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   Daily 2026-05-09
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   Plus, NACHO with a side of guac-ward | Your Daily Brief is ready |
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               3:07 read time
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                       All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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                         <td class="s21">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.82% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          7,397
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.30% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $4,725
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.29% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $80,249
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
                         </td>
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                      <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:1px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                      </div>
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                 </td>
                </tr>
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                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
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                      <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
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                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.48% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          10,228
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.56% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $100.62
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.03% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          4.38%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
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                 <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
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                     <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F144%252F481%252F477%252FLvpkalx2D6BKDNjMQWE7rB3Xq%252Fab8f5bd5827ba45636f2d52fce22b2c26e1dc6c3.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253Db1ae9e2db1a77d3d01aa598cbf7c03f3/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzgyNzc3MzQuMjQzNjQ5fQ:1wLTGw:SrbuE9ZmrGIbD30u3wGAFMYHMpTqIpe3OwPYOejdSzw" width="536"/>
                    </td>
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                      <div class="s29">
                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        👛 Cautious American consumers have companies on edge
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="3o7rn">
                        🥑 Wall Street’s new favorite trade comes with a side of bad news
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bedpk">
                        🗽 Live from the Research desk, it’s the monthly performance update
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bvg40">
                        <b>
                         👇 Keep reading to find out more
                        </b>
                       </p>
                      </div>
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     👀
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Today's headlines
                    </span>
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s32">
                     Buyers Be Wary
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
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                       <img alt="Buyers Be Wary" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-080526-BuyerBeWary.original.jpg%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D7f21677534c9df5ed96c5a5191e8d017/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzgyNzc3MzQuMjQzNzc2OH0:1wLTGw:zjLmSx0tnOzAHJwT9Apvfk3fDtif8Wbk8J9rI7ZfnKU" width="568"/>
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                   <p data-block-key="85v57">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2oi9h">
                    US consumers are looking a bit shaky, and companies are starting to say so out loud.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="drtoq">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6iv81">
                    Warnings are beginning to pop up all over.
                    <b>
                     McDonald's
                    </b>
                    and
                    <b>
                     Applebee’s
                    </b>
                    just cautioned that this quarter could be weaker than last.
                    <b>
                     Kraft Heinz
                    </b>
                    said shoppers are
running out of money by the end of the month.
                    <b>
                     Planet Fitness
                    </b>
                    cut its full-year outlook. And appliance-maker
                    <b>
                     Whirlpool
                    </b>
                    likened the hit it’s taking to the 2008-09 global financial crisis.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1hpa5">
                    ▶ America’s economic data tells a similar story. Consumer sentiment hit a
                    <a>
                     record
                    </a>
                    low this month. The amount that folks put away in savings dropped to a three-year low in March – and, at the
same time, household borrowing rose the most since 2022. Seeing as consumer spending drives
                    <i>
                     two-thirds
                    </i>
                    of the US economy, those trends are a worry.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="c9pn4">
                    ⚠️ Part of the pressure is from energy, with the war in Iran sending prices up. Gasoline has climbed to an average $4.60 a gallon – the highest since 2022 – and that’s feeding into a broader US inflation squeeze.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cbhtq">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ele7l">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming
in:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Nice jobs.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="30cln">
                    US employers added 115,000 new jobs in April – comfortably ahead of the 65,000 economists were expecting, and the first back-to-back monthly gain in almost a year. The one disappointment: average hourly pay climbed just 3.6%, short of the 3.8% forecast. Not ideal, with all those everyday costs rising.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1c3gn">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For you personally:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Hedge like the best of ’em.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="d88bl">
                    Hedge
fund star Ray Dalio thinks the US is heading into a long stretch of instability – driven by wealth inequality, government debt, deepening political and global divisions, and AI. In his view, this consumer shakiness is just an early sign of something bigger.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="afuh7">
                    ⚠️ Dalio's advice: hold 5% to 15% of your portfolio in gold. In past periods of upheaval, traditional currencies – and assets priced in them – have tended to weaken, but gold has tended to rise.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                     📈
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                    <span class="s18">
                     Chart Of The Day
                    </span>
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                    <a>
                     every trade
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                    is tracked, with links and live numbers, so you can see it all: the ups, the downs, and everything in between. Because, yeah, it’s not enough that our ideas sound clever on paper; they’ve got to answer to the market.
