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   Oil surges 4% as U.S. and Iran trade attacks
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   Plus: Trump claims Hormuz guardianship, and states sue to block Paramount-Warner Bros. deal
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         Monday, July 13, 2026
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          Trump claims U.S. authority over Hormuz as Iran insists the strait is closed
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          President Trump declared 
the U.S. the 'Guardian of the Strait of Hormuz,' asserting American control over the waterway while Iran maintained the strait is closed until U.S. interference ends. The dueling proclamations leave shippers, insurers, and energy markets in a state of deep uncertainty about safe transit — a condition that alone is sufficient to sustain elevated oil price risk premiums in the near term.
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         Iran Fallout
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          U.S. and Iran trade strikes as Hormuz blockade threatens global oil flows
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          The U.S. military struck dozens of Iranian targets Sunday night — including 
air-defense systems, coastal radar sites, and naval assets — to degrade Iran's ability to attack commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian media reported four people killed in those strikes; Iran's Revolutionary Guards then hit U.S. military positions in Kuwait, Jordan, Bahrain, and Oman. Hours later, Trump reinstated a naval blockade on Iran and announced a 20% tariff on all cargo transiting the strait. The escalation has effectively shredded the preliminary peace deal the two countries signed in June, casting an open-ended shadow 
over the waterway that handles roughly 20% of global oil and gas trade. Brent crude rose more than 3% on Monday, and further gains are likely if the blockade hardens.
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          Read more at BBC News ›
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          Europe's jet fuel supply tightens as Iran war disrupts Mideast energy corridors
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          Europe is contending with a tightening jet fuel supply as the U.S.-Iran conflict disrupts Middle East energy 
corridors, raising costs for carriers at the start of peak summer travel season. Analysts caution that oil traders have yet to fully price in the depth of the supply disruption. Airlines and travel operators face margin pressure if the shortfall persists through August, though a full cancellation of European summer travel itineraries is not seen as imminent.
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          Read more at Reuters ›
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          Schiff to force 12th Senate war powers vote on Iran conflict this week
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          Sen. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) said he will introduce a new war powers resolution when Congress
returns this week, forcing a 12th Senate vote on ending the U.S. military conflict with Iran. The Senate voted 50-48 on June 23 to direct Trump to withdraw troops, with four Republicans crossing over — but the non-binding measure was ignored. Schiff's latest privileged resolution would compel a discharge vote from the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, keeping congressional war-authorization pressure on a White House that never sought a formal authorization for the conflict.
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          Read more at The Hill ›
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          Hormuz status, heat-wave death toll, and AI pricing dominate morning briefing
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          Bloomberg's morning podcast flags the week's key pressure
points: conflicting U.S. and Iranian claims over Strait of Hormuz access following fresh missile and drone exchanges; a heat-wave death toll approaching 10,000 across the UK, France, Spain, and Germany; and a new round of AI model releases from three leading developers whose primary selling point is lower pricing rather than raw capability gains — a dynamic worth monitoring for enterprise software buyers and AI infrastructure investors.
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          Read more at Bloomberg ›
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          U.S.-Iran strikes rattle oil markets as Hormuz standoff deepens
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          A fresh exchange of U.S. and Iranian military strikes
sent Brent crude up more than 3.5% Monday, settling at $78.66 a barrel, as both sides contested control of the Strait of Hormuz — the chokepoint through which roughly 20% of global oil and gas shipments normally move. President Trump declared the U.S. the guardian of the strait and announced a naval blockade on Iran, along with a 20% charge on all cargo shipped through it. Iran's Revolutionary Guards responded by striking U.S. military assets in Kuwait, Jordan, Bahrain, and Oman.
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         <p style="margin:12px 0 0;">
          U.S. equities ended mixed: the 
S&amp;P 500 slipped 0.2%, the Nasdaq fell 0.8%, and the Dow edged up 0.4%. Gold, often a conflict hedge, fell nearly 2% to $4,037 an ounce — a signal that dollar-denominated safe havens and liquidity needs may be driving flows more than risk aversion. European markets posted modest gains, led by energy names.
