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   Daily 2026-03-20
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   Plus, more central banks are waiting and seeing | Your Daily Brief is ready |
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               3:14 read time
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                 View in browser
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                     👀
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                     WHAT'S GOING ON
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                       All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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                         <td class="s22">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          0.28% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s24">
                          6,606
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td class="s22">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          4.85% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s24">
                          $4,659
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td class="s22">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          1.28% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s24">
                          $70,334
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
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                         <td class="s22">
                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          2.35% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s24">
                          10,064
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td class="s22">
                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.10% ▲
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                          $107.49
                         </td>
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                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.01% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s24">
                          4.25%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
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                 <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
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                     <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" class="s12" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F137%252F884%252F926%252FVA54EW2ZqQr7xOmgYegGPNXJl%252Fa448638d8b0c91341eb07e716b090714f1ff903f.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253Df1b18491e358e8c520dbedf80c73f638/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzM5NTk5MTUuNTA3OTI0OH0:1w3M0h:OafNeSY7BeCpaxk16pfCmimfo-jRvwPDL6S6H-m-lA8" width="536"/>
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                      <div class="s30">
                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        ⚠️ Oil and gas prices rose as conflict in the Middle East intensified
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="cq7lf">
                        🚥 A trio of central banks announced decisions to stand pat
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="rnos">
                        🛩️ Here’s why our analyst is leaving Rolls-Royce’s stock on the tarmac
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="9gkcn">
                        <b>
                         👇 Keep reading to find out
more
                        </b>
                       </p>
                      </div>
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                     👀
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                    <span class="s19">
                     Today's headlines
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                    <span class="s33">
                     Gas Pains
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
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                       <img alt="Gas Pains" class="s12" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-190326-Oil.original.png%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D8b9b6e48e1f3b381186732b8ee8acfcb/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzM5NTk5MTUuNTA4MTA5OH0:1w3M0h:VAawLOeYh2Ud_R_q7b2gBGAVxjO8sRgYxBlLZ-YTtM8" width="568"/>
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                   <p data-block-key="u286e">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9p6e4">
                    Oil and natural gas prices shot higher on Thursday, as major attacks on key oil and gas facilities in the Middle East deepened fears of a full-on energy crisis.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2ihne">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="odp3">
                    On Wednesday, a natural gas field in Iran and a liquefied natural gas export plant in Qatar were both hit by
missiles. Then early on Thursday, the Qatar plant – which handles about a fifth of global supply – was hit again.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3nie2">
                    🔺 Oil prices initially popped above $115 a barrel on Thursday, and European gas prices jumped by 20%. With energy infrastructure being targeted, the market has been forced to face the possibility that the energy shock – and its impact on global economies – could grow more severe.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2r7hh">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="aqnaq">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming out:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     No one is immune.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7vleg">
                    European and Asian economies, particularly regions where gas plays a big role in power and industry, are likely to bear the initial brunt. Some of the countries in those areas are better insulated than others, mind you. For instance, Spain’s greater reliance on renewable and nuclear energy should give it some cushion.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="401lt">
                    ▶ The US, meanwhile, is a major energy
producer – but that’ll only help to a certain extent. American companies make money all around the world, so global slowdowns certainly impact their earnings. And a floundering US stock market affects the wider economy – when investments slip, people
                    <i>
                     feel
                    </i>
                    poorer and cut back on spending.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6ttmg">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Riding for a fall.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="281kk">
                    Global stock valuations are high by historic standards, but profit growth has justified them
– at least so far. And there was reason to believe that would continue: investment bank
                    <b>
                     Morgan Stanley
                    </b>
                    , for one, had predicted a US earnings increase of 13% this year.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="24oaf">
                    ⚠️ But that was before all this turmoil. A sustained conflict – and its resulting energy squeeze – could push up inflation and sap consumer confidence, making a global economic downturn very possible. And that would make those rich stock valuations tougher to rationalize, leaving markets
vulnerable to a serious tumble.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   You might also like ⇢
                   <a>
                    Five Shocking Realities About Today’s Energy Markets
                   </a>
                  </div>
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                        <b>
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                        <a>
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                        Foliotrail’s job is to make that call. Instead of tracking the whole market, it runs a
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                        <a>
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                        annually for six straight years.
