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👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
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You Again
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Markets may not have seen the last of inflation...
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<img alt="You Again" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FWeekly-060326-2.original.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D382bd87743629ff66b3df49b524b90f6/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzMwMTMzMDIuNTY5NjcwMn0:1vzNkk:Dutv0fl14NTTVyy1UZKOh5FPERJzCPOXHFs4hyBkzzc" width="100%"/>
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🔍 The focus this week: US Inflation
</p>
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📆 On Wednesday, the US will release its latest inflation data – and it’s once again one of the most important economic indicators out there. The consumer price index (CPI) will show how quickly prices were rising in February and whether inflation continued its gradual move lower toward the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) 2% target.
</p>
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Economists expect that inflation remained stubborn but stable, with the annual gauge hovering around 2.4%. Investors will be watching closely for any surprises. A quicker-than-expected pace could push bond yields up and stocks down, particularly among tech companies and small-cap firms – which tend to be more sensitive to expectations about lending costs. A milder inflation result, meanwhile, would suggest more interest rate cuts this year.
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► The Federal Reserve will be watching these figures closely, too. Inflation has been the main obstacle preventing policymakers from trimming rates more aggressively. If price pressures prove to still be sticky, the central bank may keep borrowing costs higher for longer – a stance that typically feeds through to higher Treasury yields and tougher financing conditions.
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► So last month’s inflation activity is poised to make headlines, but investors will be thinking more about what comes next. The report is backward-looking, capturing price changes from last month. But newer developments in geopolitics and energy markets suggest inflation could face renewed pressure in the months ahead.
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Oil prices have jumped this month, with the conflict in the Middle East disrupting energy infrastructure and shipping routes alike. Gasoline prices in the US have already begun to climb, and sustained higher oil prices would likely spread more broadly, to transport costs, manufacturing inputs, and, yep, consumer prices.
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📅 On the calendar
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<b>
Monday:
</b>
China inflation (February).
<b>
Earnings:
</b>
Oracle.
</li>
<li data-block-key="9pi9f" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Tuesday:
</b>
China trade balance (February).
</li>
<li data-block-key="eu8d5" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Wednesday:
</b>
US inflation (February).
</li>
<li data-block-key="9h6i7" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Thursday:
</b>
US trade balance (January).
<b>
Earnings:
</b>
Adobe.
</li>
<li data-block-key="cm392" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
<b>
Friday:
</b>
UK economic growth (January), eurozone industrial production (January).
</li>
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👀 What you might’ve missed last week
</p>
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<b>
🌐 The World
</b>
</p>
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Energy markets were
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
jolted
</a>
as a new conflict in the Middle East disrupted supplies. An Iranian air strike forced Qatar to halt operations at the world’s biggest liquefied natural gas export facility, sending European gas prices and Asian LNG prices sharply higher.
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
Oil prices
</a>
joined the jump, climbing roughly 13% as traders worried the conflict could threaten shipments through the Strait of Hormuz – the narrow passage that carries about a fifth of the world’s oil and gas. If tanker traffic through the strait remains disrupted, analysts warn the benchmark Brent crude could rise to $100 or even $120 a barrel – up from roughly $70 at the end of February.
</p>
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🌎
<b>
The US
</b>
</p>
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</p>
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<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
Berkshire Hathaway
</a>
stayed its course. In his first letter to shareholders as CEO, Greg Abel signaled continuity rather than change. He said the conglomerate will stick closely to Warren Buffett’s long-standing playbook: relying on its insurance “float” to fund investments, maintaining a concentrated stock portfolio, and deploying capital patiently into long-term deals. With Berkshire sitting on a record $373 billion cash pile, Abel said the firm will continue to wait for the best, Buffett-esque opportunities – rather than rushing to buy up new firms or pay out massive dividends.
</p>
<p data-block-key="352oa" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
</p>
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🌏
<b>
China
</b>
</p>
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</p>
<p data-block-key="40sbo" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
China is aiming for 4.5% to 5% growth for 2026. That slower pace reflects mounting economic pressures – namely, weak consumer demand, a prolonged property slump, and rising trade tensions. Policymakers are hoping to rebalance the economy away from exports and toward domestic spending and high-tech industries. The message is clear: the country’s leaders want growth that’s steadier and more sustainable, even if it happens to come at a slower speed.
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