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   Markets get jumpy
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   Plus: Who’s paying the tariff bill?
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               Wednesday, January 21, 2026
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               Timothy A. Clary/AFP via Getty Images
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Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               Good morning, Quartz readers! It’s Shannon Carroll with the Daily Brief. Today, markets get jumpy as investors price in a week of whiplash, a study says tariff costs aren’t landing where the president claims, one tech CEO blasts another’s China carve-out, and Netflix’s “strong quarter” story competes with its bigger, messier ambition.
               <span class="ql-cursor">
                
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               HERE'S WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
               <span class="ql-cursor">
                
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              <strong style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               Scott Bessent urges Europe to blink first.
              </strong>
              <span style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               He told European leaders at Davos to “take a deep breath” and avoid retaliation as Trump threatens tariffs tied to Greenland, warning escalation is the fastest route
              </span>
              <a data-linktext="to a bigger fight." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;font-size:16px;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFF;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
               to a bigger fight.
              </a>
              <span style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               
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             <div>
              <strong style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               Trump keeps teasing a Fed chair — and not choosing one.
              </strong>
              <span style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               The promised decision is getting pushed again as front-runner Hassett loses 
momentum and as legal pressure and Fed independence questions
              </span>
              <a data-linktext="crowd the calendar." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;text-decoration:none;font-size:16px;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFF;" target="_blank">
               crowd the calendar.
              </a>
              <span style="color:#000000;font-size:16px;font-family:Helvetica 
Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               
              </span>
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              <strong style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
               Anthropic’s CEO calls a chip carve-out “crazy.”
              </strong>
              <span style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
               At Davos, Dario Amodei blasted the U.S. government’s decision to let Nvidia sell H200 chips to approved Chinese customers, arguing it carries
              </span>
              <a data-linktext="major 
national-security risks." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;text-decoration:none;background-color:#FFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;" target="_blank">
               major national-security risks.
              </a>
              <span style="color:#000000;background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px">
               
              </span>
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20px;line-height:1.5;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000;mso-line-height-rule:exactly">
             <div>
              <strong style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
               Netflix is profitable, bigger, and harder to value.
              </strong>
              <span style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
               Its Q4 modest beat came with a pitch for patience as it builds its ad business and 
pursues a Warner Bros. deal that could reshape costs
              </span>
              <a data-linktext="before benefits show up." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;text-decoration:none;background-color:#FFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;" target="_blank">
               before benefits show up.
              </a>
              <span style="color:#000000;background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px">
               
              </span>
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               Wall Street’s short week started with a long list of reasons to flinch. Stocks dropped across the board Tuesday — by close, the S&amp;P 500 was down about 2.1%, the Dow was down 1.8%, and the Nasdaq was down 2.4% — as
traders priced in politics that won’t sit still and bond markets that won’t behave.
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               Over the weekend, President Donald Trump reopened his “negotiation” playbook and may have accidentally set it on fire. He threatened 
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               At home, Trump picked a target with a ticker.
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               He said he plans to sue JPMorgan Chase, claiming — without evidence — that the bank “debanked” him after the January 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol, which 
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               For big banks, the problem is less profits than it is permission. Trump has been singling out lenders over credit-card interest rates and floating caps with no clear legal basis — while swiping at regulators and the Federal Reserve.
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               And then rates supplied their own jump scare. Japanese government bonds were widely 
described as melting down, with long-term yields hitting record highs after the prime minister pushed for tax cuts, and the tremor lifted yields globally, including in U.S. Treasuries.
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               By Tuesday’s close, markets were trying to price a single, messy reality: tariff threats that can turn allies into adversaries, political pressure that can turn banks into props, and higher global yields that make every risk trade feel riskier. And none of this comes with guidance.
              </span>
              <a data-linktext="Quartz’s Catherine Baab has more on what happens when political risk and bond turmoil collide." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;font-size:16px;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
               Quartz’s Catherine Baab has more on what happens when political risk and bond turmoil collide.
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               Americans keep getting told that the bill for President Donald Trump’s tariffs is being mailed overseas. A new study from researchers at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy says the invoice landed at home: U.S. consumers paid 96% of the tariff costs — or, as they put it: “Americans are footing the bill.”
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               The team analyzed $4 trillion in shipment data from January 2024 to November 2025 and found a “near-complete passthrough” into U.S. prices.
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               The mechanics are simple: Importers and wholesalers pay the tariff at customs, then decide whether to swallow the hit or shove it along to manufacturers and retailers. By the time that hot potato gets to the cash register, the system has usually chosen “shove,” and consumers meet the tariff in its final form: higher prices.
              </span>
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               So if anyone’s “paying,” it’s mostly the people who are buying the stuff after it crosses into the 
U.S.
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              <br/>
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             <div>
              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               Foreign exporters have limited reason — and limited room — to cut prices, alternative markets are an option (Europe and Asia exist, perhaps inconveniently for the U.S.), and double-digit levies that can sometimes be 50% or more are hard to erase with discounts.
              </span>
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             <div>
              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               Because some numbers don’t negotiate. The study showed that customs revenue rose by $200 billion last year, and it’s “not free money. It comes from American 
wallets,” Kiel says — a pricey way to learn who’s picking up the check.
              </span>
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             <div>
              <br/>
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             <div>
              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               Politically, tariffs are still being marketed as foreign-funded leverage, and many Republicans have gone along, expanding tariff power deeper into the executive branch. Meanwhile, Trump has threatened import taxes on European nations as part of his push to seize Greenland, and his tariffs’ legal fight is now with the Supreme Court, with a ruling expected soon.
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              <br/>
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              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               So among a White House that treats tariffs like a Swiss Army knife, Greenland brinkmanship, and a Supreme Court showdown, the Kiel study supplies the unsexy constant, showing that the tariffs’ cost mostly travels one direction: down the supply chain and into prices.
              </span>
              <a data-linktext="Quartz’s Joseph Zeballos-Roig has more on how the most reliable casualty of Trump’s trade war is the price tag." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;font-size:16px;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
               Quartz’s Joseph Zeballos-Roig has more on how the most reliable casualty of Trump’s trade war is the price tag.
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