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Daily 2026-03-19
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All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
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<td class="s21">
S&P 500
</td>
<td class="s22">
1.37% ▼
</td>
<td class="s23">
6,624
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s21">
GOLD
</td>
<td class="s22">
3.64% ▼
</td>
<td class="s23">
$4,826
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s21">
BITCOIN*
</td>
<td class="s22">
4.00% ▼
</td>
<td class="s23">
$70,980
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
*24-hour change
</td>
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:1px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
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</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
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<td class="s19">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
<tbody>
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<td align="left" class="s8">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
<tbody>
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<td class="s21">
FTSE 100
</td>
<td class="s22">
0.94% ▼
</td>
<td class="s23">
10,305
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s21">
BRENT OIL
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
7.46% ▲
</td>
<td class="s23">
$111.14
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s21">
US BONDS*
</td>
<td class="s22">
0.07% ▲
</td>
<td class="s23">
4.30%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
*10-year government yield
</td>
</tr>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX
(
<a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
VIX
</a>
)
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<p data-block-key="10zqs">
🟰 The Fed kept interest rates unchanged in a near-unanimous decision
</p>
<p data-block-key="8vikq">
🦞 Nvidia’s CEO thinks he’s spotted the next ChatGPT – and it’s AI agent platform OpenClaw
</p>
<p data-block-key="6atph">
🛢️ Why high stock valuations and rising oil prices could put the market at risk
</p>
<p data-block-key="a7f4t">
<b>
👇 Keep reading to find out more
</b>
</p>
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👀
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Today's headlines
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High-Wire Act
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<p data-block-key="89qsj">
<b>
What’s going on here?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="rgj1">
The Federal Reserve (Fed) announced it would leave interest rates right where they are for now, rather than risk an unexpected slip.
</p>
<p data-block-key="bd4nr">
<b>
What does this mean?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="cgig">
The Fed’s in a tricky spot: inflation’s still running hotter than it’d like, the job market’s been sending mixed signals, and now it’s got a
war to contend with, too. On Wednesday, the central bank made only a few tweaks to its forecasts, predicting slightly faster growth – and slightly faster inflation, too. It also hinted at at least one rate cut ahead: the closely watched “dot plot” projections showed that policymakers still see one trim this year, and another next.
</p>
<p data-block-key="9iv71">
<b>
Why should I care?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="fv368">
<b>
<i>
For markets:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Central banking acrobatics.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="4as6g">
The Fed has a “dual mandate” that keeps it perpetually spinning two plates. One is to keep prices stable – aiming for inflation at a steady 2% – and the other is to maximize employment. Right now, the Fed is trying to spin its plates while inching along a tightrope in a windstorm.
</p>
<p data-block-key="b659t">
▶ See, the central bank’s main tool for keeping them rotating is adjusting interest rates. And the conflict in the Middle East is driving energy prices up, feeding
inflation – a case for raising rates. Now, higher rates should tame rising prices, but they’d also risk stifling growth by making it harder for businesses to invest and hire, potentially pushing unemployment up.
</p>
<p data-block-key="61f1r">
<b>
<i>
Zooming out:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Where’s the safety net?
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="dc5r5">
Interest rates are a blunt instrument. That’s never more evident than when inflation comes from an energy supply shortage: after all, fiddling with rates won’t conjure up
more oil.
</p>
<p data-block-key="1p9c2">
▶ So for now, the Fed is wary of reacting too quickly. No one knows how long energy prices will stay high, nor how serious the fallout will be. But it’s not the only one trying to pull off this balancing act: other major central banks are trying to do the same thing as they meet this week.
</p>
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SPONSORED BY ABERDEEN INVESTMENT TRUSTS
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<h4 data-block-key="jsb69">
<b>
What’s next for the UK markets?
</b>
</h4>
<p data-block-key="5rq5p">
2025 was a buoyant year for the UK stock market, with the FTSE All-Share Index delivering its strongest performance in more than a decade. It revealed a new-found confidence in UK assets and an optimism that the UK’s long run of unpopularity may finally be ending.
