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   Daily 2025-12-12
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   ...And OpenAI, via Oracle. Plus, Big Tech's pledge to India | Your Daily Brief is ready |
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               Fri, Dec 12 | 3:02 read time
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                   Together with
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                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        💸 Oracle went on an AI shopping spree – and investors checked out. Plus, Microsoft and Amazon pledged to invest $53 billion into AI infrastructure
in India.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="450jp">
                        ➕ Most stocks lose money:
                        <a>
                         here's what to do about it
                        </a>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="f1eca">
                        <b>
                         👇 Keep reading to find out more
                        </b>
                       </p>
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                       <img alt="Fall-Seeing Eye" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252Feditorial-051225-oracle-v3.original.png%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D98f02b76fd6fd02643db4c6241c861f1/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjU1Mjk4OTYuNDk1OTd9:1vTyye:0ivI7STZvrTdauyxNO36QtFzFGkFQ-_ZThn9ICqHGYQ" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="568"/>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <p data-block-key="p6je0">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9a840">
                    <b>
                     Oracle
                    </b>
                    turned out solid quarterly results – but its AI spending was so big that investors couldn’t see the prophecy for the price tag.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9hp2c">
                    <b>
                     What does
this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bsn13">
                    Oracle’s numbers looked good at first glance. Total revenue was up 13% on the same time last year, with the cloud division’s share rising 34%. That helped lift the firm’s profit by 10%. But compared to investors’ expectations, those figures came up short. Add in a much-higher-than-expected $12 billion of spending on physical assets – including costly data centers – over the quarter alone, and you can see why investors sent the stock down 14%.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3dajc">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="355vj">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Oracle owes OpenAI dinner.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="14ikq">
                    Oracle now has $523 billion worth of contracted revenue – basically, contracts that are signed, sealed, but not yet delivered. And it has one company to thank more than the rest: OpenAI. The creator of ChatGPT has committed to buying hundreds of billions worth of computing power down the line, meaning it now accounts for most
of those future takings.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cppsp">
                    ⚠️ But if OpenAI ever struggles to pay up, those contracts could crumble. And Oracle would struggle to fill the gap: only a handful of companies could even contemplate spending such huge sums. In other words, Oracle’s future fortunes are now tightly bound to OpenAI’s – and neither is guaranteed.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ei9is">
                    ► Now, skeptical investors can’t show their doubts about OpenAI – the company’s still private – so they’ve taken to
“shorting” (basically, betting against) Oracle’s stock instead.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="frqf8">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming out:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Oracle has become the credit market’s problem child.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bid82">
                    With companies pouring eye‑watering sums into AI and getting little back, investors are (understandably) nervous. So, they’re hedging their bets… literally.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="adch3">
                    ► Many have purchased Oracle’s “credit default swaps” (essentially, insurance against a company
struggling with debt) – and that’s lit a fire under their price.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="dfemv">
                    ► Makes sense: the firm’s borrowing heavily to fund AI infrastructure, and spending more than it’s making overall.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1p3fs">
                    ► Now, credit investors have a track record of spotting trouble before stock investors, so this could be a sign of difficulty ahead.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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Of The Day
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                          <img alt="Chart Of The Day" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252Fc22d14ef2176cb44f1c80469678ac9bf022f546f.original.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D83b790f7a0a97effbcc790a7c364e3eb/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjU1Mjk4OTYuNDk2MTAxOX0:1vTyye:MTNXsYQtmOMtiXKgd8rAlgApOVFUzjrUinP5FMYTq8E" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="568"/>
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                     <span style="font-style:normal">
                      👀
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                     <span style="font-style:italic">
                      Today's Research
                     </span>
                    </mj-raw>
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                     Most Stocks Lose Money
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
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                 <td align="center" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;padding-bottom:16px;word-break:break-word;">
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                      <img alt="Insight" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FInsight-120924-stockslose.original.jpg%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253Dfa03aacfea2c839647d3a66e09cabadc/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjU1Mjk4OTYuNDk2MzkzMn0:1vTyye:geAYe7qzaUX01ACpH1FsCkkic41U4QaX5F55Cg2yn7c" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="536"/>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <p data-block-key="pr7ai">
                    <b>
                     The majority of individual stocks actually
                    </b>
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      lose
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <b>
                     money.
