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   Nvidia raises the bar
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   Wallets vs. the White House.
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      ‌
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               Thursday, February 26, 2026
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               Andrew 
Caballero-Reynolds/AFP
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               Good morning, Quartz readers! It’s Shannon Carroll with the Daily Brief. Today, Nvidia dares the market to keep up, Washington cheers a “roaring” economy as 
shoppers grow cautious, Trump says Silicon Valley can power itself, and Home Depot sells spring in a box.
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               HERE'S WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
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               </span>
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              <strong style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica 
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               Trump took Big Tech’s power tab to SOTU.
              </strong>
              <span style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               He claimed he negotiated a “ratepayer protection pledge” requiring tech companies to supply their own electricity for data centers, but he didn’t name
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               signers, timelines, or savings.
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               Home Depot wants you unboxing spring on schedule.
              </strong>
              <span style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
               Its $49 spring advent calendar went online Wednesday, includes 20 assorted items (for a 
reported $250 value), and links to how-to guides —
              </span>
              <a data-linktext="with scarcity baked in." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;font-size:16px;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFF;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
               with scarcity baked in.
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               MODEL BEHAVIOR
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               Wall Street treats Nvidia earnings like an exam — pencils sharpened, grading curve brutal, everyone already
certain what an A looks like. Wednesday afternoon, Nvidia walked into the room and changed the answer key.
              </span>
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              <br/>
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              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               The company posted $68.1 billion in quarterly revenue, up 73% from a year earlier, with Data Center alone clocking $62.3 billion. Those are blockbuster numbers by any standard. The part that will actually move models, though, was the forecast.
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               Nvidia told investors to expect $78 billion next quarter — which was 
comfortably above what analysts had penciled in. When a company adds several billion dollars to consensus with a single line, spreadsheets start sweating.
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               Shares rose about 3% after hours, the market’s version of a relieved exhale.
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              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               Margins held near 75%, which, in Nvidia land, functions like a truth serum. Investors have been hunting for cracks — mix shifts, ramp friction, memory costs — and instead got a steady hand. 
Even as full-year gross margin slipped to 71.1% during a massive hardware transition, the quarter suggested pricing power remains intact.
              </span>
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               There was one carefully placed caveat: The $78 billion outlook assumes no Data Center compute revenue from China. That boxes the geopolitical risk into a disclosed assumption and leaves any recovery as upside. Nvidia has learned that clarity beats drama when export rules hover.
              </span>
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               The 
scale is starting to look industrial. Networking revenue hit $11 billion, up triple digits year over year, as Nvidia sells not just chips but full systems and connective tissue.
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              <br/>
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              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               And then there’s the posture. Nvidia plans to include stock-based compensation in future non-GAAP results, tightening its own scorecard while guiding higher. That’s a company confident enough to make the test harder mid-semester.
              </span>
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              <br/>
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              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               Wall Street asked
for acceleration. Nvidia handed it a bigger number and dared the market to keep up. The only question left is the one traders always ask after a beat this loud: Great — what’s next?
              </span>
              <a data-linktext="Quartz’s Shannon Carroll has more on the quarter that could force a reset." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;text-decoration:none;font-size:16px;" target="_blank">
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               America’s consumer mood right now can be read in the small stuff: the extra lap around the clearance rack, the “I’ll do it myself” repair, the decision to delay anything that requires a contractor and a second mortgage. The carts still roll. They’re 
just a little wobbly.
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               Still, President Donald Trump used Tuesday night’s State of the Union to wave away affordability worries, tout a “roaring” economy, and say the country is “richer” than ever.
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              <br/>
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               The week’s data didn’t exactly boo, but it also didn’t exactly clap. No, it kept pointing back to the same stubborn fact of life: prices still run the room.
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               The 
Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index rose 2.2 points in February to 91.2, but it’s still far below its late-2024 peak of 112.8. And when people wrote in what’s bugging them, it was the same cast: prices, inflation, trade, jobs. Views of current conditions worsened, and people felt worse about their own family finances, too.
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              <br/>
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              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               Retail earnings translated that mood into behavior. TJX, the discount giant behind TJ Maxx and Marshalls, capped its 2025 with comparable sales up 5%, 
improving gross margins, and earnings per share up 28%.
              </span>
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               People are shopping. People are spending. But they’re spending where “nice” things come with a discount sticker and plausible deniability.
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              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               Home improvement looks steadier on paper than it feels in real life. Home Depot posted same-store sales growth of 0.4% in the fourth quarter, while customer transactions fell 1.6% and average ticket size rose 2.4%. Fewer trips, 
pricier baskets… that’s the kind of math you get when shoppers buy what they have to, not what they’d like to.
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               When you layer in housing costs that refuse to cooperate, the bigger picture snaps into focus. Households can still justify a small treat or a practical fix.
              </span>
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              <br/>
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             <div>
              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               But the bigger commitments — the renovation, the move, the new, well, anything — sit in the mental “later” pile, right next to the vacation 
spreadsheet.
              </span>
             </div>
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              <br/>
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             <div>
              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               So the economy keeps splitting into two stories: the one delivered on national television and the one written in carts and postponed plans. And that makes Tuesday night’s victory-lap rhetoric feel slightly beside the point.
              </span>
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              <span style="font-size: 16px">
               While the president can call an economy “roaring” from a podium, he can’t talk a shopper out of a budget. The consumer keeps voting — one cautious checkout at a time.
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              <a data-linktext="Quartz’s Catherine Baab has more on why shoppers are thriving on discounts, not optimism." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;font-size:16px;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
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