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   Daily 2026-03-06
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   Plus, the Polymarket problem | Your Daily Brief is ready |
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               Fri, Mar 6 | 2:50 read time
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                   Together with
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                     WHAT'S
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                       All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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                       <tbody>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.58% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          6,830
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.92% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          $5,087
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          1.58% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          $71,534
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                       </tbody>
                      </table>
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                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
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                 <td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
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                   <tbody>
                    <tr>
                     <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
                      <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
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                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          1.45% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          10,414
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          2.97% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          $83.82
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.04% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          4.13%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                </tr>
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                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
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                     <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F135%252F526%252F150%252FkW7yv9eBdzpbyqVxQNLRwa5Px%252F97a43b64e5d33eda3ebe09b6a0012519d6554eef.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D9bd8ef6f52704f1ead10e4963e7af06a/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzI3NTM5NDQuOTAyMTg3Nn0:1vyIHY:AAPLWxJFiRpHGebIRU9A-ve5-bR1ziqrnAHw-C4lQGY" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="536"/>
                    </td>
                   </tr>
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                      <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        🇨🇳 After years of shooting for the same number, China pulled its economic growth target down
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="3eij">
                        📈 Trading volumes on
prediction markets exploded
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="c8ui4">
                        ➕ The markets have been throwing haymakers... here’s what investors can do
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="s5mb">
                        <b>
                         👇 Keep reading to find out more
                        </b>
                       </p>
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                       <img alt="Settling Down" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252Feditorial-050326-chinaGDP.original.png%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253Da6bb52e81b0ea708f06b02f40b84792b/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzI3NTM5NDQuOTAyMzQ4OH0:1vyIHY:zfRcRdUd143NqGyOgQnr5-rCVWkVc0znVXTao9hunY4" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="568"/>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <p data-block-key="lan76">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="efml">
                    China pulled this year’s economic target to its lowest range since 1991 – lowering its standards after running out of decent options, much like anyone who’s ever spent too long on dating
apps.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3plep">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="10pvj">
                    China’s stuck to the same annual target since 2023: a clean 5%. But this year, it’ll take a rate as low as 4.5%. You can’t blame the government for settling: Chinese consumers are keeping their wallets firmly closed, while tariffs and geopolitical tensions are complicating international trade.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cbb8d">
                    ▶ The country refused to lower its inflation target, though. China wants consumer
prices to rise by around 2% this year – which might be optimistic, given that they barely budged last year.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4s2l8">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2b50">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming in:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Build it and they… might come.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2jo6l">
                    For decades, China’s economy coasted on the success of the country’s property market. Ongoing development kept the construction industry busy, created jobs, and pushed money around the economy. But a few years back,
tougher borrowing rules and falling demand for housing left developers stuck with empty buildings and mounting debt. That weighed house prices down – pulling homeowners’ financial confidence and spending levels with them.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="fdarr">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      The bigger picture:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     China’s putting itself first.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="d8dga">
                    This week’s announcements made one thing clear: China’s taking steps to become more self-sufficient.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="69fe0">
                    ▶ For one, it’s
upping defense spending by 7% – and if it shops local, that’d help the economy.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3633p">
                    ▶ For another, the country just revealed a new five-year plan to rely on domestic firms for its tech ambitions – not least related to AI.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="31bqg">
                    ▶ And finally, the government has reportedly told its biggest oil refiners to stop exporting the slippery stuff, eager to build some reserves in case conflict in the Middle East continues to tamp down supply.
                   </p>
                  </div>
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                   <h2 data-block-key="25q00">
                    Traditional 60/40 portfolios aren’t working like they used to
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                    Stocks and bonds are increasingly moving in the same direction, leaving you more vulnerable than you might think.
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                     How To Invest When Markets Are Feeling… Punchy
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                   <p data-block-key="pr7ai">
                    No one rolls with all the punches
                    <a>
                     in the market
                    </a>
                    .
Even the most experienced investors take one on the chin when the swings start flying.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8f2d9">
                    And lately, markets have been throwing some
                    <a>
                     haymakers
                    </a>
                    – sudden reversals, sharp selloffs, and crowded trades unwinding.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6rbhh">
                    So, let’s talk about how to stay
                    <a>
                     on your feet
                    </a>
                    when the markets get dicey.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="af1kh">
                    That’s today’s Insight:
                    <a>
                     how to invest when the markets start
swinging
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
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                      Read or listen to the Insight here
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                    </a>
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                        <a style="color:#4C5469;font-weight:400">
                         Russell
Burns
                        </a>
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                     👀
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                     Today's headlines
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                    <span style="background-color:#EFFF0D;display:inline">
                     Wanna Bet?
