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Daily 2026-08-17
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All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
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S&P 500
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<td class="s27">
0.50% ▼
</td>
<td class="s28">
7,747
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s26">
GOLD
</td>
<td class="s29">
0.83% ▲
</td>
<td class="s28">
$4,474
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s26">
BITCOIN*
</td>
<td class="s29">
2.45% ▲
</td>
<td class="s28">
$64,369
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
*24-hour change
</td>
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
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<td class="s23">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
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<td align="left" class="s9">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s25" width="100%">
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<td class="s26">
FTSE 100
</td>
<td class="s27">
0.21% ▼
</td>
<td class="s28">
10,728
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s26">
BRENT OIL
</td>
<td class="s29">
2.79% ▲
</td>
<td class="s28">
$90.99
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s26">
US BONDS*
</td>
<td class="s27">
0.03% ▲
</td>
<td class="s28">
4.73%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
*10-year government yield
</td>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX
(
<a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
VIX
</a>
)
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<img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" class="s12" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F157%252F785%252F724%252FDqR2v1kNaYMReErMz8epZrOWP%252Fb5daf91f699dfdbc18c5519a37ee8a5423beac21.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D66062fc9839dfd7f0adc3bd7d79ea0dc/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODcwMDQyMjQuNTU4ODg2OH0:1ww5Qm:fW7gsg4RwlA5t3clQhi26-o9syLmG7tf50dBzHck7NI" width="536"/>
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<p data-block-key="10zqs">
<b>
🐉
</b>
China’s economic growth is putting the “drag” in “dragon”
</p>
<p data-block-key="b8nn3">
<b>
🤔 FOR PRO MEMBERS:
</b>
These super-popular funds look like easy money… at first
</p>
<p data-block-key="691lm">
<b>
⛽️
</b>
Japan’s
economy is running on fumes
</p>
<p data-block-key="bvg40">
<b>
👇 Keep reading to find out more
</b>
</p>
</div>
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<mj-raw>
<span class="s21">
👀
</span>
<span class="s22">
Today's headlines
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
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<mj-raw>
<span class="s37">
China Hit A (Great) Wall
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
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<td align="center" class="s5">
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<a target="_blank">
<img alt="China Hit A (Great) Wall" class="s12" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-170826-China_1.original.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D3791d630ccf3d819a326c5203ff537d8/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODcwMDQyMjQuNTU5MTM1fQ:1ww5Qm:eYIQjT0wn06Cv41SYG4d4sUD1tUWeUJGsPYmBo_SDhw" width="568"/>
</a>
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<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s34">
<p data-block-key="h66wb">
<b>
What’s going on?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="2ibru">
China’s economic growth target this year is 4.5% to 5% – but fresh economic data’s making hitting it look less likely.
</p>
<p data-block-key="nqtj">
▶ According to figures released Monday, the country’s shoppers kept a tight grip on their wallets in July: retail sales crept up just 0.6% – less than half the expected rise.
</p>
<p data-block-key="9ttir">
▶ Spending
on buildings, roads, and machinery has fallen 6.7% this year through July compared to the same period in 2025 – a sharper drop than the 5.7% reported through June.
</p>
<p data-block-key="38hug">
▶ The real story was factory and industrial output – historically the big growth driver that’s kept the economy ticking along through years of weak domestic spending. It rose only 4.5% this July compared to last, down from June’s 5.3% and short of the 4.8% analysts expected. Officials blamed extreme heat
and heavy rain for shutting factories and shipping ports, but also conceded that demand has been weak…
</p>
</div>
</td>
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<tr>
<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:8px;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
What's the take?
