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   DealBook: Our summit speaker list
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             October 18, 2022
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               Goldman Sachs reported
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                  The DealBook Summit returns, in person.
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                  Valerie Plesch for The New York Times
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             Meet our 2022 conference speakers
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             This morning we are pleased to announce our lineup for the
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              DealBook Summit
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             , to be held at Lincoln Center in New York City on Nov. 30. Andrew will host a series of conversations with the biggest newsmakers in the world of business, politics and culture.
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             Among the speakers: President
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              Volodymyr Zelensky
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             of Ukraine; Treasury Secretary
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              Janet Yellen
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             ;
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              Mark Zuckerberg,
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             Meta’s co-founder, chairman and C.E.O.;
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              Shou Zi Chew,
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             TikTok’s C.E.O.;
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              Mike Pence,
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             former vice president of the United States;
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              Andy Jassy,
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             Amazon’s C.E.O.;
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              Reed Hastings,
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             Netflix’s co-founder and co-C.E.O.; Mayor
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              Eric Adams
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             of New York;
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Larry Fink
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             , BlackRock’s chairman and C.E.O.;
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              Sam Bankman-Fried
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             , FTX’s C.E.O.; and
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              Priscilla Sims Brown
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             , Amalgamated Bank’s C.E.O.
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             You can register to join us in person
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             HERE’S WHAT’S HAPPENING
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              Continental Resources shares jump on its founder’s takeover bid.
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             The oil billionaire Harold Hamm said yesterday that he planned to buy the 17 percent of Continental that he doesn’t own
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              for about $4.3 billion
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             . But Smead Capital, the company’s biggest outside shareholder, said the
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              price of $74.28 a share was too low
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             .
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              Exxon Mobil says Russia forcefully took its biggest oil field there.
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             The oil giant said it had fully exited the country — and accused Moscow of
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             in the Sakhalin-1 oil and gas project. The declaration may hint at Exxon seeking damages in international arbitration.
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              The E.U. reportedly weighs helping pay for Ukraine’s Starlink service.
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             European officials are
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              drawing up options
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             to fund the use of the SpaceX satellite internet offering, according to The Financial Times. Elon Musk said over the weekend that SpaceX would cover the costs — but the E.U. is reportedly worried he may change his mind.
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              Moderna plans to reserve up to 100 million Covid vaccines for poor countries.
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             The drugmaker said it would sell doses that target coronavirus variants to the
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              vaccine alliance Gavi
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             at the lowest of its listed prices. The shots will be distributed through Covax, the W.H.O.-backed initiative that has already supplied 1.8 billion doses.
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              Intel is said to weigh a lower valuation for its autonomous driving unit’s I.P.O.
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             The company may seek to value Mobileye at
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              less than $20 billion
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             , down from over $50 billion, and sell fewer shares in the business, according to The Wall Street Journal. It’s the latest sign of gloom for the I.P.O. market, which has suffered amid stock market turmoil this year.
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             The U.K. returns from the fiscal brink — for now
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             The British pound and government bonds remained stable today, after the country’s new finance minister, Jeremy Hunt,
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              reversed a package of unfunded tax cuts
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             and promised to shore up Britain’s public finances. But a move by the country’s central bank shows there’s more work to do.
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              The Bank of England is likely to delay “quantitative tightening,”
             </span>
             the sale of billions of pounds worth of government bonds, according to The Financial Times.
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              The delay
             </a>
             , the second in as many months, is meant to keep the market for so-called gilts stable, after the central bank was forced to intervene to halt fire sales of government bonds by pension funds. (The Bank of England said
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              it hadn’t decided
             </a>
             whether to delay the bond sales.)
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              Meanwhile, Prime Minister Liz Truss remains under pressure,
             </span>
             despite the recent calm in the markets. Truss apologized for the chaos her proposed tax cuts spurred — she had gone “
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              too far, too fast
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             ,” she told the BBC — but insisted she would continue to lead the ruling Conservative Party.
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             Yet Truss was barely present at a session of Parliament yesterday, even as an ally insisted she was not “
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              hiding under a desk
             </a>
             .”