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
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                      <a target="_blank">
                       <img alt="Wanna Bet?" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252Feditorial-050326-polymarket_1.original.png%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D7ee46f33c8f64ac13a7fe79bc23ad4d7/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzI3NTM5NDQuOTAzMDkxMn0:1vyIHY:3zSCTReiqKrAXhVaPpX0TpX_hzE8eTaujVJs6G_Mzt0" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="568"/>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <p data-block-key="talxj">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1i233">
                    Some platforms are betting that people will bet on... just about anything, raising big questions over their regulation.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7t8je">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="clkv1">
                    Even if you’re not the wagering type, you’ve probably heard of Polymarket. It’s one of the biggest “prediction markets” out there – basically, platforms where you can place bets on all kinds of things. And we mean
                    <i>
                     all
                    </i>
                    kinds…
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7b36g">
                    ▶ On the one hand, there’s which movie will win best picture, how a song will perform on Spotify, or – uh – if the US president will
                    <a>
                     take
                    </a>
                    a sip of water. But on the other, there are more serious topics like elections, economic data, and even
                    <a>
                     war
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="brecj">
                    🔺 All things considered, prediction platforms are booming right now: the total value of bets made topped $23 billion in February, a blistering rise from around $2 billion a year
back.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="f8lq7">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="n7gq">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming in:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     A rose by any other name.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3mmlq">
                    Prediction platforms have been around for a while, but regulators still haven’t worked out how to categorize them. And whether they’re deemed financial products, gambling tools, or something more political will determine which rules and regulations apply. No wonder some countries, including the UK, have just blocked some
of them entirely.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cath3">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming out:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Here’s the problem.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bdcdo">
                    On these platforms, folks can trade anonymously. And without the potential for consequences, it’s almost impossible to stop those with privileged information from cashing in on their knowledge. But if prediction markets were regulated like investments, that could count as insider trading. Between that and the unscrupulous bets currently available, regulatory changes
could come any day.
                   </p>
                  </div>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   You might also like ⇢
                   <a>
                    Prediction Markets Are Booming. Here Are The
Risks.
                   </a>
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                      <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                       <h2 data-block-key="fecbe">
                        If gold is going to sit next to your stocks and bonds, it deserves a proper investment case.
                       </h2>
                       <p data-block-key="4vccp">
                        <a>
                         Our guide
                        </a>
                        delivers exactly that: the global forces that move gold, how it behaves in stressful periods, and the pros and cons of owning it via coins, ETFs, futures, or mining stocks.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="9c8qm">
                        <a>
                         Read it for free to upgrade your gold strategy
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
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                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     ✨
                    </span>
                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Sarah's Digest
                    </span>
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                    Amazon Cuts Robotics Roles As AI Efficiency Push
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                    Spain Inc. Juggles Strategy Shifts, Energy
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               <tbody>
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                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     🖋️
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                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     Quote
of the day
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
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                   <strong>
                    "An optimist is a fellow who believes a housefly is looking for a way to get out."
                   </strong>
                   – George Jean Nathan (an American critic and magazine editor)
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     🎯
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                     On Our
Radar
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                 <td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
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                   <tbody>
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                      <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        <b>
                         1. No sting in the tail.
                        </b>
                        Mermaiding holidays are the latest
                        <a>
                         immersive fantasy experience
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="8r2c2">
                        <b>
                         2. Picture an apple.
                        </b>
                        Some people can’t – and the reasons why can tell us about
                        <a>
                         the nature of consciousness
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="56tdd">
                        <b>
                         3. Treat yourself.
                        </b>
                        What you choose to “self-gift”
                        <a>
                         says a lot about you
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
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                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
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              Stay classy,
              <mj-raw>
               Sarah
              </mj-raw>
              😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Naomi
              </a>
              and
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Russell
              </a>
              . Got an idea? A question?
              <a>
               Get in touch
              </a>
              .
             </div>
            </td>
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