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   US jobs and the investing week ahead |
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               👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
              </p>
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               Like A Boss
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               AI hasn’t taken away everyone’s job (yet), but it is changing how a lot of people work. And that puts the next US employment report at the top of the week’s agenda.
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                        🔍 The focus this week: Cubicle, USA
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6az05" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        🧑‍💻 AI is often pitched as either the future of work or the end of work as we know it. And the truth (as usual) is probably not so clean-cut.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="2kapd" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        In a brand-new study, Morgan Stanley researchers found that industries with greater exposure to AI are seeing stronger productivity gains. And that’s a big deal, because productivity – i.e. the amount of output per hour worked – is the No.1 driver of economic growth.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="c13c3" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Of course, the assumptions that research implies will only get you so far – especially when it makes news just as two of Big Tech’s swingingest AI spenders announced job cuts of their own.
                        <b>
                         Meta
                        </b>
                        said on Thursday that it plans to cut 10% of its workforce, or about 8,000 jobs. Meanwhile,
                        <b>
                         Microsoft
                        </b>
                        is offering buyouts to staffers for the first time in its 51-year history, with roughly 7% of its US workforce (about 15,000 folks) eligible.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="cskei" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        ► That’s part of what makes the next monthly US jobs report worth watching – that and the fact that economists can’t seem to agree about what it might say. Some are predicting that the American economy added a hefty 140,000 jobs in April, while others put that figure at a measly 45,000. In other words, people aren’t especially sure.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="130bq" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        ► If the number lands somewhere in the middle ground, the Federal Reserve will probably be perfectly willing to keep interest rates right where they are – just as it’s done since January. After all, a job market that’s slowing, but not tumbling, gives the central bank plenty of room to leave things be, and that’s useful at a time when inflation is running high.
                       </p>
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                        📅 On the calendar
                       </p>
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                         <b>
                          Monday:
                         </b>
                         US factory orders (March). Markets closed in China, Japan, Europe, and the UK.
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Palantir, Pinterest, Vertex Pharm.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="4ncon" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Tuesday:
                         </b>
                         US job openings and labor turnover survey (March), US ISM Services (April). Markets closed in China and Japan.
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         PayPal, Pfizer, Shopify, Advanced Micro, Arista Networks, Occidental Petroleum.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="uoho" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Wednesday:
                         </b>
                         Eurozone PPI (March). Markets closed in Japan.
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Kraft Heinz, Novo Nordisk, Uber, Disney, ARM Holdings.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="6hs2" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Thursday:
                         </b>
                         Eurozone retail sales (March).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         McDonald’s, Airbnb, Block, Cloudflare, Coinbase, CoreWeave.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="35k1h" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         <b>
                          Friday:
                         </b>
                         US employment (April).
                        </li>
                       </ul>
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                        👀 What you might’ve missed last week
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6z208" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        🌐
                        <b>
                         The World
                        </b>
                        <br/>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="3cl88" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        The world’s major
                        <b>
                         central banks
                        </b>
                        all did the same thing: nothing. Policymakers in the US, Japan, the eurozone, the UK, and Canada all kept interest rates unchanged, with the war in Iran making “wait and see” the only reasonable answer for now. But traders still think that every one of them (except the US Federal Reserve) will hike rates later this year.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="8pmb7" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="e1ajs" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        After nearly 60 years, the
                        <b>
                         United Arab Emirates
                        </b>
                        (UAE) turned in its OPEC and OPEC+ membership cards and
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         left
                        </a>
                        both clubs. The two groups of oil-producing countries have worked to keep crude prices stable and profitable by coordinating how much each member pumps – but the UAE has spent recent years clashing with Saudi Arabia over exactly that. So, the breakup was a big moment – but it didn’t happen out of nowhere.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="7qv9k" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
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                        🌎
                        <b>
                         The US
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="4ffkt" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
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                        <b>
                         Alphabet
                        </b>
                        ,
                        <b>
                         Microsoft
                        </b>
                        ,
                        <b>
                         Meta
                        </b>
                        ,
                        <b>
                         Amazon
                        </b>
                        , and
                        <b>
                         Apple
                        </b>
                        all
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         cracked open
                        </a>
                        their books and posted quarterly earnings, and investors reacted in very different ways. Alphabet came out looking best, with its Google Search and Cloud businesses showing that its AI strategy is gaining traction. Meta, not so much: investors balked at the even-higher costs of rolling out its AI data centers. And Microsoft didn’t fare much better: it posted a decent set of results, but the worries about AI disruption to its business kept a lid on any enthusiasm.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="enjdq" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="5cv0h" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        🌏
                        <b>
                         Japan
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="c7glm" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="dl5m8" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        The
                        <b>
                         Japanese yen
                        </b>
                        rose as much as 3% against the US dollar, its biggest one-day gain in almost two years, after the Bank of Japan stepped into the foreign exchange market to prop it up. See, Japan imports a lot of oil and gas, so when energy prices rise, its trade balance weakens, and the yen falls with it. So, when it fell below a key threshold, the central bank
                        <i>
                         intervened
                        </i>
                        – selling greenbacks from its reserves and buying up yen, forcing its value higher.
                       </p>
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                    Your Finimize Analyst team
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