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The tariff refund rush
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Plus: Claude gets conscripted.
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<div>
<span style="color:#888888">
Friday, February 27, 2026
</span>
</div>
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<div>
<span style="color:#888888">
Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
<span class="ql-cursor">
</span>
</span>
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<div>
<span style="font-size:16px;color:#000000;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFFFFF">
Good morning, Quartz readers! It’s Shannon Carroll with the Daily Brief. Today, border taxes boomerang, Claude gets an ultimatum, Nvidia’s AI engine comes
up against cash-flow nerves, and Warner Bros.’ quarter doubles as M&A theater.
</span>
</div>
</td>
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<tr>
<td align="center" class="td100" colspan="6" style="width:100%;padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:10px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000">
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border:0 #9B9B9B;height:1px;width:100%;text-align:center;background-color:#888888;color:#9B9B9B;margin:0
auto;border-left-width:0;border-right-width:0">
<tr>
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</div>
</td>
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<h2 style="mso-line-height-rule:exactly;Margin:0;font-family:Arial;font-size:20px;color:#000;">
<span style="font-size:18px;color:#168DD9">
HERE'S WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
<span class="ql-cursor">
</span>
</span>
</h2>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="trpad20">
<td class="td100" colspan="6" style="width:100%;padding:10px 20px;line-height:1.5;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000;mso-line-height-rule:exactly">
<div>
<strong style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica
Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
Traders sold Nvidia after another monster quarter.
</strong>
<span style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
The numbers and guidance looked outrageous, but the stock traded on whether the AI spending cycle can turn into cash fast enough to satisfy
</span>
<a data-linktext="a market allergic to “soon.”" data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;background-color:#FFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
a market allergic to “soon.”
</a>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
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<td class="td100" colspan="6" style="width:100%;padding:10px 20px;line-height:1.5;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000;mso-line-height-rule:exactly">
<div>
<strong style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
WBD’s quarter landed under a takeover spotlight.
</strong>
<span style="background-color:#FFFFFF;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;color:#000000;font-size:16px">
Losses narrowed, and subscribers climbed, but the CEO skipping the Q&A said everything: Investors are trading on who ends up owning the company
</span>
<a data-linktext="and on what terms." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;background-color:#FFF;font-family:Helvetica
Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:16px;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
and on what terms.
</a>
</div>
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SPONSORED
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<h2 style="mso-line-height-rule:exactly;Margin:0;font-family:Arial;font-size:20px;color:#000;">
<span style="color:#000000;font-size:24px">
Don’t Miss Your Chance To 3x Your Impact. You don’t want to miss out on this chance to protect our national parks.
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</span>
</span>
</h2>
</td>
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<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
The National Park Foundation is the official charitable partner of the National Park Service, working in over 430 national park sites across the country.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
Show your appreciation for national parks
by making a gift to protect precious landscapes and wilderness, historic sites, and places of cultural significance.
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</div>
<div>
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</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
Your gift can make a world of difference for visitors today and for generations to come.
For the next 48 hours only, every dollar you give to the National Park Foundation will be TRIPLED. $25 → $75 $100 → $300.
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</div>
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<br/>
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Can you make a 3x matched donation of any amount before this
opportunity is over?
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border:none; border-spacing: 0; border-collapse: collapse; mso-table-lspace:0; mso-table-rspace:0; mso-margin-top-alt:0px; mso-margin-bottom-alt:0px; mso-padding-alt: 0px 0px 0px 0px;" width="100%">
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<td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000">
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<a style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold; border: none; display: block; ">
3X your
gift!
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<!--[if mso]><a href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10359212/222404108/9251606/4/1009235/?f5d63f87=UXVhcnR6JTIwRGFpbHklMjBCcmllZiUyMCUyMA&x=d1dc248c" target="_blank" style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold; border: none; display: block; ">3X your
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</td>
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<h2 style="mso-line-height-rule:exactly;Margin:0;font-family:Arial;font-size:20px;color:#000;">
<span style="font-size:18px;color:#168DD9">
DUTY FREE FOR
ALL
</span>
</h2>
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="trpad30">
<td class="td100" colspan="6" style="padding-right:30px;padding-left:30px;line-height:1.5;width:100%;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000;mso-line-height-rule:exactly">
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
A year of border-tax whiplash has turned into something even more American: a class of businesses lining up to litigate their way to a rebate, while consumers — who paid in higher prices — get to watch from behind the velvet
rope.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
After the Supreme Court ruled many of President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs unlawful last week, at least 1,800 companies have already filed refund claims, piling into the U.S. Court of International Trade and asking to be paid back — with interest.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
Those duties were paid at the border by importers, so the refund line starts in corporate accounting, not at customer service. Shoppers absorbed the price
hikes anyway, and now get the rare perk of paying for a policy they can’t return, even if the charge gets reversed.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
Trump spent the better part of a year rewriting tariff rates in real time — carveouts here, reversals there, Customs guidance arriving after the press conference. Importers scrambled. Investors repriced. Economists modeled.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
Now, the mess has graduated from supply chains to court dockets.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
Trade law specialists expect the filings to keep coming, comparing the wave with decades of asbestos litigation squeezed into a much shorter window. Big companies can throw lawyers at the problem; smaller firms may not have that option, but they still want refunds.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
There’s also the not-so-small issue of where the tariff money went.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
It hasn’t been sitting in a
tidy lockbox waiting for refunds. Tariff revenue flowed into the Treasury’s general fund, so repayment turns into a coordination problem among the courts, Customs, and Treasury. So everyone’s holding a pen, nobody’s holding the cash, and the word “soon” is starting to sound like a foreign language.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
Trump has suggested the litigation could drag on for five years, which is an impressively long time for a “quick” price shock. And Goldman Sachs has suggested inflation tied to tariffs may
not fade much even as unlawful duties roll back.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
The tariffs changed fast; the payback, if it comes, won’t.
