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Daily 2026-08-03
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Plus, two pharma giants are in merger talks | Your Daily Brief is ready |
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All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
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<td class="s20">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
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<td align="left" class="s9">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
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<td class="s22">
S&P 500
</td>
<td class="s23">
1.47% ▲
</td>
<td class="s24">
7,600
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s22">
GOLD
</td>
<td class="s23">
0.17% ▲
</td>
<td class="s24">
$4,114
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s22">
BITCOIN*
</td>
<td class="s23">
0.59% ▲
</td>
<td class="s24">
$63,869
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
*24-hour change
</td>
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</tbody>
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</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:1px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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</div>
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</td><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:251.92px;">
<![endif]-->
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
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<td class="s20">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s9">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
<tbody>
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<td class="s22">
FTSE 100
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
0.16% ▼
</td>
<td class="s24">
10,850
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s22">
BRENT OIL
</td>
<td style="font-size:12px;color:#EA3459;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
7.39% ▼
</td>
<td class="s24">
$83.49
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s22">
US BONDS*
</td>
<td class="s23">
0.07% ▼
</td>
<td class="s24">
4.68%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
*10-year government yield
</td>
</tr>
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</td>
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</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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<![endif]-->
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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</td></tr><tr><td class="" width="600px">
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s1" role="presentation">
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<td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:0;text-align:center;">
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<td style="background-color:#f8f9ff;vertical-align:top;padding-top:0;padding-right:16px;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:16px;">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
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<td align="center" style="font-size:0px;padding:0 0 16px 0;word-break:break-word;">
<p style="border-top:solid 1px #E4E8F3;font-size:1px;margin:0px auto;width:100%;">
</p>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX
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VIX
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)
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<p data-block-key="10zqs">
🦿 Alibaba’s new model might give US rivals a run for their money
</p>
<p data-block-key="3t66l">
<b>
💪 FOR PRO MEMBERS:
</b>
It’s time to look at whether to buy the dip, take profits, or cut your losses
</p>
<p data-block-key="e6a4c">
💊
AstraZeneca and Bristol Myers Squibb could join forces
</p>
<p data-block-key="bvg40">
<b>
👇 Keep reading to find out more
</b>
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Open For Business
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<p data-block-key="um1cx">
<b>
What’s going on here?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="btqjn">
Chinese ecommerce-to-AI giant
<b>
Alibaba
</b>
unveiled its biggest model yet, sending its Hong Kong-listed shares up 7% on Monday.
</p>
<p data-block-key="5bmdd">
<b>
What does this mean?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="7el07">
Alibaba claims that its new Qwen3.8-Max model edges out both
<b>
Anthropic's
</b>
flagship Fable 5 and compatriot
<b>
Moonshot’s
</b>
Kimi K3 on
several benchmarks. The company also says that the model was able to work independently for 16 days in internal testing – implying that it’s got real agentic promise. And, of course, there’s pricing: Qwen’s much cheaper than many of its American rivals.
</p>
<p data-block-key="5e71d">
<b>
Why should I care?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="3c0bt">
<b>
<i>
Zooming in:
</i>
</b>
<i>
There's no such thing as a free lunch.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="albih">
Alibaba plans to make the model “open weight” and release it
for public download next week, so users can either run it locally or on any cloud server they want. American AI companies, on the other hand, usually sell their models as hosted services – and charge premium prices for it (they’ve got to justify their billions in R&D spending somehow).
</p>
<p data-block-key="9qetk">
▶ A comparable Chinese alternative that’s downloadable
<i>
and
</i>
cheap to use undermines that entire business model, forcing US firms to either match those lower prices or explain
the premium.
</p>
<p data-block-key="eddlf">
▶ So Chinese labs might miss out on recurring subscription revenue, but they’re winning on distribution. And for now – with state support – they can afford the trade-off.
