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   The S&amp;P 500 has never been down this much when earnings estimates have risen by this much
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                  <span class="tinyMce-placeholder" style="word-break: break-word;">
                   Hey Snackers,
                  </span>
                 </h1>
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                  <p style="margin:0;margin-bottom:16px">
                   Americans won’t tolerate bland food anymore, and
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     McCormick
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   is reaping the benefits of our collective love for mouth-tingling condiments. Founded in 1889 as a spice-selling business based out of a cellar, the company was recently recognized by Euromonitor as both the
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     world’s top hot sauce company
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   and the leading name in herbs and spices. See a breakdown of its
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     $7 billion-a-year business
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   .
                  </p>
                  <p style="margin:0">
                   The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 fell on Monday as US oil prices rose,
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     settling above $100
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   <strong>
                   </strong>
                   per barrel for the
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     first time since 2022
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   . Comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that inflation expectations seem to be well anchored drove Treasury yields lower as traders’ fear of a rate hike this year eased.
                  </p>
                 </div>
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                  <strong>
                   What’s happening today:
                  </strong>
                 </h1>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
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                  <ul start="1" style="margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;list-style-type:revert">
                   <li aria-level="1" style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    Earnings expected from
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      Nike
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    ,
                    <strong>
                    </strong>
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      McCormick
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    ,
                    <strong>
                    </strong>
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      Beyond Meat
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    , and
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      FactSet
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                   </li>
                   <li aria-level="1" style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    February Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)
                   </li>
                   <li aria-level="1" style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    March consumer confidence
                   </li>
                  </ul>
                 </div>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
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                     FORK IN THE ROAD
                    </strong>
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                   <strong>
                    War and AI doubts have fueled an unprecedented divergence between stock prices and earnings estimates
                   </strong>
                  </a>
                 </h1>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="paragraph_block block-3" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;word-break:break-word" width="100%">
               <tr>
                <td class="pad" style="padding-bottom:10px">
                 <div style="color:#1d1d1d;direction:ltr;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:18px;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:0;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;mso-line-height-alt:27px">
                  <p style="margin:0">
                   We’re experiencing
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     an unprecedented divergence
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   between the S&amp;P 500’s earnings estimates and the performance of the benchmark US stock index, driven by skittishness about the return of oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and the long-term ROI for the hundreds of billions in AI capex.
                  </p>
                 </div>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="list_block block-4" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;word-break:break-word;color:#1d1d1d;direction:ltr;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:18px;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:0;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;mso-line-height-alt:27px" width="100%">
               <tr>
                <td class="pad" style="padding-bottom:15px;padding-left:10px;padding-right:10px;padding-top:10px">
                 <div style="margin-left:-20px">
                  <ul start="1" style="margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;list-style-type:revert">
                   <li aria-level="1" style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    Over the three months ended March 27, analysts have ratcheted up their projected bottom-line results for the largest US publicly traded companies by 8%. Over the same time,
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      those stocks are down 8%
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    .
                   </li>
                   <li aria-level="1" style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    Stocks have never been down this much when earnings estimates have risen by this much, based on data going back to Q2 1990.
                   </li>
                   <li aria-level="1" style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    The closest such episodes to the present environment were in mid-2010 amid fears of a double-dip recession following the financial crisis, and in 2018 following a
                    <strong>
                    </strong>
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      short-lived blowup in volatility markets
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    .
                   </li>
                   <li aria-level="1" style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    In some respects, the current market situation is similar to 2025. The Q1 peak in stocks came when
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      Walmart
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    , a major component in momentum indexes, issued a poor full-year outlook and
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      once high-flying stocks got clobbered
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    . It started as a momentum-centric rather than tariff-centric sell-off.
                   </li>
                   <li aria-level="1" style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    This time around, the difference is that many parts of the AI trade (especially the megacaps) didn’t have any momentum coming into this. A theme that investors had already been souring on
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      is continuing to unwind
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    .
                   </li>
                  </ul>
                 </div>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="paragraph_block block-5" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;word-break:break-word" width="100%">
               <tr>
                <td class="pad" style="padding-bottom:10px">
                 <div style="color:#1d1d1d;direction:ltr;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:18px;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:0;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;mso-line-height-alt:27px">
                  <p style="margin:0">
                   The world in which these earnings estimates are realized is incompatible with a long-lived oil disruption that sparks a US economic downturn. Oil price spikes are infamously a drag on other parts of consumers’ spending; accordingly, durables and household personal products are the worst two industry groups in the S&amp;P 500 since the end of February.