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="45c03">
                    Yup, nearly all the wealth generated in the stock market comes from
                    <a>
                     a very small number of shares
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="opv4">
                    Of course, the stock market still offers solid
                    <a>
                     long-term returns
                    </a>
                    ... You just need to know where
to look. Luckily, I've found some
                    <a>
                     clues
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="e6jl9">
                    <a>
                     <b>
                      Read or listen to the Insight here
                     </b>
                    </a>
                   </p>
                  </div>
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                       <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0px;">
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                           <img alt="Stéphane Renevier, CFA's profile image" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252Fstephane_46331c4438.original.jpg%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D70c3d46c3a3673687e36748e200a2720/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjU1Mjk4OTYuNDk2NTYwM30:1vTyye:A5cSvIVkUoz6TDApUnQ6ms0katCrPVdyTJAkZelYPe4" style="border:0;border-radius:50%;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="30"/>
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                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     SPONSORED BY ABERDEEN INVESTMENT TRUSTS
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                       <img alt="Aberdeen Investment Trusts" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FSTA1125610460-001_INVT_NewIndia_2000x1000px_112.original.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D24bb5c5537e9acabd32a6c5d86e9209d/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjU1Mjk4OTYuNDk2Njg4MX0:1vTyye:KMiKh6mCeTWOPTXmv2JG3E8cq-jH_H0ScUMu7yfjb78" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="568"/>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <h3 data-block-key="1aow8">
                    <b>
                     You
                    </b>
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      haven’t
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <b>
                     missed India’s bull run… yet
                    </b>
                   </h3>
                   <p data-block-key="5lbbh">
                    While India scales up on urbanisation, digitalisation, and a booming middle class, you’re… still sitting in “diversified” funds that
barely touch it.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3pnrk">
                    But you’re not stuck there. You can get targeted, high-conviction exposure to Indian stocks – companies either based in India or generating serious revenue from it – with one listed investment trust: Aberdeen’s New India one.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1l01u">
                    The fund’s managers target well‑governed, world‑class businesses built to survive volatility and compound over time, backed by intensive research and regular engagement with company management. The
result: a track record of double‑digit annualised returns.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="fhjl7">
                    And right now, the trust trades at a discount to its net asset value – meaning you can access the underlying portfolio for less than the sum of its parts.
                   </p>
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25px;mso-padding-alt:0px;border-radius:1000rem;" target="_blank">
                       <span style="color:#FFFFFF">
                        Find Out More
                       </span>
                      </a>
                     </td>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:12px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#5E6984;">
                   Please see important disclosures below*
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                     👀
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                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     Today's headlines
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                    <span style="background-color:#EFFF0D;display:inline">
                     A Billion Reasons
                    </span>
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                       <img alt="A Billion Reasons" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252Feditorial-051225-AmazonMicrosoft-V3.original.png%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253Def7451c8743437614acb47bd98de3f5c/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjU1Mjk4OTYuNDk2ODI0NX0:1vTyye:KrkjHA-5AykazdxW-IvIR9ZJyxhTvx6QRYqWqHXmlSY" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="568"/>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <p data-block-key="x8zej">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1ho8i">
                    Microsoft and Amazon pledged to invest a combined $53 billion to scale AI infrastructure in India, a market with more than enough upside to justify the price tag.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="c0dc3">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6qtbd">
                    ► Microsoft announced on Tuesday that it’ll funnel $18 billion into India over four years – the firm’s biggest-ever investment in Asia. That cash will go toward building data centers, developing locally controlled cloud infrastructure, and upskilling domestic workers.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="feace">
                    ► A day later, Amazon one-upped its Big Tech counterpart with a $35 billion boost to its own India commitment through 2030
– on top of the $40 billion it’s already spent in the country. According to the firm, that’ll help create one million jobs.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="c5tua">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="duv23">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      The bigger picture:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     India has it all.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="966cj">
                    You can see why the likes of Amazon and Microsoft are trusting India with their money. The country has over a
                    <i>
                     billion
                    </i>
                    internet users (read: potential customers), enough land for huge data centers,
expanding renewable power capacity,
                    <i>
                     and
                    </i>
                    lower operating costs than many other mature markets.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1m1hq">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Public display of injection.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="dhnes">
                    American tech firms might be busy spending funds in India, but the country’s own businesses have been focused on generating them. Case in point: Indian companies raised a combined $19.6 billion by going public this year – a record-breaking sum. There is one snag, though.
Nearly half of this year’s newly listed firms now have lower share prices than when they went public – showing that strong demand for a new stock doesn’t always last.
                   </p>
                  </div>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   You might also like ⇢
                   <a>
                    Why Now (Really) Is The Time For
Emerging Market And Asian Stocks
                   </a>
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     ✨
                    </span>
                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Sarah's Digest
                    </span>
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of the day
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                   <h3 data-block-key="8yml1">
                    <b>
                     Three podcasters. One portfolio. Plenty of debate.
                    </b>
                   </h3>
                   <p data-block-key="1vlhh">
                    The Art of Investing,
                    <a>
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                    </a>
                    , plays out like a true-crime series for the market: every episode, the evidence gets laid out, the case for each trade is argued, and the portfolio evolves. (Latest
update: it’s up 10% since launch.)
                    <br/>
                    <br/>
                    The show is sharp, unscripted, and
                    <a>
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                    </a>
                    – with their nearly 100 years of combined investing experience.
And you can catch the recording of their live session at this year’s
                    <a>
                     <b>
                      Modern Investor Summit here
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                    .
                    <br/>
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                   <p data-block-key="1u783">
                    See exactly what they’re buying, selling, and cross-examining next. Start investigating
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                     🎯
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                     On Our
Radar
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                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        1.