         </p>
         <p style="margin:12px 0 0;">
          The immediate market question is whether Brent breaks above $80 if the blockade holds and shipping disruptions compound. Executives with Gulf supply-chain exposure and energy investors should watch whether 
the June preliminary peace agreement formally collapses this week, which would remove the floor under prices and raise the ceiling considerably.
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         <a style="color: #1a2d47; text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at The Guardian ›
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          Brent crude jumps 9% as U.S.-Iran strikes choke Strait of Hormuz traffic
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          Back-and-forth military strikes between the U.S. and Iran sent Brent crude to $83 a barrel 
on Monday, 15% above its prewar price, after Tehran attacked a container ship in the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. military struck roughly 140 targets in Iran. Daily ship traffic through the strait, which normally carries a fifth of the world's oil, fell to just 14 vessels on Sunday, down from more than 130 before the war, according to maritime data firm Kpler.
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text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at nytimes.com ›
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         Deals &amp; Regulators
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          Twelve states sue to block Paramount's $111 billion Warner Bros. acquisition
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          California led a 12-state coalition Monday 
in filing suit in U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California to block Paramount's $111 billion takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery, the largest legal challenge yet to one of the biggest media mergers in history. The states argue the combined entity would damage competition in film distribution — particularly for blockbusters that drive the bulk of studio revenues — and gain anti-competitive control over basic cable distribution, including CNN. The plaintiffs are seeking to freeze the deal, which was slated to close in the third 
quarter. That timing matters financially: Paramount has agreed to pay Warner Bros. shareholders $650 million for each quarter the deal fails to close beginning in October, a penalty that will mount rapidly if the litigation drags into year-end.
         </p>
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         <a style="color: #1a2d47; text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at The New York Times ›
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         <a style="color: #0b1f3a; text-decoration: none;">
          Federal judge voids Trump tax-immunity deal, sanctions his lawyers
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         <p style="margin:0;">
          U.S. District Judge Kathleen Williams on Monday nullified the government's 
settlement of a $10 billion lawsuit brought by Trump and his sons over the leak of his tax returns, ruling the case lacked a genuine controversy because Trump controls the Treasury Department. Williams, an Obama appointee, also sanctioned Trump's lawyers for their conduct. The voided deal had created a $1.8 billion fund for alleged victims of government weaponization and granted the president, his family, and related entities immunity from tax audits — provisions that drew bipartisan criticism before the fund was scrapped, though the audit 
immunity had remained in place until Monday's ruling.
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         <a style="color: #1a2d47; text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at The Guardian ›
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          Bank regulators issue guidance on lending risk tied to undocumented borrowers
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         <p style="margin:0;">
          The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the FDIC, 
and the National Credit Union Administration plan to issue joint guidance Monday reminding banks of know-your-customer obligations as they apply to borrowers unauthorized to work in the U.S. The agencies warn that deportation risk creates loan-repayment uncertainty that constitutes a credit risk to institutions. The guidance is the latest in a series of Trump administration measures designed to push banks to exit relationships with undocumented customers without formally mandating that outcome — a compliance signal that lenders and their legal 
teams will need to assess carefully.
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         <a style="color: #1a2d47; text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at The San Diego Union-Tribune ›
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          Industry groups push for formal structure in U.S.-China trade board
         </a>
        </h4>
        <div style="font-size:16px;line-height:1.6;color:#1a1a1a;text-align:left;">
         <p style="margin:0;">
          Companies and trade associations responding to the
proposed U.S.-China board of trade — established after Trump's May Beijing visit — are urging the administration to formalize the body with regular high-level meetings, frequent staff-level talks, clear tariff-reduction eligibility definitions, and formal industry participation channels. Without that structure, businesses argue, the board will fail to deliver the predictable trade environment they need. Separately, a statutory deadline for proposed Brazil tariffs arrives this week, and a Commerce Department program to promote AI exports is off 
to a rocky start.
