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   DealBook: Middle East turmoil threatens global growth
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   Also, Andre Iguodala is leaving the N.B.A. for Silicon Valley.
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             October 20, 2023
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              Good morning. DealBook is the first to report that Andre Iguodala, the N.B.A. All-Star, is retiring from pro basketball to focus on venture capital. More on that, and the economic consequences of two wars, below. (Was this newsletter forwarded to you?
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              )
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                  President Biden is expected to ask Congress to approve a $100 billion aid package that includes new support for Israel and Ukraine.
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             Fed warns of more risks from Mideast conflict
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             President Biden used a rare address from the Oval Office last night
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              to urge Americans to support war efforts in Israel and Ukraine
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             , as Israeli troops amassed ahead of a possible ground invasion of the Gaza Strip and exchanged fire with Hezbollah forces near the border with Lebanon.
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             Worries are growing about how much the turmoil could cost the global economy. Biden is expected to ask Congress to approve $14 billion in military aid for Israel and $60 billion for Ukraine — no easy task with the House still without a leader — as part of a jumbo $100 billion aid package.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              The risk of wider conflict is again roiling the markets.
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             A U.S. Navy warship shot down missiles and drones launched by Iran-backed Houthi militants in Yemen, and American military bases in Syria and Iraq have come under drone attack, too.
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             Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, hit a three-week high this morning over fears that a military escalation could disrupt already tight supplies. Asian and European stocks and U.S. futures were in the red, adding to yesterday’s losses.
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              The Fed is watching the region closely.
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             In
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              a speech
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             largely focused on inflation, interest rates and economic growth, Jay Powell, the central bank’s chair, warned yesterday that “geopolitical tensions are highly elevated and pose important risks to global economic activity.”
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              The Middle East is becoming a wild card for the global economy.
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             Rising oil prices could push up inflation, hindering central banks’ efforts to bring down prices. Higher energy costs could also force businesses and consumers to cut back on spending. That would probably sap growth but might also slow the economy enough to negate the need for an additional interest-rate increase.
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             The Fed, Powell said, would “monitor these developments for their economic implications, which remain highly uncertain.”
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              Powell had a more immediate concern:
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             that the economy might be running too hot — consumers are spending and hiring remains brisk — despite a rapid rise in interest rates to a range of 5.25 to 5.5 percent. Policymakers remain divided over whether to raise rates at least one more time.
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             Powell
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              reiterated
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             that he’s in the wait-and-see camp. There was a steep sell-off in bonds yesterday after his speech, with the yield on the 30-year Treasury coming within a tick of the 16-year high of 5 percent.
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               In related news: Intel and Siemens joined an exodus of companies and investors who have
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                pulled out
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               of the Web Summit technology conference in Lisbon next month, following comments by the event’s C.E.O. that were widely criticized by supporters of Israel. And the European Commission has given Meta and TikTok
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                until Oct. 25
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               to detail how they are monitoring Israel-Hamas war misinformation on their social networks, as required by the recent Digital Services Act.
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             HERE’S WHAT’S HAPPENING
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Jim Jordan pursues another run at House speaker.
             </span>
             The far-right Ohio lawmaker pushed for a
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              third vote to become leader
             </a>
             , scheduled for 10 a.m. Eastern, after his supporters rebelled against efforts to empower the interim speaker, Representative Patrick McHenry, to lead legislative business for a short time. Jordan appears set to lose again, prolonging the paralysis.
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              The Hollywood actors’ union insists there’s no movement in talks with studios.
             </span>
             Fran Drescher, the president of SAG-AFTRA, said an unusual proposal led by George Clooney to have A-list stars
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              defray $150 million in costs
             </a>
             for media companies by paying higher dues — a plan meant to help end the strike —
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              didn’t alter the state of negotiations
             </a>
             . “What we are fighting for in terms of benefits has to remain in this contract,” Drescher said.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Sidney Powell pleads guilty in Georgia’s election fraud case.
             </span>
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              The move by Powell
             </a>
             , who was part of Donald Trump’s legal team in 2020, means she is likely to testify against the former president about accusations he tried to subvert the state’s election results. Her testimony could also aid the federal election case against Trump.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              China limits exports of a crucial material for electric vehicle batteries.
