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   Daily 2025-10-31
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   Apple and Amazon's earnings, plus the US-China trade truce | Your Daily Brief is ready |
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               Fri, Oct 31 | 3:12 read time
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                       <tbody>
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                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.99% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          6,822
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.83% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          $4,034
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          2.73% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          $107,032
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                       </tbody>
                      </table>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
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                 <td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
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                   <tbody>
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                     <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
                      <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
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                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.04% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          9,760
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          1.39% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          $64.02
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.03% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          4.11%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                       </tbody>
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                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
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                 </td>
                </tr>
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</td></tr></table>
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                 <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
                </td>
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                    <td style="width:536px;">
                     <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F111%252F608%252F446%252FAPW1bDp49YKeLmZ26jmVoORax%252Fe95ad5ac52419750867c276d067fc8c6b776891d.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253Da18d563097d55e98364a93dbec79dcbe/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjE4OTc5NDkuNzcyNjc2NX0:1vEk8r:OdoYmdfO687p3-9_kolPdgslH3OsdWYwK442syT2HZ8" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="536"/>
                    </td>
                   </tr>
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                      <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        🎃 So much for spooky season: the US and China called time on their trade quarrel, and Amazon and Apple revealed decent results for the last
quarter. You'll need a back-to-back scary movie session for balance.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="a4o3d">
                        <b>
                         Keep reading to find out more 🦇
                        </b>
                       </p>
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                     👻
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                     Today's headlines
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                     Prime And Proper
                    </span>
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                      <a target="_blank">
                       <img alt="Prime And Proper" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-201025-AppleAmazon.original.png%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D1a3cc22c8175c347a436a51fe0f8f3bd/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjE4OTc5NDkuNzcyNzk1NH0:1vEk8r:844K0idGlHVrA6_EEMNOaK9K237pQAjbhTE5UyEtt34" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="568"/>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <p data-block-key="1cxpa">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="c9cqj">
                    <b>
                     Amazon
                    </b>
                    and
                    <b>
                     Apple
                    </b>
                    both reported results on Thursday, serving up the kind of polished earnings that only Big Tech’s most seasoned pros can deliver.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="f43ji">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="aupif">
                    Apple made more than $102 billion in revenue last quarter – in line with expectations and up 8% on last year. And while iPhone sales came in a
                    <i>
                     little
                    </i>
                    below (high) expectations at $49 billion, that was still a record for the September quarter. Apple’s services division also boasted a record-breaking quarter, bringing in nearly $29 billion in revenue – up 15% since this time last year. Overall, profit
landed at $27.5 billion, a pleasant surprise for analysts. Investors sent the stock up 3% initially, likely because the firm said sales would increase by at least 10%
                    <i>
                     this
                    </i>
                    quarter – more than analysts expected.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="5s0uk">
                    Amazon, meanwhile, made a better-than-predicted $180 billion in revenue. Makes sense: sales in its crucial cloud computing segment came in at $33 billion, up 20% from last year. That’s higher than predicted
                    <i>
                     and
                    </i>
                    the biggest rise since
2022. Add in tidy takings from retail sales and online ads, and Amazon beat predictions by banking $21 billion in profit. Looking ahead, the firm predicted that revenue would pick up by 10% to 13% this quarter – more than analysts hoped – so investors initially sent the stock up 10% after the release.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bu8f7">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7lnad">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming in:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Even the rich have problems.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6psg7">
                    ▶ Apple is
currently trading for 33 times its projected profit – that's a lot. But, unlike many of its Big Tech peers, the firm doesn’t have a clear AI plan. That’s why Apple’s shares were only up 9% this year (before the full effect of these results) – much less than the Nasdaq 100 index’s 23% uptick. (The stock
                    <i>
                     has
                    </i>
                    had its moments, though: investors recently sent it to a record high after the firm’s iPhone 17 launch.)
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1k8oq">
                    ▶ Amazon isn’t far behind – trading at 30 times its
future profit, with shares up just 2% this year (see disclaimer above). See, while the firm was an early leader in cloud computing, its market share has been challenged by fierce competition and the scarce supply of essential chips.
