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   Daily 2026-07-07
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                     WHAT'S GOING ON
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                       All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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                         <td class="s24">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td class="s25">
                          0.45% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s26">
                          7,503
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s24">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td class="s25">
                          1.14% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s26">
                          $4,120
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s24">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s25">
                          0.47% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s26">
                          $63,696
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                       </tbody>
                      </table>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
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                     <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
                      <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:1px;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                      </div>
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</td><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:251.92px;">
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                     <td align="left" class="s8">
                      <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="color:#000000;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:22px;table-layout:auto;width:100%;border:none;" width="100%">
                       <tbody>
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                         <td class="s24">
                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          0.32% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s26">
                          10,685
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s24">
                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          5.28% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s26">
                          $75.79
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s24">
                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s25">
                          0.07% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s26">
                          4.55%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                       </tbody>
                      </table>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
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                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
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                      </p>
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</td></tr></table>
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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                 <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
                </td>
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                    <td style="width:536px;">
                     <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F151%252F580%252F181%252FZwVbKlDe9Y8wBBDmQ8moa3jPM%252Fd3423c857abf90397ff1447573d7fed18ea0399e.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253Df3fbaa46f8cff0ebb6a5519c1da777dc/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODM0NjE3NTguMTYzNjg0MX0:1whDsE:vfzODNWDs-I8OVBlCJtB2H7aZpGXXCThc1-FKrZV6Zk" width="536"/>
                    </td>
                   </tr>
                  </tbody>
                 </table>
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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                   <tbody>
                    <tr>
                     <td align="left" class="s31">
                      <div class="s32">
                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        📉 Samsung’s stellar earnings weren’t enough to keep investors from selling
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="1vke9">
                        <b>
                         👀 FOR PRO MEMBERS:
                        </b>
                        How to spot stocks that don’t suck
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="kgsk">
                        💰 Amazon is selling bonds – again – to bankroll its AI ambitions
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bvg40">
                        <b>
                         👇 Keep reading to find out
more
                        </b>
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
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                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
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             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s20">
                     👀
                    </span>
                    <span class="s21">
                     Today's headlines
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
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                  <div class="s34">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s35">
                     Never Satisfied
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                 <td align="center" class="s5">
                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s9" role="presentation">
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                      <a target="_blank">
                       <img alt="Never Satisfied" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-070726-Samsung.original.jpg%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D21732e742fad508400d27840d8ff87c1/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODM0NjE3NTguMTYzODQwM30:1whDsE:Z6w-7-QO4tg7Ysx0c5BFMNufeN5SAdh_eWKi7ZvA9KQ" width="568"/>
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                  <div class="s32">
                   <p data-block-key="7fssa">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cenc7">
                    South Korean chipmaking giant
                    <b>
                     Samsung Electronics’
                    </b>
                    second-quarter profit was
                    <i>
                     19 times
                    </i>
                    higher than the same time last year – but investors still sent the stock tumbling.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="dv5rf">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="89i35">
                    Samsung’s release on Tuesday was “preliminary”, so investors only got sight of the
revenue and profit headlines. But even without the details, the picture is clear. Wild demand for Samsung’s AI chips doubled revenue and brought in almost $60 billion in quarterly profit, above analysts’ predictions.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8ontg">
                    🔻 That still wasn’t enough to satisfy investors: they sold the stock, which fell 7%. Bruising, sure, but then again, it
                    <i>
                     was
                    </i>
                    up about 160% this year before the drop.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4l3cr">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8mba3">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Buy the rumor, sell the fact.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9omfp">
                    Strong results usually lift stocks, but not this time. It could be that investors figured now would be a good time to lock in their gains, and if the selling outweighed the buying, that would nudge the shares down. After all, the stock had already risen 10% in the two days before Tuesday’s update, so investors may have been expecting a beat.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9qngm">
                    ▶ For
Samsung specifically, history suggests besting forecasts isn’t always enough. Since 2019, Samsung has topped quarterly expectations 16 times – and 10 of those times, its stock still fell, according to Bloomberg data.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4e1lt">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      The bigger picture:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Chipping away at other chip stocks.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="i1gg">
                    Samsung set the mood music for AI stocks – and left investors jamming to some deeply depressing emo tunes. Basically, investors worry that chipmakers
are building too much capacity too soon. If AI spending cools and customers slow their roll, they’ll struggle to earn a return on their investments.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1eemn">
                    🔻 And although Samsung’s numbers suggest things might be fine, fine isn’t enough, since expectations – not to mention the shares – of AI and AI-adjacent companies are sky-high. Little wonder, then, that US peers
                    <b>
                     Micron
                    </b>
                    and
                    <b>
                     Sandisk
                    </b>
                    initially tumbled 5% on Tuesday, too.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   You might also like ⇢
                   <a>
                    After A Huge AI Run, It’s Time To Trim Some K-Stocks
                   </a>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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               </tbody>
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             </div>
             <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<![endif]-->
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                    With all the uncertainty in the past few months, chances are you’ve been thinking quite a lot about
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                    And you’re hardly the
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                    Investors have been busy rechecking their diversification and upping their safe-haven allocations, fearful about another
                    <a>
                     gut-punching
                    </a>
                    market drop.
