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   Daily 2026-05-16
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   Plus, Ackman spotted a window(s) on Microsoft | Your Daily Brief is ready |
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               3:14 read time
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                     WHAT'S GOING ON
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                       All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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                         <td class="s21">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          1.23% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          7,409
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          3.09% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $4,540
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          2.39% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $79,132
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
                         </td>
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                      <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:1px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
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                         <td class="s21">
                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          1.93% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          10,172
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          3.51% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $109.43
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td class="s21">
                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.12% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          4.59%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
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                 <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
                </td>
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                     <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F145%252F810%252F055%252F9BvRDJ724zWmOPpOQlAKNOd03%252F3f1a7bd21de3e182a518ff41ba722abc04546d4d.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D784328a75a3be87db84f5a2ebc5aa7fe/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3Nzg4ODI1MzAuMTA1NTgwOH0:1wO0bi:rJSxjtzQSw64EEtjMBoI8JR-oReEKTpF_hlN2_eAkf0" width="536"/>
                    </td>
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                     <td align="left" class="s28">
                      <div class="s29">
                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        👀 America and China’s talks ended with… more to say
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="ektu9">
                        🚀
                        <b>
                         FOR PRO MEMBERS:
                        </b>
                        Weighing up SpaceX’s valuation, before its IPO liftoff
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="etqkd">
                        💻 Famed investor Bill Ackman took a big stake in Microsoft
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bvg40">
                        <b>
                         👇 Keep reading to find out more
                        </b>
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
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                   </tbody>
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                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
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<![endif]-->
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                     👀
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Today's headlines
                    </span>
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                    <span class="s32">
                     Frenemies
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                       <img alt="Frenemies" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-150526-USChina-2.original.jpg%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D7a0068b1bf9ce03730c9a65739fbbdeb/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3Nzg4ODI1MzAuMTA1NzI1NX0:1wO0bi:3TACWPGZAKwQGU5dD5r2AN8gpTY2_I2JmNB06WJfY9c" width="568"/>
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                  <div class="s29">
                   <p data-block-key="buyd4">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="fb5kl">
                    The American and Chinese presidents just spent two days talking in Beijing… only to part ways with few real deals.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="a15tc">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="aprqg">
                    The world’s two biggest economies pledged “strategic stability” for the next three years – a welcome truce after last year’s trade wars. But exactly
                    <i>
                     what
                    </i>
                    that means isn’t very clear…
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="154s1">
                    ▶ The US president said that China agreed to buy American oil, along with planes from
                    <b>
                     Boeing
                    </b>
                    – but just 200 of them, well short of the 500 investors had hoped for.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="5jkqk">
                    ▶ All the US executives who made the trip to China – from the likes of
                    <b>
                     Nvidia
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Tesla
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Blackrock
                    </b>
                    , and more – haven’t given any updates as of yet.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="fu6at">
                    ▶ At least the Chinese president
accepted an invite to the White House in September, leaving room for a sequel.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="791le">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cluof">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming in:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     The elephant in the room.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="el6fq">
                    Energy was always going to be on the agenda. Higher prices are hammering the global economy, after all – largely driven by the US war in Iran and the resulting near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="baled">
                    ▶ In the US, energy
costs are squeezing consumers and feeding into
                    <a>
                     higher
                    </a>
                    inflation.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4ei7c">
                    ▶ In China, manufacturers are paying more for materials – but with consumers unable to stomach higher prices, that’s starting to
                    <a>
                     bite
                    </a>
                    into companies’ profits.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cjns">
                    ▶ Both countries agreed that the waterway must fully reopen, but neither said much beyond that.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cqpeg">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming out:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     This impact isn’t equal.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="5ajbs">
                    India has
really been feeling the strain. As the world’s third-biggest oil importer, the country’s been hit hard by higher prices: its stock market is down 9% since the start of the year, and its currency is Asia’s worst performer.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="81q9a">
                    ▶ The Indian government has rolled out some emergency measures, including cracking down on fuel consumption and
                    <a>
                     tightening
                    </a>
                    gold imports. But really, those are just Band-Aid solutions to the bigger problem.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   You might also like ⇢
                   <a>
                    What Higher Energy Prices Mean For The Global Economy And Markets
                   </a>
                  </div>
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                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     📈
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Chart Of The Day
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
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                      Today's Research
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                     Should You Invest In SpaceX’s IPO – Or Leave It On The Launchpad?
