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   Daily 2026-08-04
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                       All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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                         <td class="s21">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          1.78% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          7,736
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td class="s21">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          1.06% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $4,134
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td class="s21">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          1.35% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $64,320
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
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                         <td class="s21">
                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.30% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          10,890
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          6.03% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $78.72
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.07% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          4.62%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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</td></tr></table>
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                 <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
                </td>
               </tr>
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                     <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F155%252F310%252F383%252Fon98ymlOAQyXBVRB6vM5pkw3R%252F0e0ea8e4cc46e4d784c5bdce49e629590e8a1773.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D521a5e93d65a35efcba8e383b2855c1d/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODU4ODEwNDYuNzYyMTI2fQ:1wrNF0:eWqz-5u6wIYTPVXqPu_gbI-1rEeJKhQrhVq9OtQI82c" width="536"/>
                    </td>
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                  </tbody>
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                     <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
                      <div class="s28">
                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        <b>
                         🥵
                        </b>
                        Severe drought in Europe is wreaking economic havoc
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="1a1qu">
                        <b>
                         😬 FOR PRO MEMBERS:
                        </b>
                        The three fears driving the AI selloff – and what investors might be missing
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="91lsa">
                        🇪🇺
European stocks are giving investors a break from tech-heavy indexes
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bvg40">
                        <b>
                         👇 Keep reading to find out more
                        </b>
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     👀
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Today's headlines
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
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                  <div class="s30">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s31">
                     Running Low
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s9" role="presentation">
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                      <a target="_blank">
                       <img alt="Running Low" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-040826-Drought.original.jpg%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253Dd582de26d45516ab53ca9fa12d63fb74/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODU4ODEwNDYuNzYyNDAwMn0:1wrNF0:w2xlq_CoJhVJDqyfE6DjGyjLMPUEKOspSppoEAE_tDQ" width="568"/>
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                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div class="s28">
                   <p data-block-key="vupg6">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="dvqur">
                    Europe's biggest rivers are drying up – and so too could the region’s economic growth.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4r35t">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6cfi2">
                    The Rhine, Danube, and Po, among others, are all at record or near-record lows. The economic damage is stacking up fast, and there’s no significant rain on the horizon…
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="f33ej">
                    ⚠️ Nuclear reactors shut down in Hungary, Romania, and France because they couldn’t draw enough cooling water from their supplying rivers.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="fjb8d">
                    ⚠️
                    <b>
                     Ford
                    </b>
                    and
                    <b>
                     Dacia
                    </b>
                    have paused car production in Romania for two weeks to help the country conserve energy.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3ao8j">
                    ⚠️ Freight charges are rising as barges can’t operate at full capacity. The Rhine’s levels are so low in some parts of Germany that ships can only carry 20%
to 30% of their normal loads.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="32au1">
                    🔻 Dutch bank ING has
                    <i>
                     already
                    </i>
                    trimmed its German growth forecast for the year to 0.5% from 0.8% – and a prolonged drought would only make matters worse.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="eoa40">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="833p3">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Terrible timing.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="22lm0">
                    A bunch of major European stock indexes have been hitting record highs lately, but this drought threatens the profit
growth that’s driving that momentum. See, Europe’s earnings rebound is powered by its chemical, steel, and auto giants – exactly the sectors getting hit right now. So this quarter’s earnings picture is starting to look gloomy.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="agni7">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      The bigger picture:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     The extreme becomes routine.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8ds8u">
                    The drought in 2018 was called "once in a generation" – but then came 2022… and 2025… and now this. So what was once a worst-case scenario is
looking more like a regular cost of doing business.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3smcb">
                    ▶ Companies that adapted have been faring better. German chemicals firm
                    <b>
                     BASF
                    </b>
                    invested in shallow-bottomed barges for low-water conditions and is still shipping. But compatriot
                    <b>
                     Thyssenkrupp
                    </b>
                    didn't – and it’s had to suspend Rhine transportation and cut steel production.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4vpns">
                    ▶ This is becoming a real investment filter for European industrial companies: who’s built climate
resilience – and who hasn’t.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:24px;padding-right:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   You might also like ⇢
                   <a>
                    The Stock Winners In AI’s
Big Water Problem
                   </a>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
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                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     📈
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Chart Of The Day
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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                     The Three Worries Behind The AI Selloff – And Why I'm Still Buying
                    </span>
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                   <p data-block-key="pr7ai">
                    For the past six weeks, AI has gone from market darling to
                    <a>
                     market headache
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="80la9">
                    Investors
have been looking at the sheer scale of the
                    <a>
                     AI infrastructure spending
                    </a>
                    – more than $700 billion this year alone from
                    <b>
                     Amazon
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Meta
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Microsoft
                    </b>
                    , and
                    <b>
                     Alphabet
                    </b>
