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   Daily 2025-11-15
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   And China's bad economic news came in threes. | Your Daily Brief is ready |
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               Sat, Nov 15 | 3:14 read time
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                   Together with
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                     WHAT'S
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                       All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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                    <tr>
                     <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
                      <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
                       <tbody>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.04% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          6,735
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          2.68% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          $4,082
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          5.07% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          $94,566
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                       </tbody>
                      </table>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
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                      <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:1px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
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                <tr>
                 <td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
                   <tbody>
                    <tr>
                     <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
                      <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
                       <tbody>
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                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          1.11% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          9,698
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          2.09% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          $64.33
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.03% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          4.14%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                       </tbody>
                      </table>
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                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
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                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
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                 <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
                </td>
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                     <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F114%252F314%252F509%252FP0ev7XDZrzqNbrdX6MjR9og8N%252F5477553a8152837c59fa6fd3aabed5adddbee58f.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D6aabb59a175535d0ab2db3d6fdc1b915/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjMxOTM5MDUuNzk2MjU4fQ:1vKBHN:gIyPDANmeV5YrszD2AQayJttMhU2SulXCMdXvZkJo1g" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="536"/>
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                      <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        <b>
                         ⚫️ Bitcoin dropped 20% from its high, and climbing back up could be a bear.
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="7bnfn">
                        <b>
                         ⚫️ China got walloped by a
trifecta of weak economic updates.
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="ds0c4">
                        <b>
                         ➕ The tweak that makes Ray Dalio’s famous all-weather portfolio even better.
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="i0us">
                        <b>
                         👇 Keep reading to find out more
                        </b>
                       </p>
                      </div>
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                          <a target="_blank">
                           <img alt="21shares at MIS25 London" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FMIS25-1000x250-EmailBanner-_DuncanMoirLondon-3_.original.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D3a33f8c40c578180d931c74449e4fe4f/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjMxOTM5MDUuNzk2Mzk2NX0:1vKBHN:-HOAEJwMGNlbmbXbBiOvxBcd-tzWOjY_yBtiQJeVQhU" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="568"/>
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span style="background-color:#EFFF0D;display:inline">
                     Bearcoin
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                      <a target="_blank">
                       <img alt="Bearcoin" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-141125-Bearcoin.original.jpg%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D9c4d82c7abaf3441bf7ee287e1f67f8d/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjMxOTM5MDUuNzk2NTE4OH0:1vKBHN:5L4sdkpX9Mr0dcvNFFw-18dQtuzYkGNNTeAdalKgIrE" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="568"/>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <p data-block-key="mnaik">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="d49em">
                    Bitcoin just fell 23% from its October high, which means the OG crypto is now officially in a “bear market” – rawr.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="11ta6">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="15ah7">
                    To earn that hairy distinction, an asset’s price has to drop 20% or more from a recent high – deep enough that most investors stop calling it a dip and start calling it a problem. The same goes the other way: a 20% jump gets you a bull market, where optimism feels harder to ignore.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9g26v">
                    ► Bitcoin’s lost $450 billion of value over the past six weeks, in a selloff that ramped up after a bunch of leveraged bets (made with borrowed funds) were wiped out
in a single day.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="280fn">
                    ► That nervousness affected the entire crypto market, leaving it about
                    <i>
                     $1 trillion
                    </i>
                    lighter.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cj3d4">
                    ► US bitcoin ETFs, which folks see as a symbol of the crypto’s mainstream pull, saw $870 million of withdrawals in a single day – the second-heaviest outflow ever.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="5qs8p">
                    ► The market’s “depth” – a measure of how easily big trades can happen without creating major price swings – took a hit, falling by
about a third.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="dviu2">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="em0qc">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Crypto is crypto, however it’s packaged.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1m9go">
                    Bitcoin ETFs were expected to calm crypto: they’re regulated, loaded with shares, and easy to trade. But they haven’t made the market immune to sentiment changes and selloffs – that’s now crystal clear. So the next big question is whether investors’ appetite for those ETFs will snap back. Because
without them, the crypto market could become even more volatile and fickle.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="251kj">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming out:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Shinier things.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="60e5u">
                    Lower revenue and higher energy bills are pushing crypto miners to rethink their whole business.