                  </p>
                 </div>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
             </td>
            </tr>
           </tbody>
          </table>
         </td>
        </tr>
       </tbody>
      </table>
      <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row row-6" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0" width="100%">
       <tbody>
        <tr>
         <td>
          <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row-content stack" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;background-color:#fff;color:#000;width:600px;margin:0 auto" width="600">
           <tbody>
            <tr>
             <td class="column column-1" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;font-weight:400;text-align:left;padding-left:25px;padding-right:25px;vertical-align:top" width="100%">
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                <td class="pad" style="padding-bottom:8px;padding-top:24px;text-align:center;width:100%">
                 <h1 style="margin:0;color:#5869ff;direction:ltr;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:23px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:normal;line-height:1.2;text-align:left;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;mso-line-height-alt:28px">
                  <span class="tinyMce-placeholder" style="word-break: break-word;">
                   THE TAKEAWAY
                  </span>
                 </h1>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="paragraph_block block-2" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;word-break:break-word" width="100%">
               <tr>
                <td class="pad" style="padding-bottom:10px">
                 <div style="color:#1d1d1d;direction:ltr;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:18px;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:0;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;mso-line-height-alt:27px">
                  <p style="margin:0;margin-bottom:16px">
                   For some time now, investors have been of the view that
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     2026 earnings don’t really matter for the hyperscalers
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   , and they have more creeping doubts on whether this capex binge will prove worth it in the long run — or whether the most meaningful impact on these companies will be the destruction of their free cash flow generation amid these aggressive build-outs. And
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     Nvidia
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   ’s fate has been
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     tied to the perception of its biggest customers
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   lately.
                  </p>
                  <p style="margin:0">
                   The war started off as a major rotation trade. Three major trades that had been tumbling — software vs. semiconductors, US stocks vs. the rest of world, and the Magnificent 7 vs.
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     S&amp;P 500 equal weight
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   — all enjoyed some
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     nascent reversals in the early days of the war
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   . Of those three, Mag 7 versus equal weight is the only one that’s given up all of that rebound and then some.
                  </p>
                 </div>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
              <table border="0" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0" class="button_block block-3" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0" width="100%">
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                  <a style="color:#ffffff;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
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                      Read more
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                     </span>
                    </td>
                   </tr>
                  </table>
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                <td class="pad" style="text-align:left">
                 <div align="left" class="alignment">
                  <!--[if mso]>
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                   <span style="word-break: break-word; line-height: 16.8px;">
                    <strong>
                     META VERSED
                    </strong>
                   </span>
                  </span>
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                <td class="pad" style="padding-bottom:10px;padding-top:10px;text-align:center;width:100%">
                 <h1 style="margin:0;color:#5869ff;direction:ltr;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:26px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:normal;line-height:1.2;text-align:left;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;mso-line-height-alt:31px">
                  <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                   <strong>
                    Meta rallies after being named a “top pick” by Morgan Stanley
                   </strong>
                  </a>
                 </h1>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="paragraph_block block-4" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;word-break:break-word" width="100%">
               <tr>
                <td class="pad" style="padding-bottom:10px">
                 <div style="color:#1d1d1d;direction:ltr;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:18px;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:0;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;mso-line-height-alt:27px">
                  <p style="margin:0">
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     Meta
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   is off to a strong start to the week after being named
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     a new “top pick”
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   of Morgan Stanley’s internet analysts.
                  </p>
                 </div>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="list_block block-5" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;word-break:break-word;color:#1d1d1d;direction:ltr;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:18px;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:0;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;mso-line-height-alt:27px" width="100%">
               <tr>
                <td class="pad" style="padding-bottom:15px;padding-left:10px;padding-right:10px;padding-top:10px">
                 <div style="margin-left:-20px">
                  <ul start="1" style="margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;list-style-type:revert">
                   <li aria-level="1" style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    Their case: the social media giant is cheap and commands an ever-increasing amount of eyeballs, which it’ll leverage to make money from its
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      massive AI capex
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    through nascent opportunities like agentic shopping and assistants.
                   </li>
                   <li aria-level="1" style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    “META sentiment has troughed due to GenAI ROIC and long-term positioning fears, and more recently macro ad market and regulatory question marks,” wrote analyst Brian Nowak. “In all, META now trades at ~15X our ’27 $36 EPS, 1 standard deviation below the long-term average, which creates a strong buying opportunity, in our view.”
                   </li>
                   <li aria-level="1" style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    Reported
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      job cuts
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    <strong>
                    </strong>
                    would also be “a bullish development” that boosts earnings, he added.
                   </li>
                  </ul>
                 </div>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="paragraph_block block-6" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;word-break:break-word" width="100%">
               <tr>
                <td class="pad" style="padding-bottom:10px">
                 <div style="color:#1d1d1d;direction:ltr;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:18px;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:0;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;mso-line-height-alt:27px">
                  <p style="margin:0">
                   Even so, Nowak trimmed his price target on the stock to $775 from $825, which still
                   <strong>
                   </strong>
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     represents upside of about 50%
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   .
