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   And what to know for the week ahead. |
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               👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
              </p>
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               An Eye-Opener
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               Nvidia is set to bring out its quarterly results in just a few days, and what it reveals about the health of the AI boom could be enlightening.
              </p>
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                        🔍 The focus this week: The earnings of an AI darling
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6az05" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         Nvidia
                        </b>
                        – which now makes up roughly 7% of the
                        <b>
                         S&amp;P 500
                        </b>
                        – is set to deliver its fourth-quarter results after the market close on Wednesday. And while the big revenue and profit numbers will make the headlines, investors will be listening just as closely for hints about the outlook for 2026 and even 2027. After all, investing is less about what’s just happened and more about what happens next.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="c64lu" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Wall Street expects Nvidia to post $65.7 billion in revenue – an impressive 67% jump from a year ago. It’s predicting an improvement in margins, too, with earnings per share forecast to rise 71% to $1.52. That said, the chipmaker’s made a habit of blowing past estimates – the last time it actually fell short was back in 2022, before ChatGPT kicked off the generative AI wave.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="130h0" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        This time is likely to be no different. Signals from Nvidia’s supply chain – including chipmaking behemoth
                        <b>
                         TSMC
                        </b>
                        – have been strong, and its biggest customers, the “magnificent” hyperscalers, have continued increasing their AI spending plans. The more
                        <b>
                         Alphabet, Meta, Amazon,
                        </b>
                        and
                        <b>
                         Microsoft
                        </b>
                        pour into AI infrastructure, the more Nvidia stands to gain as the go-to supplier of high-performance, specialized chips.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="52v28" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        What’s particularly interesting is that despite all that spending, Nvidia's share price has gone almost nowhere over the past six months. In fact, Morgan Stanley now estimates that the chipmaker is the most underowned US large-cap tech stock relative to its S&amp;P weighting, suggesting that lots of institutional investors are actually expecting it to trail the index.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="ca3h5" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        Those big-cap fund managers haven’t had an easy time in recent years: the vast majority of them have underperformed the S&amp;P 500. And if Nvidia does rally on another tip-top update, that low-cost index-tracking ETF could once again end up looking like the smarter bet.
                       </p>
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                        📅 On the calendar
                       </p>
                       <ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
                        <li data-block-key="gn5an" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Monday:
                         </b>
                         Eurozone inflation (January).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="qh47" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Tuesday:
                         </b>
                         US consumer confidence (February).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Home Depot, AMC Entertainment, HP.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="d5ol6" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Wednesday:
                         </b>
                         No major economic data.
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Nvidia, Salesforce, Snowflake, The Trade Desk.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="e5ido" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Thursday:
                         </b>
                         Japan Tokyo inflation (February), Japan retail sales (January).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Baidu, Block, Intuit.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="d1ta6" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Friday:
                         </b>
                         Nothing major.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="425jj" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         <b>
                          Saturday:
                         </b>
                         Earnings: Berkshire Hathaway.
                        </li>
                       </ul>
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                        👀 What you might’ve missed last week
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                        💵
                        <b>
                         The US
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                        The world’s biggest economy grew by a disappointing annualized pace of just 1.4% last quarter, after rising by 4.4% in the one before. The latest result was well below the 3% the market had expected. Some of that sluggishness was caused by the prolonged government shutdown – without it, experts say, growth might’ve been a full percentage point stronger. All told for 2025, the US economy expanded by 2.2% for the year, below 2024’s 2.8%.
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                        Bank of America’s latest fund manager survey showed that professional investors had taken their US dollar exposure down to the lowest level since the monthly reports began in 2012. That’s despite the fact that US economic forecasts and short-term bond yields look better than those in many other developed markets. The move suggests that political risk and a broader “sell America” notion were weighing more heavily on investors’ minds in January.
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                        💷
                        <b>
                         The UK
                        </b>
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                        UK consumer prices rose just 3% in January, compared to a year ago – the slowest pace in ten months and considerably less speedy than the 3.4% seen a month earlier. That data could give the Bank of England just the nudge it needs to cut interest rates again when it meets next month. The central bank voted to hold its key rate at 3.75% last time around, in a narrow 5-4 decision.
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                       </p>
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                        💴
                        <b>
                         Japan
                        </b>
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                        Japan’s economy expanded by just 0.1% last quarter, way less than the 0.4% the experts were forecasting. Consumer spending – which makes up roughly half of the country’s economic activity – also rose by the same slim 0.1%. Despite that weak showing, Japan’s stock market is up around 13% so far this year, with investors fully on board with the new prime minister's spending plans.
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                    Your Finimize Analyst team
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