</p>
<p data-block-key="9tqhh">
However, there is a caveat to the UK market’s
strength. Just as in the US, across Asia and in emerging markets, returns were significantly concentrated in a handful of companies. The banking and defence sectors led the large cap index higher: banking accounted for 32% of the FTSE All-Share’s market returns and 14% was attributed to HSBC alone.
</p>
<p data-block-key="144od">
Read more:
<a>
What’s next for the UK markets? |
Aberdeen
</a>
</p>
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<p data-block-key="s6s6h">
<b>
Important information
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="doo2a">
<b>
Risk factors you should consider prior to investing:
</b>
</p>
<ul>
<li data-block-key="42gug">
The value of investments and the income from them can fall and investors may get back less than the amount invested.
</li>
<li data-block-key="148mv">
Past
performance is not a guide to future results.
</li>
<li data-block-key="l5c1">
Tax treatment depends on the individual circumstances of each investor and be subject to change in the future.
</li>
<li data-block-key="e5ha2">
If you require advice, please speak to a qualified financial adviser.
</li>
</ul>
<p data-block-key="1d84t">
<b>
Other important information:
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="78g37">
Issued by abrdn Fund Managers Limited, registered in England and Wales (740118) at 280 Bishopsgate, London EC2M
4AG. The company is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK.
</p>
</div>
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👀
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Today's Research
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<span class="s32">
Stocks Are Expensive, And Oil Just Became Their Newest Pricey Problem
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
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<img alt="Insight" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FInsight_Oil_180326_1.original.jpg%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D2877e6307fc16ce5739cc347ab3329f0/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzM4NzMzOTUuNTA0NjI0NH0:1w2zVD:CWdA9pjPb5aeLn80cPonJ0tXcqdwezAgtgFvGY-awm4" width="536"/>
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<div class="s29">
<p data-block-key="pr7ai">
Markets are in a
<a>
weird place
</a>
right now.
</p>
<p data-block-key="3v3q5">
On the one hand, stock valuations are already stretched by historical standards. And on the other, they’re still hanging out
near
<a>
record levels
</a>
– even as higher energy prices are pushing back expectations for interest rate cuts.
</p>
<p data-block-key="1rhia">
That leaves investors relying on
<a>
one thing
</a>
to keep markets moving upward: earnings growth.
</p>
<p data-block-key="7vaa3">
That could change, though. If the Iran conflict drags on and further disrupts oil and gas supplies, it could keep inflation elevated, push interest rates even higher, and ultimately trigger a
<a>
sharp stock selloff
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="famrc">
So that’s today’s Insight:
<a>
why high stock valuations and rising oil prices could put the market at risk
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="eusko">
<a>
<b>
Read or listen to the Insight here
</b>
</a>
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Russell Burns
</a>
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👀
</span>
<span class="s18">
Today's headlines
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<div class="s31">
<mj-raw>
<span class="s32">
OpenClaws Out
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" class="s5">
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<a target="_blank">
<img alt="OpenClaws Out" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-180326-AgenticWave.original.jpg%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253Dfbc48b7306369f3131d44ef36b1f2a6f/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzM4NzMzOTUuNTA0ODQ3NX0:1w2zVD:guPaz7ePPMoznD3JGBbFQDV-RgWNVx45iolen695PNs" width="568"/>
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<p data-block-key="2xuyv">
<b>
What’s going on here?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="252u2">
<b>
Nvidia
</b>
CEO Jensen Huang isn’t mincing words about the future of AI: he just described AI agent platform OpenClaw as “definitely the next ChatGPT”.
</p>
<p data-block-key="asar5">
<b>
What does this mean?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="994da">
AI agents are basically chatbots that can actually
<i>
do
</i>
things on your behalf. Sure, a bot like ChatGPT can tell
you where to get a good pizza – but an agent (with the right permissions) can order that pizza for you, book you a flight to Naples for an even better one, and text your friends an invitation to join.
</p>
<p data-block-key="d792t">
▶ That’s why Huang hailed OpenClaw as a huge leap forward. The popular open-source framework can build AI agents – and run them directly on a user’s device.
