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   This week’s decision could mean Stranger Things for markets |
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               👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
              </p>
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               Stranger Things
              </h3>
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               Three major central banks will announce their next interest rate decisions this week – and while traders think they know what’s up, these decisions could still turn markets Upside Down.
              </p>
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                        🔍 The focus this week: First (second and third) rate.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6az05" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         👀 The Federal Reserve (Fed) had investors’ full attention last week – and realistically, the US will attract some eyes this week, too.
                        </b>
                        Usually, you’d get fresh US payroll data on the first Friday of each month. Remember, though, that the government shutdown caused the Bureau for Labor Statistics to cancel the October jobs report entirely and delay the next release. So November’s report will land this Tuesday, slightly behind schedule.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6ie7k" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         🎤 But as far as central banks are concerned, Japan, Europe, and the UK will hog the mic.
                        </b>
                        All three need to decide whether they need to change interest rates to meet their mandates.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="5vggm" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         ✂️ Traders expect the Bank of England to make its fourth cut in the past year, bringing the UK’s rates down by a quarter percentage point to 3.75%.
                        </b>
                        They think the European Central Bank will leave rates at 2%, after already making eight cuts in the last two years.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="36fqo" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         📈 Japan’s rates currently sit at 0.5% – and right now, a hike looks likely.
                        </b>
                        But keep an eye on the quarterly “Tankan” survey (which measures business sentiment), released at the start of this week: it’ll indicate companies’ projected sales, spending, and profit, as well as broader employment conditions. The Bank of Japan will scan for signs of potential salary increases, since widespread pay bumps can aggravate inflation – and that would call for higher rates.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="7d5j8" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        <b>
                         🌎 Now, Japan still has a relatively low rate compared to the rest of the world.
                        </b>
                        And that makes the country’s currency a cheap source of funding for the so-called carry trade. Here’s how it goes: investors borrow a relatively affordable currency – the yen, in this case – to then invest in other assets that generate better returns. A single hike
                        <i>
                         shouldn’t
                        </i>
                        unravel that setup – but there’s no guarantee: the trade was rattled last year after a rate adjustment. What’s more, economists don’t just expect one hike: they think another will land next year. That’ll make the yen a more expensive source of funding. And
                        <i>
                         that
                        </i>
                        could pull the rug out from under the yen carry trade.
                       </p>
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                        📅 On the calendar
                       </p>
                       <ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
                        <li data-block-key="gn5an" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Monday:
                         </b>
                         Japan Tankan business sentiment survey (December), Europe industrial production (October).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="d59r7" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Tuesday:
                         </b>
                         UK employment (November), Europe purchasing managers index (December), US payrolls (November), US purchasing managers index (December), Japan machinery orders (October).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="72en7" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Wednesday:
                         </b>
                         UK inflation (November), Europe inflation (November), US retail sales (November).
                         <b>
                          Earnings
                         </b>
                         : Micron.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="9hsbq" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Thursday:
                         </b>
                         Japan interest rate decision, UK interest rate decision, Europe interest rate decision
                         <b>
                          ,
                         </b>
                         US inflation (November), Japan inflation (November).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Accenture, FedEx, Nike.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="52h1f" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         <b>
                          Friday:
                         </b>
                         US home sales (November).
                        </li>
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                    If you want to find Asia’s best investments, you need to think local.
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                   While global investors crowd into the same mega-cap trades, Aberdeen Asia Focus PLC focuses on an overlooked, growth-focused pocket:
                   <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                    well-run, under-the-radar Asian small caps
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                   .
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                   Their team is on the ground – meeting founders, walking factory floors, and spotting what you won’t see from a Bloomberg terminal.
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                   That insight creates
                   <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                    a high-conviction portfolio
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                   built to catch early-stage growth in markets that move fast.
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                   You don’t have to be local to invest local:
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                    Aberdeen Asia Focus PLC
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                   is listed on the London Stock Exchange.
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                    *Aberdeen Investment Trust’s Important information
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                    Risk factors you should consider prior to investing:
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                   The value of investments, and the income from them, can go down as well as up and investors may get back less than the amount invested.
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                   Past performance is not a guide to future results.
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                    Other important information:
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                   Issued by abrdn Fund Managers Limited, registered in England and Wales (740118) at 280 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 4AG. The company is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK.
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                       <p class="content-box-header mb-4" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; font-weight: 900; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        👀 What you might’ve missed last week
                       </p>
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                        <b>
                         🇺🇸 The US
                        </b>
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                        The Fed lowered its benchmark interest rate by a quarter point to between 3.5% and 3.75% on Wednesday. Despite expecting inflation to stay above target until 2028, the central bank mainly focused on the risks in the job market, which have risen over the last few months. Mind you, three of the twelve voting members disagreed with that decision. And while the committee currently expects one cut in 2026, the US president wants a more heavy-handed approach – so with a new Fed chair expected to be announced early next year, don’t be surprised if the president picks one who happens to share the same stance.
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                        Elon Musk’s SpaceX is reportedly looking to raise at least $30 billion in an initial public offering next year, valuing the firm at a massive $1.5 trillion – almost double the roughly $800 billion floated during its recent internal share sale. Some of the newly raised funds will help pay for the planned expansion of Starlink – the satellite internet company, which makes up most of SpaceX’s revenue – including space-based data centers.
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                       <p data-block-key="5bf8u" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        While Musk planned to take over space, Paramount launched a hostile $108 billion bid for Warner Bros., owner of HBO and Discovery. That trumped Netflix’s $84 billion
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         offer.
                        </a>
                        Regulators would likely prefer Paramount to win the bidding war, since it’s the less dominant streaming service with fewer subscribers. But Netflix might still try to compete – and anticipating a bigger bid, investors sent down the stock of the world’s biggest streaming service.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6s6ed" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
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                        🇨🇳
                        <b>
                         China
                        </b>
                       </p>
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                       </p>
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                        You’d think US tariffs would weigh on China’s export numbers, but they were actually 6% higher this November versus last. At the same time, imports remained steady. That lifted the difference between the two to $112 billion – one of the biggest monthly trade surpluses in China’s history – and the annual surplus to nearly $1 trillion so far. See, China upped exports to Europe by almost 15% this month, rerouting supply chains due to tariffs. But it can’t rely on that solution forever: those cheap Chinese wares have sparked pushback from European producers, causing the region to discuss tariffs of its own.
                       </p>
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                    Stay classy ✌️
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                    Your Finimize Analyst team
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