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   Daily 2025-10-17
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   Plus, TSMC's bumper results | Your Daily Brief is ready |
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               Fri, Oct 17 | 3:14 read time
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                   Together with
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                       All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
                   <tbody>
                    <tr>
                     <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
                      <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
                       <tbody>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.63% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          6,629
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          3.10% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          $4,332
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;font-weight:700;width:40%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          2.51% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          $108,012
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                       </tbody>
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                 <td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
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                      <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
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                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.12% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          9,436
                         </td>
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                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          1.29% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          $61.11
                         </td>
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                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.08% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;text-align:right;padding:10px 0 0 0;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                          3.98%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
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                 <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
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                 <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F109%252F832%252F052%252F5nDZ3xmVezbmAlgNYy2qpdWj9%252Ff6b5c3c6387e1a0eded6ca6da88af88aa99eac86.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D8eb58110522001cca59be1431f9798aa/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjA2ODgzOTguNjI1OTY4N30:1v9fTy:b-eCcd2uFMSUKBLQaUCtKnpF83X2d4rVgup3dToWUVc" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="580"/>
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                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        👋 Welcome to your new Daily Brief. Let us know what you think by replying to this email – we'll wait with bated breath.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="4cl7h">
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="2bg87">
                        🟢 TSMC pulled profit up by 40%, beating analysts’ forecasts.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="aicn7">
                        🔴 Big banks said “it’s complicated”, showering AI with both praise and criticism. But while Goldman Sachs is split,
                        <a>
                         our analyst think some cracks may be starting to show
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="77gd1">
                        <b>
                         👇 Keep reading to find out
more
                        </b>
                       </p>
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                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bhpgv">
                    AI is to Wall Street what any half-decent
                    <a>
                     situationship
                    </a>
                    is to a hopeless romantic: both its strongest infatuation and its
biggest worry.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9nibe">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7t3oe">
                    In their strong
                    <a>
                     earnings reports
                    </a>
                    earlier this week,
                    <b>
                     Goldman Sachs
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     JPMorgan
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Citigroup
                    </b>
                    , and
                    <b>
                     Morgan Stanley
                    </b>
                    all admitted that AI has bettered their businesses. But their tone was notably cautious at the same time: the
big banks are still worried that the whole thing could be a bubble – one that’s liable to pop.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="748k5">
                    ▶ To be fair, though, analysts have been sounding the same alarm since ChatGPT took off in late 2022 – and the longer something sticks around, the harder it becomes to call it a bubble at all.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="67nta">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="594b8">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Nice legs… be a shame if anything happened to them.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="b1gh5">
                    Goldman’s bosses are worried, but the bank’s researchers insist the trend has legs – sturdy ones, too.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9kep8">
                    ▶ For one, they point out that Big Tech is actually making bona fide profit (so AI’s moneymaking ability is more than hypothetical).
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4kbs">
                    ▶ And for another, they say that while stock valuations
                    <i>
                     are
                    </i>
                    high, they’re far off those seen in the dot-com bubble. (Magnificent Seven stocks are trading for 27 times more
than their expected future profit, around half the 50 times seen back then.)
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="d0vp2">
                    ▶ Plus, some finance models show that investors expect the tech sector to grow its profit by 8% a year – ambitious, sure, but not absurd.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3r5vl">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      The bigger picture:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Protection is discipline – not pessimism.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="fqb6a">
                    Even if you’re hoping for the best, like those researchers, it doesn’t hurt to prepare for the worst. That’s
why professional investors often keep a “hedge”: a balancing position designed to limit any losses. One common example is a
                    <a>
                     put option
                    </a>
                    – a contract that gives you the right to later sell an asset at a fixed price. Just bear in mind, your protection should only be worth a few percent of your portfolio. And because short-term put options expire quickly, you’ll need to update them every
couple of months to keep your cover.
                   </p>
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                         Goldman Doesn’t See An AI Bubble, But The Pattern Does Look…
Familiar
                        </span>
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                          <img alt="Insight" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-161025-AIBubble.original.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253Dc7ec4778f8f93a846b0231abdf53c0ab/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjA2ODgzOTguNjI2MzM3OH0:1v9fTy:Y1hgjbRFcOMsdbF8j3QeraGrT8nj6nmDx6WyFjWKnT4" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="550"/>
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                       <p data-block-key="pr7ai">
                        I’ve been watching the
                        <a>
                         AI
boom
                        </a>
                        this year with excitement – and a bit of trepidation.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="9e2ca">
                        Every other headline seems to shout about another multibillion-dollar deal, and tech’s heavyweights keep swelling. So yeah,
                        <a>
                         bubble talk
                        </a>
                        is
                        <i>
                         back
                        </i>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="5qkap">
                        Now,
                        <a>
                         Goldman Sachs
                        </a>
                        says we’re not there
                        <i>
                         yet
                        </i>
                        – with the firm's researchers saying the rally’s still rooted in fundamentals. But a few things have me raising an eyebrow – like vendor financing.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="dptp6">
                        Nvidia and others are financially fronting their own customers (ahem,
OpenAI) while selling them chips. And that kind of loop looks powerful… right up until it starts
                        <a>
                         collapsing
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6jhs1">
                        Let’s be clear: I’m not hitting the panic button. But I do see the
                        <a>
                         cracks forming
                        </a>
                        , and in a market this pumped, they’re worth watching.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="cc3rs">
                        That’s today’s Insight:
                        <a>
                         the AI rally looks solid, until you take a closer look
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="aapg2">
                        <a>
                         <b>
                          Read or listen to the Insight here
                         </b>
                        </a>
                       </p>
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                     SPONSORED BY PROSPERO.AI
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <h4 data-block-key="4itgu">
                    <b>
                     Live long and Prospero.ai
                    </b>
                   </h4>
                   <p data-block-key="r0oj">
                    You now have the chance to back Prospero.ai: the award-winning AI
platform with trading signals that have outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by 67% over the past four years.