                        <b>
                         How do you do, fellow athletes?
                        </b>
                        Step one of your fitness journey:
                        <a>
                         dress like Action Man
                        </a>
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                        2.
                        <b>
                         Everyone’s charming all of a sudden.
                        </b>
                        Tech companies are
                        <a>
                         selling themselves
                        </a>
                        –
                        <i>
                         hard
                        </i>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="9p2k2">
                        3.
                        <b>
                         Get them on
                        </b>
                        <b>
                         <i>
                          Survivor
                         </i>
                        </b>
                        <b>
                         .
                        </b>
                        Man might not have been
                        <a>
                         first to make fire
                        </a>
                        , after all.
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
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</td></tr></table>
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             <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
              Stay classy,
              <mj-raw>
               Sarah
              </mj-raw>
              😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Naomi
              </a>
              and
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Stéphane
              </a>
              . Got an idea? A question?
              <a>
               Get in touch
              </a>
              .
             </div>
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
         </table>
        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
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</td></tr></table>
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
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    <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="width:100%;">
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<![endif]-->
        <div style="margin:0px auto;max-width:568px;">
         <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="width:100%;">
          <tbody>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="vertical-align:top;" width="100%">
               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0px;word-break:break-word;">
                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;text-transform:uppercase;color:#030303;">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     💌
                    </span>
                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     THAT
WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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</td></tr></table>
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</td></tr></table>
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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          <tbody>
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             <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="border-collapse:separate;width:100%;line-height:100%;">
              <tbody>
               <tr>
                <td align="center" bgcolor="#f8f9ff" role="presentation" style="border:none;border-radius:4px;cursor:auto;mso-padding-alt:10px 25px;background:#f8f9ff;" valign="middle">
                 <a style="display:inline-block;background:#f8f9ff;color:#030303;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:normal;line-height:120%;margin:0;text-decoration:none;text-transform:none;padding:10px 25px;mso-padding-alt:0px;border-radius:4px;" target="_blank">
                  <span aria-hidden="true" role="img">
                   🔥
                  </span>
                  Hot
stuff
                 </a>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </tbody>
             </table>
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
         </table>
        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:189.33333333333337px;">
<![endif]-->
        <div class="mj-column-per-33-333333333333336 mj-outlook-group-fix" style="font-size:0px;text-align:left;direction:ltr;display:inline-block;vertical-align:top;width:100%;">
         <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="vertical-align:top;" width="100%">
          <tbody>
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             <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="border-collapse:separate;width:100%;line-height:100%;">
              <tbody>
               <tr>
                <td align="center" bgcolor="#f8f9ff" role="presentation" style="border:none;border-radius:4px;cursor:auto;mso-padding-alt:10px 25px;background:#f8f9ff;" valign="middle">
                 <a style="display:inline-block;background:#f8f9ff;color:#030303;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:normal;line-height:120%;margin:0;text-decoration:none;text-transform:none;padding:10px 25px;mso-padding-alt:0px;border-radius:4px;" target="_blank">
                  <span aria-hidden="true" role="img">
                   👍
                  </span>
                  Just
alright
                 </a>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </tbody>
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            </td>
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          </tbody>
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        </div>
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             <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="border-collapse:separate;width:100%;line-height:100%;">
              <tbody>
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                <td align="center" bgcolor="#f8f9ff" role="presentation" style="border:none;border-radius:4px;cursor:auto;mso-padding-alt:10px 25px;background:#f8f9ff;" valign="middle">
                 <a style="display:inline-block;background:#f8f9ff;color:#030303;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:normal;line-height:120%;margin:0;text-decoration:none;text-transform:none;padding:10px 25px;mso-padding-alt:0px;border-radius:4px;" target="_blank">
                  <span aria-hidden="true" role="img">
                   😒
                  </span>
                  ...Meh
                 </a>
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    <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="background:#f8f9ff;background-color:#f8f9ff;width:100%;">
     <tbody>
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       <td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:20px 0;padding-left:16px;padding-right:16px;text-align:center;">
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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         <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="vertical-align:top;" width="100%">
          <tbody>
           <tr>
            <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
             <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:12px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#5E6984;">
              <p data-block-key="r2vuw">
               <b>
                *Aberdeen Investment Trust’s Important information
               </b>
              </p>
              <p data-block-key="crun8">
               <b>
                Risk factors you should consider prior
to investing:
               </b>
              </p>
              <ul>
               <li data-block-key="ahu0p">
                The value of investments, and the income from them, can go down as well as up and investors may get back less than the amount invested.
               </li>
               <li data-block-key="7r87s">
                Past performance is not a guide to future results.
               </li>
              </ul>
              <p data-block-key="9m19k">
               <b>
                Other important information:
               </b>
              </p>
              <p data-block-key="60tvf">
               Issued by abrdn Fund Managers Limited, registered in England and Wales (740118) at 280 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 4AG. The company
is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK.
              </p>
             </div>
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