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                        If you’d rather spend less time scrolling and more time holding a clear set of high‑conviction positions, unlock the full
                        <a>
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                        to see exactly what made the cut.
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                     Rolls-Royce Still Looks Great. But Here’s Why I’m Stepping Back
                    </span>
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                   <p data-block-key="pr7ai">
                    Three weeks ago, I wrote about why I thought
                    <a>
                     Rolls-Royce
                    </a>
                    still had room to run – even after the kind of rally that can make investors nervous.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="5jig">
                    My thesis was simple: this isn’t
one story,
                    <a>
                     it’s three
                    </a>
                    . Civil aerospace is benefiting from long-haul travel, defense is riding increased military spending, and power systems are seeing strong demand from data centers.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="est9p">
                    Put together, those divisions create a business with
                    <a>
                     powerful tailwinds
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="365sd">
                    That hasn’t changed. What has changed is the near-term outlook, with enough new uncertainty that I’m
                    <a>
                     moving the stock
                    </a>
                    from a “buy” to a “hold”.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="agobt">
                    That’s today’s Insight:
                    <a>
                     why I’m leaving Rolls-Royce on the tarmac, for now
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="fnvfe">
                    <a>
                     <b>
                      Read or listen to the Insight here
                     </b>
                    </a>
                   </p>
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                         Theodora Lee Joseph, CFA
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                     Steady As They Go
                    </span>
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                   <p data-block-key="nmrhr">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7vknm">
                    The Bank of Japan (BoJ), Bank of England (BoE), and European Central Bank (ECB) all left interest rates unchanged – stepping lightly in sync, given the global uncertainty right now.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="86mpd">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="f5pfg">
                    Conflict in the Middle East has been pushing up energy prices, driving market turmoil and
setting the stage for higher inflation on all kinds of things. So central banks have taken a wait-and-see type approach thus far – including the BoJ, BoE, and ECB, which made their announcements one after another on Thursday.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="a0tdh">
                    ▶ Some of the decisions came with fresh – and somewhat grim – economic forecasts. The BoE said UK inflation is now likely to stay above 3%, and possibly rise to around 3.5%. And the ECB is now projecting 2.6% inflation across Europe, up from the
1.9% it predicted just three months ago. So it makes sense that traders have adjusted their expectations. Instead of two UK interest rate trims this year, they now see at least two
                    <i>
                     hikes
                    </i>
                    . And they’re penciling in just as many for the eurozone.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4skdl">
                    ▶ The BoJ, meanwhile, had been hoping to raise Japan’s interest rates on signs that the economy could stand on its own two feet – and although that didn’t happen on Thursday, it
                    <i>
                     is
                    </i>
                    still in the cards.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="12rfe">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="fmlka">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For you personally:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Buckle up, it’s about to get pricey.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4rka5">
                    When interest rates are expected to rise, borrowing becomes more expensive. In the US, that’s already happening: 30-year mortgage rates have jumped from just under 6% three weeks ago to 6.22% now.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bchj5">
                    ⚠️ And it’s not just bigger mortgage bills. You’ve probably noticed that the cost of
gasoline is already rising. And higher energy and electricity prices could well be coming later this year, if the energy squeeze drags on.
                   </p>
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                   <h2 data-block-key="25q00">
                    Traditional 60/40 portfolios aren’t working like they used to
                   </h2>
                   <p data-block-key="3eu21">
                    Stocks and bonds are increasingly moving in the same direction, leaving you more vulnerable than you might think.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="f5fab">
                    So check out
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                     ✨
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<![endif]-->
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              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div class="s30">
                   <strong>
                    "You can never be happy until you understand why you're doing what you're doing."
                   </strong>
                   – Janet Jackson (an American singer and actress)
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
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        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" width="600px">
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:568px;" width="568"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
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          <tbody>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:568px;">
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              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s31">
                  <div class="s17">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s18">
                     🎯
                    </span>
                    <span class="s19">
                     On Our Radar
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
            </td>
           </tr>
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        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
</td></tr><tr><td class="" width="600px">
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:568px;" width="568"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:568px;">
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              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
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                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
                   <tbody>
                    <tr>
                     <td align="left" class="s29">
                      <div class="s30">
                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        <b>
                         1. Butterfly effect.
                        </b>
                        One beautiful reason to be cheerful: monarchs are
                        <a>
                         making a comeback
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="5ekdd">
                        <b>
                         2. Too sexy for the slop.
                        </b>
                        Gamers hate Nvidia’s
                        <a>
                         new “yassify” filter
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="c9u4d">
                        <b>
                         3. Dirty
nostalgia.