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s38">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s25" width="100%">
<tbody>
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<td style="width:52px;vertical-align:middle">
<img alt="Charlie Pullan, CFA's profile image" height="40" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FCharlie_Pullan_profile_pic_287261011_aksndias.original.jpg%253Fauto%253Dformat%252Ccompress%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D100%2526s%253De315726a9b0ce6779549f4684e94474d/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODcwMDQyMjQuNTU5MzUwN30:1ww5Qm:1MUvvGWUnsqynLQuAwv1YdKcgNYbqgU04hpUDbe7clM" style="border-radius:50%;display:block" width="40"/>
</td>
<td style="vertical-align:middle;font-size:14px">
<span style="font-weight:700">
Charlie Pullan, CFA
</span>
<span style="font-size:12px;color:#7F879C;text-transform:uppercase">
Analyst
</span>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s38">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:1.5;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width:19px;border-right:2px solid #E4E8F3">
</td>
<td style="width:31px">
</td>
<td>
<p data-block-key="scbet">
<b>
<i>
Zooming in:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Drag-on.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="a9hlj">
A lot of Chinese wealth sits in property, so when homes lose value, folks stop spending. And right now, property is sinking. New-home prices fell again in July, now sitting 3.2% below where they were a year ago, while real estate developers’ spending has dropped almost
<i>
20%
</i>
so far this year.
</p>
<p data-block-key="a6l2r">
▶ Meanwhile, the government's trade-in scheme has been losing
steam. The program pays people to swap old cars and appliances for new ones – but it’s been running since 2024, so most folks have bought their stuff by now.
</p>
<p data-block-key="3tnp8">
<b>
<i>
Zooming out:
</i>
</b>
<i>
The economy’s calling it a night, but stocks are still going out.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="2fm17">
Shanghai's tech-heavy Star 50 index is
<a>
up
</a>
around 30% this year, pushing its price-to-earnings ratio – what investors pay per dollar of profit – above
<i>
150
</i>
. For perspective, America’s not-quite-as-tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is fetching just 35.
</p>
<p data-block-key="e5im6">
🔺 For China’s domestic investors, tech stocks are filling a gap:
with property busted, savings need a home. But if tech ambitions disappoint, those valuations sure have a long way to fall.
</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:24px;padding-right:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
You might also like ⇢
<a>
The
Three Worries Behind The AI Selloff – And Why I'm Still Buying
</a>
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📈
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Chart Of The Day
</span>
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<span class="s37">
Leveraged ETFs Look Like Easy Money (Until They Don’t)
</span>
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<p data-block-key="pr7ai">
Leopold Aschenbrenner started his hedge fund,
<a>
<b>
Situational Awareness
</b>
</a>
, in July of 2024, after being fired by
<b>
OpenAI
</b>
and with exactly zero professional investing experience.
</p>
<p data-block-key="2uq">
By this summer, the fund was managing $45 billion and had gained more than 1,000%. Then a few weeks ago,
<a>
things fell apart
</a>
, and Aschenbrenner sold most of the portfolio to
<b>
Citadel
</b>
in a single
trade, at a discount.
</p>
<p data-block-key="difn0">
The weird thing is his big investment thesis wasn't necessarily wrong. Since he sold, some of his biggest holdings jumped between
<a>
40% and 75%
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="15fgq">
What got him was
<a>
borrowed money
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="ceq69">
These days, borrowing money to invest
<a>
has never been
easier
</a>
. Here’s what to know about today’s super-popular ETFs.
</p>
<p data-block-key="1fk57">
That’s today’s Insight:
<a>
these super-popular funds look like easy money… at first
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="fgtap">
<a>
<b>
Read or listen to the Insight
</b>
</a>
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Charlie Pullan, CFA
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👀
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<span class="s22">
Today's headlines
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<mj-raw>
<span class="s37">
Running On Fumes
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
</td>
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<a target="_blank">
<img alt="Running On Fumes" class="s12" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-170826-Japan.original.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D62ef97baf63928ccfae7423c5dcd751a/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODcwMDQyMjQuNTYwMzcxMn0:1ww5Qm:XRnC0L_JPtcvkDnsRkgHWf6jTzqOSGNc0lYvqJ0kbsU" width="568"/>
</a>
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<div class="s34">
<p data-block-key="y54vo">
<b>
What’s going on?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="ci6a2">
Japan’s economy is still growing – but at 0.3% last quarter after adjusting for inflation, only just.
</p>
<p data-block-key="fcn9d">
▶ The good: this was the third straight quarter of growth. The bad: it was still below the 0.4% expected.
