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   AI’s white-collar squeeze
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   Plus: ADP’s ugly footnote.
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          Thursday, March 5, 2026
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           AI is hollowing out today’s white-collar economy
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          The silent recession in America’s white-collar sector is the first tremor of AI-driven wage deflation.
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          While tech giants such as Microsoft (
          <a data-linktext="$MSFT" data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
           $MSFT
          </a>
          ) and Alphabet (
          <a data-linktext="$GOOGL" data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
           $GOOGL
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          ) champion generative AI as a productivity miracle, a sobering reality is unfolding in the labor market: White-collar payrolls have now contracted for 29 consecutive months — a streak 
that’s unprecedented outside of a formal recession, according to former Glassdoor chief economist Aaron Terrazas. But while the headline unemployment rate (which is hovering near 4.3%) obscures this trend, the real smoke signals are fewer job postings and slower hiring rates, which point to a structural shift, not a cyclical downturn.
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          Economists are now grappling with a fundamental question: What happens to an economy when the premium on human intelligence vanishes?
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           This isn’t augmentation; it’s substitution.
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          Columbia Business School professor Daniel Keum describes the current moment as a “technological shock” that’s aimed squarely at cost reduction. In the U.S., where labor costs are high, AI is being deployed to replace workers and reduce headcount, not just assist them. This first, negative shock of job displacement is already 
here. The promised second shock — the one where AI generates products, services, and jobs — could still be years away. Everyone is living in the gap between the two, absorbing the pain of automation without yet reaping its creative rewards. And so: The long-term stability of the knowledge economy is in question.
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               Science Links Mitochondria &amp; Muscle Strength
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               As our muscles age, they naturally lose mass, strength, and function – a result of certain muscle fibers shrinking – contributing to fatigue and weakness beginning as early as our 30s. Recent research highlights that the key player in this aging process is our mitochondria, tiny-but-mighty organelles that produce more than 90% of our 
body’s energy. Importantly, scientists have found a strong link between decreased mitochondrial health and muscle health decline with aging, emphasizing the importance of maintaining these cellular engines.
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                              Ready to feel stronger, for longer with Mitopure?
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            <td class="td100" colspan="6" style="background-color:#E9F2F9;padding:10px 20px;width:100%;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
             <div>
              *500mg Mitopure® have been shown to (1) induce gene expression related to mitochondria function and metabolism and (2) increase the strength of the hamstring leg muscle
in measures of knee extension and flexion after 4 months in overweight 40-65 year olds.
             </div>
            </td>
           </tr>
           <tr style="background-color:#EFF5F8">
            <td class="td100" colspan="6" height="24" style="width:100%;background-color:#EFF5F8;height:24px;font-size:1px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">
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         <h1 style="mso-line-height-rule:exactly;Margin:0;font-family:Arial;font-size:24px;font-weight:bold;">
          <span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:24px">
           Today's
poll
          </span>
         </h1>
        </td>
       </tr>
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        <td class="td100" colspan="6" style="width:100%;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
         <div class="editor-email-poll" data-pollid="39c090f5-18a7-486c-aa0e-d9e60846ef34">
          <h2 style="mso-line-height-rule:exactly;Margin:0;line-height:1.6;font-family:Arial;font-size:20px;font-weight:bold;">
           Are you worried that AI is coming for your job?
