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   DealBook: Prime minister wanted
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             October 21, 2022
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                  A swift end to a short tenure.
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            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             ‘We don’t need any more Cirque du Soleil’
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             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Liz Truss is out
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             as Britain’s prime minister, ending a 44-day tenure punctuated by market turmoil and a humiliating U-turn on nearly all her major policies. The country’s news media had a
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              field
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             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              day
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             with her
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              departure
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             , but the leadership vacuum created by her exit leaves real questions about what lies ahead for Britain’s economy and business community.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              The U.K.’s already embattled economy needs government stability, fast.
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             After initially improving on the Truss news, the pound and British government bond yields
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              gave up their gains
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             . Markets are already wary of what the next prime minister — who would be its third this year (potentially; more on that below) — will put forth, though it’s unlikely that person would propose anything like Truss’s highly unpopular and unfunded tax cuts.
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             The next leader will face a
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              daunting set of economic problems
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             : inflation that’s above 10 percent, rising interest rates,
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              growing government borrowing
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             , spiraling energy prices and a cost-of-living crisis.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Who will replace Truss?
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             The ruling Conservative Party is planning a lightning-fast process of picking a new leader, with the goal of having someone in place within a week.
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              Potential candidates include
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             Rishi Sunak, the former chancellor who lost to Truss last time; Penny Mordaunt, who came in third; and former Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who resigned this summer under pressure from lawmakers.
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             There are other potential causes for concern. Cybersecurity experts are worried that an online component of the selection process could be
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              vulnerable to hacking
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             . And some political commentators worry that picking yet
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              another
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             prime minister without a general election would result in a leader without a true political mandate.
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              Businesses have had enough of the chaos.
             </span>
             “We don’t need more Cirque du Soleil,” said the
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              chief of BusinessLDN
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             , a trade group. What the corporate community is now hoping for, a senior executive at a big multinational told DealBook, is stability and moderation.
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             Whoever becomes prime minister is unlikely to go beyond the cautious approach of tax increases and spending cuts that Jeremy Hunt, who has been chancellor of the Exchequer for a week, has promised. Going beyond that risks inviting another backlash from the markets, this person predicted: “It’ll be about getting the economy under control and getting spending down.”
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              An aside:
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             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              The Economist’s latest lead editorial
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             , comparing Britain’s economic straits to Italy’s, generated no small amount of derision — particularly from Italians — over both
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              the facts
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             and
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              the cover art
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             .
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             HERE’S WHAT’S HAPPENING
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Instacart delays its I.P.O. plans.
             </span>
             Worries about jittery markets prompted the food delivery company to
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              push back its timeline
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             for going public, The Times reports. The company had planned to publicly disclose its financial data, a key step to a public offering, this week.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Courts block challenges to President Biden’s student debt relief plans.
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             A federal judge in Missouri
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              rejected a lawsuit
             </a>
             by six Republican-led states, while Justice Amy Coney Barrett of the Supreme Court turned back one by a Wisconsin taxpayers’ association. Both suits were likely dismissed on technical grounds, rather than on the merits of their arguments; other lawsuits are still pending.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Texas sues Google over facial and voice recognition.
             </span>
             The state’s attorney general, Ken Paxton, accused the tech giant of
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              violating a state consumer protection law
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             requiring consent before capturing biometric information. It’s the latest effort by Texas to crack down on Big Tech.
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              New data suggest China is continuing to lose its manufacturing edge.
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             The country is still
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              ceding ground to Asian rivals
             </a>
             in the making and exporting of goods like clothing, footwear, minerals and technology, according to CNBC. Reasons include Beijing’s zero-Covid policies and U.S. tariffs pushing companies to make products outside of China.
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             Continue reading the main story
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              A commodity giant warns of a global copper shortage.
             </span>
             A senior executive at Trafigura said yesterday that
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              inventories now stand
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             at less than five days, well short of the traditional weeks’ worth. It’s a worrying sign, given copper’s widespread use in batteries, plumbing and more.
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             Twitter sinks on security oversight and layoff news
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             Twitter shares fell more than 6 percent in premarket trading this morning as already jittery investors grappled with a new report that the Biden administration was weighing national security reviews for some of Musk’s business ventures. That could include Twitter, should his $44 billion bid for the company close as expected next week.
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             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Bloomberg reports
             </a>
             the White House is concerned about Musk’s recent tweets that seemed pro-Kremlin, and that he’s lined up foreign investors, including Prince Alwaleed bin Talal of Saudi Arabia, Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund and Binance, a crypto exchange founded by the Canadian-Chinese businessman Changpeng Zhao. The terms of Musk’s deal for Twitter are strict — he cannot have an equity investor that may require government approval.
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             Also weighing on the company is a
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Washington Post report
             </a>
             that Musk plans to slash Twitter’s work force by nearly 75 percent, from 7,500 workers to a bit over 2,000.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Such cuts would be more drastic than Musk had outlined.
             </span>
             His original pitch to investors in the spring included
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              shedding hundreds of workers
             </a>
             , but bulking up on engineers. Since then the financial markets have tumbled — and Musk is likely now in a race to cut costs as he faces huge interest payments on the $12.5 billion in loans he plans to take out. The big question: Where would Musk make cuts? Marketing? Sales? Content moderation?
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Musk has been racing to line up equity,
             </span>
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              CNBC reports
             </a>
             , as a number of big institutional investors have passed. According to The Post, those include T. Rowe Price, TPG and Warburg Pincus. In a victory for Musk, Ken Griffin of Citadel has reportedly pledged $20 million for the deal. (A spokesman for Citadel declined to comment to DealBook.)
