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   Daily 2026-07-31
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   Plus, central banks in Japan and Europe are standing firm – for now | Your Daily Brief is ready |
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               3:14 read time
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                       All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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                         <td class="s21">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.70% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          7,490
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td class="s21">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          1.29% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          $4,107
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          2.78% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          $62,924
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
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                         <td class="s21">
                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          0.17% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          10,879
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          1.21% ▲
                         </td>
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                          $87.93
                         </td>
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                         <td class="s21">
                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          0.06% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          4.72%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
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                 <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
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                     <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F155%252F310%252F383%252Fon98ymlOAQyXBVRB6vM5pkw3R%252F0e0ea8e4cc46e4d784c5bdce49e629590e8a1773.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D521a5e93d65a35efcba8e383b2855c1d/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODU1MzUzOTcuNTM2NzYzfQ:1wpvK1:F9RacTa1hFvblsDaM4Ncktz_6W4LHxCCBpCLWeNeysY" width="536"/>
                    </td>
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                      <div class="s28">
                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        <b>
                         🤖
                        </b>
                        China’s DeepSeek might be digging itself a data center
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="70fgq">
                        <b>
                         🥊 FOR PRO MEMBERS:
                        </b>
                        Tech’s taken a bruising, but these picks have held up okay
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bh57t">
                        🛢️🔥 The Japanese and
European central banks kept rates steady
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bvg40">
                        <b>
                         👇 Keep reading to find out more
                        </b>
                       </p>
                      </div>
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                     👀
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                    <span class="s18">
                     Today's headlines
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s31">
                     DeepSeeking Compute
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
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                       <img alt="DeepSeeking Compute" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-310726-Deepseek.original.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D9e2502a9efdc4eeb89dde27cef2d1275/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODU1MzUzOTcuNTM2OTM0fQ:1wpvK1:wXOhLGCSezTV_1vjJFiz1fWfOGP-CMpIDYTaL2mUSKM" width="568"/>
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                  <div class="s28">
                   <p data-block-key="mdehe">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="e7a55">
                    <b>
                     DeepSeek
                    </b>
                    – the Chinese AI startup famous for doing more with less – is reportedly planning a massive one-gigawatt data center in Inner Mongolia.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="abd9m">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1ef20">
                    DeepSeek shot to global fame with an AI model that matched Silicon Valley's best with a fraction of the computing
resources. That efficiency became its calling card – and has helped drag down American AI stocks amid fears the industry has been overspending on infrastructure.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="f3j7p">
                    ▶ But now DeepSeek – reportedly eyeing a $50 billion IPO this year – is doing exactly what US tech giants have been doing: throwing serious money at infrastructure. Its planned data center would be the largest ever built by a Chinese company, though still smaller than the three-to-give gigawatt mega-projects
that American firms are working on.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bai6f">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4ske3">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming in:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     New strategy, who dis?
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ajadc">
                    Until now, Chinese labs mostly rented computing capacity from local cloud providers or even US ones. So building its own facility means that DeepSeek can avoid dependence on cloud rivals – both at home and abroad – and scale up without asking anyone's permission.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="a4mek">
                    ⚠️
But… it
                    <i>
                     also
                    </i>
                    means that DeepSeek will be spending loads more on infrastructure, and that comes with pressure to generate returns. So the "efficient underdog" narrative gets replaced by something more familiar: an AI startup playing the same expensive game as US rivals
                    <b>
                     OpenAI
                    </b>
                    and
                    <b>
                     Anthropic
                    </b>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8r683">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming out:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     A closed ecosystem.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3vg5u">
                    China has built domestic alternatives at every layer of the AI stack:
models, memory, chipmaking equipment, AI accelerators (the specialized chips that run models), and more. Altogether, that's a fully local Chinese AI ecosystem.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="aefqo">
                    ⚠️ Western chip and equipment makers that have counted on Chinese demand for years now face a real threat: both losing existing business and eventually competing against cheap Chinese exports for the same global customers.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   You might also like ⇢
                   <a>
                    The Smartest
AI Model Might Not Be The Smartest Investment
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                     📈
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Chart Of The Day
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
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                      👀
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                      Today's Research
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                    <span class="s31">
                     Tech’s Taken A Hit, Sure, But These Picks Have Held Up
                    </span>
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                   <p data-block-key="pr7ai">
                    Last week, I wrote a piece that revisited my
                    <a>
                     tech positions
                    </a>
                    in the Finimize portfolio. (Not hard to see why, with
the selloff the sector has had.)