                        </b>
                        New AI video trend in Mexico sees teens
                        <a>
                         become corrupt cops in the 1970s
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
       </td>
      </tr>
     </tbody>
    </table>
   </div>
   <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
   <div class="s0">
    <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s1" role="presentation">
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      <tr>
       <td class="s2">
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:568px;">
<![endif]-->
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         <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
          <tbody>
           <tr>
            <td align="left" class="s5">
             <div class="s30">
              Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Russell
              </a>
              and
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Linda
              </a>
              . Got an idea? A question?
              <a>
               Get in touch
              </a>
              .
             </div>
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
         </table>
        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
       </td>
      </tr>
     </tbody>
    </table>
   </div>
   <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
   <div class="s0">
    <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s1" role="presentation">
     <tbody>
      <tr>
       <td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:0 16px;text-align:center;">
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" width="600px">
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:568px;" width="568"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
        <div class="s25">
         <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s1" role="presentation">
          <tbody>
           <tr>
            <td class="s15">
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:568px;">
<![endif]-->
             <div class="mj-column-per-100 mj-outlook-group-fix s6">
              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s31">
                  <div class="s17">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s18">
                     💌
                    </span>
                    <span class="s19">
                     THAT WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
         </table>
        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
       </td>
      </tr>
     </tbody>
    </table>
   </div>
   <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
   <div class="s0">
    <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s1" role="presentation">
     <tbody>
      <tr>
       <td class="s35">
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:189.33333333333337px;">
<![endif]-->
        <div class="mj-column-per-33-333333333333336 mj-outlook-group-fix s6">
         <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
          <tbody>
           <tr>
            <td align="center" class="s38">
             <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s39" role="presentation">
              <tbody>
               <tr>
                <td align="center" bgcolor="#f8f9ff" class="s40" role="presentation" valign="middle">
                 <a class="s41" target="_blank">
                  <span aria-hidden="true" role="img">
                   🔥
                  </span>
                  Hot stuff
                 </a>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </tbody>
             </table>
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
         </table>
        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:189.33333333333337px;">
<![endif]-->
        <div class="mj-column-per-33-333333333333336 mj-outlook-group-fix s6">
         <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
          <tbody>
           <tr>
            <td align="center" class="s38">
             <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s39" role="presentation">
              <tbody>
               <tr>
                <td align="center" bgcolor="#f8f9ff" class="s40" role="presentation" valign="middle">
                 <a class="s41" target="_blank">
                  <span aria-hidden="true" role="img">
                   👍
                  </span>
                  Just alright
                 </a>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </tbody>
             </table>
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
         </table>
        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:189.33333333333337px;">
<![endif]-->
        <div class="mj-column-per-33-333333333333336 mj-outlook-group-fix s6">
         <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
          <tbody>
           <tr>
            <td align="center" class="s38">
             <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s39" role="presentation">
              <tbody>
               <tr>
                <td align="center" bgcolor="#f8f9ff" class="s40" role="presentation" valign="middle">
                 <a class="s41" target="_blank">
                  <span aria-hidden="true" role="img">
                   😒
                  </span>
                  ...Meh
                 </a>
                </td>
               </tr>
              </tbody>
             </table>
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
         </table>
        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
       </td>
      </tr>
     </tbody>
    </table>
   </div>
   <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600" bgcolor="#f8f9ff"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
   <div class="s42">
    <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s14" role="presentation">
     <tbody>
      <tr>
       <td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:20px 0;padding-bottom:0px;padding-left:16px;padding-right:16px;text-align:center;">
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:568px;">
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          <tbody>
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            <td align="center" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;word-break:break-word;">
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<![endif]-->
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600" bgcolor="#f8f9ff"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
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     <tbody>
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation"><tr><td>
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                  </tbody>
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                </td>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td><td>
<![endif]-->
             <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s43" role="presentation">
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
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   <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600" bgcolor="#f8f9ff"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
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              See your name in
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               partner with us
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              .
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              If someone sent you this,
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              – then take that pal out for dinner.
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