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<a class="text-blackLight no-underline font-extrabold" style="font-weight: 800; color: #3C4857; text-decoration: none;">
TOGETHER WITH
</a>
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<a style="color: #204CE9; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 500;">
<img src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FFreetrade_Logo_White.original.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D9708a6602c9662731f67f544aaf5f957/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NTcxNDU5MTguNjc0NDkyNn0:1uunvC:ZhV93QQEzuIPwmbfafmhkgLjm5AEE0T-vdU_XKNcOOY" style="display: block;" width="120"/>
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Hi Sarah, here's what you need to know for
<strong>
September 6th
</strong>
in
<strong>
3:03 minutes
</strong>
.
</p>
</div>
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<span class="font-normal" style="font-weight: 400;">
The US had one of its weakest hiring months in years, cementing traders’ predictions of a looming interest rate cut
</span>
</li>
<li class="text-body leading-normal" style="margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5;">
<span class="font-normal" style="font-weight: 400;">
Find out where we are in the AI "hype cycle" – and what that means for your investing strategy –
<a and="" class="text-primary underline font-medium" cycle="" for="" hype="" investing="" means="" strategy="" style="font-weight: 500; color: #204CE9; text-decoration: underline;" that="" what="" your="">
Read Now
</a>
</span>
</li>
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<span class="font-normal" style="font-weight: 400;">
Gold broke its $3,500 record – and Goldman Sachs thinks the $4,000 (or maybe even $5,000) marker will be smashed through, too
</span>
</li>
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🥐 Finimized over a kringla at
<a style="color: #204CE9; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 500;">
Kringla Bakeri Og Kafe
</a>
in Orlando, Florida (
<b>
🌤
</b>
28°C/83°F)
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<span class="text-heading1 text-black font-black" style="font-weight: 900; color: #283444; font-size: 24px;">
Fed Up
</span>
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<a style="color: #204CE9; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 500;" target="_blank">
<img alt="Fed Up" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-050925-Fed.original.jpg%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D3fb376e3a87c9f1bcf57f671b6b885a0/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NTcxNDU5MTguNjc0Nzg4Mn0:1uunvC:AwnF3mxuhTgwS3VhvmiCF4yu5xetiFEzKNPCrTxNhxU" style="border:0;border-radius:4px;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="568"/>
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<h4 class="text-body" style="font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; font-weight: 700; line-height: 1.25; margin-bottom: 16px; color: #171E27; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0;">
</h4>
<p style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
</p>
<p data-block-key="qcdmk" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
<b>
What’s going on here?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="7agaj" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
The US only created 22,000 jobs in August – way fewer than the expected 75,000 – piling pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed) to switch its stance on interest rates.
</p>
<p data-block-key="57p3f" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
<b>
What does this mean?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="b6r01" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
► Investors might’ve hoped for a repeat of July’s figure: a 79,000 uptick, which was just revised upward by 6,000. But instead, August marked a serious slowdown. Now if you average out the last three months, you get an increase of just 29,000.
</p>
<p data-block-key="210hh" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
► Meanwhile, August’s data showed the unemployment rate reaching 4.3% – that’s the highest since 2021, but analysts expected that.
</p>
<p data-block-key="5hjvb" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
► And sure, lower immigration means the US doesn’t need to create quite as many jobs as before. But even with that context, these figures are on the low end.
</p>
<p data-block-key="9m1nf" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
<b>
Why should I care?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="36lu7" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
<b>
<i>
For markets:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Investors are confident about a cut…
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="6curf" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
Traders are now 100% confident that the Fed will cut interest rates at its meeting later this month. (They expect another trim before the end of the year, too.) See, the Fed’s now more concerned about the stuttering job market than inflation – even though the latter is still higher than the central bank’s 2% target.
</p>
<p data-block-key="2b57n" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
<b>
<i>
The bigger picture:
</i>
</b>
<i>
…But not so confident in the country.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="bkd8a" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
August’s jobs report is the first since the US president fired the former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner. (If you forgot, the president accused the commissioner of downgrading the numbers to make him look bad.) Since then, investors have voiced concerns about the accuracy, independence, and credibility of America’s economic statistics.
</p>
<p data-block-key="98o1q" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
That’s a problem. US interest rates act as the global benchmark for borrowing costs. So if investors lose trust in stateside data, their reaction could impact asset prices across global markets.
</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
</p>
</div>
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<p data-block-key="arelz" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
<b>
You might also like:
</b>
<a style="color: #204CE9; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 500;">
Move over, America… Emerging markets may be the real lands of opportunity
</a>
.