</p>
<p data-block-key="dr5h4">
<b>
<i>
Zooming out:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Follow the money.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="4atj7">
AI models are getting cheaper and more interchangeable – and that raises real questions about where the profit will land. If it isn’t in having the best model, it could be in
the surrounding layers: the cloud providers that host models, the chipmakers whose accelerators power them, and the customer-facing apps that own the end user.
</p>
<p data-block-key="ds9ia">
▶ That's why AI infrastructure names – the picks-and-shovels players that get paid regardless of which model wins – might just be in the strongest position of all.
</p>
</div>
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You might also like ⇢
<a>
How
Chinese AI could spoil the party for OpenAI and Anthropic
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<div class="s29">
<p data-block-key="pr7ai">
The past month has given investors
<a>
plenty to sweat over
</a>
. Tech stumbled, markets got rockier, and plenty of the market’s
high-flyers fell closer to Earth.
</p>
<p data-block-key="rua5">
So it’s a perfect time for a
<a>
<b>
Finimize Portfolio
</b>
update
</a>
. Every month, we revisit our open ideas, check out the results, and consider what’s changed. You can follow every trade in the
<a>
tracker
</a>
, which has links to every investment case and up-to-date performance stats.
</p>
<p data-block-key="2jhlj">
Since their launch in October 2024, our ideas have delivered an average return of 24%, beaten their benchmarks by eight percentage points, and posted a 68% “hit rate” – meaning most of
<a>
our calls made money
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="6f95d">
That’s today’s Research:
<a>
how the Finimize Portfolio did last
month – and what our analysts are changing now
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="eep80">
<a>
<b>
Read or listen to the Research here
</b>
</a>
</p>
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👀
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<p data-block-key="7yeuo">
<b>
What’s going on here?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="9qqfi">
<b>
AstraZeneca
</b>
and
<b>
Bristol Myers Squibb
</b>
are reportedly discussing a potential mega-merger – one that could be the biggest deal in pharma history.
</p>
<p data-block-key="2inos">
<b>
What does this mean?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="a5rhv">
Swedish-British vaccine developer Astra is worth about $242 billion, and US-based Bristol nearly $132 billion.
Together, they’d be the world’s fourth-largest pharma company, worth nearly $365 billion and generating around $107 billion in annual revenue.
</p>
<p data-block-key="67g2b">
🔻 Investors weren’t impressed: Astra’s share price dipped 6% on the news. Basically, they want to know what’s in it for the firm. The two companies were similarly sized back in 2021, but Astra has since had stronger growth. And analysts don’t expect that gap to shrink any time soon – especially given that some of Bristol’s
most important patents are set to expire next year, meaning it’s losing exclusivity on two drugs that make up
<i>
half
</i>
of its sales.
</p>
<p data-block-key="dk6gp">
<b>
Why should I care?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="fo0gv">
<b>
<i>
For markets:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Coming to America…
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="8jj4b">
Investors didn’t get it, but Astra certainly sees something in Bristol. See, Astra is the second-biggest company listed in the UK, but its US sales now make up about half of its revenue. And the
company’s looking to America to drive its growth going forward. Although its CEO said Astra doesn’t need acquisitions to do that, Bristol
<i>
would
</i>
give it a stronger foothold in the States.
</p>
<p data-block-key="5fmk">
<b>
<i>
The bigger picture:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Merger madness.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="bcl6q">
The current US administration has earned a reputation for a hands-off approach to dealmaking, and that’s pushed American mergers and acquisitions to near-record volumes. So this mega-deal
might get a pass from regulatory bodies, despite the potentially worrying overlap in the pair’s cancer drug divisions.
</p>
<p data-block-key="429lj">
⚠️ Of course,
<i>
UK
</i>
authorities might not look too favorably on a deal that seems like a backdoor way for Astra to move to the US… so that’s another hurdle.