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        <div style="padding:8px 0 0;text-align:left;">
         <a style="color: #1a2d47; text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at POLITICO ›
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         <a style="color: #0b1f3a; text-decoration: none;">
          DOJ opens grand jury probe into UAW President Shawn Fain
         </a>
        </h4>
        <div style="font-size:16px;line-height:1.6;color:#1a1a1a;text-align:left;">
         <p style="margin:0;">
          The Department of Justice has initiated a grand jury investigation into UAW President Shawn Fain 
over allegations that he improperly benefited his fiancée and retaliated against senior union official Rich Boyer, who objected to those actions, according to internal union documents reviewed by Reuters. The federal monitor overseeing the union, led by attorney Neil Barofsky, informed both men of the investigation last month. Fain denies the findings and is campaigning for a second term, with a union election scheduled for later this year — making the probe a direct threat to his political standing within the UAW.
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        <div style="padding:8px 0 0;text-align:left;">
         <a style="color: #1a2d47; text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at The Charlotte Observer ›
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         <a style="color: #0b1f3a; text-decoration: none;">
          Goldman's Ruemmler faces House panel Wednesday over Epstein connections
         </a>
        </h4>
        <div style="font-size:16px;line-height:1.6;color:#1a1a1a;text-align:left;">
         <p style="margin:0;">
          Goldman Sachs senior counsel Kathryn Ruemmler will testify before a House panel 
Wednesday on her ties to Jeffrey Epstein, renewing scrutiny of the bank's decision to retain her after Justice Department documents revealed she accepted gifts from the convicted sex offender. Ruemmler stepped down as Goldman's chief legal officer at the end of June but remains in an advisory role pending appointment of a successor. Goldman CEO David Solomon disclosed the arrangement in an internal memo. Her testimony puts Goldman's governance and its handling of Epstein-linked relationships under a congressional spotlight at a sensitive moment
for Wall Street.
         </p>
        </div>
        <div style="padding:8px 0 0;text-align:left;">
         <a style="color: #1a2d47; text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at The Charlotte Observer ›
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        <div style="font-size:14px;letter-spacing:0px;font-weight:700;color:#1a2d47;border-bottom:2px solid #0b1f3a;padding-bottom:6px;">
         On the Hill
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       <td style="padding:12px 24px 12px;">
        <h3 style="margin:0 0 8px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;font-size:24px;line-height:1.3;color:#0b1f3a;text-align:left;">
         <a style="color: #0b1f3a; text-decoration: none;">
          Graham's death reshapes Senate dynamics as Republicans face a crowded legislative calendar
         </a>
        </h3>
        <div style="font-size:17px;line-height:1.6;color:#1a1a1a;text-align:left;">
         <p style="margin:0;">
          The death of Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) at 71 after what his office described as a brief and sudden illness removes one of the Senate's most practiced dealmakers at a moment when Republican leaders can ill afford the loss. During 23 years in the Senate, Graham played a central role in bipartisan negotiations and, most recently, rallied GOP support for a funding measure that reopened the Department of Homeland Security after a prolonged partial shutdown.
His absence, combined with Sen. Mitch McConnell's hospitalization following a fall, leaves Senate Republicans short of two senior figures as they face confirmation battles, farm bill negotiations, and a demanding pre-recess legislative sprint. South Carolina's governor will appoint a replacement, and that succession process now adds another variable to an already volatile Senate math.
         </p>
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        <div style="padding:8px 0 0;text-align:left;">
         <a style="color: #1a2d47; text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at The Guardian ›
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         <a style="color: #0b1f3a; text-decoration: none;">
          McConnell, 84, discloses fall and hospitalization as Senate returns
         </a>
        </h4>
        <div style="font-size:16px;line-height:1.6;color:#1a1a1a;text-align:left;">
         <p style="margin:0;">
          Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) disclosed Sunday that a fall last month left him
briefly unconscious and required hospitalization. The 84-year-old Senate Republican elder statesman did not detail the severity of his condition. His absence from Washington this week compounds the challenge facing Senate Republican leadership, which is simultaneously managing the death of Sen. Lindsey Graham, the Todd Blanche confirmation hearing, and a stack of pre-recess legislative priorities.
