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   Daily 2026-04-24
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                       All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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                         <td class="s21">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.42% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          7,108
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.96% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $4,707
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.55% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $77,759
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
                         </td>
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                         <td class="s21">
                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.08% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          10,468
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
                         <td style="font-size:12px;color:#16B166;font-weight:500;font-family:Trispace,monospace;width:30%;vertical-align:baseline;padding:10px 0 0 0">
                          3.93% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $105.92
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.04% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          4.34%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
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                 <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
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                     <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F142%252F758%252F610%252FnGPeXKvLJY7gNg0gYd81p93OM%252F37149113d54dc3d71f1255f5a3a3f734c98d6122.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D2e6c5d6b38b2007364b63af678cef55e/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzY5ODM5NzQuNzk1NTA3N30:1wG2hq:Djyc0L1ZVb-Y3K6CXjElzbjwT7rRuvktP4aN-k9BAEw" width="536"/>
                    </td>
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                     <td align="left" class="s28">
                      <div class="s29">
                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        📈 SK Hynix shared blockbuster results, but investors have long memories
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="a934d">
                        🥵 A suspicious temperature spike has prediction markets in hot water
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="arnfh">
                        <b>
                         🛢️
                        </b>
                        Higher oil usually spells trouble for emerging markets – but not this time
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bvg40">
                        <b>
                         👇
Keep reading to find out more
                        </b>
                       </p>
                      </div>
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                     👀
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Today's headlines
                    </span>
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s32">
                     Thanks For The Memories
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                       <img alt="Thanks For The Memories" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FEditorial-230426-memory.original.png%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D29413396b5055ed34903df1c681a25d4/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3NzY5ODM5NzQuNzk1NjQ4OH0:1wG2hq:8O75-q8xGa5CW3FDjRUFbNnj6jExExbi2_mQmUu3KOA" width="568"/>
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                   <p data-block-key="emcld">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ffbp1">
                    Memory chipmaker
                    <b>
                     SK Hynix
                    </b>
                    posted another record quarter on Thursday – but investors might not be ready to forget the past just yet.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="12bh9">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bjplv">
                    SK Hynix sells two kinds of memory chips: the standard ones that go in everyday devices, and the specialist, high-bandwidth (HBM)
type that AI models need for fast processing. Unsurprisingly, it was the latter that drove this blockbuster showing. The South Korean chipmaker saw its profit jump
                    <i>
                     fivefold
                    </i>
                    to $25.4 billion last quarter compared to the same time last year, while revenue nearly tripled to $35.5 billion.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8kdu4">
                    ► Demand for SK’s specialist chips is so strong, in fact, that the company expects it to outstrip supply for the next three years. But were investors impressed? Not really.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="aiv1">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4lh16">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     This feels familiar.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="2up3q">
                    Investors have a good memory when it comes to…
                    <a>
                     memory
                    </a>
                    . See, this industry has a history of repeating the same boom-to-bust cycle:
prices rise, profit soars, firms rush to add capacity, and then – all of a sudden – there are too many chips and not enough buyers.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ftoa">
                    ▶ So the real question for SK Hynix,
                    <b>
                     Micron
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Samsung
                    </b>
                    , and the rest is whether AI demand is strong enough to finally break that cycle. Folks seem hesitant: despite the record quarter, SK’s stock has barely moved.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="65sqj">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      The bigger picture:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Making new memories.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="345f1">
                    While AI systems use both kinds of memory, HBM is more useful for training and running AI models. And that makes it more profitable, with firms willing to spend – more or less – whatever it costs on the tech. So it makes sense that the big memory makers are shifting more of their production in that direction.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3up8k">
                    ⚠️ Thing is, that’s tightening the supply of standard memory and pushing up chip prices across the board – for AI companies and everyone
else, too.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     📈
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Chart Of The Day
                    </span>
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                  </div>
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                      Today's Research
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                    <span class="s32">
                     Actually, The Case For Emerging Markets Just Got Stronger
                    </span>
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                   <p data-block-key="pr7ai">
                    Turn on any market podcast right now, and you’ll hear the
                    <a>
                     same three things
                    </a>
                    on repeat: the US-Iran conflict still hasn’t been resolved, oil prices have jumped, and European gas prices have shot higher, too.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="b3mid">
                    Normally, that’s a pretty grim setup for
                    <a>
