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Climate: The politics of a warming planet
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<div style="width:100%;margin-bottom:31px;font:12px/12px georgia,serif">
June 18, 2026
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<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
Before we get to new data on how climate change could become a winning political issue, let’s get caught up on some breaking news:
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span style="font-weight:700">
Trump administration backs off plan to end ocean monitoring
</span>
<span>
: The administration is
</span>
<a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
abandoning its plan to dismantle a $368 million ocean monitoring system
</a>
<span>
critical to understanding climate change and marine ecosystems, bowing to a bipartisan backlash on Capitol Hill.
</span>
</p>
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<span style="color:#666;font:normal 14px georgia,serif">
Recent research from Gallup found that 44 percent of U.S. adults “worry a great deal about global warming or climate change,” with another 22 percent saying they worry “a fair amount.”
</span>
<span style="margin:0;font:11px/11px georgia,serif;color:#888;letter-spacing:.01em">
Sean Gallup/Getty Images
</span>
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<h1 style="color:#000;font:400 30px/37.5px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 12px">
<span>
The shifting politics of climate change
</span>
</h1>
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<p style="font:13px/18px arial,sans-serif;letter-spacing:.2px;color:#000;font:600 13px/18px arial,sans-serif;margin-bottom:3px">
By
<a class="css-nanfcg" style="-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline;-webkit-text-decoration:none;text-decoration:none;border-bottom:1px solid #ccc;color:inherit">
David Gelles
</a>
</p>
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<td height="15">
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</table>
</div>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
Conventional wisdom among the political class holds that climate change is not a winning issue.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
Most voters are more concerned with kitchen-table topics like affordability, the thinking goes. Under this logic, environmentally focused Americans are already going to vote for climate-friendly candidates. And climate deniers can’t be won over by a little campaign messaging.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
As Lisa Friedman and Brad Plumer wrote earlier this month, many leading Democrats are
</span>
<a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
shifting their messaging
</a>
<span>
on environmental and energy issues, no longer calling for an end to oil and gas and de-emphasizing the direness of the threats posed by climate change.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
But a wave of recent polling suggests that the politics of climate change are more nuanced than that. Global warming is, in fact, a serious concern for many American voters, the polling suggests, and with framing that emphasizes solutions instead of sacrifice, it can be a powerful motivator for real policy change.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
Take, for example, April
</span>
<a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
research from Gallup
</a>
<span>
, which found that 44 percent of U.S. adults “worry a great deal about global warming or climate change.” That’s among the highest percentages since 1989, and just short of the all-time high of 46 percent registered in 2020.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
Another 22 percent of Americans worry “a fair amount” about climate change, meaning it’s an issue that is solidly on the radar for two-thirds of U.S. adults .
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
A
</span>
<a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
survey last year from George Mason University
</a>
<span>
also found that about 65 percent of Americans were “very worried” or “somewhat worried” about global warming.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
And unlike in some previous studies, when climate change often ranked near last among voters’ major concerns, that poll found that the threats posed by a warming world were squarely in the middle of the pack, above issues like crime and health.
</span>
</p>
<h3 style="color:#000;font:400 20px/27.5px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 10px">
<span style="font-weight:700">
A partisan gap
</span>
</h3>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
At the same time, climate change has never been more partisan.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
A full 72 percent of Democrats say they worry a great deal about the issue, the second-highest figure on record, according to Gallup. Just 6 percent of Republicans say they are worried about climate change, the lowest figure on record.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
That’s no big surprise. Many Republican politicians and voters are following the lead of President Trump, who has called climate change a “hoax” and drastically rolled back federal support for clean energy and pollution controls, among a host of other moves.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
That partisan split is echoed in
</span>
<a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
a new report
</a>
<span>
from Potential Energy Coalition and the Rockefeller Foundation, two nonprofit groups, which surveyed 88,000 adults in Canada, France, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom and the United States.
</span>
</p>
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<span style="color:#666;font:normal 14px georgia,serif">
While words and phrases like “decarbonization” and climate “crisis” were shown to be ineffective, messages saying that pollution led to rising costs and extreme weather were more likely to persuade U.S. voters.
</span>
<span style="margin:0;font:11px/11px georgia,serif;color:#888;letter-spacing:.01em">
Paul Ratje for The New York Times
</span>
</span>
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<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
The survey found that the partisan gap on climate issues was by far wider in the U.S. than in other countries, and it also had the widest ideological gap of any issue tested in the U.S.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
The results showed that 93 percent of left-leaning Americans call climate change an urgent problem, compared with just 54 percent on the right. That’s a 39 percentage point split.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
Compare that with France, where the survey found that the issue “is essentially non-partisan,” with 84 percent of left-leaning voters and 79 percent of right-leaning voters calling it urgent. In Britain, there was a 12 percentage point partisan split on the issue; in Germany, there was a 19-point gap.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
But in the United States, the partisan split is only getting worse.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
After four years when President Joseph R. Biden Jr. anchored much of his domestic policy around efforts to curb planet warming emissions, the Trump administration has worked to undo many of those efforts, while promoting fossil fuels and deriding clean energy initiatives promoted by Democrats as the “Green New Scam.”