             </span>
             Beijing, which dominates global production of graphite, will now
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              require special permits
             </a>
             from producers to ship it overseas because of what it says are national security concerns. The measures were announced days after the U.S. imposed tighter restrictions on sales of more advanced semiconductors to China.
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                  Andre Iguodala is retiring from the N.B.A. to pursue his other passion: investing in start-ups.
                 </span>
                 <span style="margin:0;font:normal 11px georgia,serif;padding-left:5px;color:#888;letter-spacing:.01em">
                  Clara Mokri for The New York Times
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            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             Iguodala goes from the hardwood to the boardroom
            </h2>
           </td>
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         </tbody>
        </table>
       </div>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             For nearly two decades, Andre Iguodala established a reputation as one of the N.B.A.’s most versatile players, an All-Star and Olympic gold medalist who racked up four championships with the Golden State Warriors.
            </p>
           </td>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             Now, Iguodala has told DealBook exclusively that he is retiring from pro basketball to focus on his other career: start-up investor. He will run Mosaic, a $200 million venture capital fund that he just raised with his longtime business partner, Rudy Cline-Thomas.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Iguodala’s disclosure ends years of speculation.
             </span>
             The 39-year-old had suggested that last year’s season would be his last, only to
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              shoot down rumors
             </a>
             about it earlier this year. But now is the time to hang up his sneakers. “It’s been a blessing to play for that long,” he told DealBook. (He hasn’t fully come to grips with it yet: “I don’t know if it’s actually hit me yet,” he said.)
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              He’s embracing his next act.
             </span>
             Though he and Cline-Thomas had begun buying tech stocks in 2010, the two dived deeply into start-ups when he joined the Warriors in 2013. “When I initially went out to the Bay Area, it was my intent to have success on and off the court,” Iguodala said. “I thought about how to get access.”
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             That led to meetings with venture capital firms like Andreessen Horowitz, and then to taking stakes in start-ups, including Zoom and the cybersecurity provider Cloudflare.
            </p>
           </td>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              It is a model now followed by many pro athletes,
             </span>
             from the N.F.L.’s Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers to Iguodala’s longtime Warriors teammate Steph Curry. “Athletes are becoming smarter and smarter,” Iguodala said, asserting that their competitiveness and an ability to speak to audiences help to sell and scale products.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Mosaic is now his focus.
             </span>
             The firm will home in on seed- and early-stage investments in enterprise software, fintech health care and sports companies. Iguodala and Cline-Thomas closed Mosaic’s first fund — whose investors included endowments, institutions and founders of companies they have already backed — in May.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             Mosaic’s investments include Vessel, a builder of modular multifamily homes, and Athletes First, an N.F.L. talent agency and management firm.
            </p>
           </td>
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        </table>
       </div>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Sports franchise ownership is another focus.
             </span>
             Iguodala is a co-owner of Leeds United, an English soccer club; Bay Area F.C., the National Women’s Soccer League team; and, along with former teammates Curry and Klay Thompson, the San Francisco branch of TGL, the upstart golf league co-founded by Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             Iguodala’s highest aspiration? Owning an N.B.A. team. “The timing has to be right,” he said, but “that’s definitely the ultimate goal.”
            </p>
           </td>
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           <td align="left">
            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             “The disruption to an already difficult business model is real. … This is a post-social web.”
            </h2>
           </td>
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        </table>
       </div>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              —
             </span>
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
               Adrienne LaFrance
              </a>
             </span>
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              , executive editor of The Atlantic. Media executives have come to the realization that traffic to their websites from tech giants like Google and Meta’s Facebook is in sharp decline, and probably won’t rebound.
             </span>
            </p>
           </td>
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           </td>
          </tr>
         </tbody>
        </table>
       </div>
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           <td align="left">
            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             A new push for net neutrality
            </h2>
           </td>
          </tr>
         </tbody>
        </table>
       </div>
       <div style="margin:0 auto;max-width:600px;width:100%">
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         <tbody>
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           <td align="left">
            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             The Federal Communications Commission has revived a plan to restore so-called
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              net neutrality rules
             </a>
             , reigniting a fight over how Washington regulates internet services and whether the web should be treated as a utility.
