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   Daily 2026-05-14
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                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
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                      <div style="font-family:Trispace,monospace;font-size:12px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#7F879C;">
                       All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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</td></tr><tr><td class="" width="600px">
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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                      <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
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                         <td class="s24">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td class="s25">
                          0.59% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s26">
                          7,445
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td class="s24">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td class="s25">
                          0.26% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s26">
                          $4,699
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s24">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          1.11% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s26">
                          $79,580
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
                         </td>
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                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td class="s25">
                          0.35% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s26">
                          10,301
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s24">
                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          1.86% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s26">
                          $105.77
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s24">
                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s25">
                          0.00% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s26">
                          4.46%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
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                      </p>
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</td></tr></table>
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                 <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
                </td>
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                    <td style="width:536px;">
                     <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F145%252F251%252F581%252FZwVbKlDe9Y8vGaK168moa3jPM%252Fa1ce49f35a61e8b2ec9d4b5c43c50b52890aab35.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D46ed8d563941906370ed28f33a246ad9/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3Nzg3MDk3NDIuMTg4NTZ9:1wNHeo:lcvecJghorc50180zjBF76h1CqcQQPJ8g5wwymKv-90" width="536"/>
                    </td>
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                   <tbody>
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                     <td align="left" class="s31">
                      <div class="s32">
                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        🦾 AI compute could soon become a tradable asset
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bqm5b">
                        🚀
                        <b>
                         FOR PRO MEMBERS:
                        </b>
                        Weighing up SpaceX’s valuation, before its IPO liftoff
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="fnft9">
                        🤖 SoftBank’s better-than-expected earnings owe a lot to OpenAI
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bvg40">
                        <b>
                         👇 Keep reading to find out more
                        </b>
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;text-transform:uppercase;color:#204CE9;">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s20">
                     👀
                    </span>
                    <span class="s21">
                     Today's headlines
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
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                  <div class="s34">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s35">
                     Corn, Cocoa, Compute
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
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                 <td align="center" class="s5">
                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s9" role="presentation">
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                    <tr>
                     <td class="s10">
                      <a target="_blank">
                       <img alt="Corn, Cocoa, Compute" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252F130526-Editorial-CMEgroup.original.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D76515221cb79fb5731f33c153e4897ca/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3Nzg3MDk3NDIuMTg4Njk3fQ:1wNHeo:95ePXW3imPQ37ImstlYNzSWDGJ4qKMMn3YuFuKB26wE" width="568"/>
                      </a>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div class="s32">
                   <p data-block-key="r3euz">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7seoc">
                    CME, one of the world's biggest financial exchanges, plans to launch a market where folks can bet on the future price of processing power – effectively turning compute into a tradable commodity.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="aibk9">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="15a3p">
                    <a>
                     Futures
                    </a>
                    contracts let traders lock in the price today of something that they’ll buy or sell later. They’re a way to protect against sudden price swings and to plan around expected future price movements. Now, futures have long proven popular with traditional commodities – think corn, cotton, and cocoa. So CME thinks the same could be true for compute: the kind of processing power that runs AI
models.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="85s23">
                    ▶ Exchanges typically create futures markets for assets that are scarce and volatile enough for buyers to crave price protection – and in the wild explosion of AI, compute is the most serious bottleneck.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6ek8g">
                    ▶ If approved, CME's new futures market will track the rental cost of GPUs – the powerful chips that train and run AI models. It’d give the industry a clearer price benchmark on the things, too.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8o9at">
                    ▶ This
could be a sign that AI is maturing as an asset class… or it could just be more froth.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="clrs6">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="aij1b">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming in:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     What do oil and compute have in common?
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="97gkl">
                    CME’s head honcho likened compute to the most classic commodity of all: oil. And the comparison fits. Just like with oil in the 1970s, compute’s supply is concentrated in a handful of places, demand is exploding faster than
capacity can keep up, and geopolitical tussles are determining who gets what. So it makes sense that, like oil, compute’s becoming a tradable asset.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1213m">
                    ⚠️ Here’s the risk. Once oil futures were launched, prices started moving on
                    <i>
                     expectations
                    </i>
                    rather than actual supply – and, as a result, energy stocks got a lot harder to predict. That’s why some strategists are warning that commodifying compute will invite “speculators”: folks who don’t actually need GPUs but bet
on prices anyway. And that’d make compute-linked stocks – like chipmakers – more sensitive to what
                    <i>
                     traders
                    </i>
                    think prices will be.