                    <b>
                     Bitfarms
                    </b>
                    , for one, is already converting its server sites into AI data centers – where demand and profit margins are stronger. In fact, a number of miners had already
                    <a>
                     made
                    </a>
                    the switch – even before the bear market. And if this crypto winter is long, more are likely to follow.
                   </p>
                  </div>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   You might also like ⇢
                   <a>
                    Bitcoin Vs. Gold: Why
The Crypto’s “Fair Value” Could Be Higher Than You Think
                   </a>
                  </div>
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                     <span style="font-style:normal">
                      👀
                     </span>
                     <span style="font-style:italic">
                      Today's Research
                     </span>
                    </mj-raw>
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span style="background-color:#EFFF0D;display:inline">
                     Ray Dalio’s All-Weather Portfolio Works In Any Market –
And This Tweak Makes It Even Better
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
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                      <img alt="Research" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FRDrop-Cover-Landscape-RayDalio.original.jpg%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D929b596a8bb28dd13e05f6125caa17ba/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjMxOTM5MDUuNzk2NzY0OX0:1vKBHN:RIqp3cGNEOGP-POziXgFnTd6_JH9_effxxMd1TNgH28" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="536"/>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <p data-block-key="pr7ai">
                    Done well,
                    <a>
                     diversification
                    </a>
                    involves more than just mixing your stocks with some bonds.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="48fa0">
                    <a>
                     Ray Dalio
                    </a>
                    actually made an art form of it: his
                    <a>
                     All-Weather Portfolio
                    </a>
                    spreads risk across economic scenarios like inflation, deflation, growth, and slowdowns. That made for a far more resilient investing mix.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="5vrcj">
                    But you can improve on it even more by layering a simple
                    <a>
                     trend filter
                    </a>
                    on top.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8du67">
                    Do that, and your portfolio’s risk-adjusted returns get
                    <a>
                     a serious boost
                    </a>
                    : drawdowns shrink, the ride gets smoother, and you won’t miss much upside, either.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="29snr">
                    So, let me show you how
                    <a>
                     the strategy
                    </a>
                    works, how to build it with ETFs (or futures if you want to go bigger), and how that one tweak can turn your steady portfolio into a far smarter one.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6dnir">
                    That’s today’s Research:
                    <a>
                     how to use a simple trend filter to improve Dalio’s famous portfolio
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7paha">
                    <a>
                     Read or listen to the Research here
                    </a>
                   </p>
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                         Reda
Farran, CFA
                        </a>
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                    Case in point: private equity — those shiny, often lucrative opportunities usually reserved for the ultra-wealthy.
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                     Three Sheets To The Wind
                    </span>
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                   <p data-block-key="ktdz6">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="dl6k8">
                    China’s economy was left swaying in October, hit by three strong gusts: limp consumer spending, flagging factories, and a property sector still leaking below the waterline.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="89rsl">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="c2oh5">
                    🔻 Overall investment across “fixed assets”, which includes real estate and infrastructure, has now dropped 1.7% this year – its steepest slide since 2020.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="d2rc">
                    🔻 If you zoom in on the real estate part, you’ll see an average drop of
                    <i>
                     14.7%
                    </i>
                    in the ten months through October.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="5029t">
                    🔻 Output from China’s important manufacturing sector dipped sharply, and exports
shrank for the first time in almost two years as trade tensions with the US ground on.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9s9mb">
                    🔻 Retail sales rose just 2.9% from last year, slowing for the fifth month in a row and barely keeping pace with inflation.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6trud">
                    ► Still, analysts are betting that the economy’s
                    <i>
                     just
                    </i>
                    strong enough to hit the government’s 5% growth target for the year.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="5noc1">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7po51">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For
markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Keep your eye on the horizon.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bf0n3">
                    The Chinese economy’s weakness runs deep. Just look at steel output, which dropped 12% in October – its steepest fall in three years. With developers still underwater and new projects at a standstill, demand for raw materials has simply dried up.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1df4n">
                    ► That’s a red flag for investors betting on a China-driven rebound. Commodities, construction, and China-focused emerging market ETFs could
all struggle if the country’s economy stays this unsteady.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2svcr">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming out:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Big economies love a good power play.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ercsv">
                    Even amid these woes, China’s focusing on powering its economy for the long haul by steadily building out coal, nuclear, and renewable energy facilities. The country’s hoping to gain an edge in the AI infrastructure race – and it’s moving faster on that front than the States. Goldman Sachs expects China to
have
                    <i>
                     three times
                    </i>
                    the energy that global data centers need by 2030, just as America’s power grid starts to struggle.