                    </span>
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                   <p data-block-key="pr7ai">
                    <a>
                     <b>
                      SpaceX
                     </b>
                    </a>
                    – a company as well known for its successful launches as its failed ones – is headed for the biggest stock market debut in history as early as next month: a $75 billion IPO that would give
it a market value beyond
                    <i>
                     $1.75 trillion
                    </i>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4kmsd">
                    That's a lot of zeros for a company that
                    <b>
                     CEO Elon Musk
                    </b>
                    swore he wouldn’t take public until humans were
                    <a>
                     on Mars
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1b4op">
                    So, before the hype does its thing (potentially giving new
meaning to the word “
                    <a>
                     hyperspace
                    </a>
                    ”), it’s worth being clear about what the shares would actually represent.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7oepc">
                    SpaceX is no longer
                    <i>
                     just
                    </i>
                    <a>
                     a rocket company
                    </a>
                    : it’s a launch business, a satellite internet giant, and now, thanks to xAI, an AI-and-social-media bundle too.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="5etd0">
                    So let’s break down the core businesses, the best-case and worst-case scenarios, and how to begin putting
                    <a>
                     a price tag
                    </a>
                    on a company this big and this distinctive.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9ds7a">
                    That’s today’s Research:
                    <a>
                     weighing up SpaceX’s valuation, before its IPO liftoff
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ed5tt">
                    <a>
                     <b>
                      Read or listen to the Research here
                     </b>
                    </a>
                   </p>
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                         Reda Farran, CFA
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                     👀
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                    <span class="s18">
                     Today's headlines
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s32">
                     Ackman Spotted A Window(s)
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
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                       <img alt="Ackman Spotted A Window(s)" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252F15052626-Ackman_1.original.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D02ceb8a5d6f0e375d40f684413754fbd/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3Nzg4ODI1MzAuMTA2MzkzfQ:1wO0bi:bADzMIHT75S_GJVVXyUPhZZ7U2qIZLgmDH731-xOkFk" width="568"/>
                      </a>
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                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div class="s29">
                   <p data-block-key="w6yhy">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8d8nv">
                    <b>
                     Pershing Square
                    </b>
                    – the hedge fund founded by famed investor Bill Ackman – bought a hefty stake in
                    <b>
                     Microsoft,
                    </b>
                    after this year’s decline gave the tech stock a slightly better (ahem) outlook.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ejktm">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="flln7">
                    Ackman’s known for making unconventional bets – and they’ve
                    <a>
                     tended
                    </a>
                    to pay off. So this week, when he revealed that Pershing’s been piling up Microsoft shares, investors’ ears perked up. And it looks like the hedge fund’s planning to turn the software giant into a core holding.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="b6c7g">
                    🔻 Microsoft’s stock has fallen roughly 10% this year, even as the tech-focused
                    <b>
                     Nasdaq
                    </b>
                    has climbed about 14%. Investors are worried that Microsoft 365 – home of Word, Excel, and PowerPoint – won’t be able to fend off AI-powered rivals.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cji2f">
                    ⚠️ That’s a problem for the bottom line: the division that Microsoft 365 falls into contributes more than 40% of the company’s revenue – and an even bigger slice of its profit.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="fpeh4">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2oaii">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming in:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Au contraire.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="csqea">
                    Ackman thinks those fears are overblown, arguing Microsoft’s software isn't easy to replace. It’s embedded in the daily operations of most big enterprises, after all – and that’s a pretty big deal. Plus, the software’s backed by Microsoft's security and compliance systems.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bqg6p">
                    ▶ It’s a contrarian call, but zigging when others zag
                    <i>
                     is
                    </i>
                    kind of his thing.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="528ko">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Wisdom of the crowd…
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ckuk0">
                    Microsoft’s weak performance this year reflects one of the market’s biggest (and most profitable) AI trades: sell software firms, buy chipmakers.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8om0e">
                    ▶ The logic is simple. Giant cloud providers are planning to pour a combined $800 billion into AI data centers and other infrastructure this year, with even more
                    <a>
                     expected
                    </a>
                    in 2027. A lot of that spending is flowing into chips, supercharging sales and profits.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="f29qr">
                    ▶ At the same time, investors suspect AI products will start eating into software firms’ earnings.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="aroql">
                    🔺 That explains why a widely followed semiconductor
index has outperformed a software one by more than
                    <i>
                     80%
                    </i>
                    this year.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s5">
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
            </td>
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          </tbody>
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        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:568px;" width="568" bgcolor="#f8f9ff"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
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          <tbody>
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               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s15">
                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     ✨
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Sarah's Digest
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
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        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
</td></tr><tr><td class="" width="600px">
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:568px;" width="568" bgcolor="#f8f9ff"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
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          <tbody>
           <tr>
            <td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:20px 0;padding-bottom:32px;padding-left:16px;padding-right:16px;padding-top:8px;text-align:center;">
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                <tr>
                 <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
                  <div style="font-family:Trispace,monospace;font-size:12px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#5E6984;">
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Join Finimize Pro
                    </span>
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                      <a target="_blank">
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                   <p data-block-key="b5v8o">
                    If you’re managing your own portfolio, you already know that the job isn’t just pressing “buy”.