                   </p>
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                     Where To Hunt For Opportunities In The New Supply
Chain
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                    So, up against geopolitical tension, tech disruption, and decarbonization, firms are rethinking
what they make and where they make it.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bq4bn">
                    That shakeup is exposing some cobwebs – but also
                    <a>
                     clearing them out to make room for something cleaner
                    </a>
                    .
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                    That’s today’s Insight:
                    <a>
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                    .
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                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     👻
                    </span>
                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     Today's headlines
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:22px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span style="background-color:#EFFF0D;display:inline">
                     Honeymoon Phrase
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
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                      <a target="_blank">
                       <img alt="Honeymoon Phrase" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FInsight-301025-UsChina.original.png%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D12e980057fd1a8499c23c33205829ad2/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjE4OTc5NDkuNzczMjQ0OX0:1vEk8r:71fJO5XNB6QFZGCKtioZSKPrBf-KNkDnZRN0DofjWa4" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="568"/>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <p data-block-key="wbrk7">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ai8rf">
                    The US and China sweet-talked each other into putting their tariff tit-for-tat to bed for a whole 12 months, after a string of 90-day truces earlier this year.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1t124">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="fhqsc">
                    Both countries’ leaders agreed to pause any upcoming levies, shelving new export curbs and tariffs that were set to kick in as soon as November.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="at0ek">
                    ▶ China will lift limits on exports of its rare earth minerals – vital for EVs, chips, and defense.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="46r8u">
                    ▶ The US won’t dial up its chip-related export bans for at least a year. It’ll also halve its fentanyl-related taxes
on Chinese imports to 10%, in exchange for China’s pledge to curb chemical exports tied to the opioid crisis.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ai54a">
                    ▶ Both sides agreed to suspend new port fees and counter-tariffs on the shipping industry – and they’ve promised to try and resolve their squabble over TikTok, too.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cd406">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7pb92">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming out:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Friends with benefits.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="92ejs">
                    You can see why both sides
were ready to take a breather. For the US, it’s a chance to steady volatile stock markets and get inflation under control. And for China, it simplifies crucial shipping routes – just as the country’s export-dependent economy
                    <a>
                     loses
                    </a>
                    momentum.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8208s">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      The bigger picture:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     America’s taking a long and short
position.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6il2m">
                    China refines nearly 90% of the world’s supply of rare earths. And while this truce means the US will find it easier to stock up on them for the next 12 months, it’ll also use the time to build a backup. The government’s already poured billions into US miners, backed new rare earth plants in Texas, and made deals with mineral-rich locations like Australia.
                   </p>
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                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     ✨
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                     ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Sarah's Digest
                    </span>
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                   Japan’s central bank expects slower inflation ahead, holding rates steady while forecasting modest economic growth for the next few years.
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                   Tariffs, inflation, and shifting consumer habits are weighing on Chipotle’s core customers, pushing shares lower and raising questions about the chain’s next move.
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                     🦇
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                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     Quote
of the day
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                   <strong>
                    "Boo!"
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                   — A ghost
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                        You have to trust
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                        3.
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                         We told you up top to watch some scary movies.
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                        200 of
t
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              Stay classy,
              <mj-raw>
               Sarah
              </mj-raw>
              😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Naomi
              </a>
              and
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Russell
              </a>
              . Got an idea? A question?
              <a>
               Get in touch
              </a>
              .
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;text-transform:uppercase;color:#030303;">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     💌
                    </span>
                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     THAT
WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
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                   🔥
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                  Hot
stuff
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            </td>
           </tr>
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</td><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:189.33333333333337px;">
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              <tbody>
               <tr>
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alright
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<![endif]-->
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             <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="border-collapse:separate;width:100%;line-height:100%;">
              <tbody>
               <tr>
                <td align="center" bgcolor="#f8f9ff" role="presentation" style="border:none;border-radius:4px;cursor:auto;mso-padding-alt:10px 25px;background:#f8f9ff;" valign="middle">
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                  <span aria-hidden="true" role="img">
                   😒
                  </span>
                  ...Meh
                 </a>
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