</span>
<a data-linktext="Quartz’s Catherine Baab has more on
the messy unwind of Trump’s tariffs." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;font-size:16px;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
Quartz’s Catherine Baab has more on the messy unwind of Trump’s tariffs.
</a>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
</span>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" class="td100" colspan="6" style="width:100%;padding-top:10px;padding-bottom:10px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000">
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border:0
#9B9B9B;height:1px;width:100%;text-align:center;background-color:#888888;color:#9B9B9B;margin:0 auto;border-left-width:0;border-right-width:0">
<tr>
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</table>
</div>
</td>
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<tr>
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<h2 style="mso-line-height-rule:exactly;Margin:0;font-family:Arial;font-size:20px;color:#000;">
<span style="font-size:14px;color:#168DD9">
RECOMMENDED READING
</span>
</h2>
</td>
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<td class="snippet td100" colspan="6" style="width:100%;position:static;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:12px;color:#000000">
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The future of tech, decoded.
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<a data-linktext="Semafor
Technology" data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
Semafor Technology
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unpacks the ideas, innovations, and power shifts redefining the global tech landscape. From AI and machine learning to the startups and policies shaping the industry, each briefing delivers clarity and depth on the tech transforming our world
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Subscribe for free.
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<span style="color:#168DD9;font-size:18px">
CLAUDE
COVER
</span>
</h2>
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<span style="font-size: 16px">
The Pentagon doesn’t usually ask nicely when it thinks something is essential. And this week, it decided Anthropic’s Claude model qualifies: The Defense Department has reportedly given Anthropic a Friday deadline to provide broad access to its AI
system.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
But while the Pentagon wants unrestricted access to Claude, Anthropic wants written limits. It wants assurances that the model won’t be used for mass surveillance of Americans or put into autonomous weapons without human oversight, even as it just loosened some of its safety commitments to stay competitive in the AI arms race.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
The leverage being floated is unusually blunt for a domestic tech supplier.
</span>
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<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
The Defense Department has reportedly threatened to label Anthropic a “supply chain” risk, a designation that could cost it government contracts and usually gets aimed across oceans. And it has raised the Defense Production Act, an extraordinary step that could let the U.S. government commandeer the technology when “voluntary” stops working.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
Those two threats pull in opposite directions. Branding a company as a
supply-chain problem walls it off; invoking the Defense Production Act pulls it in tighter, like a resource that belongs in the national inventory.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
Once Washington decides your model matters, it starts acting like it has a claim — and it doesn’t wait for your product roadmap.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
The clock adds pressure. The Pentagon reportedly sent Anthropic a revised offer this week, though details remain under wraps, and the deadline
looms. And in Washington, deadlines are rarely about time; they’re about leverage.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
Other executives are watching closely. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said he hopes the sides “can work it out,” while adding it’s “not the end of the world” if they don’t. Maybe not — but it’s a preview of the next phase of AI, where the prize isn’t the model, it’s custody of it.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
AI companies love to talk about building “responsible” systems, but
responsibility gets negotiated in the shadow of power, not in a blog post. Smart models win demos; control wins decisions, and this Friday deadline forces every lab to price out what “essential” costs.
</span>
</div>
<div>
<br/>
</div>
<div>
<span style="font-size: 16px">
If Anthropic blinks, the industry learns the price; if it doesn’t, Washington shows how far it’ll go to make “essential” mean “available.”
</span>
<a data-linktext="Quartz’s Joseph Zeballos-Roig has more on the new AI question: product, or strategic asset?" data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;font-size:16px;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
Quartz’s Joseph Zeballos-Roig has more on the new AI question: product, or strategic asset?
</a>
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Don’t Miss Your Chance To
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ChatGPT is selling out
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Americans are leaving the country in record numbers
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<a data-linktext="PETA is upset about Punch, the viral monkey. But IKEA is thrilled" data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#168DD9;font-size:16px;font-family:Helvetica Neue,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;background-color:#FFF;text-decoration:none;" target="_blank">
PETA is upset about Punch, the viral monkey. But IKEA is thrilled
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