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                    And that’s had me poring over an almost
                    <a>
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                    about stock returns to try to figure out what comes next. Here’s what I’ve found.
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                    That’s today’s Insight:
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                    .
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                     AI IOU
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                   <p data-block-key="luf2x">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bingh">
                    Everything-plus-AI kingpin
                    <b>
                     Amazon
                    </b>
                    kicked off its plans to raise about $25 billion in debt on Tuesday.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="1r5dv">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3sagd">
                    A ton of money is going into building out the AI future investors – nay, the
                    <i>
                     world
                    </i>
                    – has been promised. And that cash has got to come from somewhere.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="34f23">
                    ▶ Back in March, Amazon issued around $54 billion of new debt, one of the largest corporate bond sales in history. This time around, it’s looking to sell at least $25 billion in company bonds – more, if there’s demand – that’ll be paid back in between three and 40 years. The company says it’ll use the money for “general corporate purposes” – so yeah, probably AI infrastructure.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="c5ko7">
                    ▶ Amazon didn’t exactly start this
                    <a>
                     trend
                    </a>
                    , but all the cool tech kids –
                    <b>
                     Nvidia
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     SpaceX
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Oracle
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Meta
                    </b>
                    – are doing it to bankroll their AI ambitions. And tapping bond markets is a quick way to find some capital: earlier this year, Google-parent
                    <b>
                     Alphabet
                    </b>
                    raised almost $32 billion from bond sales in less than
24 hours.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="65ij2">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6dn5u">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Amazon versus the US government.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2ahpv">
                    Credit ratings agencies will likely treat these new bonds as “investment grade”, meaning that they’re pretty confident that Amazon will pay back on time and in full. But it’ll be investors who decide on price – how much they’re willing to pay – and that effectively determines the implied interest rate and
yield the bonds will pay out.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4kh75">
                    ▶ To figure that out, investors typically start with US government bond yields, since they’re the safest, most risk- free. Then they’ll ask for a bit above the rates they’d give the government – a “spread” – to compensate for taking on Amazon’s extra risk.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="k90b">
                    ▶ And since Amazon’s bonds will pay more than the US’s, some investors could well look to ditch the “absolute safety” of the US government’s debt for the
“relatively high safety” of Amazon’s – all the while earning more for it.
                   </p>
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                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        <b>
                         1. Surprise winners of the AI revolution.
                        </b>
                        Finally, someone’s giving
                        <a>
                         philosophy majors
                        </a>
                        jobs.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6etnb">
                        <b>
                         2. Xbox's new red ring of death.
                        </b>
                        The console maker is losing
                        <a>
                         3,200 jobs and four studios
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="8hnlj">
                        <b>
                         3. Bird of play.
                        </b>
                        Meet the hawk keeping
                        <a>
                         Wimbledon pigeon-free
                        </a>
                        .
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            <td align="left" class="s5">
             <div class="s32">
              Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Russell
              </a>
              and
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Linda
              </a>
              . Got an idea? A question?
              <a>
               Get in touch
              </a>
              .
             </div>
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                     💌
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                     THAT WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
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