                    – and wondering whether that’s finally tipped from bold into reckless.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3d1t4">
                    That
question’s legit. But here's what's been nagging at me: just as investors were losing their nerve,
                    <a>
                     the hyperscalers
                    </a>
                    did the opposite – they each increased their build-out budgets.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1gjtd">
                    So which side has it right? Let’s take
                    <a>
                     the three worries
                    </a>
                    in turn.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ep6an">
                    That’s today’s Insight:
                    <a>
                     the three fears driving the AI selloff – and what investors might be missing
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8vncs">
                    <a>
                     <b>
                      Read or listen to the Insight
                     </b>
                    </a>
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                         Theodora Lee Joseph, CFA
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                     Digital Detox
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                <tr>
                 <td align="center" class="s5">
                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s9" role="presentation">
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                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div class="s28">
                   <p data-block-key="mcfmk">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ccs7q">
                    European stocks are giving investors a break from tech-heavy indexes – and Spain’s bank-heavy market is a top destination.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="boidv">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3d7ul">
                    Spain’s got a lot going for it: the food, beaches, history… and a relative lack of tech exposure. Around 40% of the country’s main stock market
index – the IBEX 35 – is in financials, with the rest spanning utilities, industry, and fashion.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="24k7s">
                    🔺 Right now, investors are seeing it as an alternative to more volatile, AI-heavy markets like the US, South Korea, and Japan. The IBEX is up 15% so far this year, putting it near the top of European indexes and ahead of the US. Two of Europe’s biggest lenders –
                    <b>
                     Santander
                    </b>
                    and
                    <b>
                     BBVA
                    </b>
                    , which together make up nearly 30% of the index – are doing much of the heavy
lifting.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="931da">
                    🔺 It’s not just Spain. The UK’s benchmark FTSE 100 – heavy on financials, oil, and pharma companies, light on tech – hit a record high last week and has jumped double digits this year.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ea76i">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8g695">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming in:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Banking on good old-fashioned banks.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3buuo">
                    <b>
                     HSBC Holdings
                    </b>
                    , Europe’s number-one bank and the biggest company listed in the UK,
announced a $1 billion share buyback on Tuesday – alongside a forecast-beating $10 billion quarterly profit.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="516s2">
                    🔺 The bank is already up around 33% this year, helping yank the European bank index up 25%. Cheap valuations, attractive dividend yields, and price-boosting share buybacks have done some work, too.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3guo3">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming out:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Some winners in Europe – and losers.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7j3b5">
                    Oil companies have been enjoying a
boost from rising energy prices – but carmakers like
                    <b>
                     Stellantis
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Volkswagen
                    </b>
                    , and
                    <b>
                     BMW
                    </b>
                    have all fallen sharply. They’re getting hit from a few directions: higher energy prices can dampen demand
                    <i>
                     and
                    </i>
                    feed into manufacturing and logistics costs. And though pricier fuel might push some buyers toward hybrids and EVs, cheaper Chinese alternatives are there to catch them.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3bmmt">
                    🔻 The European auto index has already downshifted 15% this year.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:24px;padding-right:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
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                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     ✨
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Sarah's Digest
                    </span>
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                   Revenue jumped 92% to $7.8 billion, but investors are eyeing falling Starlink ARPU and a post-IPO lock-up expiry that could add selling pressure.
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                     🖋️
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                     Quote of the day
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                  <div class="s28">
                   <strong>
                    "The most effective way to do it is to do it."
                   </strong>
                   – Amelia Earhart (an American aviator)
                  </div>
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                     🎯
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                    <span class="s18">
                     On Our Radar
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
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<![endif]-->
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                   <tbody>
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                      <div class="s28">
                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        <b>
                         1. Drink up.
                        </b>
                        Alcohol has negative effects – but
                        <a>
                         <i>
                          not
                         </i>
                         boozing might, too
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="14j1o">
                        <b>
                         2. Mama,
don’t let your babies grow up to be tech bros.
                        </b>
                        Willie Nelson took a stand against
                        <a>
                         “loud, water thieving, light polluting” data centers
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="66v2a">
                        <b>
                         <i>
                          3. Armageddon
                         </i>
                        </b>
                        <b>
                         was so prescient.
                        </b>
                        Scientists figure out the best way to
                        <a>
                         blow up a doomsday asteroid
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
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                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
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<![endif]-->
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<![endif]-->
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
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          <tbody>
           <tr>
            <td align="left" class="s5">
             <div class="s28">
              Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
              <a class="s35">
               Theodora
              </a>
              ,
              <a class="s35">
               Russell
              </a>
              , and
              <a class="s35">
               Linda
              </a>
              . Got an idea? A question?
              <a>
               Get in touch
              </a>
              .
             </div>
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
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<![endif]-->
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<![endif]-->
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s29">
                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     💌
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                    <span class="s18">
                     THAT WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
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