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   The Fed's AI spending problem
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   Plus: Nvidia's revenue-sharing deal for AI startups.
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          Monday, July 6, 2026
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           The AI spending spiral is cornering Kevin Warsh on interest rates
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          Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stepped into his new job with a case for lower interest rates on
the back of an AI-fueled productivity boom. What he got instead was a $700 billion AI spending blitz that's demolishing his argument for rate cuts anytime soon.
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          Tech companies aren't flinching at taking on unprecedented spending commitments to expand their fleet of data centers and secure the equipment needed to run them. Now halfway through 2026, momentum at the Fed has shifted toward the possibility of interest rate hikes.
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          As the argument goes among AI's evangelists, employees adopting AI 
complete more tasks at a fraction of the time, and companies produce abundantly with the same number of workers. Profits and paychecks would then grow without stoking inflation.
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          Most Fed watchers and financial analysts, though, don't see evidence yet of the labor productivity gains that could justify a reduction in the Fed's borrowing rates. Instead, they're zeroing in on the rapid data center buildout that's swallowing up an enormous amount of storage and memory chips.
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                                <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
                                 <!--[if !mso]><!-->
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                                  Choose Your Metro by T-Mobile Plan and Get Your Free Samsung Galaxy A17 Phone
                                 </a>
                                 <!--<![endif]-->
                                 <!--[if mso]><a 
href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10949272/222404108/10087563/1/1009235/?f5d63f87=REIlMjAwNy0wNg&x=67e15940" target="_blank" style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold; border: none; display: block; ">Choose Your Metro by T-Mobile Plan and Get Your Free Samsung Galaxy A17 
Phone</a><![endif]-->
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                 <div>
                  Terms &amp; Conditions apply. Not available if with Metro in the last 180 days. If using &gt;35GB/mo. May notice reduced speeds.
                 </div>
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          <span style="font-size:24px;font-family:Arial">
           Today's Poll
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          <h2 style="mso-line-height-rule:exactly;Margin:0;font-family:Arial;font-size:20px;font-weight:bold">
           Will AI's spending spree force a rate hike?
          </h2>
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          <div class="editor-poll-answers classic">
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               <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border:none;border-spacing:0;border-collapse:collapse;mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;mso-margin-top-alt:0px;mso-margin-bottom-alt:0px;mso-padding-alt:0px 0px 0px 0px;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto" width="100%">
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                   <a style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px;  border: 1px solid 
#105C8E; display: block; " target="_blank">
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                       <table align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto" width="100%">
                        <tbody>
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                          <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-size:16px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">
                           <!--[if !mso]><!-->
                           <a style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px;  border: none; display: block; ">
                            Yes. Chip demand is out of control
                           </a>
                           <!--<![endif]-->
                           <!--[if mso]><a 
href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10949272/222404108/10095191/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=REIlMjAwNy0wNg&x=96f1d770" target="_blank" style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px;  border: none; display: block; ">Yes. Chip demand is out of 
control</a><![endif]-->
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                      <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-size:16px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif" valign="middle">
                       <table align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto" width="100%">
                        <tbody>
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                          <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-size:16px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">
                           <!--[if !mso]><!-->
                           <a style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px;  border: none; display: block; ">
                            No. AI will have a deflationary effect
                           </a>
                           <!--<![endif]-->
                           <!--[if mso]><a 
href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10949272/222404108/10095192/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=REIlMjAwNy0wNg&x=727a7afa" target="_blank" style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px;  border: none; display: block; ">No. AI will have a deflationary 
effect</a><![endif]-->
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               <table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border:none;border-spacing:0;border-collapse:collapse;mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;mso-margin-top-alt:0px;mso-margin-bottom-alt:0px;mso-padding-alt:0px 0px 0px 0px;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto" width="100%">
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                      <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-size:16px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif" valign="middle">
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                          <td align="center" bgcolor="#105C8E" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:6px;-moz-border-radius:6px;border-radius:6px;font-size:16px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">
                           <!--[if !mso]><!-->
                           <a style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px;  border: none; display: block; ">
                            The Fed should just wait and see
                           </a>
                           <!--<![endif]-->
                           <!--[if mso]><a 
href="https://www.ne16.com/t/10949272/222404108/10095193/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=REIlMjAwNy0wNg&x=d60a112b" target="_blank" style="-webkit-border-radius: 6px; -moz-border-radius: 6px; border-radius: 6px; color: #FFFFFF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px;  border: none; display: block; ">The Fed should just wait and 
see</a><![endif]-->
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          <span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:24px">
           Here's what you need to know
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         </h1>
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         <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="dragndrop" data-rss-posts="undefined" height="100%" style="table-layout:fixed" width="100%">
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             <a aria-label="Nathan Posner / Anadolu via Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank" title="Nathan Posner / 
Anadolu via Getty Images">
              <img alt="Nathan Posner / Anadolu via Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FOpenAI%2520CEO%2520Sam%2520Altman%2520in%2520Congress.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODMzMzI5NjIuNDAyNjAwM30:1wggMs:xjcwcn3uA3xmpuMRVczv62KO-ncrP_imsReVqee2rhQ" style="width:200px;max-height:338px;vertical-align:middle;border:0" width="200"/>
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              <strong style="color:#105C8E">
               <a data-linktext="OpenAI wants U.S. tech firms 
to hand Washington ownership stakes." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank">
                OpenAI wants U.S. tech firms to hand Washington ownership stakes.