          </h2>
          <div>
           <br/>
          </div>
          <div class="editor-poll-answers classic">
           <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="margin: 0 0 8px 0;" width="100%">
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               <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border:none; border-spacing: 0; border-collapse: collapse; mso-table-lspace:0; mso-table-rspace:0; mso-margin-top-alt:0px; mso-margin-bottom-alt:0px; mso-padding-alt: 0px 0px 0px 0px;" width="100%">
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                  <td height="40" style="vertical-align:middle;text-align:center;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px" valign="middle">
                   <a style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: 1px solid 
#105C8E; display: block; " target="_blank">
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                      <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px" valign="middle">
                       <table bgcolor="#105C8E" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; " width="100%">
                        <tbody>
                         <tr>
                          <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
                           <!--[if 
!mso]><!-->
                           <a style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: none; display: block; ">
                            Yes
                           </a>
                           <!--<![endif]-->
                           <!--[if mso]><a href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10391843/222404108/9298509/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=UXVhcnR6JTIwREIlMjAwMy0wNSUyMCUyMA&x=eb3e759f" target="_blank" style="-webkit-border-radius: 
6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: none; display: block; ">Yes</a><![endif]-->
                          </td>
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                 </tr>
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           <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="margin: 0;" width="100%">
            <tbody>
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              <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
               <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border:none; border-spacing: 0; border-collapse: collapse; mso-table-lspace:0; mso-table-rspace:0; mso-margin-top-alt:0px; mso-margin-bottom-alt:0px; mso-padding-alt: 0px 0px 0px 0px;" width="100%">
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                      <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px" valign="middle">
                       <table bgcolor="#105C8E" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; " width="100%">
                        <tbody>
                         <tr>
                          <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
                           <!--[if !mso]><!-->
                           <a style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: none; display: block; 
">
                            No
                           </a>
                           <!--<![endif]-->
                           <!--[if mso]><a href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10391843/222404108/9298510/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=UXVhcnR6JTIwREIlMjAwMy0wNSUyMCUyMA&x=c520c621" target="_blank" style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: none; display: block; 
">No</a><![endif]-->
                          </td>
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               </table>
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          </div>
         </div>
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         <h1 style="mso-line-height-rule:exactly;Margin:0;font-family:Arial;font-size:24px;font-weight:bold;">
          <span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:24px">
           Here's what you need to know
          </span>
         </h1>
        </td>
       </tr>
       <tr>
        <td class="snippet td100" colspan="6" style="width:100%;position:static;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
         <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="dragndrop" data-rss-posts="undefined" height="100%" style="table-layout:fixed;" width="100%">
          <tbody>
           <tr class="trpad10" style="background-color:#EFEFEF">
            <td class="td100" colspan="2" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;width:33.3333%;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
             <a aria-label="Charly Triballeau/AFP via Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank" title="Charly Triballeau/AFP via Getty Images">
              <img alt="Charly Triballeau/AFP via Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D870%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FGettyImages-2263875914.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzI3MDg2MzUuMTEyNzY2NX0:1vy6Ul:250-Q2LVWSD2EMM7HFBxwOxxBmub29HNmZlVywpjpfg" style="width:200px;max-height:400px;vertical-align:middle;border:0;" width="200"/>
             </a>
            </td>
            <td class="td100" colspan="4" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;padding:10px;font-size:15px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;width:66.6667%;vertical-align:top">
             <div style="line-height: 
1.4">
              <strong>
               <a data-linktext="Markets navigate the fog of war." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
                Markets navigate the fog of war.
               </a>
              </strong>
              As oil prices continue to climb, U.S. stocks took part in an uneasy rally Wednesday morning after a report that Iranian intelligence operatives floated terms for ending the war — 
which the U.S. reportedly plans to ignore.
             </div>
            </td>
           </tr>
           <tr style="background-color:#EFEFEF">
            <td class="td100" colspan="6" height="24" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;width:100%;height:24px;font-size:1px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">
             <!--[if mso]><img src="//editor.ne16.com/spacer.gif" style="mso-hide:all;border:0;"><![endif]-->
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            <td class="td100" colspan="2" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:auto;vertical-align:top;width:33.3333%;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
             <a aria-label="Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank" title="Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images">
              <img alt="Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D870%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FGettyImages-2264090992.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzI3MDg2MzUuMTEyODYyOH0:1vy6Ul:ESfdOuRcPaAoyO-GVsMGHsHpB7RgUPPaKyknkoUmA9I" style="width:200px;max-height:399px;vertical-align:middle;border:0;" width="200"/>
             </a>
            </td>
            <td class="td100" colspan="4" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;padding:10px;font-size:15px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;width:66.6667%;vertical-align:top">
             <div style="line-height: 
1.4">
              <strong>
               <a data-linktext="Goldman’s geopolitical warning." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
                Goldman’s geopolitical warning.
               </a>
              </strong>
              Goldman Sachs (
              <a data-linktext="$GS" data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
               $GS
              </a>
              ) CEO David Solomon warned that the market’s reaction to the Iran war has been “benign” and that the harsher “cumulative effect” could take “a couple of weeks” to show up on the tape.
             </div>
            </td>
           </tr>
           <tr style="background-color:#EFEFEF">
            <td class="td100" colspan="6" height="24" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;width:100%;height:24px;font-size:1px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">
             <!--[if mso]><img src="//editor.ne16.com/spacer.gif" style="mso-hide:all;border:0;"><![endif]-->
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           <tr class="trpad10" style="background-color:#EFEFEF">
            <td class="td100" colspan="2" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:auto;vertical-align:top;width:33.3333%;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
             <a aria-label="Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank" title="Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images">
              <img alt="Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D870%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FGettyImages-2262882060.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzI3MDg2MzUuMTEyOTYwOH0:1vy6Ul:JFmYQvEtTgpV9appj231sWcyLgNs3e_yXZAlQZ1I-_g" style="width:200px;max-height:400px;vertical-align:middle;border:0;" width="200"/>
             </a>
            </td>
            <td class="td100" colspan="4" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;padding:10px;font-size:15px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;width:66.6667%;vertical-align:top">
             <div style="line-height: 1.4">
              <strong>
               <a data-linktext="Bessent says 15% tariffs are coming." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
                Bessent says 15% tariffs are coming.
