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<p data-block-key="kq9cp" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
</p>
<h3 style="font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; font-weight: 700; line-height: 1.25; margin-bottom: 16px; margin-top: 24px; color: #171E27; color: rgba(23, 30, 39, 1); font-size: 24px; font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
Cause For Celebration
</h3>
<p data-block-key="hcwxd" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
Fresh US jobs data drops ahead of the holiday weekend, with investors watching for signs of strength.
</p>
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
<h4 style="font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; font-weight: 700; line-height: 1.25; color: #171E27; color: rgba(23, 30, 39, 1); margin-bottom: 0; font-size: 20px; font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0;">
<img alt="Jobs Report" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FWeekly-280626-USJobs.original.jpg%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253Db7d14dda04fecd387780a2c12d61ad60/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODI2ODQxNDIuMjcyMjU1Mn0:1wdxa2:iR3kA-3MLZ39L4eHbWJ67Tygbw2cGaFrtBxhwf5AMkA" width="100%"/>
</h4>
</a>
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<p class="content-box-header mb-4" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; font-weight: 900; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px;">
🔍 The focus this week: US jobs report
</p>
<p data-block-key="6az05" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
June’s US jobs report will be released on Thursday (a day earlier than usual, just for the Independence Day weekend). Investors are hoping for a clean read on the American economy – and ideally, no unexpected fireworks.
</p>
<p data-block-key="5frh8" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
The US added
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
172,000 jobs in May
</a>
– more than double predictions – capping off the strongest three-month advance in two years. Some of that boost likely came in preparation for the World Cup that began this month: after all, May’s gains were concentrated in the leisure and hospitality sectors.
</p>
<p data-block-key="cbkvr" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
With that in mind, expectations for June are a little less explosive – economists forecast 130,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate to hold steady at 4.3%. A strong jobs market should offer some relief for consumers, who’ve been squeezed by higher prices driven by the war in Iran and the resulting oil shock. Consumer sentiment in early June had already picked up from May’s record low levels and that might continue to improve as prices at the pump continue to fall.
</p>
<p data-block-key="fbggj" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
Even so, markets still expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to hike interest rates later this year. At his first press conference on June 17th, the new Fed chair made it clear that bringing inflation back to its 2% target remains the top priority. And with inflation running somewhere north of 4%, a rate hike seems justified.
</p>
<p data-block-key="f5s5f" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
With energy prices already back down to pre-war levels, those inflation fears may prove to be overhyped. But then again, higher energy prices have only been
<i>
one
</i>
driver of inflation – and there’s a risk that the drop in energy prices may act as a boost to an already overheating economy. That kind of pressure may force the Fed to raise rates, even if that means risking a few market fireworks of their own.
</p>
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Join Finimize Pro
</p>
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
<h4 style="font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; font-weight: 700; line-height: 1.25; color: #171E27; color: rgba(23, 30, 39, 1); margin-bottom: 0; font-size: 20px; font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0;">
<img alt="Finimize Pro" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FPromo-Banner-Pro-v.6.original.jpg%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D7a8bf1878b634122585634425ace4dd0/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODI2ODQxNDIuMjcyNTA4NH0:1wdxa2:V6CCRI46pbZJ8WnmQrdY-0I3GGXN4IR7UM5x-AgpL0Q" width="100%"/>
</h4>
</a>
<h3 data-block-key="eht7v" style="font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; font-weight: 700; line-height: 1.25; margin-bottom: 16px; margin-top: 24px; color: #171E27; color: rgba(23, 30, 39, 1); font-size: 24px; font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Be your own financial advisor
</b>
</h3>
<p data-block-key="d4abj" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
If you’re managing
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
your own portfolio
</a>
, you already know that the job isn’t just pressing “buy”.
</p>
<p data-block-key="df6sd" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
It’s sorting
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
the savvy stuff
</a>
from the utter nonsense.
</p>
<p data-block-key="706f8" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
With
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
Finimize Pro
</a>
, you get actionable investing ideas from experienced analysts, model portfolios, and regular updates on every live idea, plus, full access to our research archive.
