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Daily 2025-11-13
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And the IEA comes round to OPEC's thinking (kind of). | Your Daily Brief is ready |
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Thu, Nov 13 | 3:14 read time
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All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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<tbody>
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<td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:20px 0;padding-bottom:16px;padding-left:16px;padding-right:16px;padding-top:0;text-align:center;">
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<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
<tbody>
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<td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
S&P 500
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
0.08% ▲
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
6,852
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
GOLD
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
2.01% ▲
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
$4,199
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
BITCOIN*
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
1.28% ▼
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<td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
$101,698
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<td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
*24-hour change
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</tbody>
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</td>
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</tbody>
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<td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:1px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
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<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
<tbody>
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FTSE 100
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
0.12% ▲
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
9,911
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
BRENT OIL
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
3.81% ▼
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
$62.68
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
US BONDS*
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
0.05% ▼
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
4.08%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
*10-year government yield
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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</td>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX
(
<a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
VIX
</a>
)
</div>
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<img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F114%252F107%252F063%252FDdWb1LGkNYN8rZ2e670OKvRAP%252F89aea7facf9b4669d206a93e45fc99fa40c93924.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D3b03ac9da3858892a5cc73dac0cf14aa/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjMwMjExNDAuNjM0NzQ5Mn0:1vJSKq:RMgTdudYtEGO11GU6XzYj_LZqGI4ddMkrgJWaObRCc8" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="536"/>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p data-block-key="10zqs">
⚫️ Wall Street’s helping OpenAI, Meta, and xAI finance megadeals that show just how hot – and pricey – the AI boom's become.
</p>
<p data-block-key="hg45">
⚫️ And the IEA says oil demand could keep climbing for another 25 years, actually.
</p>
<p data-block-key="bfjt9">
➕ When your stock’s down, it’s time to decide what you are: a rabbit, an assassin, or a hunter.
</p>
<p data-block-key="a30qs">
<b>
👇 Keep reading to find out more
</b>
</p>
</div>
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<p data-block-key="r2p21">
<b>
What’s going on here?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="2lmpu">
Wall Street’s getting buddy-buddy with Big Tech, finding creative ways to finance the industry’s massive AI spending.
</p>
<p data-block-key="e4lj7">
<b>
What does this mean?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="2vos3">
Look at
<b>
Meta’s
</b>
$30 billion Hyperion project, to start. Rather than building the giant data center itself, the Big Tech firm enlisted a private equity company to take an 80% stake, stump up the lion’s share of the costs, and
<i>
rent
</i>
the center back to Meta.
</p>
<p data-block-key="4h38f">
Then look at
<b>
OpenAI
</b>
and
<b>
Oracle
</b>
. Together, they’ve got $38 billion in backing from almost three dozen different banks, with Oracle paying rent to cover the repayments.
Meanwhile, Elon Musk has joined forces with a private investment firm to indirectly bankroll the chips that
<b>
xAI
</b>
needs for its own massive data center build.
</p>
<p data-block-key="ei5pl">
▶ It’s all the same play: tech giants are shuffling the risk off of
<i>
their books
</i>
and letting banks, bond investors, and private lenders hold it on paper. The irony is that this creative financing results in higher borrowing rates, which drives the firms’ overall costs up.
</p>
<p data-block-key="6j4vj">
<b>
Why should I care?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="cqsau">
<b>
<i>
For markets:
</i>
</b>
<i>
AI risk isn’t just tech’s problem anymore.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="4re87">
These off-the-book deals are spreading AI risks into credit markets, insurance portfolios, and private funds – meaning a slowdown could ripple well beyond Silicon Valley. And investor Michael Burry (yeah, the guy from
<i>
The Big Short
</i>
) is already sounding the alarm. He says that major AI firms are padding their
profit by exaggerating the lifespan of their chips –
<i>
and
</i>
inflating their earnings potential. If he’s right, tech stocks could eventually take a sizable tumble… and bring the market down with them.
</p>
<p data-block-key="cu3sm">
<b>
<i>
Zooming out:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Don’t write a check that your AI can’t cash.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="dd2gs">
This points to a deeper question: is AI growth worth its astronomical price? And the market is starting to split in two. OpenAI is spending like there’s no
tomorrow, projecting a
<i>
$74 billion loss
</i>
in 2028.
<b>
Anthropic
</b>
, by contrast, is aiming to break even by then, sticking to its steadier corporate-client model. One’s chasing scale while the other prioritizes sustainability. Eventually, the market will reward those that spend wisely, grow profitably, and turn AI into real-world money.