</span>
</p>
<h3 style="color:#000;font:400 20px/27.5px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 10px">
<span style="font-weight:700">
What messages work
</span>
</h3>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
Another insight from the recent polling: It turns out some of the most common sustainability buzzwords aren’t great at engaging people.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
In the Potential Energy report, words and phrases like “decarbonization,” “net zero” and climate “crisis” were shown to be ineffective at getting people to support policies that promoted clean energy and reduced reliance on fossil fuels.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
By contrast, when Americans were exposed to plain-spoken messages about the fact that pollution is leading to rising costs and damaging extreme weather, they were more likely to support climate action.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
“It’s not whether you should talk about it, it’s how,” said John Marshall, executive chair at Potential Energy Coalition. “When we pick messages that feel too ideological, or feel too big, or feel too constraining, or feel too liberal environmentalist, it doesn’t move people.”
</span>
<br/>
<br/>
<span>
But, he said, when you talk to people about climate change and focus on “the costs and consequences of pollution, you actually move them a great deal.”
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
This was also true when it came to Republicans, the poll found.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
When voters were exposed to messages that centered on sacrifice, scarcity or bans, support for climate action waned. But when the message centered on promoting health, increasing affordability and reducing pollution, support increased.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
Some of these findings make intuitive sense. Voters will naturally respond more positively to messages that articulate a brighter future, rather than being told what they can’t have.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
But describing a problem as all-encompassing as climate change brings a risk of being Pollyannish, too.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
It's all well and good to talk about the benefits of clean energy. But whether or not voters like the term “net zero,” the science is clear that it will take a huge global effort to stop the worst effects of climate change. Until politicians, businesses and consumers do the hard work of phasing out fossil fuels, temperatures will continue to rise.
</span>
</p>
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The Trump administration has now struck deals with energy developers totaling more than $2.5 billion to cancel offshore wind leases.
</span>
<span style="margin:0;font:11px/11px georgia,serif;color:#888;letter-spacing:.01em">
Joshua A. Bickel/Associated Press
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<p style="color:#000;font:700 12px/15px arial,sans-serif;padding-bottom:2px;letter-spacing:.8px;margin:0">
RENEWABLE ENERGY
</p>
<h2 style="color:#000;font:400 25px/32.5px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 10px">
<span>
Trump administration to pay millions to cancel more wind projects
</span>
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<span>
The Interior Department said on Wednesday that it would
</span>
<a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
pay the energy developer Invenergy $765 million
</a>
<span>
to abandon plans to build wind farms in the Atlantic and Pacific, in the third such deal struck by the Trump administration to cancel offshore wind leases.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
Under the agreement, Invenergy
</span>
<a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
will voluntarily surrender four leases
</a>
<span>
in federal waters for wind farms that would have been located in the New York Bight, off the Central Coast of California and in the Gulf of Maine. All of those projects were in the early stages of development and had little chance of moving forward under the Trump administration, which has halted all federal permitting for offshore wind.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
Invenergy said it would put the money toward the development of at least five new natural gas-fired power plants in the Midwest, as well as in geothermal projects in the Western United States.
</span>
<span style="font-style:italic">
— Brad Plumer
</span>
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QUOTE OF THE DAY
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<span style="font-weight:700">
“Certainly FEMA operates in a unique environment where there are challenges and setbacks that impact our ability to respond.”
</span>
</h3>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
That’s President Trump’s nominee to lead the Federal Emergency Management Agency, Cameron Hamilton, yesterday in a confirmation hearing.
</span>
<a class="css-sdwaa1" style="color:#286ed0;-webkit-text-decoration:underline;text-decoration:underline">
Scott Dance reports
</a>
<span>
that Hamilton acknowledged that sharp staff cuts may challenge the nation’s readiness for disasters, but said the agency was moving to fill critical vacancies and that he had “full faith” in its employees.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
Hamilton is a former Navy SEAL, who previously oversaw emergency medical technicians on the southern border for the Homeland Security Department and worked as an emergency management specialist in the State Department.
</span>
</p>
<p style="font:normal 17px/25px georgia,serif;color:#333;margin:0 0 15px">
<span>
”He faced no questions about his background Wednesday,” Dance writes, “despite criticism from some disaster survivor groups that he lacks the extensive résumé that federal law requires of FEMA’s leader.”
</span>
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OTHER NYT CLIMATE NEWS
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<img alt="A large, old tree sits in a field, its gnarled branches supported by poles." class="css-7y77sk" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fstatic01.nyt.com%252Fimages%252F2026%252F06%252F18%252Fworld%252F18int-uk-tree-apfiaobg%252F18int-uk-tree-apfiaobg-square640-v2.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZzdGF0aWMwMS5ueSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODE4MDc3NDcuMzM5MDk1Nn0:1waHad:8g0oORec1drFm1Fi80-_79wlyGPPhCq4tb9XOv9OCrI" style="width:291px;box-sizing:border-box;vertical-align:top" width="291"/>
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Royal Society for the Protection of Birds
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</a>
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<h3 style="color:#000;margin:0;padding:0 0 5px;font:700 20px/25px georgia,serif">
The Major Oak, Ancient Tree of Robin Hood Legend, Has Died
</h3>
<p class="css-1bi319l" style="color:#333;font:17px/22.5px georgia,serif;margin:0;margin-bottom:10px">
The Major Oak in the Sherwood Forest was between 800 and 1,200 years old. It succumbed to a combination of over-tourism, climate change and misguided efforts to save it.