</p>
<p data-block-key="nif9">
▶ Households tightened their belts: consumer spending came in flat compared to the previous
quarter, missing forecasts for a 0.4% rise. But government support offset higher energy bills linked to the war in Iran and the cost-of-living squeeze – just enough to keep overall growth positive.
</p>
<p data-block-key="8tue2">
▶ Businesses are feeling it, too. Soaring energy costs and war-related supply chain disruptions pushed corporate investment down 1.2% last quarter compared to the first – far from the 0.5%
<i>
increase
</i>
penciled in.
</p>
<p data-block-key="uk7f">
▶ Still, markets expect the
Bank of Japan to hike interest rates at its meeting next month, from the current very-low 1% to a marginally-less-low 1.25%.
</p>
</div>
</td>
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<tr>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
What's the take?
</div>
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s25" width="100%">
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<td style="width:52px;vertical-align:middle">
<img alt="Russell Burns's profile image" height="40" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FRussell.original.jpg%253Fauto%253Dformat%252Ccompress%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D100%2526s%253D982ade4d86c6a8e6b7a5ecd0bea2248d/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODcwMDQyMjQuNTYwNjMzNH0:1ww5Qm:mV6-YKYd5sBExaNpthInJEjpaYWv7oUodezSRDoSZVg" style="border-radius:50%;display:block" width="40"/>
</td>
<td style="vertical-align:middle;font-size:14px">
<span style="font-weight:700">
Russell Burns
</span>
<span style="font-size:12px;color:#7F879C;text-transform:uppercase">
Analyst
</span>
</td>
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<td>
<p data-block-key="b5uw1">
<b>
<i>
For markets:
</i>
</b>
<i>
The war has turned up the heat – and the yen’s getting burned.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="amidf">
Japan imports almost all of its oil, mostly from the Middle East. And oil is sold in US dollars – so when barrel prices rise, Japanese importers need to sell yen and buy dollars to pay for it. That’s adding pressure to a currency that recently hit a 40-year low against the dollar, prompting Japanese authorities to step in and buy the yen
to bolster it.
</p>
<p data-block-key="1stvn">
▶ A weaker yen also makes
<i>
all
</i>
imports more expensive. And that, coupled with higher energy prices, is feeding inflation – giving the Bank of Japan more reason to lift rates next month.
</p>
<p data-block-key="eu8rf">
⚠️ But even at 1.25%, Japan’s rates would still be
<i>
way
</i>
below America’s 3.5% to 3.75% range. That gap has been the biggest driver of the yen’s decline over the past five years: investors borrow yen cheaply to chase better returns
in other markets and currencies. Until that changes, a yen comeback may not happen.
</p>
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<strong>
"One can choose to go back toward safety or forward toward growth. Growth must be chosen again and again; fear must be overcome again and again."
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– Abraham Maslow (an American psychologist)
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<p data-block-key="aaghi">
<b>
1. Happy Monday.
</b>
100 years ago, Henry Ford
<a>
gave us the weekend
</a>
so we can all be sad when
it’s over.
</p>
<p data-block-key="fuivs">
<b>
2. Discs are dead.
</b>
Gaming is casting off into
<a>
the digital unknown
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="3dsra">
<b>
3. Long live the disc.
</b>
While music aficionados are finding their way
<a>
back to
CDs
</a>
.
</p>
</div>
</td>
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</td>
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<div class="s34">
Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
<a class="s43">
Charlie
</a>
,
<a class="s43">
Russell
</a>
, and
<a class="s43">
Linda
</a>
. Got an idea? A question?
<a>
Get in touch
</a>
.
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<div class="s20">
<mj-raw>
<span class="s21">
💌
</span>
<span class="s22">
THAT WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
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🔥
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Hot stuff
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
<tbody>
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👍
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Just alright
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</tbody>
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😒
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...Meh
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6 days, 18 hours ago - hello@finimize.com
🐢 China's economic growth slowed
Plus, Japan's in the doldrums, too | Your Daily Brief is ready | 3:12 read time View in browser T...