</p>
</div>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
You might also like ⇢
<a>
It’s Time You Take Chinese AI Seriously.
</a>
</div>
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<p data-block-key="pr7ai">
Imagine you’ve bought a stock, and it’s either
<a>
ripped higher or ripped lower
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="93q4r">
The decision you make next could have a
<a>
bigger impact
</a>
on your portfolio than the stock you chose in the first place. So let’s talk about what you should and shouldn’t do.
</p>
<p data-block-key="4gag8">
Lee Freeman-Shor – author of a fascinating book called “The Art of Execution” – analyzed thousands of trades by some of the
<a>
world’s best investment managers
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="73ao1">
He categorized investors dealing with losses into three “tribes”:
<a>
rabbits, assassins, and hunters
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="3qt0g">
And that’s today’s Insight:
<a>
what to do when your stock starts moving
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="420u0">
<a>
Read or
listen to the Insight here
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<h3 data-block-key="l6oz1">
<b>
To really understand a place, you have to live there
</b>
–
<b>
or know someone who does
</b>
</h3>
<p data-block-key="br5l9">
It’s why the Aberdeen Asian Income Fund team doesn’t just drop in for meetings or research from afar –
they’re part of the communities they invest in.
</p>
<p data-block-key="8c890">
They speak the language, understand the culture, and build relationships that help them spot opportunities before anyone else.
</p>
<p data-block-key="77a1a">
And that local insight means you can invest with both feet on the ground – no matter where you are.
</p>
<p data-block-key="dgk42">
<b>
Find out more about the Aberdeen Asian Income Fund.
</b>
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<mj-raw>
<span style="background-color:#EFFF0D;display:inline">
Crude Projections
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-right:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
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<a target="_blank">
<img alt="Crude Projections" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-121125-Energy_v3.original.png%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253Dbc392b2b0543448b79a5b298c4d0dc9d/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjMwMjExNDAuNjM1OTA3Nn0:1vJSKq:WJg_s2p7SJzaSnAxK82dFHFf0nLIBPmbsEJlLH7MhE0" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="568"/>
</a>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p data-block-key="5ujlw">
<b>
What’s going on here?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="95cma">
The International Energy Agency (IEA) just released a new forecast, predicting that global oil and gas demand will rise for decades to come.
</p>
<p data-block-key="3te41">
<b>
What does this
mean?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="a9p2g">
For years, the IEA’s been expecting fossil fuel demand to peak this decade. But now, it expects consumption to climb from the current 100 million barrels a day to 113 million by 2050 – much more in line with OPEC's long-held view.
</p>
<p data-block-key="cnf08">
▶ The group of oil-exporting nations needn’t be smug about it: this new projection might validate its demand outlook, but it won’t restore the market dominance that the cartel used to boast.
</p>
<p data-block-key="rl3s">
<b>
Why should I care?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="1g1kb">
<b>
<i>
The bigger picture:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Slippery business.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="30no6">
OPEC once ruled global oil supply – and prices – by simply opening taps here and closing them there. But these days, oil supply comes mostly from
<i>
non
</i>
-OPEC nations – like the US, Brazil, Canada, and Guyana, where producers can quickly adjust their output without consulting each other. And with the old cartel no longer able to
guarantee a minimum price, oil companies are focusing more on what they can control – namely, their balance sheets. The winners are those who can turn a profit, even when oil’s cheap.
</p>
<p data-block-key="dpdvb">
<b>
<i>
Zooming out:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Natural gas rises.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="6ftcn">
Crude might be losing its shine, but not natural gas. Electricity demand has been, ahem, lighting up – thanks to AI, crypto, and EVs. Data centers alone could gulp 9% of America’s total electricity by 2030
– up from just 1.5% today. And since gas-fired plants set the going rate for power, that surge in demand could easily lift your utility bill. In other words, while OPEC’s relevance slides, US natural gas producers could be entering their golden age – one bolstered by algorithms, not automobiles.
</p>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-right:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
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<a>
Five Reasons Not To Write Off Oil And Gas
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<span style="font-style:normal">
✨
</span>
<span style="font-style:italic">
Sarah's Digest
</span>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<strong>
"The significance of our lives and our fragile planet is then determined only by our own wisdom and courage. We are the custodians of life's
meaning."
</strong>
— Carl Sagan (an American astrophysicist and author)
</div>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;text-transform:uppercase;color:#030303;">
<mj-raw>
<span style="font-style:italic">
IN PARTNERSHIP WITH SCOTT CLARY
</span>
</mj-raw>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<h3 data-block-key="z8g9z">
Most folk are stuck in reactive mode. Be proactive, instead.