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                    Since their launch in October 2024, our ideas
have delivered an average return of 29%, beaten their benchmarks by 13 percentage points, and posted an 83% “hit rate” – meaning most of our calls
                    <a>
                     made money
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
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                    But it’s a new month, so let’s go
                    <a>
                     analyst by analyst
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                    , and get into what worked, what didn’t, and the changes we’re making from here.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="dla3f">
                    That’s today’s Research:
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                    .
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                      Read or listen to the
Research here
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                           <img alt="Pure Gold" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FGold_Investing_Explained_-_Pure_Gold_Company_-_.original.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D6cfaf39043db28747d14e19b1819da8b/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzgyNzc3MzQuMjQ0MzgyNH0:1wLTGw:OR7twHgzy8Rg72HDoVZ0ix9m1Dyewkwj8Bw12dtTzEM" width="568"/>
                          </a>
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                      <div class="s29">
                       <h3 data-block-key="pzt4s">
                        Gold sure seems to have it all
                       </h3>
                       <p data-block-key="6qo50">
                        Crisis hedge. Inflation shield. Safe haven. Very glamorous.
                        <a>
                         Gold
                        </a>
                        gets talked about like it’s the standout in every crowd.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="8r5d8">
                        And when stocks and bonds both
fall at the same time, and this
                        <a>
                         yellow metal
                        </a>
                        rises, well, it earns that reputation.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="8h5ua">
                        Still, not
everyone understands gold. That’s why our analyst teamed up with The Pure Gold Company to put together
                        <a>
                         a guide
                        </a>
                        that sorts
truth from perception.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="4f6ep">
                        It explains what drives gold, when it makes the most sense in a portfolio, and how to invest in it without getting blinded by
                        <a>
                         the bling
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
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                          <a brief="" style="display:inline-block;background:#204CE9;color:#ffffff;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.2;margin:0;text-decoration:none;text-transform:none;padding:10px 25px;mso-padding-alt:0px;border-radius:1000rem;" target="_blank" users="" v2="">
                           <span style="color:#FFFFFF">
                            Read The Guide
                           </span>
                          </a>
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     👀
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Today's headlines
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
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               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;padding-right:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
                  <div class="s31">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s32">
                     It’s Getting Guac-ward
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                 <td align="center" class="s5">
                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s9" role="presentation">
                   <tbody>
                    <tr>
                     <td class="s10">
                      <a target="_blank">
                       <img alt="It’s Getting Guac-ward" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-080526-NACHO.original.jpg%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253Db35b643e405a70ccbe4d9a70621f37fc/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzgyNzc3MzQuMjQ0NTA3fQ:1wLTGw:5G0yz8kg9CeqEPndy1toJuB0KgmB19wVJ_2MPnafbik" width="568"/>
                      </a>
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                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div class="s29">
                   <p data-block-key="ivt6e">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="a586o">
                    Forget
                    <a>
                     TACO
                    </a>
                    : the spicy new acronym among traders is NACHO – and it feels like someone should open a Mexican restaurant on Wall Street
                    <i>
                     rápido
                    </i>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="5jarr">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cvi6">
                    Shorthand for “Not A Chance Hormuz Opens”,
                    <a>
                     NACHO
                    </a>
                    is essentially a set of investing moves that assumes the key shipping channel around Iran will stay disrupted – at least for now.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2k6la">
                    ▶
                    <i>
                     Sí
                    </i>
                    , the current ceasefire seems encouraging. But for shipments to get anywhere back near normal, the US and Iran would need to agree on terms. And until that happens, investors are left to swallow a difficult
possibility: that tension drags on and the Strait of Hormuz stays shut.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="csrar">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="dukd9">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      The bigger picture:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Ay mamacita.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="781dg">
                    That explains, at least in part, what’s going on with oil prices. They’ve fallen a little, but the US benchmark crude price is still around 40% higher than before the war started. And – as you well know – average US gasoline prices are sitting at a four-year