                    <br/>
                    <br/>
                    Prospero.ai is embedding itself in retail investors’ routine.
                    <a>
                     Weekly active users jumped 50%
                    </a>
                    in just three months, with traders logging in almost daily for new plays. That momentum fueled
                    <a>
                     a 200% revenue increase last year
                    </a>
                    , with another 150% expected this year.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4fnpr">
                    Investors aren’t the only ones interested. Multiple boards have praised Prospero.ai: its won awards from Best AI Fintech (Global Financial Market Review) to Most Influential CEO 2025 (CEO Monthly). Our very own analysts are also exploring how they could use Prospero.ai’s smart signals in their research.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="486v1">
                    If you want to be an early investor in a platform with triple-digit growth, you can
                    <a>
                     check
out the crowdfunder here
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <p data-block-key="z70u9">
                    <i>
                     Investing in private securities is risky, speculative, and illiquid. You should not invest unless you can afford to lose the entire amount invested. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please review the full
offering materials and disclosures before making an investment decision.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;text-transform:uppercase;color:#204CE9;">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     👀
                    </span>
                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     Today's headlines
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:22px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span style="background-color:#EFFF0D;display:inline">
                     Supply And Command
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                 <td align="center" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-right:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0px;">
                   <tbody>
                    <tr>
                     <td style="width:600px;">
                      <a target="_blank">
                       <img alt="Supply And Command" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-161025-SupplyCommand.original.png%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253Dd7edab546c3fca0a90b1b7a490d2fa50/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NjA2ODgzOTguNjI2NTczOH0:1v9fTy:ksinPQL71rz7dKv3vgkJd1mp5sQ0VM2xrVmxmeFzT7w" style="border:0;display:block;outline:none;text-decoration:none;height:auto;width:100%;font-size:13px;" width="600"/>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <p data-block-key="aow36">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8a2sv">
                    Chip manufacturer
                    <b>
                     TSMC
                    </b>
                    beat analysts’ profit expectations, asserting dominance in its role as AI’s biggest linchpin.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6hphd">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="dr9pe">
                    🔺 TSMC pulled its revenue up by 30% last quarter compared to the same time last year. And more than half of those sales came from its high-performance computing division – the department making high-tech chips for the likes of Nvidia and Apple.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cfl8u">
                    🔺 With that cash, the firm lifted its profit by 40% – 8% more than analysts were expecting.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="36b2g">
                    🔺 Even better, TSMC upgraded its profit forecast for the year as a whole
and announced a $40 billion expansion plan.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6p275">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2mlig">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming in:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Shop local… and from afar.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1tok8">
                    TSMC’s stock has climbed nearly 40% this year. Here’s the catch: it’s listed in Taiwan. The market restrictions there make it hard for foreign investors to trade directly, so they buy “American depositary receipts” (ADRs) instead – essentially, US-listed versions of the shares. And
those ADRs have rallied even further than TSMC’s main Taiwanese shares. In fact, the price gap between them is the biggest in over two decades.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="568n6">
                    ▶ That suggests international investors are even more confident than local ones. But with all the hype around AI, much of that is likely already reflected in juicy stock prices.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="726sc">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      The bigger picture:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Friends who chip together, stick together.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="eufm7">
                    Now,
TSMC is just one (big) part of the AI supply chain, so the firm relies on a Rolodex of companies to develop its factories.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="b4qsm">
                    ▶ One of those is
                    <b>
                     ASML
                    </b>
                    , which makes TSMC’s fancy “lithography” chipmaking machines. ASML just revealed better-than-expected order numbers from last quarter, and so long as TSMC keeps expanding, it’s likely to share in the success – along with other chipmaking equipment makers like
                    <b>
                     Applied Materials
                    </b>
                    and
                    <b>
                     Tokyo Electron
                    </b>
                    .
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   You might also like ⇢
                   <a>
                    What The Hype Cycle Can Tell You About Investing
In AI
                   </a>
                  </div>
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                 <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0px;word-break:break-word;">
                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;text-transform:uppercase;color:#030303;">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     🖋️
                    </span>
                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     Quote
of the day
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   <strong>
                    "The finest steel has to go through the hottest fire."
                   </strong>
                   — Richard M. Nixon (the 37th US president)
                  </div>
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    <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="width:100%;">
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="vertical-align:top;" width="100%">
               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0px;word-break:break-word;">
                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;text-transform:uppercase;color:#030303;">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span style="font-style:normal">
                     🎯
                    </span>
                    <span style="font-style:italic">
                     On Our
Radar
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
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               </tbody>
              </table>
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<![endif]-->
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</td></tr><tr><td class="" width="600px">
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            <td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:20px 0;padding-bottom:32px;padding-top:8px;text-align:center;">
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              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td style="vertical-align:top;padding:0;">
                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
                   <tbody>
                    <tr>
                     <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
                      <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        1.
                        <b>
                         It’s not you, it’s AI.
                        </b>
                        You can
                        <a>
                         blame your
poor dating track record on chatbots
                        </a>
                        … (Unless you’ve been going it alone, then it
                        <i>
                         is
                        </i>
                        you.)
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="42oq5">
                        2.
                        <b>
                         Get the yellow gloves out – or don’t.
                        </b>
                        Here’s when to call in
                        <a>
                         the mold pros
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="efbhj">
                        3.
                        <b>
                         Best delete those Instagram Highlights.
                        </b>
                        Folk are working on their digital footprints
                        <a>
                         before flying to the States
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
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<![endif]-->
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