            </p>
           </td>
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        </table>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              The Democrat-led agency voted along party lines
             </span>
             . Commissioners voted 3-2 to revive Obama-era regulations that prohibited broadband providers, such as Comcast, Charter Communications and AT&amp;T, from blocking or slowing down services like Google and Netflix that compete with them. The Trump administration had repealed the rules, saying they were an example of regulatory overreach.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              The rules let the F.C.C. treat the internet like a utility
             </span>
             , like a water or electricity provider. Jessica Rosenworcel, chair of the F.C.C., said the importance of internet access was illustrated during the Covid pandemic. Broadband access became a necessity for work and education but the regulator was unable to police providers to ensure quality service, she said.
            </p>
           </td>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             The agency will be able to monitor the companies for net-neutrality violations, consumer harm and security lapses. This could include forcing internet providers to lower rates that the F.C.C. deems unreasonable.
            </p>
           </td>
          </tr>
         </tbody>
        </table>
       </div>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Republicans and the cable companies vowed to fight the move.
             </span>
             Brendan Carr, a Republican F.C.C. commissioner, said the rules were counterproductive and that internet service had improved for consumers when the rules weren’t in place.
            </p>
           </td>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             USTelecom, a cable industry trade group, warned of “mission creep” by the F.C.C. into cybersecurity. Internet providers said they would challenge the policy change, including through lawsuits all the way up to the Supreme Court.
            </p>
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            <h3 style="color:#000;font:700 17px/25px arial,sans-serif;margin:8px 0 25px 0;letter-spacing:.2px">
             THE SPEED READ
            </h3>
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Deals
             </span>
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             <li class="css-11scvta" style="line-height:27.5px;margin:0 0 10px 0">
              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               Video game publishers are sitting on
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                $45 billion in cash
               </a>
               , potentially fueling more consolidation in the industry after Microsoft closed its $69 billion takeover of Activision Blizzard. (CNBC)
              </span>
             </li>
             <li class="css-11scvta" style="line-height:27.5px;margin:0 0 10px 0">
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               Thrive Capital, the venture capital firm led by Josh Kushner, is reportedly leading talks to
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                buy shares of OpenAI
               </a>
               at a valuation of more than $80 billion. (The Information)
              </span>
             </li>
             <li class="css-11scvta" style="line-height:27.5px;margin:0 0 10px 0">
              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               U.S. banking giants have shed a
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                combined 20,000 jobs
               </a>
               so far this year. (CNBC)
              </span>
             </li>
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               Investors in the U.S. and Europe have
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                sold $5.1 billion worth of shares
               </a>
               in major Chinese tech companies, including Alibaba and Tencent, over the past two months. (Bloomberg)
              </span>
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Policy
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             <li class="css-11scvta" style="line-height:27.5px;margin:0 0 10px 0">
              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               The S.E.C. will
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                drop lawsuits
               </a>
               against two crypto executives over trading of the digital token XRP. (WSJ)
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                Mike Huckabee
               </a>
               , the former Arkansas governor, is the latest author to sue tech companies including Meta and Microsoft, for training A.I. tools on their published works without compensation. (The Verge)
              </span>
             </li>
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               Was Peter Thiel a
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                confidential F.B.I informant
               </a>
               ? (Insider)
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              Best of the rest
             </span>
            </p>
           </td>
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               Jon Stewart’s talk show on Apple TV+ has ended amid creative disagreements over
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                how to handle topics
               </a>
               including China and artificial intelligence. (NYT)
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             </li>
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                CVS withdrew several popular decongestants
               </a>
               from sale after an F.D.A. advisory panel found that their main ingredient, phenylephrine, didn’t work. (WSJ)
              </span>
             </li>
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               The El Niño weather phenomenon and rising ocean temperatures are set to bring a
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                warmer, wetter winter
               </a>
               to the U.S. this year. (Axios)
              </span>
             </li>
             <li class="css-11scvta" style="line-height:27.5px;margin:0 0 10px 0">
              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               “The Battle Over
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                Rewards Points
               </a>
               ” (NYT)
              </span>
             </li>
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