</p>
<p data-block-key="ol5q">
🔺 And when the CEO of Nvidia gives kudos like that, investors’ ears prick up: they
took Huang’s message to mean that agents – not bots – would be the next big AI thing. That’s why traders sent shares in Chinese AI companies that already work with OpenClaw higher on Wednesday, boosting developers
<b>
MiniMax
</b>
and
<b>
Zhipu
</b>
by more than 20% each.
</p>
<p data-block-key="6spep">
<b>
Why should I care?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="d0856">
<b>
<i>
For markets:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Big in China.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="f3nf5">
OpenClaw went viral in China after major cloud providers
<b>
Tencent
</b>
,
<b>
Alibaba
</b>
, and
<b>
Baidu
</b>
began offering it. Tencent sure has the cash to invest – its revenue climbed 13% last quarter. Plus, the firm has a built-in launchpad for the tech: super-app WeChat. Tencent’s reportedly developing an AI agent to drop into that ecosystem now.
</p>
<p data-block-key="4desv">
<b>
<i>
Zooming out:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Jensen, Jensen, Jensen.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="dlspp">
Nvidia’s CEO said on Monday that he expected data center revenue to reach $1 trillion by
2027, but investors just shrugged.
</p>
<p data-block-key="301at">
🔻 The chipmaking giant’s share price is down around 2% so far this year, and it’s not alone: the rest of the Magnificent Seven’s stocks have fallen, too. Those companies have all been pouring cash into data centers, and skeptical investors aren’t convinced that the profit will justify the spending spree.
</p>
</div>
</td>
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<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
You might also like ⇢
<a>
It’s Time You Take Chinese AI Seriously.
</a>
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<mj-raw>
<span class="s17">
✨
</span>
<span class="s18">
Sarah's Digest
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
</td>
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<![endif]-->
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<div style="font-family:Trispace,monospace;font-size:12px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#5E6984;">
What others like you are reading today...
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<td align="left" class="s34">
<div class="s29">
🌾
<a>
Unilever Is Weighing A Food Business Split
</a>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s35">
Bloomberg reports early talks on a full or partial separation, but any deal looks years away and the stock fell on the news.
</div>
</td>
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<td align="left" class="s34">
<div class="s29">
🛍️
<a>
Macy’s Sales Outlook Beat Estimates, But Profits Look Pinched
</a>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s35">
Strong Q4 comps and a higher 2026 sales guide lifted confidence, yet tariff and cost pressures have Macy’s pointing to weaker EPS and a soft start to the year.
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s34">
<div class="s29">
✈️
<a>
Airlines Pass Rising Jet Fuel Costs On To Passengers
</a>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s35">
As jet fuel prices jump, carriers are adding surcharges, raising fares, and trimming forecasts and schedules to protect margins.
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<mj-raw>
<span class="s17">
🖋️
</span>
<span class="s18">
Quote of the day
</span>
</mj-raw>
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<div class="s29">
<strong>
"The world of reality has its limits; the world of imagination is boundless."
</strong>
– Jean-Jacques Rousseau (a Genevan philosopher)
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<mj-raw>
<span class="s17">
🎯
</span>
<span class="s18">
On Our Radar
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
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<div class="s29">
<p data-block-key="aaghi">
<b>
1. A London Underground station smells.
</b>
And it’s all ice cream-maker
<a>
Magnum’s fault
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="1i072">
<b>
2. No burn, no churn.
</b>
Finally,
<a>
running has a purpose
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="baf85">
<b>
3. The end of allergies?
</b>
About
<a>
damn time
</a>
.
</p>
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<div class="s29">
Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
<a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
Russell
</a>
and
<a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
Linda
</a>
. Got an idea? A question?
<a>
Get in touch
</a>
.
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<div class="s16">
<mj-raw>
<span class="s17">
💌
</span>
<span class="s18">
THAT WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
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🔥
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Hot stuff
</a>
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<a class="s39" target="_blank">
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👍
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Just alright
</a>
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😒
</span>
...Meh
</a>
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