               </a>
              </strong>
              CEO Sam Altman reportedly pitched a plan for major AI companies to each contribute 5% equity to a sovereign wealth fund. OpenAI's share would be valued at $42.6 billion. The fund would channel proceeds back to the public.
             </div>
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             <!--[if mso]><img src="//editor.ne16.com/spacer.gif" style="mso-hide:all;border:0;"><![endif]-->
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             <a aria-label="Spencer Platt / Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank" title="Spencer Platt / Getty Images">
              <img alt="Spencer Platt / Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FGettyImages-537931570.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODMzMzI5NjIuNDAyNzc4MX0:1wggMs:3CBA04vzwccNv67Lpu1UPaE3xpq0tvrw0iAG9wJ0Kjs" style="width:200px;max-height:338px;vertical-align:middle;border:0" width="200"/>
             </a>
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            <td class="editor-cell-text td100" colspan="4" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;padding:10px;font-size:15px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;width:66.6667%;line-height:1.4;vertical-align:top;mso-line-height-rule:exactly">
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              <strong style="color: var(--blue-cta-default)">
               <a data-linktext="The U.S. economy added far fewer jobs than expected in June." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank">
                The U.S. economy added far fewer jobs than expected in June.
               </a>
              </strong>
              Employers created just 57,000 nonfarm payrolls last month, about half the 115,000 analysts had forecast. Leisure and 
hospitality shed 61,000 positions. April and May payrolls were also revised down by a combined 74,000.
             </div>
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             <!--[if mso]><img src="//editor.ne16.com/spacer.gif" style="mso-hide:all;border:0;"><![endif]-->
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            <td align="left" class="editor-cell-image td100" colspan="2" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:auto;vertical-align:middle;width:33.3333%;text-align:left;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:15px">
             <a aria-label="Cheng Xin / Getty Images" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank" title="Cheng Xin / Getty Images">
              <img alt="Cheng Xin / Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FGettyImages-2259521316.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODMzMzI5NjIuNDAyOTY5OH0:1wggMs:Yv_mrsRkHRQk9Zxen7fu-dEPwxcTw8t1rxycMExOQXo" style="width:200px;max-height:338px;vertical-align:middle;border:0" width="200"/>
             </a>
            </td>
            <td class="editor-cell-text td100" colspan="4" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;padding:10px;font-size:15px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;width:66.6667%;line-height:1.4;vertical-align:top;mso-line-height-rule:exactly">
             <div>
              <strong style="color: var(--blue-cta-default)">
               <a data-linktext="Robinhood's CEO says AI 
will trade stocks as well as humans." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#105C8E" target="_blank">
                Robinhood's CEO says AI will trade stocks as well as humans.
               </a>
              </strong>
              Vlad Tenev claims the platform's agentic tools can already execute orders without manual input and will eventually match expert investors. He framed the effort as a push to bring institutional-grade capabilities to retail investors.
             </div>
            </td>
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           <tr style="background-color:#EFEFEF">
            <td class="td100" colspan="6" height="24" style="background-color:#EFEFEF;width:100%;height:24px;font-size:1px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">
             <!--[if mso]><img src="//editor.ne16.com/spacer.gif" style="mso-hide:all;border:0;"><![endif]-->
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