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cs61f">
                    The
                    <a>
                     good news
                    </a>
                    is that the portfolio isn’t just a collection of AI and tech names. It also houses some more stable companies and tactical ideas that help smooth the ride.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4d5jd">
                    Because, yeah, high-growth tech can
deliver outsized returns, but they also tend to come with bigger swings. So those
                    <a>
                     steadier holdings
                    </a>
                    can help balance things out when markets get choppy.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="d1no2">
                    Today, then, let’s check in on the
                    <a>
                     non-tech names
                    </a>
                    I’ve got in the portfolio.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9q3oo">
                    That’s today’s Insight:
                    <a>
                     tech’s
taken a hit, but these picks have held up
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4opkn">
                    <a>
                     <b>
                      Read or listen to the Insight here
                     </b>
                    </a>
                   </p>
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s31">
                     Pressure Cooker
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                 <td align="center" class="s5">
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                  <div class="s28">
                   <p data-block-key="7ok2a">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cqij0">
                    The renewed conflict in Iran has sent oil prices up around 20% this month – stoking inflation in Japan and the eurozone.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="28ddn">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="do1tj">
                    🔺 Tokyo’s inflation reading comes out before Japan’s wider consumer gauge, offering a preview of the national trend. And it hit 2% in July, the
highest in four months and
                    <i>
                     bang on
                    </i>
                    the Bank of Japan’s target. So though the central bank kept interest rates at 1% at its Friday meeting, a hike – the go-to brake on runaway prices – could happen in September.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="a0h2j">
                    🔺 It’s been a similar story in the eurozone, where consumer price inflation hit 2.9% in July. The European Central Bank held rates steady at last week’s meeting, but – yep – a September rise is likely.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="fejj2">
                    <b>
                     Why should I
care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2nk73">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming in:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Cheap currency, expensive consequences.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="vkn7">
                    Japan’s weak yen is making imports more expensive, feeding inflation. So on Thursday, the government spent around $54 billion to lift it roughly 3% against the US dollar. That’s working – for now…
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="64lr">
                    ⚠️ Japan tried to prop up the yen in April, too, but it didn’t last. See, the country’s 1% interest rate is lower than most developed
regions, so investors borrow cheaply in yen to invest in higher-yielding assets elsewhere. Now, its interest rate hasn’t changed, so
                    <i>
                     this
                    </i>
                    intervention might be more of a Band-Aid than a cure.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="a9us6">
                    ▶ Help
                    <i>
                     might
                    </i>
                    be on the way. US authorities carried out a “rate check” – asking foreign exchange dealers where the yen is trading – a sign that the Treasury may look to effectively step in to support the yen.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2kdot">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      The bigger
picture:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Expectation creates reality.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4ean5">
                    Central banks typically wait out inflation that’s driven by higher energy prices – supply shocks tend to subside, and upping interest rates won’t conjure up more oil or gas. The bigger risk is second-round effects: when consumers and businesses
                    <i>
                     expect
                    </i>
                    higher inflation, and so act like it’s here to stay. That can turn a temporary pain into a chronic one...
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     ✨
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Sarah's Digest
                    </span>
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                     🖋️
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                    <span class="s18">
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                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div class="s28">
                   <strong>
                    "Nothing is impossible, the word itself says 'I'm possible!'"
                   </strong>
                   – Audrey Hepburn (a British actress)
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
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<![endif]-->
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                    <span class="s17">
                     🎯
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     On Our Radar
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
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                      <div class="s28">
                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        <b>
                         1. Travel changes you.
                        </b>
                        No, really: why some people pick up accents and more
                        <a>
                         on vacation
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="c42j0">
                        <b>
                         2. I’ll have the snipe, thank you.
                        </b>
                        America’s
                        <a>
                         historical restaurant menus
                        </a>
                        offer a glimpse of its story.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="c8pp">
                        <b>
                         3. Not the Chunky Monkey...
                        </b>
                        Is Magnum
                        <a>
                         destroying Ben &amp; Jerry’s
                        </a>
                        ?
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<![endif]-->
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<![endif]-->
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          <tbody>
           <tr>
            <td align="left" class="s5">
             <div class="s28">
              Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
              <a class="s35">
               Theodora
              </a>
              ,
              <a class="s35">
               Russell
              </a>
              , and
              <a class="s35">
               Linda
              </a>
              . Got an idea? A question?
              <a>
               Get in touch
              </a>
              .
             </div>
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
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<![endif]-->
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<![endif]-->
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          <tbody>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
               <tbody>
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                 <td align="left" class="s29">
                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     💌
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     THAT WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
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          <tbody>
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            <td align="center" class="s36">
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              <tbody>
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                <td align="center" bgcolor="#f8f9ff" class="s38" role="presentation" valign="middle">
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                   👍
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                  Just alright
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