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   An ugly market picture
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   Plus: What to expect at SXSW.
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          Friday, March 13, 2026
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           Stocks sink as oil prices rise and Middle East conflict deepens
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          U.S. stocks fell sharply Thursday morning, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down more than 500 points shortly after markets opened, and the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq each off about 0.7%. The culprit? Oil prices, rising as the U.S. war against Iran intensifies and appears set to defy the 
White House’s prediction of a quick and tidy conflict.
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          The International Energy Agency's monthly report, released Thursday, described the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz as "the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market." Crude and oil product flows through the Strait have fallen from about 20 million barrels a day before the U.S. attacked Iran to nearly zero at present.
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          Experts outside the IEA agree that the situation is unprecedented. As JPMorgan Chase analyst Natasha 
Kaneva told The Wall Street Journal earlier this week: “In the whole written history of the strait, it has never been closed, ever. To me, it was not just the worst-case scenario. It was an unthinkable scenario.”
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                          Read more on Quartz
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              SPONSORED
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               When cravings feel constant, support matters
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                              See If You Qualify
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             <p>
              Prescription-only GLP-1 treatment requires evaluation by a licensed U.S. provider. Treatment is provided only if medically appropriate; not all patients qualify. Results vary. Compounded 
medications, if prescribed, are prepared by licensed U.S. pharmacies and are not FDA-approved as finished products. See program terms for details.
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           How long can Wall Street keep acting calm?
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                           <!--[if 
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                           <a style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: none; display: block; ">
                            How long? It's already cracked
                           </a>
                           <!--<![endif]-->
                           <!--[if mso]><a href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10429956/222404108/9356026/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=REIlMjAwMy0xMw&x=d40984d3" target="_blank" 
style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: none; display: block; ">How long? It's already cracked</a><![endif]-->
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               <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border:none; border-spacing: 0; border-collapse: collapse; mso-table-lspace:0; mso-table-rspace:0; mso-margin-top-alt:0px; mso-margin-bottom-alt:0px; mso-padding-alt: 0px 0px 0px 0px;" width="100%">
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                       <table bgcolor="#105C8E" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; " width="100%">
                        <tbody>
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                          <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
                           <!--[if 
!mso]><!-->
                           <a style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: none; display: block; ">
                            A few more ugly sessions
                           </a>
                           <!--<![endif]-->
                           <!--[if mso]><a href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10429956/222404108/9356027/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=REIlMjAwMy0xMw&x=d5bb3848" target="_blank" 
style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: none; display: block; ">A few more ugly sessions</a><![endif]-->
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               <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border:none; border-spacing: 0; border-collapse: collapse; mso-table-lspace:0; mso-table-rspace:0; mso-margin-top-alt:0px; mso-margin-bottom-alt:0px; mso-padding-alt: 0px 0px 0px 0px;" width="100%">
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                      <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px" valign="middle">
                       <table bgcolor="#105C8E" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; " width="100%">
                        <tbody>
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                          <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
                           <!--[if 
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                           <a style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: none; display: block; ">
                            Until gas hits everyone personally
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                           <!--<![endif]-->
                           <!--[if mso]><a href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10429956/222404108/9356028/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=REIlMjAwMy0xMw&x=8c8ff0b4" target="_blank"
style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: none; display: block; ">Until gas hits everyone personally</a><![endif]-->
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               <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border:none; border-spacing: 0; border-collapse: collapse; mso-table-lspace:0; mso-table-rspace:0; mso-margin-top-alt:0px; mso-margin-bottom-alt:0px; mso-padding-alt: 0px 0px 0px 0px;" width="100%">
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                       <table bgcolor="#105C8E" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; " width="100%">
                        <tbody>
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                          <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
                           <!--[if 
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                           <a style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: none; display: block; ">
                            Until the Fed says something grim
                           </a>
                           <!--<![endif]-->
                           <!--[if mso]><a href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10429956/222404108/9356029/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=REIlMjAwMy0xMw&x=800865e1" target="_blank" 
style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px;  border: none; display: block; ">Until the Fed says something grim</a><![endif]-->
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          <span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:24px">
           Here's what you need to know
          </span>
         </h1>
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             <a aria-label="(Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg via Getty Images)" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank" title="(Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg via Getty Images)">
              <img alt="(Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg via Getty Images)" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252Fdario%2520amodei%2520anthropic%2520claude.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzMzOTY1MTEuMTY5OTg5M30:1w0zRX:G-MZBDipxHUn8ld_OTo80B4X7Ag_K6CMAZ2F6GFBhZA" style="width:200px;max-height:338px;vertical-align:middle;border:0;" width="200"/>
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            <td class="td100" colspan="4" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;padding:10px;font-size:15px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;width:66.6667%;vertical-align:top">
             <div style="line-height: 1.4">
              <strong>
               <a data-linktext="Claude would “pollute” the Pentagon’s supply chain." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
                Claude would “pollute” the Pentagon’s supply chain.