                  </p>
                 </div>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
             </td>
            </tr>
           </tbody>
          </table>
         </td>
        </tr>
       </tbody>
      </table>
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       <tbody>
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         <td>
          <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row-content stack" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;background-color:#fff;color:#000;width:600px;margin:0 auto" width="600">
           <tbody>
            <tr>
             <td class="column column-1" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;font-weight:400;text-align:left;padding-left:25px;padding-right:25px;vertical-align:top" width="100%">
              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="heading_block block-1" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0" width="100%">
               <tr>
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                 <h1 style="margin:0;color:#5869ff;direction:ltr;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:23px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:normal;line-height:1.2;text-align:left;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;mso-line-height-alt:28px">
                  <span class="tinyMce-placeholder" style="word-break: break-word;">
                   THE TAKEAWAY
                  </span>
                 </h1>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="paragraph_block block-2" role="presentation" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;word-break:break-word" width="100%">
               <tr>
                <td class="pad" style="padding-bottom:10px">
                 <div style="color:#1d1d1d;direction:ltr;font-family:'Helvetica Neue',Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:18px;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:0;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;mso-line-height-alt:27px">
                  <p style="margin:0">
                   The hyperscalers have come under persistent pressure as investors remain reticent to bet that this capex binge will have a happy ending. Per The New York Times, Meta recently
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     delayed the launch of its new model
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   <strong>
                   </strong>
                   because of performance issues. (That being said, the company’s latest earnings report did show that its ability to
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     use AI tools to grow its top line remains impressive
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   , even if its models aren’t best in class.)
                  </p>
                 </div>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </table>
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                      Read more
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                     THE BEST THING WE READ TODAY
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                    Waymo’s now serving more than 500,000 paid robotaxi rides every week
                   </strong>
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                   The scale and speed of
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                     Alphabet
                    </strong>
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                   subsidiary Waymo’s rise is impressive: back in May 2024, Waymo ferried just 50,000 paid passengers, but thanks to a rapid expansion to
                   <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                    <strong>
                     a total of 10 cities
                    </strong>
                   </a>
                   , the company is now doing half a million rides a week. That’s about 50 rides per minute.
                  </p>
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                    <strong>
                     Waymo’s whizbang rise, charted
                    </strong>
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                     Presented by Nasdaq
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                   Be Ready For The Swing
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                   Tactical traders need flexible tools. Many are utilizing Nasdaq-100 Index
                   <sup>
                    ®
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                   Options to manage aggregate exposure, with average daily volume up 345% since the end of 2022.
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                  <strong>
                   Snacks Shots
                  </strong>
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                  <ul start="1" style="margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;list-style-type:revert">
                   <li style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    <strong>
                     🏒 Hockey:
                    </strong>
                    Just a few weeks to go of regular-season hockey, and bubble teams have just a handful of games left to get the points needed to make the postseason. Some teams on the precipice are in pretty good shape — the Bruins have
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      an 82% chance* of making the playoffs
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    , the Islanders 71%, and Pittsburgh 67% — but it’s far from a sure thing for plenty of other teams. The Ottawa Senators have just a 52% chance of making the playoffs, the Blue Jackets 49%, the Kings 39%, and the Red Wings 38%.
                   </li>
                   <li style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    <strong>
                     ⛳ The Masters:
                    </strong>
                    The Masters kicks off April 9, and with just a week to go, the market’s been tightening up over who’s going home with that green jacket. Scottie Scheffler currently leads with a market-implied
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      16% chance of winning
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    , but that’s down from as high as 27% back in February. It’s also only narrowly ahead of his closest competition, including Bryson DeChambeau (8%), Jon Rahm (8%), and Rory McIlroy (7%).
                   </li>
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                  <p aria-setsize="-1" id="message-list_1761932419.092419" role="listitem" style="margin:0;margin-bottom:16px" tabindex="0">
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                  <p style="margin:0;margin-bottom:16px">
                   *Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.
                  </p>
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           <tbody>
            <tr>
             <td class="column column-1" style="mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;font-weight:400;text-align:left;padding-left:25px;padding-right:25px;vertical-align:top" width="100%">
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                   What else we're Snackin'
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                 <div style="margin-left:-20px">
                  <ul start="1" style="margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;list-style-type:revert">
                   <li style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    The British government is weighing removing
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      Palantir
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    from
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      NHS data systems
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                   </li>
                   <li style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      Bitcoin
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    and
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      ethereum
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    are both
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      doing their darndest
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    to break their
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      monthslong losing streak
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                   </li>
                   <li style="Margin:0 0 8px 0">
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      JetBlue
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    <strong>
                    </strong>
                    is raising its bag fees to offset
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      soaring fuel costs
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    ,
                    <strong>
                    </strong>
                    which is also hitting
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      Alaska Airlines
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                    <strong>
                     ’
                    </strong>
                    <a style="text-decoration: underline; color: #5869ff;">
                     <strong>
                      forecast
                     </strong>
                    </a>
                   </li>
                  </ul>
                 </div>
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