</p>
</div>
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<h3 data-block-key="az84r">
<b>
There’s a lot more to us
</b>
</h3>
<p data-block-key="at4nd">
Our
<b>
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is a great way to stay on top of the markets. But if you’ve ever clicked on one of our brilliant headlines and run smack into a paywall, what’s behind it is
<a>
<i>
Finimize Pro
</i>
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="2krh6">
That’s where our weekly deep dives live, along with our model portfolios, updates on every open trade, and monthly online meetups with our analysts. In other words, the full Finimize
<a>
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</a>
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</p>
<p data-block-key="18km9">
As for those investing ideas: they’ve done really well. Since we launched, the
<a>
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</a>
ideas have returned
<b>
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</b>
,
beaten their benchmarks by 9
<b>
percentage points
</b>
, and posted an
<b>
68% hit rate
</b>
– so, yeah, most calls made money.
</p>
<p data-block-key="132lt">
That pretty much
<a>
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</a>
.
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<td align="left" class="s16">
<div class="s17">
<mj-raw>
<span class="s18">
✨
</span>
<span class="s19">
Sarah's Digest
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:Trispace,monospace;font-size:12px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#5E6984;">
What others like you are reading today...
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s34">
<div class="s29">
💨
<a>
Amazon Joins The $3 Trillion Club On AI-Driven AWS Momentum
</a>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s35">
Reuters said investors cheered fresh signs that AI demand is lifting Amazon’s cloud business, sending the stock to a record high.
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s34">
<div class="s29">
💴
<a>
Nikkei Slides As The Yen Jumps On Joint Intervention
</a>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s35">
Japan’s stock benchmark fell 2.2% after Tokyo and Washington confirmed rare coordinated yen-buying action late last week.
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s34">
<div class="s29">
🏭
<a>
US Factory Activity Hit A Four-Year High In July
</a>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s35">
New orders stayed strong and hiring picked up, even as war-linked supply constraints kept input costs high.
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s34">
<div class="s29">
🏦
<a>
Treasury Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs As Oil And The Fed Jolt Markets
</a>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s35">
The 10-year yield neared 4.75% and the 30-year touched 5.275% as the Iran war and split Fed signals kept rate expectations in flux.
</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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<div class="s17">
<mj-raw>
<span class="s18">
🖋️
</span>
<span class="s19">
Quote of the day
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
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</tr>
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<div class="s29">
<strong>
"Perhaps imagination is only intelligence having fun."
</strong>
– George Scialabba (an American critic)
</div>
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</tbody>
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<td align="left" class="s30">
<div class="s17">
<mj-raw>
<span class="s18">
🎯
</span>
<span class="s19">
On Our Radar
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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<div class="s29">
<p data-block-key="aaghi">
<b>
1. Matt Damon’s biceps.
</b>
Aren’t his, at least not the ones in
<i>
The Odyssey
</i>
–
<a>
they’re hers
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="fpalg">
<b>
2. Do we need AC?
</b>
The temperatures say yes, climate says no thank you, but there could be
<a>
another option
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="a4hn2">
<b>
3. Spider sex.
</b>
As in actual arachnids – and
<a>
yeah, it’s weird
</a>
.
</p>
</div>
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<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s29">
Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
<a class="s36">
Theodora
</a>
,
<a class="s36">
Russell
</a>
, and
<a class="s36">
Linda
</a>
. Got an idea? A question?
<a>
Get in touch
</a>
.
</div>
</td>
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<![endif]-->
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<td align="left" class="s30">
<div class="s17">
<mj-raw>
<span class="s18">
💌
</span>
<span class="s19">
THAT WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
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<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="center" bgcolor="#f8f9ff" class="s39" role="presentation" valign="middle">
<a class="s40" target="_blank">
<span aria-hidden="true" role="img">
🔥
</span>
Hot stuff
</a>
</td>
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</tbody>
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<a class="s40" target="_blank">
<span aria-hidden="true" role="img">
👍
</span>
Just alright
</a>
</td>
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</tbody>
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😒
</span>
...Meh
</a>
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