</p>
<p style="color:#000;font:600 13px/18px arial,sans-serif;margin:0;letter-spacing:.2px">
By Lynsey Chutel
</p>
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<img alt="A man with his back to the camera looks at a United flight board in an airport." class="css-7y77sk" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fstatic01.nyt.com%252Fimages%252F2026%252F06%252F19%252Fmultimedia%252F17biz-iran-air-travel-3-vkqh%252F17biz-iran-air-travel-3-vkqh-square640-v2.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZzdGF0aWMwMS5ueSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODE4MDc3NDcuMzM5MTkyfQ:1waHad:ZTtVePK4de6q1NPukqq660Q3ks81Po_s-N2HSrpTsC0" style="width:291px;box-sizing:border-box;vertical-align:top" width="291"/>
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Graham Dickie/The New York Times
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<h3 style="color:#000;margin:0;padding:0 0 5px;font:700 20px/25px georgia,serif">
Why Airfares May Not Fall After the U.S.-Iran Deal
</h3>
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Jet fuel may stay expensive for months, and airlines know travelers are willing to pay more for tickets.
</p>
<p style="color:#000;font:600 13px/18px arial,sans-serif;margin:0;letter-spacing:.2px">
By Niraj Chokshi
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<img alt="Four workers install solar panels on a roof." class="css-7y77sk" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fstatic01.nyt.com%252Fimages%252F2026%252F06%252F17%252Fmultimedia%252F17int-seasia-solar-01-pkqt%252F17int-seasia-solar-01-pkqt-square640.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZzdGF0aWMwMS5ueSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODE4MDc3NDcuMzM5Mjk1NH0:1waHad:7H81XVrLx1YDSyknfjhAVUGIovAZ0xues8noK8XGJbk" style="width:291px;box-sizing:border-box;vertical-align:top" width="291"/>
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Jes Aznar for The New York Times
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<h3 style="color:#000;margin:0;padding:0 0 5px;font:700 20px/25px georgia,serif">
Another Effect of the Mideast War: A Solar-Energy Boom Far From Iran
</h3>
<p class="css-1bi319l" style="color:#333;font:17px/22.5px georgia,serif;margin:0;margin-bottom:10px">
Homeowners and businesses in Southeast Asia, which relies heavily on imported oil, are installing rooftop solar panels to reduce the sting of soaring energy costs.
</p>
<p style="color:#000;font:600 13px/18px arial,sans-serif;margin:0;letter-spacing:.2px">
By Zunaira Saieed and Aie Balagtas See
</p>
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<img alt="Dos hombres trabajan en el exterior de una pequeña embarcación mientras otro se apoya en una segunda embarcación." class="css-7y77sk" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fstatic01.nyt.com%252Fimages%252F2026%252F06%252F12%252Fespanol%252F00Biz-Iran-Global-Econ-01-hqft-ES-copy1%252F00Biz-Iran-Global-Econ-01-hqft-square640.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZzdGF0aWMwMS5ueSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODE4MDc3NDcuMzM5Mzk3fQ:1waHad:91nbC2d0BzT12CeA3OoTblU4Vuu5-57AGhBQuLqPBVo" style="width:291px;box-sizing:border-box;vertical-align:top" width="291"/>
<p style="color:#888;font:11px/17px georgia,serif;margin:2px 0 0;text-align:right">
Daniel Berehulak/The New York Times
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<a class="css-sdwaa1" style="-webkit-text-decoration:underline;color:#000;text-decoration:none;display:block">
<p style="color:#555;font:14px/21px georgia,serif;margin:0 0 2px;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.75px">
Análisis noticioso
</p>
<h3 style="color:#000;margin:0;padding:0 0 5px;font:700 20px/25px georgia,serif">
La guerra en Irán ha cambiado la economía mundial para siempre
</h3>
<p class="css-1bi319l" style="color:#333;font:17px/22.5px georgia,serif;margin:0;margin-bottom:10px">
El orden mundial se ha visto alterado, y es poco probable que las economías simplemente retomen las actividades que tenían antes de que EE. UU. e Israel empezaran a bombardear Irán.
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<p style="color:#000;font:600 13px/18px arial,sans-serif;margin:0;letter-spacing:.2px">
By Patricia Cohen
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Planet-warming emissions rose slightly last year in the European Union,
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Politico reports
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The International Energy Agency projects that there will be a global oversupply of oil next year,
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according to Reuters
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1 month, 2 weeks ago - nytdirect@nytimes.com
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