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   Four “magnificent” earnings and what to know for the week ahead. |
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               👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the year ahead and what you might've missed last week.
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               Connect Four
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               It’s a big earnings week in Big Tech – time to find out how things are lining up for four of the so-called Magnificent Seven.
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                        🔍 The focus this week: Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, and Apple
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6az05" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        ♠️ It’s true with all the great games of strategy: one well-placed move can change the whole board. And right now, tech investors are looking for that one sweet turn.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="aa8vn" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        This week, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, and Apple will show their hands as they deliver quarterly updates. And with their recent moves seeming anything but “magnificent”, the stakes are especially high. Together, this quartet accounts for about 16% of the S&amp;P 500, which means their results can have a huge impact.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="buou8" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        🔻 All four stocks are down so far this year. Investors have been turning away from US behemoth tech stocks and into smaller and mid-sized companies, encouraged by seemingly sturdy economic growth and lower interest rates. Energy, metals, and mining companies have been grabbing the spotlight – leaving Big Tech a little out of position.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="5liqm" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         Meta and Microsoft have felt the shift more than the rest.
                        </b>
                        Both are trading at least 18% below last year’s record highs, pulling valuations down toward the lower end of their recent ranges. You can bet that’s grabbed investors’ attention – but now they’ll be looking for signs that these companies’ enormous AI outlays might finally be starting to make financial sense. After all, big spending is one thing; proving it delivers real returns is another.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="c7gfa" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         Apple, meanwhile, is playing its own game.
                        </b>
                        Rather than sinking billions into its own AI models, it’s partnered up with Google’s Gemini to launch an AI-powered Siri. Still, its share price is also down double digits from last year’s peak, as concerns pile up about potential margin pressure from rising memory prices. Those costs won’t show up in last quarter’s numbers, thanks to some long-term supply contracts, but they’re sure to hit somewhere down the line. For now, the focus will be on sales, with revenue expected to land around $137.4 billion, up roughly 11% from last year, driven by a rebound in iPhone growth.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="2etph" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        <b>
                         That leaves Tesla.
                        </b>
                        The EV maker’s most recent sales numbers probably won’t steal the show – but that’s not really what investors are here for. They’re really focusing on its next big things: the long-awaited robotaxi rollout (which just launched in Austin without a human safety monitor), and the bigger, bolder Optimus project. Tesla’s Elon Musk said last week that the humanoid robot could be on sale to the public by the end of next year – and if that’s even close to true, it’ll end up mattering far more than last quarter’s earnings..
                       </p>
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                        📅 On the calendar
                       </p>
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                        <li data-block-key="gn5an" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Monday:
                         </b>
                         US home sales (December).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="c5o6p" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Tuesday:
                         </b>
                         US consumer confidence (January).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Boeing, General Motors, UnitedHealth.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="j17j" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Wednesday
                         </b>
                         Federal Reserve interest rate announcement.
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         AT&amp;T, GE Vernova, Starbucks, IBM, Meta, Microsoft, ServiceNow, Tesla.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="dvmg0" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Thursday:
                         </b>
                         Eurozone economic growth (4Q), European Central Bank interest rate announcement, Japan retail sales (December).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Blackstone, Caterpillar, Mastercard, Thermo Fisher, Apple, Visa.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="71is3" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         <b>
                          Friday:
                         </b>
                         Eurozone unemployment (December).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         American Express, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Disney.
                        </li>
                       </ul>
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                        👀 What you might’ve missed last week
                       </p>
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                        <b>
                         💵 The US
                        </b>
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                        The US president threatened to impose new tariffs on several European countries over their opposition to his attempts to buy Greenland, then backed off again, instead touting a framework for a security deal. That reversal helped calm market jitters after days of unease, but revived the “
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         sell America
                        </a>
                        ” sentiment for many.
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                        Netflix
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         narrowly beat
                        </a>
                        Wall Street’s expectations and hit a record 325 million subscribers last quarter, but investors weren’t exactly starstruck. They were already on edge about the streamer’s pricey ambitions to buy pieces of Warner Bros Discovery. So the streamer’s downbeat outlook and its decision to pause buybacks sparked a selloff.
                       </p>
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                        💴
                        <b>
                         Japan
                        </b>
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                        Japanese government bonds fell sharply out of favor. A dramatic selloff sent the yield on the 40-year debt above 4% for the first time in its history (because when bond prices fall, yields rise). And shorter-dated versions followed along, with their yields hitting highs not seen in decades. The rush to sell followed the new prime minister’s plan to spend more, while lowering taxes – a combo that’s likely to result in even more bonds being issued.
                       </p>
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