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   An AI bubble warning
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   Plus: The IPO intermission.
  </div>
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             <div>
              <span style="color:#888888">
               Monday, October 6, 2025
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               Sponsored by
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              <span style="color:#888888">
               Manaure Quintero / AFP
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              <em style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica 
Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
               Good morning, Quartz readers! It’s Shannon Carroll with the Daily Brief. Today, tax season shows up fashionably early, the AI party might be running out of champagne, the shutdown cools IPO hopefuls’ heels, and Amazon’s Prime push could test your willpower.
              </em>
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              <span style="font-size:18px;color:#168DD9">
               HERE'S WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
               <span class="ql-cursor">
                
               </span>
              </span>
             </h2>
            </td>
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20px;line-height:1.5;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000;mso-line-height-rule:exactly">
             <div>
              <strong style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               Goldman Sachs says the AI boom won’t stay this frothy forever.
              </strong>
              <span style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               CEO David Solomon warned that, like the dot-com era, markets are likely 
headed for a drawdown as winners
              </span>
              <a data-linktext="and losers shake out." data-linktype="Normal" style="font-size:16px;color:#168DD9;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFF;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
               and losers shake out.
              </a>
             </div>
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            <td class="td100" colspan="6" style="width:100%;padding:10px 
20px;line-height:1.5;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000;mso-line-height-rule:exactly">
             <div>
              <strong style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
               The taxman isn’t waiting until 2026 to knock on your door.
              </strong>
              <span style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
               Some of Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” sneak previews hit this year, and 
advisors say you’ll want to act
              </span>
              <a data-linktext="before Dec. 31." data-linktype="Normal" style="background-color:#FFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#168DD9;font-size:16px;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
               before Dec. 31.
              </a>
             </div>
            </td>
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            <td class="td100" colspan="6" style="width:100%;padding:10px 
20px;line-height:1.5;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000;mso-line-height-rule:exactly">
             <div>
              <strong style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
               The Tesla show played out in four acts this week.
              </strong>
              <span style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
               Third-quarter deliveries soared, a wrongful-death Cybertruck lawsuit was filed, 
shareholders moved to block Musk’s pay deal,
              </span>
              <a data-linktext="and his fortune spiked." data-linktype="Normal" style="background-color:#FFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#168DD9;font-size:16px;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
               and his fortune spiked.
              </a>
             </div>
            </td>
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            <td class="td100" colspan="6" style="width:100%;padding:10px 
20px;line-height:1.5;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000;mso-line-height-rule:exactly">
             <div>
              <strong style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               Apple pulls ICE-tracking apps from the App Store after political pressure.
              </strong>
              <span style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               ICEBlock topped a million downloads before disappearing, with 
Apple citing “objectionable content” after it caught
              </span>
              <a data-linktext="the attention of Trump’s DOJ." data-linktype="Normal" style="font-size:16px;color:#168DD9;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFF;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
               the attention of Trump’s DOJ.
              </a>
             </div>
            </td>
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            <td align="center" class="td100" colspan="6" style="width:100%;padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:10px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000">
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                 <div>
                  A message from the Harvard Business School
                 </div>
                </td>
               </tr>
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               For years, AI stocks have been the market’s favorite party trick: Say “chatbot” three times, and your share price levitates. For a while, it worked. Generative AI turned hedge funds and homeroom teachers into 
portfolio geniuses, powering three-quarters of the S&amp;P’s returns since 2022. But the magic act is wobbling. The RavenPack AI Sentiment Index has barely cleared 6% this year, while the broader market is up more than double that (14%).
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               Morgan Stanley now thinks the AI encore is looking a little flat. Free cash flow at the big hyperscalers has slipped into the red, monopoly-adjacent businesses are undercutting each other on price, and the latest 
deal-making smells more like dot-com nostalgia than strategic vision. Chief investment officer Lisa Shalett says we’re closer to a “seventh-inning stretch” than a first pitch, which is polite analyst-speak for “maybe stop betting the farm on GPUs.”
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               The consensus is that AI isn’t crashing so much as catching its breath. Big Tech isn’t abandoning the race. It’ll keep spending. But the spring has turned into a marathon, and investors can’t keep betting on every flash AI moonshot 
anymore. And smaller firms without steady contracts or power hookups may find themselves on the chopping block. Investors are being nudged toward boring-but-solid plays such as gold, REITs, and energy, while only the fattest, fittest AI names stay on the menu. The robots aren’t leaving, but their stocks will need more than buzzwords to keep pace.
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               The IPO market can’t catch a break. After years of drought, a few successful debuts finally suggested the ice was melting. Then came the government shutdown, and with it, an SEC reduced to skeleton staffing. The agency’s all-important gatekeeping functions — clearing prospectuses, stamping approvals, reviewing amendments — are suspended, which means the IPO pipeline is officially frozen. Submitting to EDGAR right now is like mailing a letter to Santa: technically possible, functionally 
pointless.
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               That’s catastrophic in a business where timing is oxygen. IPOs age quickly; financials go stale after 135 days, forcing re-audits and re-filings that sap cash and momentum. Beta Technologies, Jennifer Garner’s Once Upon a Farm, and Ethos Technologies are already in the holding pattern, while Alliance Laundry Systems and University of Phoenix are mid-roadshow, hoping they don’t have to turn back.
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               When the lights do come back on, it won’t just be backlog companies racing for the door. Tariffs, inflation, and rate anxiety will be waiting, too, ready to smother valuations. There’s still plenty of cash parked in money market funds, eager for new listings, but momentum is fickle. In the IPO business, a long intermission doesn’t just delay the show — it changes the ending.
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                  organization. Accelerate the leadership transition by blending full-time, personalized 
learning with practical application on the job—maximizing your learning and return on investment.
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               New research says it’s hardest to live and work in these states
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