high. So, naturally, American consumers are pulling back on spending. And that’s all starting to seriously impact companies’ forecasts.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bpi25">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Side of sour outlooks.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="akv24">
                    Toyota became the latest firm to spell out what a prolonged disruption could mean on Friday, warning that the bottleneck could shrink its profits by 22% this financial year. The world’s biggest automaker said it’s bracing for $4.2 billion in lost
sales and higher component prices.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7ehjl">
                    ▶ Makes sense. Aluminum – used to build chassis, engine blocks, body panels, and wheel rims – now costs a lot more. And higher energy prices feed right into plastics and rubber too, which go into dashboards, bumpers, under-the-hood parts, and tires. On top of all that, there’s the impact of higher US tariffs adding to the overall… crunch.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   You might also like ⇢
                   <a>
                    What Higher Energy Prices Mean For The Global Economy And Markets
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                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     ✨
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Sarah's Digest
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
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            <td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:20px 0;padding-bottom:32px;padding-left:16px;padding-right:16px;padding-top:8px;text-align:center;">
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                  <div style="font-family:Trispace,monospace;font-size:12px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#5E6984;">
                   What others like you are reading today...
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                   🦾
                   <a>
                    Anthropic Considers A Mega Fundraise To Scale Claude’s Computing Power
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                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div class="s35">
                   The Amazon-backed AI firm is weighing raising tens of billions of dollars that could price it near $1 trillion, as investors circle and revenue growth keeps accelerating.
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                 <td align="left" class="s34">
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                   🚓
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                    Alleged Nvidia Chip Smuggling Case Pulls In Super Micro And Alibaba
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                 </td>
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                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div class="s35">
                   A report pointed to servers allegedly routed through a Southeast Asian firm to reach China, while Alibaba denied using banned chips and Nvidia and Super Micro stressed compliance.
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s34">
                  <div class="s29">
                   ⛈️
                   <a>
                    Cloudflare Beat Estimates, Then Planned 1,100 Job Cuts
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                 <td align="left" class="s5">
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                   Strong first-quarter results and higher full-year guidance were followed by a restructuring plan and a sharp premarket selloff.
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                   <a>
                    SoftBank’s OpenAI-Backed Loan Plans Get A Reality Check
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                   SoftBank is weighing a smaller $6 billion to $10 billion margin loan after lenders struggled to pin down a valuation for the private ChatGPT maker.
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                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     🖋️
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Quote of the day
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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              <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
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                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div class="s29">
                   <strong>
                    "When anyone tells me I can’t do anything … I’m just not listening anymore."
                   </strong>
                   – Florence Griffith Joyner (an American Olympic sprinter)
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
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<![endif]-->
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     🎯
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     On Our Radar
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                 <td class="s19">
                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
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                     <td align="left" class="s28">
                      <div class="s29">
                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        <b>
                         1. The people have spoken.
                        </b>
                        And the bird
                        <a>
                         blinded by grass
                        </a>
                        wins.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="66ms6">
                        <b>
                         2. Nope, nothing shady here.
                        </b>
                        NPR is still looking for
                        <a>
                         Polymarket’s Panama HQ
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="a3pti">
                        <b>
                         3. Singing mice.
                        </b>
                        Actual – not animated – singing mice have
                        <a>
                         evolved a kind of speech
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6o386">
                        <b>
                         4. Robot revolution.
                        </b>
                        Humanoid robots are coming – and China is
                        <a>
                         building them
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
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         <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s4" role="presentation" width="100%">
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              Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
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                  Just alright
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