</p>
</div>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
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<strong>
Copy to share story:
</strong>
<a class="text-black60 font-normal" style="text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 400; color: #71767B;" target="_blank">
https://app.finimize.com/content/fed-up
</a>
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FROM OUR RESEARCH DESK
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What The Hype Cycle Can Tell You About Investing In AI
</h2>
<p style="line-height: 1.5; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; color: #FFFFFF; margin: 0;">
Carl Hazeley
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If anything's rife in the AI sector, it's
<a style="color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: inherit;">
hype
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="aqb6r" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; color: #fff;">
Anthropic just bagged an $183 billion valuation. Although, even that is dwarfed by OpenAI's $500 billion, the value attached to its secondary share sale.
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Still, despite the excitement, the world has been slow to fully integrate the tech. So far, we're mainly using services to speed up or optimize tasks (and for dating advice and holiday planning, obviously), rather than for
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radical overhauls
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.
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That makes sense. The excitement about any new, transformative technology comes in waves – it’s what the research firm
<a style="color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: inherit;">
Gartner has dubbed “the Hype Cycle”
</a>
.
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It’s essentially a five-stage pattern – and
<a style="color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: inherit;">
knowing where we are in the cycle can help you make smart investment decisions
</a>
.
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<b>
What’s going on here?
</b>
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Investors reacted to widespread uncertainty the best way they know how: by buying gold – and Goldman Sachs thinks there’s more to come for its namesake asset.
</p>
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What does this mean?
</b>
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Gold’s up 35% this year, reaching a record $3,500-plus price. That’s the best performance of any asset this year.
</p>
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Investors and central banks have been stocking up on what they see as solid bars of stability. No wonder: they’re facing uncertainty from all angles – potential interest rate cuts, inflation, a weakening US dollar, political and trade disputes, and fluctuating bond markets.
</p>
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Goldman Sachs forecasts a $4,000 price by the middle of next year, or a figure closer to $5,000 if private investors swap even 1% of their Treasury bonds for bullion.
</p>
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Why should I care?
</b>
</p>
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<b>
<i>
For markets:
</i>
</b>
<i>
The competition's cooked.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="f869b" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
Short-term interest rates are falling… and that’s good for gold. Normally, the “opportunity cost” associated with the metal is that it doesn’t pay interest like some other investments. But, as falling rates bring down those payments, that becomes less of a factor – and gold looks even better than before.
</p>
<p data-block-key="hm2l" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
<b>
<i>
Zooming out:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Bitcoin’s tagging along for the ride.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="eon5e" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
Goldman thinks the bitcoin crypto could reach $220,000 if gold hits $5,000 – almost double the OG crypto’s current price. See, the bank’s analysis shows the crypto increasing 250% for every 15% rise in gold.
</p>
<p data-block-key="cd7p0" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
Like gold, bitcoin attracts “conviction buyers”: investors who trade based on broad economic forecasts rather than price dips. That’s why the crypto’s up 19% this year, with investors hedging against inflation, tariffs, and political policies.
<br/>
</p>
<p data-block-key="89rhl" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
And the bond between the two is only getting stronger. Tether, the world’s biggest issuer of stablecoins (cryptos pegged to a traditional asset), has already stockpiled nearly $9 billion of bullion. Plus, it’s buying stakes in gold miners and the firms financing them. Tether even runs a gold-backed token, while others are experimenting with similar hybrids.
</p>
<p style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
</p>
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<b>
You might also like:
</b>
<a style="color: #204CE9; text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 500;">
Why gold is (kind of) the world’s new reserve currency
</a>
.
</p>
</div>
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<strong>
Copy to share story:
</strong>
<a class="text-black60 font-normal" style="text-decoration: underline; font-weight: 400; color: #71767B;" target="_blank">
https://app.finimize.com/content/control-the-uncontrollables
</a>
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QUOTE OF THE DAY
</div>
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<p class="font-heading font-bold text-navy leading-snug mb-2 text-subtitle" data-block-key="cygyq" style="margin-top: 0; font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; font-weight: 700; line-height: 1.375; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #0C73EC; font-size: 20px;">
"Though we travel the world over to find the beautiful, we must carry it with us or we find it not."
</p>
<span class="text-caption font-normal text-blackLight leading-normal" style="font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.5; color: #3C4857; font-size: 12px;">
– Ralph Waldo Emerson (an American essayist)
</span>
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*
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IN PARTNERSHIP WITH MACRO MORNINGS
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Join the 1% club
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<a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
Macro Mornings
</a>
ranks as one of Substack’s top 1% investing newsletters.
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👉
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</a>
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👉 …
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🎯 On Our Radar
</p>
<p data-block-key="wnzwo" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
1.
<b>
Unplugging won’t cut it.
</b>
These doomers say AI will kill us – unless we
<a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
follow their plan
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="6je7m" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
2.
<b>
Politics as portfolio strategy.
</b>
Turns out you can
<a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
invest in DC drama
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="egptv" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
3.
<b>
The world’s your runway.
</b>
One of Giorgio Armani’s most viral menswear looks was
<a style="color: #204CE9; font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
just something he threw on
</a>
.
</p>
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