         </p>
        </div>
        <div style="padding:8px 0 0;text-align:left;">
         <a style="color: #1a2d47; text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at CNN ›
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         <a style="color: #0b1f3a; text-decoration: none;">
          Senate farm bill markup, $11 billion aid request, and E15 push crowd pre-recess agenda
         </a>
        </h4>
        <div style="font-size:16px;line-height:1.6;color:#1a1a1a;text-align:left;">
         <p style="margin:0;">
          Republican agriculture lawmakers face a dense legislative 
sprint before August recess: a Senate farm bill markup remains unscheduled, and President Trump has requested more than $11 billion in farm assistance bundled with military supplemental funding. Year-round E15 fuel sales legislation and a pending decision on hemp sale restrictions — set to take effect in November — are also in the queue. A new poll cited by Politico shows record-high voter support for the E15 measure, but time and competing priorities are the binding constraints.
         </p>
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        <div style="padding:8px 0 0;text-align:left;">
         <a style="color: #1a2d47; text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at POLITICO ›
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         <a style="color: #0b1f3a; text-decoration: none;">
          Blanche confirmation hearing this week puts Tillis in the deciding seat again
         </a>
        </h4>
        <div style="font-size:16px;line-height:1.6;color:#1a1a1a;text-align:left;">
         <p style="margin:0;">
          Todd Blanche, Trump's acting attorney general and personal defense attorney, faces a Senate 
Judiciary Committee confirmation hearing this week, with Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) viewed as the decisive vote. Every Republican committee member must support Blanche for his nomination to advance, and Tillis has expressed reservations — particularly over Blanche's handling of Jan. 6 pardons, his move to vacate convictions of key Jan. 6 defendants, and his management of Epstein file releases. Epstein survivors have taken out a billboard near Charlotte pressing Tillis for a no vote, adding outside political pressure to his 
decision.
         </p>
        </div>
        <div style="padding:8px 0 0;text-align:left;">
         <a style="color: #1a2d47; text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at The Charlotte Observer ›
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          Pentagon border operations have cost at least $2.64 billion, GAO finds
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        </h4>
        <div style="font-size:16px;line-height:1.6;color:#1a1a1a;text-align:left;">
         <p style="margin:0;">
          The Government Accountability Office, in the most 
comprehensive cost accounting to date, found the Pentagon spent at least $2.64 billion on southwest border operations through March 31. The tally covers activities on Defense Department-administered lands, construction of permanent border barriers, and support provided to the Department of Homeland Security. The figure gives Congress and defense budget analysts the clearest picture yet of the fiscal footprint of the military's expanded role in immigration enforcement.
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          Read more at Bloomberg ›
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          Trump launches whole-of-government campaign against ICC after judges file U.S. lawsuit
         </a>
        </h4>
        <div style="font-size:16px;line-height:1.6;color:#1a1a1a;text-align:left;">
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          The Trump administration announced a 
whole-of-government campaign against the International Criminal Court on Monday after ICC judges filed suit alleging the U.S. was punishing them over past legal decisions. The State Department said it is considering travel bans, visa revocations, and additional sanctions against the ICC and affiliated organizations, citing the court's threat to U.S. sovereignty. The escalation puts international institutions and multinational companies with ICC-adjacent legal exposure on notice that Washington is prepared to use economic tools beyond targeted 
executive orders.
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        <div style="padding:8px 0 0;text-align:left;">
         <a style="color: #1a2d47; text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 14px;">
          Read more at Bloomberg ›
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         Quartz Washington · A daily briefing on U.S. politics for business.
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