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   What to know for the investing week ahead |
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               👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
              </p>
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               Inflate Expectations
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               The US is set to release the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. And investors will be watching for a plot twist.
              </p>
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                        🔍 The focus this week: Inflation and expectations.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6az05" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index
                        </b>
                        is a broad measure of consumer prices – and it happens to be the US central bank’s favorite inflation gauge (we all have one, right?). That’s because, compared to the consumer price index (CPI), it’s more comprehensive and flexible, which makes it more accurate overall.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="3l4ci" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        The PCE’s all-items inflation rate peaked at 7.2% in 2022 and has since eased, hovering for most of the past two years between 2% and 3%. It held steady at 2.6% in July, and economists expect August’s data, out this Friday, to show an uptick to 2.7%. They expect the core measure – which strips out volatile stuff like food and energy – to stay unchanged at 2.9%. If that happens, it’s unlikely to worry folks too much, especially given that many economists have been warning about a sharper rebound in inflation due to steep new taxes on imports.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="a02lq" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         That said, inflation’s still stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) 2% target.
                        </b>
                        And Americans’ inflation expectations have surged this year – and that matters. When people and businesses anticipate higher prices, they adjust their behavior: workers push for bigger wages, companies raise prices in advance, and consumers rush to buy things before costs increase. All of that can make inflation a self-fulfilling prophecy. That’s why traders will also be watching the US consumer sentiment report (due Friday, too), which will shed more light on Americans’ short- and long-term inflation expectations.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="4qmhh" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        <b>
                         A bigger-than-expected rise in the PCE index or a sharper-than-anticipated increase in inflation expectations could give the Fed pause.
                        </b>
                        Just last week, citing mounting signs of labor market weakness, the central bank delivered its first rate cut of the year and signaled two more to come. But any hint that inflation might be regaining its momentum would complicate those plans, forcing policymakers to weigh the trade-off between supporting the labor market with lower borrowing costs and reigniting price pressures as a consequence.
                       </p>
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                    <b>
                     You – yes, you – put your hand up if you love making money.
                    </b>
                    (Promise, no one on the subway cares.)
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="al9d3" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                    Put your hand
                    <i>
                     down
                    </i>
                    if you also love paying tax.
                   </p>
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                    Everyone with your hand up, grab a free ticket to our
                    <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                     The New Rules of Investing
                    </a>
                    event on September 30th. You’ll find out how to
                    <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                     maximize your portfolio’s returns while minimizing your tax payments
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="52unu" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                    Oh, and put your hand down. We fibbed: everyone’s looking at you.
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                        📅 On the calendar
                       </p>
                       <ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
                        <li data-block-key="gn5an" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Monday:
                         </b>
                         China loan prime rates announcement, eurozone consumer confidence (September).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="2getm" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Tuesday:
                         </b>
                         Eurozone PMIs (September), UK PMIs (September), US PMIs (September).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Micron Technology.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="18g7h" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Wednesday:
                         </b>
                         Japan PMIs (September).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="aknun" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Thursday:
                         </b>
                         Eurozone M3 money supply (August), US trade balance (August), US durable goods orders (August).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Accenture, Costco.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="24ht5" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         <b>
                          Friday:
                         </b>
                         US personal income and outlays (August), US consumer sentiment (September), US PCE price index (August).
                        </li>
                       </ul>
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                       <p class="content-box-header mb-4" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; font-weight: 900; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        👀 What you might’ve missed last week
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6z208" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        🇺🇲
                        <b>
                         US
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="5nahl" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        The Fed
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         cut interest rates
                        </a>
                        by 0.25 percentage points last week – its first trim of the year and right in line with what markets had priced in. One policymaker had pushed for a bigger cut, but was outvoted. That said, the Fed signaled it’s likely not done with the scissors yet: it pencilled in two more reductions by year-end. And it’s not hard to see why. Signs of labor market weakness have been piling up, with job creation slowing, past figures being revised sharply lower, and unemployment ticking higher.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="4e1g7" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="880ns" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         🇬🇧 UK
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="em932" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="4sqc7" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        British startup Nothing
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         just raised
                        </a>
                        a whole lot of something: $200 million at a $1.3 billion valuation, doubling down on its plan to build “AI-native” devices designed with AI at their core. The firm’s eye-catching see-through gadgets have already won over a niche fanbase, sending its sales up 150% last year to $500 million. Now, with just seven million devices sold so far, it hasn’t exactly made a dent in a market that ships over a billion smartphones annually. But it’s betting that genuinely new hardware – not just smarter phones – could unlock big opportunities down the line.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="4h98s" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="885f3" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         🇨🇳 China
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="2aceo" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bts1i" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        China’s economy
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         hit a rough patch
                        </a>
                        in August, with factory output, investment, and retail sales all missing expectations. Consumer confidence took a hit, too, as youth unemployment stayed high and home prices continued their slide. Add deflation and cooling exports (partly thanks to new tariff threats), and momentum was clearly fading. That’s a worry, especially with the government holding off on fresh stimulus. In the meantime, policymakers have cracked down on overcapacity in hot sectors like EVs and solar panels – and that could help the economy in the long run, but it risks more pain before any potential gain.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="dql10" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        The Chinese government banned the country’s tech giants from
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         buying Nvidia’s tailored chips
                        </a>
                        , forcing them into the arms of domestic alternatives. Fortunately, China’s top chipmaker SMIC has just started testing a homegrown advanced lithography machine – a big step in its bid to sidestep US export bans on high-end semiconductor tech. While the chipmaking tool’s technology is not as advanced as market leader ASML, it is part of a broader push to build a self-sufficient AI supply chain.
                       </p>
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