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                   <p data-block-key="87tls">
                    It’s sorting the intelligent insights from the utter nonsense.
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                   <p data-block-key="e7ren">
                    With
                    <a>
                     Finimize Pro
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                   <p data-block-key="16rcf">
                    It’s built for people who want to manage their own money and outthink the market.
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                    , and posted a
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                    (meaning, yep, most calls made money).
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:568px;" width="568"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
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          <tbody>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:568px;">
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               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s30">
                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     🖋️
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Quote of the day
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
            </td>
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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</td></tr><tr><td class="" width="600px">
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:568px;" width="568"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
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         <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s1" role="presentation">
          <tbody>
           <tr>
            <td class="s27">
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:568px;">
<![endif]-->
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              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div class="s29">
                   <strong>
                    "Sometimes you have to go up really high to understand how small you really are."
                   </strong>
                   – Felix Baumgartner (an Austrian skydiver)
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
            </td>
           </tr>
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         </table>
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
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     <tbody>
      <tr>
       <td class="s26">
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" width="600px">
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:568px;" width="568"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
        <div class="s24">
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          <tbody>
           <tr>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:568px;">
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              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s30">
                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     🎯
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     On Our Radar
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
         </table>
        </div>
        <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
</td></tr><tr><td class="" width="600px">
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:568px;" width="568"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
<![endif]-->
        <div class="s24">
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          <tbody>
           <tr>
            <td class="s27">
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:568px;">
<![endif]-->
             <div class="mj-column-per-100 mj-outlook-group-fix s6">
              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td class="s19">
                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
                   <tbody>
                    <tr>
                     <td align="left" class="s28">
                      <div class="s29">
                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        <b>
                         1.
                        </b>
                        <b>
                         <i>
                          The Late Show
                         </i>
                        </b>
                        <b>
                         ’s last days.
                        </b>
                        And Stephen Colbert is
                        <a>
                         making the most of them
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="cv8p4">
                        <b>
                         2. What dreams are really made of.
                        </b>
                        Our
                        <a>
                         non-waking life
                        </a>
                        has a lot to say about our waking one.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="32uq">
                        <b>
                         3. Injectable boobs.
                        </b>
                        Because cosmetic surgery on your lunch break
                        <a>
                         sounds totally safe
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="8b2d9">
                        <b>
                         4. Waterloo.
                        </b>
                        It’s the 70th outing of the international song contest – so
                        <a>
                         what do you know about it
                        </a>
                        ?
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="59jku">
                        <b>
                         5. Could it be you?
                        </b>
                        The search for the
                        <a>
                         next James Bond
                        </a>
                        is officially underway.
                       </p>
                      </div>
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              Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
              <a class="s36">
               Reda
              </a>
              ,
              <a class="s36">
               Russell
              </a>
              ,
and
              <a class="s36">
               Linda
              </a>
              . Got an idea? A question?
              <a>
               Get in touch
              </a>
              .
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                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     💌
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                    <span class="s18">
                     THAT WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
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                  Hot stuff
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           <tr>
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                  Just alright
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            </td>
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                  ...Meh
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