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Dropping the R-word
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Plus: The ancient history of insurance.
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Friday, May 8, 2026
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A 'recession-level' decline spooks Whirlpool investors and warns of things to come
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Appliance maker Whirlpool warned of a "recession-level industry decline" and historically low consumer confidence in a potential sign
of eroding economic activity in the U.S.
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CFO Roxanne Warner said the company's $85 million quarterly loss had a lot to do with the war in Iran and the U.S. tariff reversal that spurred a price-cutting frenzy across the appliance industry. Whether Whirlpool is the proverbial canary in the economic mine remains to be seen, but Warner said appliance demand, which feeds off of big-ticket purchases such as housing, plummeted 7.4% for the weakest show of interest since the 2008 financial crisis.
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The
Supreme Court's decision to invalidate President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs also led competitors expecting a refund to slash prices. Whirlpool moved in the other direction, rolling back discounts on its products to make up for years of inflation. The company pushed through a 10% list-price increase in April and scheduled a 4% hike for July.
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"We acted decisively to address pricing and costs in the face of rapid deterioration in macroeconomic conditions," CEO Marc Bitzer said in a statement.
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Wine Without the Headache? Yes, Really.
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Ever wish your favorite glass of wine came without the regret?
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Meet The Wand — the tiny, science-backed tool that transforms your wine in seconds. Just stir it into your glass and it helps remove sulfites and histamines (the stuff behind headaches and
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👉 Ready to upgrade your wine nights? Tap below to grab The Wand and taste the difference for yourself.
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Today's Poll
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Is the U.S. about to enter a recession?
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Yes. Consumer confidence is toast
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<!--[if mso]><a href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10710044/222404108/9740133/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=REIlMjAwNS0wOCUyMCUyOFVTJTI5&x=df2d496e" target="_blank"
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No. Enough people still have jobs
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<!--[if mso]><a href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10710044/222404108/9740134/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=REIlMjAwNS0wOCUyMCUyOFVTJTI5&x=7731640a" target="_blank"
style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px; border: none; display: block; ">No. Enough people still have jobs</a><![endif]-->
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style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px; border: none; display: block; ">Not this year. But it's coming</a><![endif]-->
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<a aria-label="Cheng Xin / Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank" title="Cheng Xin / Getty Images">
<img alt="Cheng Xin / Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fapi%252Fmedia%252Ffile%252FGettyImages-2258806483.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzgyMzQ1MzIuMDU4NTU3M30:1wLI28:3cL6jqcUXMZdGMOVwFwUsdAtF2Zcyoe3FZ037IDRGvg" style="width:200px;max-height:338px;vertical-align:middle;border:0" width="200"/>
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<strong style="color:#105C8E">
<a data-linktext="Shell profits on oil trading even as the Iran war hurts production." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank">
Shell profits on oil trading even as the Iran war hurts production.
</a>
</strong>
First-quarter adjusted earnings of $6.92 billion cleared analyst expectations of $6.1 billion but could not
stop the company from trimming its stock buyback. Shell warned further production losses in the Middle East will weigh on output.
</div>
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<a aria-label="SOPA Images / Contributor" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank" title="SOPA Images / Contributor">
<img alt="SOPA Images / Contributor" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fapi%252Fmedia%252Ffile%252FGettyImages-2255906963.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzgyMzQ1MzIuMDU4NjYyfQ:1wLI28:zne3gq8NL-HUVt3It3wfqWy9oCI3GaFyosESrjkeF_8" style="width:200px;max-height:338px;vertical-align:middle;border:0" width="200"/>
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<strong style="color: var(--blue-cta-default)">
<a data-linktext="Warner Bros. Discovery reports a massive $2.9 billion net loss." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank">
Warner Bros. Discovery reports a massive $2.9 billion net loss.
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The $2.8 billion termination fee that Paramount paid to Netflix on Warner Bros. Discovery's behalf weighed heavily on the earnings report, outshining subscriber and ad revenue growth in the streaming segment.
</div>
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<a aria-label="Anna Barclay / Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank" title="Anna Barclay / Getty Images">
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</a>
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<strong style="color: var(--blue-cta-default)">
<a data-linktext="McDonald's posts stronger sales as value meals bring back diners." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank">
McDonald's posts stronger sales as value meals bring back diners.
</a>
</strong>
Total revenue jumped 9% to $6.52 billion and global systemwide sales rose 11% to over $34 billion. The fast-food chain's $5 meal deals and limited-time
burger, The Big Arch, contributed to the quarter's momentum.
</div>
</td>
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<a aria-label="SOPA Images / Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank" title="SOPA Images / Getty Images">
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<a data-linktext="Amazon adds the Ozempic pill to its pharmacy
kiosks." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank">
Amazon adds the Ozempic pill to its pharmacy kiosks.
</a>
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Customers with a prescription can pick up the diabetes pill at select One Medical sites or get it delivered the same day for $149 a month. Those with insurance pay as little as $25 per month. Same-day delivery will be available in 3,000 locations.
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</td>
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<a aria-label="Imen Ben Youssef / Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank" title="Imen Ben Youssef / Getty Images">
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<a data-linktext="OpenAI upgrades ChatGPT's default model to a smarter version." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank">
OpenAI upgrades ChatGPT's default model to a smarter version.
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GPT-5.5, which replaced GPT-5.3 on Thursday, promises lower hallucination rates in law, medicine, and finance without a
clear drop in processing time. It is a lighter version of the broader model released to paid subscribers last month.
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VitaWild.
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<strong style="color: var(--blue-cta-default)">
<a data-linktext="Subscribe To Adam Wagner's Newsletter" data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank">
Subscribe To Adam Wagner's Newsletter
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Sign up with Acorns, and get a $20 bonus
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<a data-linktext="Expert language tutoring from Rosetta Stone" data-linktype="Normal" style="color:var(=-blue-cta-default)" target="_blank">
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How insurance became one of the world's biggest businesses
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The problem was bandits. And storms. In ancient Mesopotamia, a merchant sending cargo across the sea stood to lose everything they had in a single voyage. So, along with financial
types, they cooked up a workaround: the merchants would borrow money to finance the voyage, paying exorbitant interest rates. Lenders accepted the exorbitant rates, but agreed to cancel the debt if a ship went down.
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At scale, the math worked, with merchants giving up some cash but staying whole, and lenders earning enough money overall to accept some losses. This system, the earliest known version of insurance, comes down to us from the Code of Hammurabi (and the term
for it, "bottomry," is still used today).
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When, in the 1680s, Edward Lloyd opened a London coffee house where merchants could scrawl their names under shipping risks — literally under-writing them — he created what would become the largest insurance market in the world.
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What has changed, in the centuries since Lloyd's was founded, is everything else: the specific risks, the sheer scale, and the
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