                     emerging markets
                    </a>
                    (EMs). Higher energy prices tend to hurt countries that rely on imported fuel, pushing up inflation, knocking currencies around, and scaring off foreign investors.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="a60lp">
                    It’s the sort of
backdrop that usually sends money right back to the US. But this time, that’s not really
                    <a>
                     what’s happening
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cjj8b">
                    The
                    <a>
                     MSCI Emerging Markets
                    </a>
                    index is up 16% this year, versus just 3% for the S&amp;P 500. The usual script isn't exactly playing out. And if you've developed a habit of underweighting EMs, it might be time to break it.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8unj9">
                    That’s today’s Insight:
                    <a>
                     why the case for emerging markets just got stronger
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="dpup7">
                    <a>
                     <b>
                      Read or
listen to the Insight here
                     </b>
                    </a>
                   </p>
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                         Theodora Lee Joseph, CFA
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                     👀
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                     Today's headlines
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                  <div class="s31">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s32">
                     A Lot Of Hot Air
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                <tr>
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                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s9" role="presentation">
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                      </a>
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                  <div class="s29">
                   <p data-block-key="jq9o8">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9fqph">
                    On April 15th, temperature readings at Paris’s biggest airport suddenly jumped from 17ºC (63ºF) to a balmy 22ºC, stayed there for 12 minutes, then dropped back down just as abruptly. Which worked out all too well for a
                    <b>
                     Polymarket
                    </b>
                    trader, who made around $21,000 betting that the recorded temperature would rise above 18ºC that day.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bk01m">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6tdco">
                    France’s national weather service called both hot air
                    <i>
                     and
                    </i>
                    the cops. See, airport temperature sensors are primarily used for real-world operational decisions, so it would be a big problem if someone messed with them. Authorities haven’t yet confirmed whether the gauges were tampered with, but online sleuths are suggesting that a hairdryer could’ve nudged the reading higher.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bjir0">
                    ▶ The
timing is awfully suspicious:
                    <a>
                     weather bets
                    </a>
                    on
                    <a>
                     prediction markets
                    </a>
                    have been booming lately.
And on the day of this extremely short-lived hot spell, trading volumes on the “highest temperature in Paris” bet exceeded $500,000 – more than double what’s typical.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6t5bi">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="6ov3k">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming in:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     You can’t cheat the weather, but you can cheat the game.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="e1va7">
                    This episode underscores one of the fundamental problems with prediction markets: once real money is tied to an outcome that can
be influenced, the incentive is to do just that. It’s a big issue in an industry that’s already grappling with insider trading concerns... Prediction markets conveniently allow users to remain anonymous, and regulation around them is still patchy.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="47rae">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      Zooming out:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Crowdsource this.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="5ibgm">
                    Fans of prediction markets argue that when activity is strong, these platforms can turn collective views into surprisingly accurate forecasts
– sometimes even beating polls. But that crowdsourced wisdom works best when the assembled throngs are big and engaged (because fewer traders means that each one has a bigger impact on prices). Shrink the crowd – or add in players with the ability to skew the outcome – and it all starts to wobble.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
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                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        <b>
                         1. Assume the position.
                        </b>
                        You could be
                        <a>
                         sleeping so much better
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="anaq0">
                        <b>
                         2. Burn it down.
                        </b>
                        The haystack, that is – and
                        <a>
                         get better at dating
apps
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bdl5c">
                        <b>
                         3. And then get married.
                        </b>
                        Because evidently, getting hitched
                        <a>
                         reduces your cancer risk
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
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<![endif]-->
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
</td></tr></table>
</td></tr></table>
<![endif]-->
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
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       <td class="s2">
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<table role="presentation" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td class="" style="vertical-align:top;width:568px;">
<![endif]-->
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             <div class="s29">
              Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Reda
              </a>
              and
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Linda
              </a>
              . Got an idea? A question?
              <a>
               Get in touch
              </a>
              .
             </div>
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<![endif]-->
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
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                    <span class="s17">
                     💌
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     THAT WAS GREAT FOR US... HOW WAS IT FOR YOU?
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       </td>
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   <!--[if mso | IE]>
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="" role="presentation" style="width:600px;" width="600"><tr><td style="line-height:0px;font-size:0px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;">
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