                   </p>
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                     ✨
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                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     🖋️
                    </span>
                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     Quote
of the day
                    </span>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <strong>
                    "You can't be brave if you've only had wonderful things happen to you."
                   </strong>
                   — Mary Tyler Moore (an American actor)
                  </div>
                 </td>
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               </tbody>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <h3 data-block-key="osjbh">
                    <b>
                     The best investing opportunities don’t shout about themselves.
                    </b>
                   </h3>
                   <p data-block-key="3adme">
                    Ray Dillet from Bitwise has spent years finding them – across hedge funds, crypto, and now Europe’s biggest bitcoin
exchange-traded product (ETP). It’s why we just had to include him in our
                    <a>
                     Modern Investor Summit
                    </a>
                    lineup.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="dlhtu">
                    In his session, he’ll skip over all the hype and share the still-quiet trends that might soon make noise. If you’re looking to spot the next big things – before everyone else catches on –
                    <a>
                     come hear what he has to say.
                    </a>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2rq1m">
                    Check out
                    <a>
                     Bitwise
                    </a>
                    and join our
                    <a>
                     Modern Investor Summit
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
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    <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="width:100%;">
     <tbody>
      <tr>
       <td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:20px 0;padding-bottom:24px;padding-left:16px;padding-right:16px;padding-top:0;text-align:center;">
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         <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="width:100%;">
          <tbody>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
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              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="vertical-align:top;" width="100%">
               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0px;word-break:break-word;">
                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;text-transform:uppercase;color:#030303;">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     🎯
                    </span>
                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     On Our
Radar
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
            </td>
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          </tbody>
         </table>
        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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</td></tr><tr><td class="" width="600px">
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:568px;" width="568"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
        <div style="margin:0px auto;max-width:568px;">
         <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="width:100%;">
          <tbody>
           <tr>
            <td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:20px 0;padding-bottom:32px;padding-top:8px;text-align:center;">
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:568px;">
<![endif]-->
             <div class="mj-column-per-100 mj-outlook-group-fix" style="font-size:0px;text-align:left;direction:ltr;display:inline-block;vertical-align:top;width:100%;">
              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
                   <tbody>
                    <tr>
                     <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
                      <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        1.
                        <b>
                         They’re cute, they’re fluffy, they’re total menaces.
                        </b>
                        Here’s why
                        <a>
                         squirrels drive everyone nuts
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="1ju53">
                        2.
                        <b>
                         That explains a lot.
                        </b>
                        It’s
                        <a>
                         never been easier
                        </a>
                        to be a conspiracy theorist.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="316mm">
                        3.
                        <b>
                         Welcome to the neighborhood – sign this kindness contract.
                        </b>
                        In this California neighborhood,
                        <a>
                         being nice is literally required
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
            </td>
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        </div>
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<![endif]-->
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              Stay classy,
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              😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
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              ,
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               Russell
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              , and
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               Theodora
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              .
Got an idea? A question?
              <a>
               Get in touch
              </a>
              .
             </div>
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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                <td align="center" bgcolor="#f8f9ff" role="presentation" style="border:none;border-radius:4px;cursor:auto;mso-padding-alt:10px 25px;background:#f8f9ff;" valign="middle">
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600" bgcolor="#f8f9ff"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
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