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   And what to know for the investing week ahead. |
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               👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
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               Over Yonder
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               The earnings and economic calendars look mighty quiet in the week ahead – but the real action’s happening out West.
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                        🔍 The focus this week: The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium
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                        In just a few days’ time, the world’s top central bankers, finance ministers, and academics will descend on the mountain town of Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to tackle the biggest economic questions. It’s less “saloons and spurs”, more “spreadsheets and suits”, but the stakes are real. This year’s theme – “Labor Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy” – is a mouthful, but it boils down to one big question: what should central bank policy look like when the very nature of work is changing?
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                        See, the world’s labor market is caught in a serious dust storm. Populations in wealthy countries are aging, birth rates are dropping, and workforces are shrinking. That puts a natural speed limit on economic growth and pushes wages higher.
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                       <p data-block-key="8pnnc" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Meanwhile, the pandemic permanently upended all the office routines, popularizing remote and hybrid work. Now, AI’s come galloping in. And what’s not clear is whether all this disruption is making us more productive – or less. So far, the data’s as clear as mud.
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                        For central banks like the Federal Reserve (Fed), that’s a problem. A smaller, less-flexible labor pool could mean inflation ignites more easily – potentially forcing them to keep interest rates higher for longer. The old models they’ve used to predict the relationship between jobs and consumer prices are starting to creak, and policymakers know it.
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                       <p data-block-key="9q9jl" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Governments, too, are facing a challenge. They need to rustle up fresh thinking on immigration, childcare, and tech – investing in things like AI and robotics – if they want to boost productivity again and get their economies moving. And that’ll give this gathering plenty to talk about.
                       </p>
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                        ►
                        <b>
                         Ultimately, what’s said in Jackson Hole won’t stay in Jackson Hole.
                        </b>
                        The conversations could shape monetary and fiscal policy for years to come, influencing everything from the interest rate on your mortgage to the long-term growth prospects of your investment portfolio. The future of work isn’t just a buzzword – it’s the central economic puzzle of our time, and the world’s most powerful financial minds are racing to solve it.
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                    Give a man a fish, and he’ll eat for a day. Show someone how to spot little-known trends – and more importantly, explain why they matter – and they could be eating lobster for the rest of their mortal life.
                    <br/>
                    <br/>
                    Well, they’re no fishing experts, but Charles Schwab’s senior investment strategist and Charles Schwab UK managing director are both pretty savvy when it comes to helping investors navigate a volatile market.
                    <b>
                     Join them on September 2nd, and find out where to cast your proverbial net.
                    </b>
                    <a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                     Grab your free ticket
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                        📅 On the calendar
                       </p>
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                         <b>
                          Monday:
                         </b>
                         Eurozone trade balance (June).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Palo Alto Networks.
                        </li>
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                         <b>
                          Tuesday: Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Medtronic, Home Depot.
                        </li>
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                         <b>
                          Wednesday:
                         </b>
                         China loan prime rate announcement, Japan trade balance (July), UK inflation (July), minutes of the Fed’s latest meeting.
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Baidu.
                        </li>
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                         <b>
                          Thursday:
                         </b>
                         Japan PMIs (August), eurozone PMIs (August), UK PMIs (August), US PMIs (August), minutes of the ECB’s latest meeting, eurozone consumer confidence (August), Jackson Hole Economic Symposium begins.
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Walmart, Intuit.
                        </li>
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                         <b>
                          Friday:
                         </b>
                         Japan inflation (July), UK consumer confidence (August), UK retail sales (July).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="9pf5f" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         <b>
                          Saturday:
                         </b>
                         Jackson Hole Economic Symposium ends.
                        </li>
                       </ul>
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                        👀 What you might’ve missed last week
                       </p>
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                        <b>
                         🌐 The World
                        </b>
                       </p>
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                       </p>
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                        The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicted that global oil markets will rack up their
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         biggest surplus
                        </a>
                        ever next year, with inventories piling up at a rate of nearly three million barrels a day – topping even the pandemic-era glut. That’s thanks to sluggish demand growth (especially in China, India, and Brazil) and a surge in production from OPEC+ members and non-members like the US and Canada. The imbalance has already pushed crude prices down roughly 12% this year, easing inflation pressures but squeezing oil producers. What’s not clear is how OPEC+ might respond to the situation. After all, its view isn’t quite as grim: it sees average daily demand growing at double what the IEA is projecting.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="edg8l" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
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                        🇺🇲
                        <b>
                         The US
                        </b>
                       </p>
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                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="9n965" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Nvidia and AMD reached a novel workaround to US chip export restrictions, striking a deal to give the government a 15% cut of their revenue from China in exchange for market access. That’s a big slice of their income, sure, but it beats being locked out of the world's second-biggest economy entirely. And the firms could potentially offset the costs by raising prices or creating new, more profitable products. For investors, though, the arrangement is seen as setting a precedent: writing political risk directly into a company’s revenue model and ushering in an era of “pay-to-play” global trade.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="ddnis" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="dkfn8" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        US inflation held steady in July at 2.7% a year, defying expectations for a slight acceleration. And while core consumer prices, which strip out volatile food and energy items, rose at their fastest pace since January, the speed was driven by services rather than tariff-impacted goods. That calmed fears about a broader price surge, giving investors fresh confidence that the Fed could cut interest rates next month, and lifting stocks to record highs on Tuesday. Plenty of economists remained wary, though, warning that tariff-induced inflation could still build, especially as more businesses signal plans to hike prices.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="42ri0" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
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                        <b>
                         🇨🇳 China
                        </b>
                       </p>
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                       </p>
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                        China and the US decided to keep their
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         trade truce
                        </a>
                        going for another 90 days, putting a pause on massive tariff hikes while they try to tackle deeper disputes. The agreement also included Nvidia and AMD’s deal to sell AI chips in China for a revenue cut. But in a classic strategic move, China has begun pushing its country’s firms to favor domestic chipmakers like Huawei, potentially sidelining American ones. Markets mostly shrugged off the drama, already used to the two countries’ on-again, off-again relationship and preferring to wait for a more definitive decision.
                       </p>
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