</h3>
<p data-block-key="bpk0f">
<a>
Join the over 320,000 readers of Scott’s Newsletter
</a>
, and you’ll get a weekly debrief of:
</p>
<ul>
<li data-block-key="78cte">
Mental models to help you earn more without trading time
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<li data-block-key="abkc4">
Insights on how top performers make decisions during uncertainty
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<li data-block-key="8vvrg">
Frameworks for building wealth, not just income
</li>
<li data-block-key="cq2id">
Pattern recognition from those who have successfully
scaled and exited companies
</li>
</ul>
<p data-block-key="b4pe5">
In other words, frameworks designed to help you operate like the world’s most successful entrepreneurs.
</p>
<p data-block-key="chg8n">
<a>
Sign up for Scott's Newsletter
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="vertical-align:top;" width="100%">
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<mj-raw>
<span style="font-style:normal">
🎯
</span>
<span style="font-style:italic">
On Our
Radar
</span>
</mj-raw>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p data-block-key="aaghi">
1.
<b>
Yeah, it’s living large.
</b>
But can
<a>
Costco’s
golden age
</a>
last?
</p>
<p data-block-key="6qkmg">
2.
<b>
This guy didn’t just climb Mount Everest.
</b>
He
<a>
skied down it
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="5torn">
3.
<b>
Get expert advice on your portfolio
</b>
. Check out
<a>
our dedicated hub
</a>
to see the
opportunities on Charles Schwab’s radar right now.
</p>
<p data-block-key="6tqqp">
4.
<b>
AI may be a little too online.
</b>
Turns out AI models
<a>
get brain rot
</a>
, too.
</p>
</div>
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<span style="font-style:italic">
SPONSORED BY COINGECKO API
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<a target="_blank">
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<p data-block-key="dqcfl">
🚨
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Governments now hold $68 billion in bitcoin, up 58% from a year ago
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Track digital assets treasuries (DATs) across 150-plus entities and 14 assets, including bitcoin, ethereum and solana, on
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🎙 Finimize Live
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<![endif]-->
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p data-block-key="ao898">
<a>
<b>
Grab your Modern Investor Summit
ticket
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to secure access to two days filled with expert investing insights, including:
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="54dqo">
🎙
<a>
<b>
The Art Of Investing Goes Live with Rich McDonald, Mark Holden and Chris Fellingham
</b>
</a>
(hosts of The Art Investing podcast by IG): December 2nd, 4.15pm UK time
<br/>
<br/>
🪙
<a>
<b>
The Next Decade For Cryptocurrency with Jean-Marie Mognetti
</b>
</a>
(co-founder and chief executive officer at CoinShares): December 2nd, 6.30pm UK time
<br/>
<br/>
✨
<a>
<b>
Designing Your Next-Generation Portfolio with Anna Joo Fee
</b>
</a>
(founder & CEO at Goodfin): December 3rd, 2.30pm UK
time
</p>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
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</table>
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</div>
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Stay classy,
<mj-raw>
Sarah
</mj-raw>
😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
<a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
Karen
</a>
,
<a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
Reda
</a>
, and
<a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
Theodora
</a>
.
Got an idea? A question?
<a>
Get in touch
</a>
.
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<mj-raw>
<span style="font-style:normal">
💌
</span>
<span style="font-style:italic">
THAT
WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
</span>
</mj-raw>
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🔥
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Hot
stuff
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👍
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Just
alright
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😒
</span>
...Meh
</a>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:12px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#5E6984;">
<p data-block-key="fn8cz">
<b>
*Aberdeen Investment Trusts' Important information
</b>
</p>
<ul>
<li data-block-key="49td2">
The value of investments, and the
income from them, can go down as well as up and investors may get back less than the amount invested.
</li>
<li data-block-key="7inlm">
Past performance is not a guide to future results.
</li>
<li data-block-key="767hu">
Emerging markets tend to be more volatile than mature markets and the value of your investment could move sharply up or down.
</li>
</ul>
<p data-block-key="3kooi">
<b>
Other important information:
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="257qi">
Issued by abrdn Fund Managers Limited, registered in
England and Wales (740118) at 280 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 4AG. The company is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK.
</p>
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1 week, 4 days ago - hello@finimize.com
And the IEA comes round to OPEC's thinking (kind of). | Your Daily Brief is ready | Thu, Nov 13 |...