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             Investors’ Snap judgment
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             Snap reported yesterday that its
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              sales rose 6 percent
             </a>
             in the third quarter — its slowest pace of growth since going public in 2017 — and net losses soared 400 percent to $360 million. Those disappointing results sent shares of Snapchat’s parent company tumbling 27 percent.
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              The results spooked more than just Snap’s investors.
             </span>
             Shares of Pinterest, Facebook’s owner Meta and Google’s owner Alphabet were down as well. Snap is the first of the advertising-reliant social media companies to report their earnings, so investors and analysts often use Snap as a sign of what’s to come for the rest of the group.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              But Snap faces deeper challenges than some of its peers.
             </span>
             Its revenue growth began slowing a year ago, long before investors were worried about an economic slowdown. And Snap has been hurt more than others by Apple’s change in its privacy controls. Nonetheless, Snap’s earnings have only heightened investors’ fears. Next up: Alphabet reports on Tuesday, and Meta follows a day later.
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             Weekend read: An important moment for E.S.G.
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             Bruce Usher’s specialty in environmental, social and governance investing was considered niche when he began focusing on it about 20 years ago. His classes at Columbia Business School’s center for social enterprise now typically have a wait list. The author of a new book, “
             <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
              Investing in the Era of Climate Change
             </a>
             ,” Usher spoke with DealBook about the rise of climate finance, and what everyone is getting wrong in the E.S.G. wars. The interview has been edited and condensed.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              What makes this a defining E.S.G. moment?
             </span>
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             When I first started, there was practically nothing to invest in and no scale. We didn’t have solutions. Everything has changed. Today, between electric vehicles and renewable energy, there is a potential to reduce emissions by half. And tools to address the other 50 percent and get to net zero are under development.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              What developments excite you most?
             </span>
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             Carbon capture is technologically feasible and has great potential. It’s advanced enough to attract early stage capital, but it’s still a highly risky bet; these are not typical investors. The most exciting area is green hydrogen. Producing hydrogen for steel, heating, transportation and other sectors is expensive because it takes a lot of energy. But renewable energy makes it cheap — this creates a third solution for decarbonization.
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             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              What do you make of the growing resistance to E.S.G.?
             </span>
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             It’s a wonky, complex topic so the politicization is surprising to me. The opponents of E.S.G. may be good politicians, but I don’t think they are good investors. We’re going to be forced to decarbonize the economy. Climate change is about economic change, and that means there will be winners and losers. The losers are pushing back, and pushback will get more vocal as the change continues.
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             <span style="font-weight:700;font-size:inherit;font-family:arial,sans-serif">
              Is green investing effective?
             </span>
            </p>
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            <p style="color:#000;font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 15px">
             What’s upside-down about the E.S.G. debate is that it’s effective from a company and investor perspective, and there is evidence — but there is little evidence to show it’s good from a planet perspective, that it impacts climate change. For a real estate company, incorporating climate risk into financial analysis and not building in a flood zone is smart. But that doesn’t reduce the risk of climate change in the big picture.
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            <h2 class="css-12n1aic" style="color:#000;font:700 25px/32px arial,sans-serif;margin:0 0 10px">
             What are you doing with your extra free time?
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              that found
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             that Americans who now work from home have collectively regained 60 million hours of personal time. All those minutes in which we’re
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              not
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             stuck in morning traffic, or waiting for a tardy train or crosstown bus, truly add up.
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             Adding a morning stroll to your daily routine? Learning a new language? Training the dog to sniff out truffles? Getting more beauty sleep?
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             THE SPEED READ
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               Blackstone reported a
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                big drop in third-quarter profits
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               , as the value of its private equity portfolio fell. (WSJ)
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               The Kushner family’s real estate company has reportedly made an
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                unsolicited bid for Veris Residential
               </a>
               valued at $4.3 billion. (WSJ)
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               The NBA star Kevin Durant is buying a pro sports team.
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                It plays pickleball
               </a>
               . (Bloomberg)
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              Policy
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               James Bullard, the president of the St. Louis Fed,
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                spoke at a closed-door forum
               </a>
               hosted by Citigroup for its clients. (NYT)
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               The billionaire Ron Lauder
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                donated $1 million
               </a>
               to the Republican State Leadership Committee, which is supporting election candidates who dispute the 2020 election results. (CNBC)
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               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                Germany dropped its opposition
               </a>
               to an E.U. initiative that could cap natural gas prices. (FT)
              </span>
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              Best of the rest
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               The Robin Hood Foundation, which combats poverty, named the senior Goldman Sachs executive
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                Dina Powell McCormick as its chair
               </a>
               . (CNBC)
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             </li>
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               TikTok is
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                planning to launch
               </a>
               a livestream shopping channel in the U.S. (Semafor)
              </span>
             </li>
             <li class="css-11scvta" style="line-height:27.5px;margin:0 0 10px 0">
              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               The American grandmaster accused of extensive cheating
               <a class="css-5nb5nb" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;font-family:inherit;font-size:inherit">
                sued Magnus Carlsen and Chess.com
               </a>
               for $100 million. (WSJ)
              </span>
             </li>
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              <span style="font-size:17px;line-height:25px">
               “Crypto’s $2 Trillion Wipeout Is
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                Coming for the C-Suite
               </a>
               ” (Bloomberg)
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              Correction: Yesterday’s newsletter referred incorrectly to trillion-dollar corporate valuations. They have 13 digits, not 10.
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