</p>
<p data-block-key="em3g7" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
It’s built for people who want to manage their own money and outthink the market – with proven research and cutting-edge insights.
</p>
<p data-block-key="2pqmh" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
Best part: it’s been known to
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
pay for itself.
</a>
Since launch in 2024, Finimize Pro ideas have returned
<b>
35% on average
</b>
, beaten their benchmarks by
<b>
16 percentage points
</b>
, and posted a
<b>
74% hit rate
</b>
(meaning, yep, most calls made money).
</p>
<p data-block-key="abloc" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
<b>
Upgrade to Pro
</b>
</a>
</p>
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<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="vertical-align:top;padding:25px;padding-top:16px;padding-bottom:16px;">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;;font-size:13px;line-height:1;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p class="content-box-header mb-4" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; font-weight: 900; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px;">
📅 On the calendar
</p>
<ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
<li data-block-key="gn5an" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Monday
</b>
: Japan retail sales (May).
</li>
<li data-block-key="8fsp4" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Tuesday
</b>
: Japan employment (May), China PMI (June), Japan industrial production (May), US Chicago PMI (June), US job opening and labor survey (May).
<b>
Earnings:
</b>
Nike.
</li>
<li data-block-key="4n5cf" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Wednesday
</b>
: Japan Tankan (business) survey (2nd quarter), eurozone inflation (June), eurozone manufacturing PMI (July), US ISM manufacturing (July).
</li>
<li data-block-key="27ifs" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Thursday
</b>
: US employment (June), US factory orders (June).
</li>
<li data-block-key="ar2et" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
<b>
Friday
</b>
: US markets are closed (for BBQs and big bangs) ahead of the Fourth of July weekend.
</li>
</ul>
</div>
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</tbody>
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👀 What you might’ve missed last week
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🗺️
<b>
The World
</b>
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Oil prices fell around 10% over the week as tankers once again steamed through the Strait of Hormuz and exports from the Gulf region climbed back to nearly two-thirds of pre-crisis levels. Crude has now reversed almost all those war-induced gains, and lower energy prices should calm inflationary jitters, bring down prices at the pump, and give consumer confidence a lift.
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🇺🇸
<b>
The US
</b>
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The Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation measure is the personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which covers a broader range of items and adjusts for how folks actually spend.
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
May’s PCE inflation
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figure came in at 4.1% over last year – a steady uptick from April’s 3.8% and the fastest pace in over three years. Meanwhile, “core” PCE – which strips out volatile food and energy prices – rose 3.4% to hit its highest level since October 2023. The good news is that this inflation’s main driver – those higher oil prices – is easing. The bad news is that it looks like another global economic risk is on its way:
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
El Niño
</a>
.
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The American president signed
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two executive orders
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this week, aimed at turbocharging the quantum computing industry. One aims to direct federal agencies to work with academics and the private sector to build a quantum machine capable of performing scientific research, and the other brought forward the deadline to “quantum-proof” government systems from 2035 to 2031.
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<b>
Micron
</b>
, one of the world’s biggest memory-chip makers, reported results and a profit outlook that topped analysts’ expectations – and its shares rocketed to a record high. What’s more, the company’s CEO said that “very large” customers are entering into longer-term supply agreements and that demand would exceed supply into 2028. That boosted investor confidence big time, fueling conviction that memory companies are well-positioned to profit from the AI boom.
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<b>
🇰🇷 South Korea
</b>
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And speaking of memory-makers, South Korean chip giant
<b>
SK Hynix
</b>
is the go-to supplier of high-bandwidth memory to Nvidia and other AI big spenders. Now it’s looking to cash in on the AI gold rush with plans to raise around $29 billion by listing an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) on the Nasdaq. An ADR lets US and global investors use US dollars to buy into foreign firms on American exchanges, opening the company up to a deeper pool of capital. Expect trading to start on July 10th.
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Your Finimize Analyst team
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