               </a>
              </strong>
              Speaking on CNBC, Defense Department Chief Technology Officer Emil Michael said Anthropic’s models have "a different policy preference" embedded within their 
design.
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             <a aria-label="Oli SCARFF / AFP via Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank" title="Oli SCARFF / AFP via Getty Images">
              <img alt="Oli SCARFF / AFP via Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252Foil%2520gas%2520prices%2520iran%2520war.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzMzOTY1MTEuMTcwMTIzNn0:1w0zRX:XmRpSRDLuZ2k5Nr7oz2Snaa27IhBC5MpQMjCvQsgqr4" style="width:200px;max-height:338px;vertical-align:middle;border:0;" width="200"/>
             </a>
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            <td class="td100" colspan="4" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;padding:10px;font-size:15px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;width:66.6667%;vertical-align:top">
             <div style="line-height: 1.4">
              <strong>
               <a data-linktext="IEA says the Iran war is the largest global oil market disruption ever." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
                IEA says the Iran war is the largest global oil market disruption ever.
               </a>
              </strong>
              Crude and oil product flows through the Strait of Hormuz 
have fallen from roughly 20 million barrels a day to almost zero, and Gulf producers have collectively cut at least 10 million barrels a day.
             </div>
            </td>
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            <td class="td100" colspan="6" height="24" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;width:100%;height:24px;font-size:1px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">
             <!--[if mso]><img src="//editor.ne16.com/spacer.gif" style="mso-hide:all;border:0;"><![endif]-->
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             <a aria-label="SASAN / Contributor / Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank" title="SASAN / Contributor / Getty Images">
              <img alt="SASAN / Contributor / Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FGettyImages-2264994719.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzMzOTY1MTEuMTcwMjM5N30:1w0zRX:3QUeMGWy7YttuBcuQr6mJCL56ZCNUFLzGAiKag3PTT8" style="width:200px;max-height:338px;vertical-align:middle;border:0;" width="200"/>
             </a>
            </td>
            <td class="td100" colspan="4" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;padding:10px;font-size:15px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;width:66.6667%;vertical-align:top">
             <div style="line-height: 1.4">
              <strong>
               <a data-linktext="Iran says oil might hit $200 per barrel." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
                Iran says oil might hit $200 per barrel.
               </a>
              </strong>
              Americans are already seeing the effects of the U.S.-Israel war against Iran when they head to the pump to fill up their cars with gas — and things 
are only set to get worse.
             </div>
            </td>
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             <!--[if mso]><img src="//editor.ne16.com/spacer.gif" style="mso-hide:all;border:0;"><![endif]-->
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             <a aria-label="Samuel Boivin/NurPhoto via Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank" title="Samuel Boivin/NurPhoto via Getty Images">
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               <a data-linktext="Oracle eases Wall Street fears over AI spending." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
                Oracle eases Wall Street fears over AI spending.
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              The company handed investors the same giant cloud-and-AI story again that it did in December and September, but this time, 
customer-funded chips and steadier math made things sound bankable.
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               <a data-linktext="Inflation report shows calm before Iran war and 
tariff shocks." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;" target="_blank">
                Inflation report shows calm before Iran war and tariff shocks.
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              The BLS’ latest shows that the Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% last month, a slight tick up from January’s pace, while prices rose 2.4% year over year and shelter once again remains the stickiest issue.
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         <div>
          SXSW has never been shy about falling in love with the future. This year, the future is showing up wearing an AI badge and will immediately start asking questions about who controls distribution, who owns the audiences, and who’s picking up the utility bill.
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         <div>
          <br/>
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         <div>
          SXSW runs through March 12–18, and the discussion over AI has wandered even further away from a designated lane and taken over the whole hotel
lobby. AI has been here before; SXSW added a dedicated AI track in 2024 and kept it around for 2025. But this year, the framing has changed. The AI lane is now a broader Tech and AI track (sponsored by IBM, of course), and the description says AI and the tech industry have become “inseparable forces.” This year, nearly a third of the PanelPicker proposals touch on AI.
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         <div>
          <br/>
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         <div>
          Even before anyone heads to the networking drinks, the program is already pulling the conversation toward power, ethics, cognition, interfaces, 
imagination, and what exactly humanity is outsourcing to a machine. One session asks what AI agents are doing when no one is watching and frames the problem around work and trust. A featured session on the real-world impact of AI pulls intellectual-property risk into the same conversation as opportunity. Across the week, AI lands as workflow, distribution, policy, labor, and liability — all at once.
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             <p>
              Prescription-only GLP-1 treatment requires evaluation by a 
licensed U.S. provider. Treatment is provided only if medically appropriate; not all patients qualify. Results vary. Compounded medications, if prescribed, are prepared by licensed U.S. pharmacies and are not FDA-approved as finished products. See program terms for details.
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