               </a>
              </strong>
              He says the Trump administration will move from 10% tariffs to 15% tariffs under Section 122 “likely sometime this week,” even after the Supreme Court struck down the previous duties and companies are seeking 
refunds.
             </div>
            </td>
           </tr>
           <tr style="background-color:#EFEFEF">
            <td class="td100" colspan="6" height="24" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;width:100%;height:24px;font-size:1px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">
             <!--[if mso]><img src="//editor.ne16.com/spacer.gif" style="mso-hide:all;border:0;"><![endif]-->
            </td>
           </tr>
           <tr class="trpad10" style="background-color:#EFEFEF">
            <td class="td100" colspan="2" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:auto;vertical-align:top;width:33.3333%;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
             <a aria-label="Jemal Countess/Stringer/Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank" title="Jemal Countess/Stringer/Getty Images">
              <img alt="Jemal Countess/Stringer/Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D870%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FGettyImages-2260792697.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzI3MDg2MzUuMTEzMDU3OX0:1vy6Ul:vhxHBCaXOhHBsGVCZenRyzkQB2xdQ_ND26j9AcXqp9I" style="width:200px;max-height:400px;vertical-align:middle;border:0;" width="200"/>
             </a>
            </td>
            <td class="td100" colspan="4" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;padding:10px;font-size:15px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;width:66.6667%;vertical-align:top">
             <div style="line-height: 
1.4">
              <strong>
               <a data-linktext="Tariff refund delays would be “theft in broad daylight.”" data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
                Tariff refund delays would be “theft in broad daylight.”
               </a>
              </strong>
              Sen. Warren made that claim in a letter to Trump, where she added that his “chaotic” and “illegally collected” tariffs cost the 
average U.S. household $1,700 and demanded a tariff repayment plan by March 6.
             </div>
            </td>
           </tr>
           <tr style="background-color:#EFEFEF">
            <td class="td100" colspan="6" height="24" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;width:100%;height:24px;font-size:1px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">
             <!--[if mso]><img src="//editor.ne16.com/spacer.gif" style="mso-hide:all;border:0;"><![endif]-->
            </td>
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           <tr class="trpad10" style="background-color:#EFEFEF">
            <td class="td100" colspan="2" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:auto;vertical-align:top;width:33.3333%;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
             <a aria-label="The Good Brigade/Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank" title="The Good Brigade/Getty Images">
              <img alt="The Good Brigade/Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D870%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FGettyImages-1347124965.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzI3MDg2MzUuMTEzMTUwMX0:1vy6Ul:7tCLrlK_cXpHNduWnk6TQuAc_dRoLdz1GBkAHAWCxN4" style="width:200px;max-height:400px;vertical-align:middle;border:0;" width="200"/>
             </a>
            </td>
            <td class="td100" colspan="4" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;padding:10px;font-size:15px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;width:66.6667%;vertical-align:top">
             <div style="line-height: 1.4">
              <strong>
               <a data-linktext="Homeowners are staying put." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
                Homeowners are staying put.
               </a>
              </strong>
              The latest data from Redfin says the median amount of time a homeowner will stay in their house rose to 12 years in 2025 — down from the 2020 peak of 13.4 years but the highest since 2022 — amid a cycle of high mortgage rates and home 
prices.
             </div>
            </td>
           </tr>
           <tr style="background-color:#EFEFEF">
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             <!--[if mso]><img src="//editor.ne16.com/spacer.gif" style="mso-hide:all;border:0;"><![endif]-->
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
         </table>
        </td>
       </tr>
       <tr>
        <td class="td100" colspan="6" height="24" style="width:100%;height:24px;font-size:1px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">
         <!--[if mso]><img 
src="//editor.ne16.com/spacer.gif" style="mso-hide:all;border:0;"><![endif]-->
        </td>
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       <tr class="trpad10">
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         <h1 style="mso-line-height-rule:exactly;Margin:0;font-family:Arial;font-size:24px;font-weight:bold;">
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           Recommended
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         <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="dragndrop" data-rss-posts="undefined" height="100%" style="table-layout:fixed;" width="100%">
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— a profound, and potentially painful, economic shift away from the knowledge economy as we’ve come to know it.
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