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              Business leaders said they remained concerned about the government’s stability,
             </span>
             pointing out that while Hunt had rolled back the most contentious tax cuts, he had yet to present more substantive plans for the future, including how deeply he will seek to
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              cut British public spending
             </a>
             . And economists now expect Britain to enter a
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              deeper recession than previously forecast
             </a>
             , as a
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              direct result of the turmoil
             </a>
             caused by the now-dead tax cuts.
            </p>
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            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             China’s economic data dump that wasn’t
            </h2>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             China watchers and economists are trying to make sense of Beijing’s stunning move to
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              delay publication
             </a>
             of key economic data, including third-quarter G.D.P., that was due to be released today. Several experts weighed in on whether the world’s second-biggest economy is in even worse shape than expected.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Delays like this don’t really happen.
             </span>
             “I’ve not come across before a situation where a whole raft of statistical reporting has just been postponed, in nearly half a century of monitoring data releases — not even in times of pestilence and conflict,” George Magnus, an associate at the China Center at Oxford University,
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              told The Times
             </a>
             .
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             Under Xi, the party has
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              reasserted its control over the economy
             </a>
             , and he
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              mentioned Marx more than markets
             </a>
             in his keynote speech last Sunday — a signal that ideological conviction supersedes economic concerns.
            </p>
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       </div>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             “What’s most important is not the economy — it’s the Party Congress,” Hongbin Li, co-director at the Stanford Center on China’s Economy and Institutions, told DealBook.
            </p>
           </td>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              The economy is taking a hammering.
             </span>
             China has been pummeled by a slowdown in its
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              property sector
             </a>
             , which accounted for up to a quarter of G.D.P., and Covid lockdowns.
            </p>
           </td>
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       </div>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             The delay suggests third-quarter data could be even worse than economists’ forecasts. The full-year 2022 growth target of 5.5 percent would be the slowest expansion in three decades.
            </p>
           </td>
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         </tbody>
        </table>
       </div>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             “The fact that they don’t even release the numbers means that the numbers are so pessimistic that it’s hard for them to even massage it into a slightly positive number,” said Victor Shih, an expert in Chinese fiscal policy at the University of California, San Diego.
            </p>
           </td>
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         </tbody>
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       </div>
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           <td align="left">
            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Why haven’t markets
             </span>
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              reacted?
             </span>
             “We know that China is no longer the major growth engine of the world, and we do not expect China to return to anywhere near its old growth trend in the future,” said Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg Bank.
            </p>
           </td>
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           </td>
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        </table>
       </div>
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           <td align="left">
            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             “Parents realize that fencing is one of the best sports to put your child in a good university, because each good school, especially Ivy League schools, have fencing.”
            </h2>
           </td>
          </tr>
         </tbody>
        </table>
       </div>
       <div style="margin:0 auto;max-width:600px;width:100%">
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              —
             </span>
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
               Yury Gelman
              </a>
             </span>
             <span style="font-style:italic;font-size:inherit">
              , the founder of the Manhattan Fencing Center, on why some parents are willing to put up with the high costs associated with enrolling their children in fencing programs.
             </span>
            </p>
           </td>
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       </div>
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            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             Credit Suisse’s latest headache: retail investors
            </h2>
           </td>
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       <div style="margin:0 auto;max-width:600px;width:100%">
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             The meme-stock army found a new plaything over the last month: Switzerland’s oldest bank, Credit Suisse. The 166-year-old lender is a relatively easy target after decades of scandals, including its
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              debacle last year with the collapsed hedge fund Archegos Capital Management
             </a>
             . Investors are awaiting a turnaround plan, to be unveiled next week, which,
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Bloomberg reports this morning
             </a>
             , could involve the sale of its U.S. asset management business and the departure of Christian Meissner, C.E.O. of its investment bank.
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              The stock price sank to a record low last month, before rebounding by nearly 15 percent.
             </span>
             One possible explanation for the volatility: Retail investors, banding together on stock forums such as Reddit’s WallStreetBets, have been talking the bank’s prospects
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              up
             </a>
             and
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              down
             </a>
             since the beginning of October, according to Breakout Point, which tracks social media mentions of stocks.