                   </p>
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                   <p data-block-key="pr7ai">
                    <a>
                     <b>
                      SpaceX
                     </b>
                    </a>
                    – a company as well known for its successful launches as its failed ones – is headed for the biggest stock market debut in history as early as next month: a $75 billion IPO that would give
it a market value beyond
                    <i>
                     $1.75 trillion
                    </i>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6acl5">
                    That's a lot of zeros for a company that
                    <b>
                     CEO Elon Musk
                    </b>
                    swore he wouldn’t take public until humans were
                    <a>
                     on Mars
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="32mcm">
                    So, before the hype does its thing (potentially giving new
meaning to the word “
                    <a>
                     hyperspace
                    </a>
                    ”), it’s worth being clear about what the shares would actually represent.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6i811">
                    SpaceX is no longer
                    <i>
                     just
                    </i>
                    <a>
                     a rocket company
                    </a>
                    : it’s a launch business, a satellite internet giant, and now, thanks to xAI, an AI-and-social-media bundle too.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6rtn9">
                    So let’s break down the core businesses, the best-case and worst-case scenarios, and how to begin putting
                    <a>
                     a price tag
                    </a>
                    on a company this big and this distinctive.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1pti3">
                    That’s today’s Research:
                    <a>
                     weighing up SpaceX’s valuation, before its IPO liftoff
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bdk6t">
                    <a>
                     <b>
                      Read or listen to the Research here
                     </b>
                    </a>
                   </p>
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                       <h3 data-block-key="0wq48">
                        The Retail Crowd Is Chasing Tech’s Rally
                       </h3>
                       <p data-block-key="ej0u9">
                        Tech stocks have come roaring back – and retail traders are working to catch the ride.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="2tmid">
                        According to Cboe, the S&amp;P 500 is up more than 9% over the past month, and the rally’s been heavily concentrated in one sector:
tech. Tech’s jumped 20%, while four of the index’s other ten sectors have actually slipped over the same period, and another three have stayed roughly flat. So right now, the market looks healthy, but the real strength has been much narrower, with a small group of tech names doing much of the heavy lifting...
                       </p>
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                     Domo Arigato, Mr. Roboto
                    </span>
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                   <p data-block-key="zyiq0">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9a3fg">
                    Japanese holding company
                    <b>
                     SoftBank
                    </b>
                    smashed expectations last quarter – and it’s mostly got AI to thank.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="682aj">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9pmqr">
                    SoftBank’s profit more than
                    <i>
                     tripled
                    </i>
                    last quarter compared to the same time last year – at $11.6 billion, it was miles ahead of analysts’ expectations for
just $1.5 billion. But wait, there’s more… The firm’s annual profit for the financial year ending in March hit $31.4 billion, more than quadruple the previous year’s figure.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="195ff">
                    🔺 A big chunk of those gains came from SoftBank’s Vision Fund – the bit that’s invested in
                    <b>
                     OpenAI
                    </b>
                    . In fact, the holding company’s $34.6 billion investment in ChatGPT’s creator is now worth a cool $79.6 billion. Most of that increase happened last quarter, when OpenAI’s valuation
                    <a>
                     went
                    </a>
                    through the roof.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ehseu">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7d280">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming out:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Sign of the times.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ej7jb">
                    Softbank is Japan’s third-most valuable company, with
                    <b>
                     Toyota
                    </b>
                    still at number one.
But it wasn’t too long ago that the world’s biggest carmaker was in the
                    <i>
                     global
                    </i>
                    top ten – and these days, it’s all the way down in 58th.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ba6vj">
                    ▶ That’s a strong indication of just how much AI is reordering the global economy, with companies that supply the boom – like
                    <b>
                     TSMC, Samsung,
                    </b>
                    and
                    <b>
                     Broadcom
                    </b>
                    – moving quickly up the ranks.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ctv09">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      The bigger picture:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Global importance.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cgqvp">
                    If tech is
increasingly one of the biggest economic drivers, it’s no surprise who the US president’s bringing with him to China this week. An entourage of the world’s tech leaders will attend trade talks there, including those from
                    <b>
                     Apple
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Tesla
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Meta
                    </b>
                    , and
                    <b>
                     Nvidia
                    </b>
                    . That’s not all:
                    <b>
                     Visa
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     BlackRock
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     JPMorgan
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Boeing
                    </b>
                    , and
                    <b>
                     Cargill
                    </b>
                    made the cut, too. And that guest list is a fairly good indication of what’ll be on the table trade-wise…
                   </p>
                  </div>
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                  <div class="s19">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s20">
                     🎯
                    </span>
                    <span class="s21">
                     On Our Radar
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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                      <div class="s32">
                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        <b>
                         1. One-armed bandit.
                        </b>
                        How the
                        <a>
                         logic of slot machines
                        </a>
                        is taking over the world.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="frjnh">
                        <b>
                         2. Hollywood in the sand.
                        </b>
                        Saudi Arabia removed its movie ban eight years ago – but its film industry
                        <a>
                         hasn’t gone anywhere
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="erd5u">
                        <b>
                         3. Hat trick.
                        </b>
                        In 17th century England, hats weren’t
                        <a>
                         just about fashion
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                      </div>
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             <div class="s32">
              Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
              <a class="s39">
               Reda
              </a>
              ,
              <a class="s39">
               Russell
              </a>
              ,
and
              <a class="s39">
               Linda
              </a>
              . Got an idea? A question?
              <a>
               Get in touch
              </a>
              .
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                  <div class="s19">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s20">
                     💌
                    </span>
                    <span class="s21">
                     THAT WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
                    </span>
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                  Hot stuff
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                  Just alright
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            </td>
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                   😒
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                  ...Meh
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