       </p>
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                        The Bank of England cut its key interest rate to 4% (from 4.25%) in a closer-than-expected,
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         5-4 decision
                        </a>
                        . The tight vote highlights the balancing act that policymakers now face: the central bank sees increasing weakness in the economy and cooling demand for workers – which would seem to advocate for lower borrowing costs. But, it also expects inflation to jump up to 4% in September, which would suggest that it should perhaps keep rates higher.
                       </p>
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                        UK regulators announced a decision to lift a four-year ban that restricted retail investors’ access to cryptocurrencies. The change will allow everyday investors to buy into the 17 crypto exchange-traded notes already listed on the London Stock Exchange.
                       </p>
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