            </p>
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             <tbody>
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               <td align="center" style="width:100%;padding:0;line-height:1;text-align:center" width="100%">
                <img class="css-17i7zb3" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fstatic01.nyt.com%252Fimages%252F2022%252F10%252F18%252Fbusiness%252F18DB-Reddit-final%252F18DB-Reddit-final-articleLarge.png/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZzdGF0aWMwMS5ueSJ9:1okl6C:EOwZep3Ck9xq-nYZpofiJWa-lI5aAAu4kT9rhpvtEaM" style="width:83%;max-width:500px;display:inline-block;height:auto;padding-top:15px;padding-bottom:0;line-height:0"/>
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                 </span>
                 <span style="margin:0;font:normal 11px georgia,serif;padding-left:0;color:#888;letter-spacing:.01em">
                  The New York Times
                 </span>
                </span>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             The Times’s
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Maureen Farrell, Emily Flitter and Joe Rennison
             </a>
             tracked down one social media user who goes by Wall Street Silver on Twitter. He fired off a tweet doubting the bank would survive that was viewed thousands of times. Ivan Ćosović, Breakout Point’s founder, marveled that the social media brigade has been paying so much attention to Credit Suisse, even calling it “Debit Suisse.”
            </p>
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             “It was/is an interesting meme case,” Ćosović told DealBook. “Retail investors were all over developments in CS.”
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            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             Treasury takes on climate risk in Ian’s aftermath
            </h2>
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             As homeowners and businesses continue to tally the losses from last month’s Hurricane Ian, the Treasury Department’s insurance arm is for the first time exercising its authority under the 2010 Dodd-Frank Wall Street reform law to collect data from insurers on climate-related financial risk. In a proposal,
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              shared first with DealBook
             </a>
             , the Federal Insurance Office says it plans to gather information from major property and casualty insurers on every ZIP code across the country for the last five years, to establish where climate change is making insurance for property owners unaffordable or inaccessible.
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             Last year, the Financial Stability Oversight Council, a group of regulators tasked with assessing risks to stability, deemed climate change an “emerging and increasing threat” to the nation’s financial soundness.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              But there is little comprehensive data
             </span>
             on just how the increase in extreme weather is transforming the insurance industry, Treasury officials said, and in view of the recent storm in Florida, this information is vital to mitigating risks.
            </p>
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             This morning, the insurer Swiss Re
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              told investors
             </a>
             that it estimated its preliminary customer claims from Hurricane Ian to be $1.3 billion, forcing it to book an expected $500 million quarterly loss.
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Hurricane Ian, which landed in Florida and South Carolina in September,
             </span>
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              may become
             </span>
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
               one of the priciest
              </a>
             </span>
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              such storms on record
             </span>
             , and Florida is one of the places that is becoming less insurable
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              .
             </span>
             Though experts say
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              pricing climate risk will only get trickier
             </a>
             as extreme weather picks up, the Treasury hopes that getting granular information will help the federal government better manage this threat. “The recent impacts in Florida from Hurricane Ian demonstrate the critical nature of this work and the need for an increased understanding of insurance market vulnerabilities,” Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a statement.
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               Private equity firms are circling companies that
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                went public during the pandemic-era stock boom
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               , the executive chairman of JPMorgan Chase’s investment and corporate banking, will retire next year. (WSJ)
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                plans to push Coca-Cola
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               to step up its efforts to get all its cans and bottles recycled. (Semafor)
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               Questions about
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                who will next lead the I.R.S.
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               are clouding the future of an $80 billion overhaul of the tax agency. (NYT)
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               Texas securities regulators are
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                investigating the crypto exchange FTX
               </a>
               . (Barron’s)
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               Pushback from U.S. regulators may force Boeing to
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                redesign the 737 Max, again
               </a>
               . (Bloomberg)
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               Newly released records show Donald Trump’s family business charged the Secret Service for hotel rooms at
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                well above government rates
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               . (NYT)
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               An international banking alliance said its members can
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                ignore a proposal
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               that would require firms to stop funding fossil-fuel companies. (Bloomberg)
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               , a banking start-up pitched to conservatives, resigned amid the firm’s business struggles. (WSJ)
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                conservative radio juggernaut
               </a>
               . (NYT)
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               Bernard Arnault, the billionaire C.E.O. of LVMH, said he now
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                rents private jets
               </a>
               so the public can’t track the corporate plane: “No one can see where I go.” (Bloomberg)
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